Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs Moises (07-17-2021)

Jul 12, 2021
Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#10] Islam Makhachev (19-1-0, -614) vs. [#14] Thiago Moises (15-4-0, +429)

Last 3 Fights: Islam Makhachev (3-0-0)
2021-03-06: W vs. [#25LW] Drew Dober (23-11-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 1:37 of round 3
2019-09-07: W vs. [#90LW] Davi Ramos (10-4-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-04-20: W vs. [#29LW] Arman Tsarukyan (15-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Thiago Moises (3-0-0)
2021-02-27: W vs. [#26LW] Alexander Hernandez (12-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-10-31: W vs. [#33LW] Bobby Green (27-11-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-05-13: W vs. [#120LW] Michael Johnson (19-17-0) via Submission (Achilles Lock) in 0:25 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Islam Makhachev -614 81.98%
Elo K170 Islam Makhachev 2085.28 +193.56 70.77%
Elo Modified Islam Makhachev 2054.15 +171.21 67.91%
Glicko-1 Islam Makhachev 2112.19 +195.07 75.45%
WHR Islam Makhachev 2030.60 +244.86 75.38%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Islam Makhachev 133, Thiago Moises 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#20] Marion Reneau (9-7-1, +105) vs. [*] Miesha Tate (18-7-0, -129)
Miesha Tate is the All-Time #13 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Marion Reneau (0-3-0)
2021-03-20: L vs. [#8BW] Macy Chiasson (7-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-06-20: L vs. [#7BW] Raquel Pennington (11-8-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-03-09: L vs. [#9BW] Yana Kunitskaya (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Miesha Tate (1-2-0)
2016-11-12: L vs. [#7BW] Raquel Pennington (11-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2016-07-09: L vs. [#1BW/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (21-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:16 of round 1
2016-03-05: W vs. [#2BW/#6DD] Holly Holm (14-5-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:30 of round 5

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Miesha Tate -129 53.59%
Elo K170 Miesha Tate 1559.88 +312.23 80.63%
Elo Modified Miesha Tate 1576.52 +273.00 76.76%
Glicko-1 Miesha Tate 1567.31 +257.31 81.47%
WHR Miesha Tate 1573.26 +221.00 73.30%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marion Reneau 119, Miesha Tate 1708
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Miesha Tate leads 2-1
.

Lightweight (155)
[#15] Mateusz Gamrot (18-1-0, -240) vs. [#62] Jeremy Stephens (28-18-0, +191)

Last 3 Fights: Mateusz Gamrot (2-1-0)
2021-04-10: W vs. [#41LW] Scott Holtzman (14-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 2
2020-10-17: L vs. [#24LW] Guram Kutateladze (12-2-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-08-29: W vs. [#70LW] Marian Ziolkowski (23-8-1) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Jeremy Stephens (0-2-0, 1 NC)
2020-05-09: L vs. [#5FW] Calvin Kattar (22-5-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:42 of round 2
2019-10-18: L vs. [*] Yair Rodriguez (13-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-09-21: NC vs. [*] Yair Rodriguez (13-2-0)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mateusz Gamrot -240 67.26%
Elo K170 Mateusz Gamrot 1948.77 +263.21 76.90%
Elo Modified Mateusz Gamrot 1989.22 +286.87 77.83%
Glicko-1 Mateusz Gamrot 2057.38 +321.34 86.41%
WHR Mateusz Gamrot 2023.09 +345.07 82.87%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mateusz Gamrot 98, Jeremy Stephens 434
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#93] Rodolfo Vieira (7-1-0, -247) vs. [#102] Dustin Stoltzfus (13-2-0, +197)

Last 3 Fights: Rodolfo Vieira (2-1-0)
2021-02-13: L vs. [#68MW] Anthony Hernandez (8-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:53 of round 2
2020-03-07: W vs. [*] Saparbek Safarov (9-3-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:58 of round 1
2019-08-10: W vs. [#233MW] Oskar Piechota (11-4-1) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:26 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Stoltzfus (2-1-0)
2020-11-21: L vs. [#75MW] Kyle Daukaus (10-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-08-11: W vs. [#250MW] Joseph Pyfer (7-2-0) via TKO (Elbow Injury) in 4:21 of round 1
2019-11-09: W vs. [*] Nihad Nasufovic (9-5-0) via SUB in of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rodolfo Vieira -247 67.88%
Elo K170 Dustin Stoltzfus 1516.71 +22.14 52.53%
Elo Modified Rodolfo Vieira 1575.96 +20.86 52.28%
Glicko-1 Dustin Stoltzfus 1574.25 +33.80 54.85%
WHR Rodolfo Vieira 1494.41 +23.75 52.71%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rodolfo Vieira 154, Dustin Stoltzfus 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#71] Billy Quarantillo (15-3-0, +170) vs. [#109] Gabriel Benitez (22-8-0, -211)

Last 3 Fights: Billy Quarantillo (2-1-0)
2020-12-12: L vs. [#42FW] Gavin Tucker (13-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-09-12: W vs. [#181FW] Kyle Nelson (13-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:07 of round 3
2020-05-30: W vs. [#194WW] Spike Carlyle (11-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Gabriel Benitez (1-2-0)
2020-12-05: W vs. [#161FW] Justin Jaynes (16-8-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Elbows) in 4:06 of round 1
2020-05-13: L vs. [#69FW] Omar Morales (10-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-08-17: L vs. [#27FW] Sodiq Yusuff (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:14 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gabriel Benitez -211 64.68%
Elo K170 Billy Quarantillo 1645.96 +60.20 56.83%
Elo Modified Billy Quarantillo 1662.33 +69.06 57.50%
Glicko-1 Billy Quarantillo 1732.89 +91.92 62.93%
WHR Billy Quarantillo 1615.98 +57.37 56.52%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Billy Quarantillo 217, Gabriel Benitez 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#40] Daniel Rodriguez (14-2-0) vs. [#186] Preston Parsons (9-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Rodriguez (2-1-0)
2021-04-10: W vs. [#60WW] Mike Perry (14-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2020-11-21: L vs. [#50WW] Nicolas Dalby (19-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-08-22: W vs. [#100WW] Dwight Grant (11-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Preston Parsons (3-0-0)
2021-06-05: W vs. [#566WW] Jeff Peterson (10-10-0) via SUB in 2:55 of round 2
2020-12-12: W vs. [#407MW] Wesley Golden (10-18-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:42 of round 1
2019-07-20: W vs. [#360WW] Socrates Pierre (12-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:44 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Daniel Rodriguez 1741.24 +247.39 75.59%
Elo Modified Daniel Rodriguez 1761.02 +246.87 74.66%
Glicko-1 Daniel Rodriguez 1818.28 +281.40 83.48%
WHR Daniel Rodriguez 1723.37 +194.37 70.85%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Daniel Rodriguez 98, Preston Parsons 42
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Daniel Rodriguez leads 1-0
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#8] Amanda Lemos (9-1-1, -502) vs. [#38] Montserrat Ruiz (10-1-0, +362)

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Lemos (3-0-0)
2021-03-06: W vs. [#15SW] Livinha Souza (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:29 of round 1
2020-08-22: W vs. [#36SW] Mizuki Inoue (15-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-12-21: W vs. [#63SW] Miranda Granger (7-2-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:43 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Montserrat Ruiz (2-1-0)
2021-03-20: W vs. [#81SW] Cheyanne Buys (5-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)
2020-07-30: W vs. [#96SW] Janaisa Morandin (10-4-0) via Submission (Scarf Hold Armlock) in 3:28 of round 1
2018-12-15: L vs. [#31SW] Danielle Taylor (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Amanda Lemos -502 79.38%
Elo K170 Amanda Lemos 1616.39 +193.22 70.74%
Elo Modified Amanda Lemos 1632.89 +170.85 67.87%
Glicko-1 Amanda Lemos 1639.96 +213.95 77.41%
WHR Amanda Lemos 1605.30 +244.85 75.38%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Amanda Lemos 133, Montserrat Ruiz 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#93] Khalid Taha (14-3-0, -167) vs. [#112] Sergey Morozov (17-5-0, +136)

Last 3 Fights: Khalid Taha (2-1-0)
2020-11-07: L vs. [#24BW] Raoni Barcelos (16-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-10-05: W vs. [#49FLY] Bruno Silva (12-6-2) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:00 of round 3
2019-04-13: W vs. [#489LW] Boston Salmon (7-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:25 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Sergey Morozov (2-1-0)
2021-01-20: L vs. [#49BW] Umar Nurmagomedov (13-0-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:39 of round 2
2019-10-19: W vs. [*] Josh Rettinghouse (16-5-0) via UD ()
2019-06-28: W vs. [#296LW] Alexander Osetrov (8-2-1) via TKO in 1:40 of round 4

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Khalid Taha -167 59.61%
Elo K170 Sergey Morozov 1631.33 +34.28 53.91%
Elo Modified Sergey Morozov 1642.80 +35.86 53.92%
Glicko-1 Sergey Morozov 1646.04 +11.02 51.59%
WHR Sergey Morozov 1570.34 +40.32 54.59%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Khalid Taha 252, Sergey Morozov 178
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#110] Miles Johns (11-1-0, -180) vs. [#129] Anderson dos Santos (21-8-0, +148)

Last 3 Fights: Miles Johns (2-1-0)
2020-10-31: W vs. [#429BW] Kevin Natividad (9-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:51 of round 3
2020-02-08: L vs. [#96BW] Mario Bautista (8-2-0) via TKO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 1:41 of round 2
2019-09-14: W vs. [#177BW] Cole Smith (7-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Anderson dos Santos (1-2-0)
2020-11-28: W vs. [#715FW] Martin Day (9-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:35 of round 1
2019-06-22: L vs. [#64BW] Andre Ewell (17-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)
2018-11-17: L vs. [#145FW] Nad Narimani (12-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Miles Johns -180 61.45%
Elo K170 Miles Johns 1584.84 +127.46 64.16%
Elo Modified Miles Johns 1564.75 +86.91 59.40%
Glicko-1 Miles Johns 1515.13 +18.77 52.70%
WHR Miles Johns 1471.00 +10.28 51.17%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Miles Johns 259, Anderson dos Santos 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#58] Francisco Figueiredo (12-3-1, -312) vs. [#79] Malcolm Gordon (12-5-0, +245)

Last 3 Fights: Francisco Figueiredo (2-0-1)
2021-01-20: W vs. [#89FLY] Jerome Rivera (10-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-09-28: D vs. [*] Eduardo de Souza Silva (14-4-1) via Draw (Unanimous) in 5:00 of round 3
2018-04-28: W vs. [#390BW] Manoel Moreira dos Santos (9-4-0) via TKO in ? of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Malcolm Gordon (1-2-0)
2020-11-28: L vs. [#21FLY] Su Mudaerji (14-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:44 of round 1
2020-07-18: L vs. [#17FLY] Amir Albazi (14-1-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:42 of round 1
2019-04-11: W vs. [*] Yoni Sherbatov (8-2-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:32 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Francisco Figueiredo -312 72.31%
Elo K170 Francisco Figueiredo 1521.31 +191.62 70.59%
Elo Modified Francisco Figueiredo 1550.56 +166.15 67.42%
Glicko-1 Francisco Figueiredo 1587.74 +227.82 78.78%
WHR Francisco Figueiredo 1527.63 +195.91 70.99%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Francisco Figueiredo 178, Malcolm Gordon 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#120] Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira (8-1-0, -324) vs. [#201] Alan Baudot (8-2-0, +255)

Last 3 Fights: Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira (2-1-0)
2020-10-10: L vs. [#13HW+] Chris Daukaus (11-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 1
2020-05-16: W vs. [#121HW+] Dontale Mayes (8-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:05 of round 2
2019-07-30: W vs. [#83HW+] Michal Martinek (9-2-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:16 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Alan Baudot (2-1-0)
2020-10-10: L vs. [#31HW+] Tom Aspinall (10-2-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:35 of round 1
2019-04-11: W vs. [#169LHW] Todd Stoute (11-6-0) via DQ (Overturned by Promoter) in 3:54 of round 3
2018-05-06: W vs. [NA] Yuto Nakajima (0-5-0) via TKO in 4:16 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira -324 73.06%
Elo K170 Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira 1404.92 +72.92 58.25%
Elo Modified Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira 1479.77 +148.53 65.71%
Glicko-1 Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira 1478.57 +166.15 72.24%
WHR Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira 1536.16 +234.21 74.46%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira 280, Alan Baudot 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Islam Makhachev
Highest Stored DD Rating: Islam Makhachev
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Islam Makhachev vs. Thiago Moises
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Islam Makhachev vs. Thiago Moises
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2021-7-11

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