Fight Matrix Program – UFC 265: Lewis vs Gane (08-07-2021)

4 Aug , 2021,
Jason

Heavyweight Championship (265)
[#3] Derrick Lewis (25-7-0, +276) vs. [#4] Ciryl Gane (9-0-0, -361)
Derrick Lewis is the All-Time #27 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Derrick Lewis (3-0-0)
2021-02-20: W vs. [#5HW+] Curtis Blaydes (14-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:26 of round 2
2020-08-08: W vs. [#22HW+] Alexey Oleynik (59-16-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 2
2020-02-08: W vs. [#28HW+] Ilir Latifi (15-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Ciryl Gane (3-0-0)
2021-06-26: W vs. [#7HW+] Alexander Volkov (33-9-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
2021-02-27: W vs. [#6HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (12-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2020-12-12: W vs. [#9HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-9-0) via TKO (Elbow) in 2:34 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ciryl Gane -361 74.64%
Elo K170 Derrick Lewis 2186.69 +193.22 70.74%
Elo Modified Derrick Lewis 2146.32 +118.59 62.70%
Glicko-1 Derrick Lewis 2231.82 +181.32 73.96%
WHR Ciryl Gane 1979.15 +2.52 50.29%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Derrick Lewis 168, Ciryl Gane 42
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ciryl Gane leads 2-1
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#6] Jose Aldo (29-7-0, -129) vs. [#8] Pedro Munhoz (19-5-0, +104)
Jose Aldo is the All-Time #50 ranked Bantamweight and #3 ranked Absolute fighter.
Pedro Munhoz is the All-Time #28 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jose Aldo (1-2-0)
2020-12-19: W vs. [#16BW] Marlon Vera (18-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-07-11: L vs. [#2BW] Petr Yan (15-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:24 of round 5
2019-12-14: L vs. [#9BW] Marlon Moraes (23-8-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Pedro Munhoz (1-2-0)
2021-02-27: W vs. [#15BW] Jimmie Rivera (23-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-08-22: L vs. [#7BW] Frankie Edgar (24-9-1) via SD (48-47, 46-49, 48-47)
2019-06-08: L vs. [#1BW/#9P4P] Aljamain Sterling (20-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jose Aldo -129 53.46%
Elo K170 Jose Aldo 1976.83 +42.40 54.83%
Elo Modified Jose Aldo 1997.45 +14.05 51.54%
Glicko-1 Jose Aldo 2058.05 +0.63 50.09%
WHR Pedro Munhoz 1899.34 +35.69 54.07%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jose Aldo 231, Pedro Munhoz 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jose Aldo leads 2-0
.

Welterweight (170)
[#5] Michael Chiesa (18-4-0, +102) vs. [#6] Vicente Luque (20-7-1, -125)
Michael Chiesa is the All-Time #49 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Michael Chiesa (3-0-0)
2021-01-20: W vs. [#9WW] Neil Magny (25-8-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2020-01-25: W vs. [#5LW] Rafael dos Anjos (30-13-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#84WW] Diego Sanchez (30-13-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Vicente Luque (3-0-0)
2021-03-27: W vs. [#11WW] Tyron Woodley (19-7-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 3:56 of round 1
2020-08-01: W vs. [#43WW] Randy Brown (13-4-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 4:56 of round 2
2020-05-09: W vs. [#64WW] Niko Price (14-5-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage in 3:37 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Vicente Luque -125 52.88%
Elo K170 Michael Chiesa 2159.26 +84.38 59.52%
Elo Modified Michael Chiesa 2123.09 +80.43 58.71%
Glicko-1 Michael Chiesa 2156.53 +18.62 52.68%
WHR Michael Chiesa 1982.81 +39.35 54.48%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Chiesa 199, Vicente Luque 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#8] Tecia Torres (12-5-0, -137) vs. [#12] Angela Hill (13-9-0, +112)

Last 3 Fights: Tecia Torres (2-1-0)
2020-12-12: W vs. [#79SW] Sam Hughes (5-3-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2020-06-20: W vs. [#13SW] Brianna Van Buren (9-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-08-10: L vs. [#4SW/#10P4P] Marina Rodriguez (14-1-2) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Angela Hill (1-2-0)
2021-03-13: W vs. [#33SW] Ashley Yoder (8-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-09-12: L vs. [#9SW] Michelle Waterson (18-9-0) via SD (48-47, 49-46, 47-48)
2020-05-16: L vs. [#7SW] Claudia Gadelha (18-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tecia Torres -137 55.06%
Elo K170 Tecia Torres 1544.15 +76.44 58.64%
Elo Modified Angela Hill 1552.33 +3.64 50.40%
Glicko-1 Angela Hill 1573.80 +0.82 50.12%
WHR Tecia Torres 1536.34 +52.20 55.93%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tecia Torres 238, Angela Hill 147
Previous Match-up Record: Tecia Torres leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tecia Torres leads 2-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#27] Casey Kenney (16-3-1, -120) vs. [#32] Yadong Song (16-5-1, -103)

Last 3 Fights: Casey Kenney (2-1-0)
2021-03-06: L vs. [#11BW] Dominick Cruz (23-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2020-10-24: W vs. [#48BW] Nathaniel Wood (17-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-10-03: W vs. [#154BW] Heili Alateng (14-8-1) via UD (30-25, 30-27, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Yadong Song (1-1-1)
2021-03-06: L vs. [#35BW] Kyler Phillips (9-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-05-16: W vs. [#16BW] Marlon Vera (18-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-12-07: D vs. [#22BW] Cody Stamann (19-4-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Casey Kenney -120 51.80%
Elo K170 Casey Kenney 1796.68 +112.61 62.59%
Elo Modified Casey Kenney 1852.98 +153.10 66.16%
Glicko-1 Casey Kenney 1880.84 +149.86 70.32%
WHR Casey Kenney 1737.27 +98.62 61.08%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Casey Kenney 154, Yadong Song 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#30] Rafael Fiziev (9-1-0, -330) vs. [#33] Bobby Green (27-11-1, +252)

Last 3 Fights: Rafael Fiziev (3-0-0)
2020-12-12: W vs. [#34LW] Renato Carneiro (15-4-1) via KO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 1
2020-07-18: W vs. [#110LW] Marc Diakiese (14-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-10-26: W vs. [*] Alex White (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Bobby Green (2-1-0)
2020-10-31: L vs. [#16LW] Thiago Moises (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-09-12: W vs. [#190LW] Alan Patrick (15-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-08-01: W vs. [#30FW] Lando Vannata (12-5-2) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rafael Fiziev -330 72.98%
Elo K170 Rafael Fiziev 1745.23 +48.32 55.50%
Elo Modified Rafael Fiziev 1746.28 +28.39 53.10%
Glicko-1 Rafael Fiziev 1793.28 +56.03 57.99%
WHR Rafael Fiziev 1751.95 +45.42 55.17%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafael Fiziev 238, Bobby Green 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#29] Ed Herman (26-14-0, +195) vs. [#50] Alonzo Menifield (10-2-0, -245)

Last 3 Fights: Ed Herman (3-0-0)
2020-09-12: W vs. [#86LHW] Mike Rodriguez (11-7-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 4:01 of round 3
2019-11-09: W vs. [#82LHW] Khadis Ibragimov (8-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-05-18: W vs. [*] Patrick Cummins (10-7-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 3:39 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Alonzo Menifield (1-2-0)
2021-03-27: W vs. [#113LHW] Fabio Cherant (7-2-0) via Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 1:11 of round 1
2020-09-05: L vs. [#36HW+] Ovince St. Preux (25-16-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:07 of round 2
2020-06-06: L vs. [#42LHW] Devin Clark (12-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alonzo Menifield -245 67.68%
Elo K170 Ed Herman 1678.09 +122.53 63.64%
Elo Modified Ed Herman 1716.99 +110.86 61.90%
Glicko-1 Ed Herman 1766.71 +143.08 69.50%
WHR Ed Herman 1647.04 +116.97 63.05%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ed Herman 329, Alonzo Menifield 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#43] Jessica Penne (13-5-0, +100) vs. [*] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (12-6-0, -123)
Jessica Penne is the All-Time #44 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jessica Penne (1-2-0)
2021-04-17: W vs. [#58SW] Lupita Godinez (5-1-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-04-22: L vs. [#32SW] Danielle Taylor (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2016-06-04: L vs. [#2FLY/#9DD/#8P4P] Jessica Andrade (21-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:56 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Karolina Kowalkiewicz (0-3-0)
2020-02-22: L vs. [#10SW] Xiaonan Yan (13-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-06-08: L vs. [#12FLY] Alexa Grasso (13-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-03-30: L vs. [#9SW] Michelle Waterson (18-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Karolina Kowalkiewicz -123 52.45%
Elo K170 Jessica Penne 1378.27 +24.47 52.79%
Elo Modified Jessica Penne 1354.35 +15.80 51.73%
Glicko-1 Karolina Kowalkiewicz 1275.02 +20.68 52.97%
WHR Jessica Penne 1273.14 +27.98 53.19%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jessica Penne 112, Karolina Kowalkiewicz 532
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#11] Manel Kape (15-6-0, -204) vs. [#222FW] Ode Osbourne (9-3-0, +166)

Last 3 Fights: Manel Kape (1-2-0)
2021-03-13: L vs. [#7FLY] Matheus Nicolau (16-2-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-02-06: L vs. [#4FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (23-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-12-31: W vs. [#42BW] Kai Asakura (18-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:38 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Ode Osbourne (2-1-0)
2021-02-06: W vs. [#95FLY] Jerome Rivera (10-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 1
2020-01-18: L vs. [#44BW] Brian Kelleher (22-12-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:49 of round 1
2019-07-16: W vs. [*] Armando Villarreal (5-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:39 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Manel Kape -204 64.09%
Elo K170 Manel Kape 1575.82 +186.65 70.12%
Elo Modified Manel Kape 1634.35 +221.38 72.50%
Glicko-1 Manel Kape 1697.47 +286.99 83.91%
WHR Manel Kape 1657.86 +276.70 77.97%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manel Kape 147, Ode Osbourne 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#115] Miles Johns (11-1-0, -209) vs. [#132] Anderson dos Santos (21-8-0, +169)

Last 3 Fights: Miles Johns (2-1-0)
2020-10-31: W vs. [#449BW] Kevin Natividad (9-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:51 of round 3
2020-02-08: L vs. [#101BW] Mario Bautista (8-2-0) via TKO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 1:41 of round 2
2019-09-14: W vs. [#185BW] Cole Smith (7-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Anderson dos Santos (1-2-0)
2020-11-28: W vs. [#738FW] Martin Day (9-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:35 of round 1
2019-06-22: L vs. [#82BW] Andre Ewell (17-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)
2018-11-17: L vs. [#142FW] Nad Narimani (12-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Miles Johns -209 64.53%
Elo K170 Miles Johns 1584.85 +127.47 64.16%
Elo Modified Miles Johns 1564.76 +86.91 59.40%
Glicko-1 Miles Johns 1515.12 +18.79 52.70%
WHR Miles Johns 1473.22 +15.30 51.75%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Miles Johns 280, Anderson dos Santos 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#59] Victoria Leonardo (8-3-0, +107) vs. [*] Melissa Gatto (6-0-2, -134)

Last 3 Fights: Victoria Leonardo (2-1-0)
2021-01-20: L vs. [#22FLY] Manon Fiorot (7-1-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 4:08 of round 2
2020-11-17: W vs. [#106FLY] Chelsea Hackett (3-1-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:41 of round 2
2020-09-17: W vs. [#99FLY] Liz Tracy (5-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Melissa Gatto (2-0-1)
2018-09-29: W vs. [#11BW] Karol Rosa (14-3-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 4:19 of round 1
2018-07-07: D vs. [#40BW] Sidy Rocha (12-8-2) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 3
2018-05-05: W vs. [NA] Joice de Andrade (0-1-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:34 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Melissa Gatto -134 54.23%
Elo K170 Melissa Gatto 1371.12 +72.04 58.15%
Elo Modified Melissa Gatto 1399.18 +35.44 53.87%
Glicko-1 Melissa Gatto 1413.79 +93.43 63.13%
WHR Melissa Gatto 1350.83 +76.13 58.61%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Victoria Leonardo 199, Melissa Gatto 1043
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#251] Drako Rodriguez (8-2-0, -122) vs. [#296] Vince Morales (9-5-0, -101)

Last 3 Fights: Drako Rodriguez (2-1-0)
2021-02-20: L vs. [#159BW] Aiemann Zahabi (8-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:05 of round 1
2020-09-08: W vs. [#153BW] Leomana Martinez (8-2-0) via Technical Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:22 of round 1
2019-09-21: W vs. [*] Fard Muhammad (6-14-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Vince Morales (1-2-0)
2020-05-30: L vs. [*] Chris Gutierrez (16-4-2) via TKO (Leg Kicks) in 4:27 of round 2
2019-07-13: L vs. [*] Benito Lopez (10-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-05-04: W vs. [#159BW] Aiemann Zahabi (8-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Drako Rodriguez -122 52.23%
Elo K170 Vince Morales 1336.46 +12.91 51.47%
Elo Modified Drako Rodriguez 1377.16 +31.44 53.44%
Glicko-1 Drako Rodriguez 1342.64 +25.32 53.64%
WHR Drako Rodriguez 1331.37 +30.58 53.49%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Drako Rodriguez 168, Vince Morales 434
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Vince Morales leads 1-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#196] Jamey Simmons (7-3-0, +191) vs. [#281] Johnny Munoz Jr. (10-1-0, -238)

Last 3 Fights: Jamey Simmons (2-1-0)
2020-11-07: L vs. [#15FW] Giga Chikadze (13-2-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:51 of round 1
2020-10-16: W vs. [#743LW] Shawn West (16-12-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:37 of round 2
2019-12-07: W vs. [#1372LW] Morgan Sickinger (21-14-0) via TKO in 1:04 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Johnny Munoz Jr. (2-1-0)
2020-08-01: L vs. [#81FW] Joseph Nathan Maness (13-1-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2019-09-07: W vs. [*] Ian King (5-4-0) via SUB in 3:33 of round 2
2019-06-22: W vs. [*] Rentsen Otgontulga (4-2-0) via UD (50-45, 48-47, 49-47)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Johnny Munoz Jr. -238 67.20%
Elo K170 Johnny Munoz Jr. 1413.40 +132.08 64.65%
Elo Modified Johnny Munoz Jr. 1460.47 +157.61 66.60%
Glicko-1 Johnny Munoz Jr. 1451.65 +119.35 66.53%
WHR Johnny Munoz Jr. 1393.98 +162.86 67.79%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jamey Simmons 273, Johnny Munoz Jr. 371
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Derrick Lewis
Highest Stored DD Rating: Derrick Lewis
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Derrick Lewis vs. Ciryl Gane
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Derrick Lewis vs. Ciryl Gane
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Unbelievable [*****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Large [***½]
Run Date: 2021-8-4