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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs Sakai (06-05-2021)

Posted on May 31, 2021 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#7] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (11-2-0, -121) vs. [#17] Augusto Sakai (15-2-1, -102)

Last 3 Fights: Jairzinho Rozenstruik (1-2-0)
2021-02-27: L vs. [#4HW+] Ciryl Gane (8-0-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2020-08-15: W vs. [#9HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:47 of round 2
2020-05-09: L vs. [#1HW+/#2DD/#3P4P] Francis Ngannou (16-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:20 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Augusto Sakai (2-1-0)
2020-09-05: L vs. [#8HW+] Alistair Overeem (47-19-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 0:26 of round 5
2020-05-30: W vs. [#18HW+] Blagoy Ivanov (18-4-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-09-14: W vs. [#11HW+] Marcin Tybura (21-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:59 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jairzinho Rozenstruik -121 52.01%
Elo K170 Augusto Sakai 1788.95 +3.91 50.45%
Elo Modified Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1809.89 +45.82 55.00%
Glicko-1 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1879.67 +88.58 62.48%
WHR Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1791.77 +73.72 58.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jairzinho Rozenstruik 98, Augusto Sakai 273
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jairzinho Rozenstruik leads 2-1
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#11] Marcin Tybura (21-6-0, -169) vs. [#22] Walt Harris (13-9-0, +139)

Last 3 Fights: Marcin Tybura (3-0-0)
2020-12-19: W vs. [#38HW+] Greg Hardy (7-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:31 of round 2
2020-10-10: W vs. [#24HW+] Ben Rothwell (39-13-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#36LHW] Maxim Grishin (31-9-2) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Walt Harris (1-2-0)
2020-10-24: L vs. [#6HW+] Alexander Volkov (33-8-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:15 of round 2
2020-05-16: L vs. [#8HW+] Alistair Overeem (47-19-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:00 of round 2
2019-07-20: W vs. [#20HW+] Alexey Oleynik (59-15-1) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 0:12 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Marcin Tybura -169 60.02%
Elo K170 Marcin Tybura 1897.38 +270.39 77.48%
Elo Modified Marcin Tybura 1906.46 +205.12 71.05%
Glicko-1 Marcin Tybura 1934.68 +185.25 74.39%
WHR Marcin Tybura 1789.80 +118.18 63.18%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marcin Tybura 168, Walt Harris 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#26] Muslim Salikhov (17-2-0, -259) vs. [#14LW] Francisco Trinaldo (26-7-0, +208)

Last 3 Fights: Muslim Salikhov (3-0-0)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#31WW] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (22-7-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-10-26: W vs. [#91WW] Laureano Staropoli (9-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-28)
2019-09-07: W vs. [*] Nordine Taleb (15-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:26 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Francisco Trinaldo (3-0-0)
2020-07-25: W vs. [#83LW] Jai Herbert (10-2-0) via TKO (Punch) in 1:30 of round 3
2020-03-14: W vs. [#64LW] John Makdessi (18-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-11-16: W vs. [#29LW] Bobby Green (27-11-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Muslim Salikhov -259 68.96%
Elo K170 Francisco Trinaldo 1941.75 +24.38 52.78%
Elo Modified Francisco Trinaldo 1920.68 +65.35 57.10%
Glicko-1 Francisco Trinaldo 1983.46 +95.07 63.35%
WHR Francisco Trinaldo 1821.31 +39.02 54.45%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Muslim Salikhov 329, Francisco Trinaldo 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#45] Tom Breese (12-3-0, -244) vs. [#165] Antonio Arroyo (9-4-0, +194)

Last 3 Fights: Tom Breese (1-2-0)
2021-01-20: L vs. [#17MW] Omari Akhmedov (21-5-1) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 1:41 of round 2
2020-10-10: W vs. [#151MW] K.B. Bhullar (8-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:42 of round 1
2020-02-29: L vs. [#30MW] Brendan Allen (16-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:47 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Antonio Arroyo (1-2-0)
2020-12-19: L vs. [#82MW] Deron Winn (7-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-11-16: L vs. [#15MW] Andre Muniz (21-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-07-16: W vs. [*] Stephen Regman (9-5-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:31 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tom Breese -244 67.59%
Elo K170 Tom Breese 1655.52 +304.81 80.10%
Elo Modified Tom Breese 1705.56 +285.59 77.73%
Glicko-1 Tom Breese 1742.83 +302.04 85.05%
WHR Tom Breese 1647.02 +258.20 76.49%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tom Breese 136, Antonio Arroyo 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#34] Miguel Baeza (10-0-0, -127) vs. [#39] Santiago Ponzinibbio (27-4-0, +103)

Last 3 Fights: Miguel Baeza (3-0-0)
2020-11-28: W vs. [#77WW] Takashi Sato (16-4-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:28 of round 2
2020-05-16: W vs. [#73WW] Matt Brown (22-18-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:18 of round 2
2019-10-12: W vs. [*] Hector Aldana (4-3-0) via TKO (Leg Kick and Elbows) in 2:32 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Santiago Ponzinibbio (2-1-0)
2021-01-16: L vs. [#15WW] Jingliang Li (18-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:25 of round 1
2018-11-17: W vs. [#9WW] Neil Magny (25-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:36 of round 4
2017-12-16: W vs. [#57WW] Mike Perry (14-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Miguel Baeza -127 53.17%
Elo K170 Santiago Ponzinibbio 1980.94 +225.07 73.66%
Elo Modified Santiago Ponzinibbio 1975.17 +240.68 74.15%
Glicko-1 Santiago Ponzinibbio 2002.63 +225.87 78.59%
WHR Santiago Ponzinibbio 1834.24 +168.37 68.33%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Miguel Baeza 189, Santiago Ponzinibbio 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#91WW] Laureano Staropoli (9-3-0, +118) vs. [#113] Roman Dolidze (8-1-0, -145)

Last 3 Fights: Laureano Staropoli (1-2-0)
2020-08-08: L vs. [#27WW] Tim Means (31-12-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-10-26: L vs. [#26WW] Muslim Salikhov (17-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-28)
2019-05-11: W vs. [*] Thiago Alves (23-15-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Roman Dolidze (2-1-0)
2021-03-20: L vs. [#32MW] Trevin Giles (14-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-12-05: W vs. [#75LHW] John Allan (14-6-0) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 28-29)
2020-07-18: W vs. [#76LHW] Khadis Ibragimov (8-4-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 4:15 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Roman Dolidze -145 56.33%
Elo K170 Roman Dolidze 1533.67 +89.25 60.06%
Elo Modified Roman Dolidze 1536.30 +64.54 57.02%
Glicko-1 Roman Dolidze 1540.68 +41.94 56.01%
WHR Roman Dolidze 1505.25 +41.17 54.69%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Laureano Staropoli 301, Roman Dolidze 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#90] Dusko Todorovic (10-1-0, -166) vs. [#97] Gregory Rodrigues (9-3-0, +136)

Last 3 Fights: Dusko Todorovic (2-1-0)
2021-01-16: L vs. [#47MW] Punahele Soriano (8-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:48 of round 1
2020-10-03: W vs. [#203MW] Dequan Townsend (22-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 2
2019-08-27: W vs. [*] Teddy Ash (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Gregory Rodrigues (2-1-0)
2021-05-21: W vs. [#153MW] Josh Fremd (7-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:20 of round 1
2021-03-19: W vs. [#292MW] Al Matavao (9-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:02 of round 2
2020-09-15: L vs. [#152MW] Jordan Williams (9-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:19 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dusko Todorovic -166 59.56%
Elo K170 Dusko Todorovic 1556.39 +30.36 53.46%
Elo Modified Dusko Todorovic 1611.43 +43.30 54.73%
Glicko-1 Dusko Todorovic 1605.17 +23.77 53.42%
WHR Dusko Todorovic 1579.06 +54.08 56.15%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dusko Todorovic 140, Gregory Rodrigues 15
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#19] Manon Fiorot (6-1-0, -167) vs. [#20] Maryna Moroz (10-3-0, +137)

Last 3 Fights: Manon Fiorot (3-0-0)
2021-01-20: W vs. [#54FLY] Victoria Leonardo (8-3-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 4:08 of round 2
2020-11-27: W vs. [#93FLY] Gabriela Campos (6-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:48 of round 1
2020-09-25: W vs. [#118FLY] Naomi Tataroglu (1-2-0) via TKO in 3:00 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Maryna Moroz (2-1-0)
2020-03-14: W vs. [#29FLY] Mayra Bueno Silva (7-1-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-03-30: W vs. [#21BW] Sabina Mazo (9-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-02-24: L vs. [#12SW] Angela Hill (13-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Manon Fiorot -167 59.71%
Elo K170 Maryna Moroz 1535.33 +72.99 58.26%
Elo Modified Maryna Moroz 1563.42 +43.00 54.69%
Glicko-1 Manon Fiorot 1522.02 +18.11 52.60%
WHR Maryna Moroz 1472.74 +26.73 53.05%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manon Fiorot 136, Maryna Moroz 448
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#34] Tanner Boser (19-7-1, -201) vs. [*] Ilir Latifi (14-8-0, +164)

Last 3 Fights: Tanner Boser (2-1-0)
2020-11-07: L vs. [#31HW+] Andrei Arlovski (31-20-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-07-25: W vs. [#73HW+] Raphael Pessoa (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:36 of round 2
2020-06-27: W vs. [#41HW+] Philipe Lins (14-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:41 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ilir Latifi (0-3-0)
2020-02-08: L vs. [#3HW+] Derrick Lewis (25-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-08-10: L vs. [#14LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (17-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:31 of round 2
2018-12-29: L vs. [#10LHW] Corey Anderson (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tanner Boser -201 63.80%
Elo K170 Ilir Latifi 1667.51 +114.09 62.74%
Elo Modified Ilir Latifi 1695.27 +69.99 57.60%
Glicko-1 Ilir Latifi 1736.17 +80.97 61.45%
WHR Ilir Latifi 1688.33 +86.13 59.71%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tanner Boser 210, Ilir Latifi 483
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#153] Sean Woodson (7-1-0, -188) vs. [#163] Youssef Zalal (10-4-0, +155)

Last 3 Fights: Sean Woodson (2-1-0)
2020-06-27: L vs. [#31FW] Julian Erosa (25-8-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:44 of round 3
2019-10-18: W vs. [#155FW] Kyle Bochniak (9-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2019-07-23: W vs. [#230LW] Terrance McKinney (9-3-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 1:49 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Youssef Zalal (1-2-0)
2021-02-06: L vs. [#138FW] Seung Woo Choi (9-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-10-10: L vs. [#23FW] Ilia Topuria (10-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-08-08: W vs. [#418FW] Peter Barrett (11-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sean Woodson -188 62.46%
Elo K170 Sean Woodson 1413.12 +63.60 57.21%
Elo Modified Sean Woodson 1480.94 +66.13 57.19%
Glicko-1 Sean Woodson 1444.04 +24.52 53.52%
WHR Sean Woodson 1427.66 +0.65 50.08%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sean Woodson 343, Youssef Zalal 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#104] Mason Jones (10-1-0, -302) vs. [#180] Alan Patrick (15-3-0, +236)

Last 3 Fights: Mason Jones (2-1-0)
2021-01-20: L vs. [#99LW] Mike Davis (9-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-09-26: W vs. [#175WW] Adam Proctor (12-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:31 of round 1
2020-03-20: W vs. [#290LW] Joe McColgan (7-3-1) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 4:14 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Alan Patrick (1-2-0)
2020-09-12: L vs. [#29LW] Bobby Green (27-11-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-10-06: L vs. [#36LW] Scott Holtzman (14-5-0) via KO (Elbows) in 3:42 of round 3
2018-02-03: W vs. [#101LW] Damir Hadzovic (13-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mason Jones -302 71.62%
Elo K170 Alan Patrick 1611.45 +24.92 52.84%
Elo Modified Alan Patrick 1635.75 +7.55 50.83%
Glicko-1 Alan Patrick 1633.70 +3.72 50.54%
WHR Mason Jones 1610.11 +66.38 57.52%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mason Jones 136, Alan Patrick 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#35] Montana De La Rosa (10-6-1, -259) vs. [#36] Ariane Lipski (13-6-0, +206)

Last 3 Fights: Montana De La Rosa (1-1-1)
2021-02-27: D vs. [#29FLY] Mayra Bueno Silva (7-1-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2020-09-05: L vs. [#10FLY] Viviane Araujo (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-02-15: W vs. [#67FLY] Mara Romero Borella (12-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Ariane Lipski (2-1-0)
2020-11-21: L vs. [#21FLY] Antonina Shevchenko (9-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:33 of round 2
2020-07-18: W vs. [#49FLY] Luana Carolina (7-2-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 1:28 of round 1
2019-11-16: W vs. [*] Isabela de Padua (5-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Montana De La Rosa -259 68.82%
Elo K170 Ariane Lipski 1388.87 +32.56 53.71%
Elo Modified Ariane Lipski 1438.77 +67.02 57.28%
Glicko-1 Ariane Lipski 1441.35 +86.26 62.17%
WHR Ariane Lipski 1376.83 +65.42 57.42%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Montana De La Rosa 98, Ariane Lipski 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#191] Jordan Leavitt (8-0-0, -201) vs. [*] Claudio Puelles (9-3-0, +164)

Last 3 Fights: Jordan Leavitt (3-0-0)
2020-12-05: W vs. [*] Matt Wiman (16-10-0) via KO (Slam) in 0:22 of round 1
2020-08-04: W vs. [#660LW] Jose Flores (9-2-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:15 of round 1
2020-07-17: W vs. [#781LW] Leivon Lewis (4-1-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 2:01 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Claudio Puelles (2-1-0)
2019-09-21: W vs. [#705LW] Marcos Mariano (7-6-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-25)
2018-05-19: W vs. [#490LW] Felipe Silva (9-5-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 2:23 of round 3
2016-11-05: L vs. [*] Martin Bravo (11-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:55 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jordan Leavitt -201 63.80%
Elo K170 Claudio Puelles 1593.78 +9.00 51.03%
Elo Modified Jordan Leavitt 1660.18 +61.99 56.74%
Glicko-1 Jordan Leavitt 1638.97 +24.26 53.48%
WHR Claudio Puelles 1537.30 +18.10 52.07%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jordan Leavitt 182, Claudio Puelles 623
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#41] Makwan Amirkhani (16-5-0, -292) vs. [#144] Kamuela Kirk (11-4-0, +240)

Last 3 Fights: Makwan Amirkhani (1-2-0)
2020-10-10: L vs. [#8FW] Edson Barboza (22-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 29-28)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#263FW] Danny Henry (12-4-0) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 3:15 of round 1
2019-11-02: L vs. [#18FW] Shane Burgos (13-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Kamuela Kirk (2-1-0)
2021-05-14: W vs. [#326FW] Daniel Swain (20-11-1) via TKO (Retirement) in 5:00 of round 2
2021-01-15: W vs. [#775FW] Guilherme Santos (8-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:25 of round 1
2020-07-10: L vs. [#145FW] Bruno Souza (10-1-0) via SD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Makwan Amirkhani -292 71.69%
Elo K170 Makwan Amirkhani 1656.91 +203.87 71.74%
Elo Modified Makwan Amirkhani 1678.26 +153.12 66.16%
Glicko-1 Makwan Amirkhani 1721.39 +159.11 71.42%
WHR Makwan Amirkhani 1604.94 +106.13 61.89%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Makwan Amirkhani 238, Kamuela Kirk 22
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Highest Stored DD Rating: Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs. Augusto Sakai
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs. Augusto Sakai
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Outstanding [****½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2021-5-30

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