Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night 184: Overeem vs. Volkov (2021-02-06)

Feb 1, 2021
Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#6] Alistair Overeem (47-18-0, +151) vs. [#8] Alexander Volkov (32-8-0, -183)
Alistair Overeem is the All-Time #14 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Alexander Volkov is the All-Time #39 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alistair Overeem (2-1-0)
2020-09-05: W vs. [#17HW+] Augusto Sakai (15-2-1) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 0:26 of round 5
2020-05-16: W vs. [#22HW+] Walt Harris (13-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:00 of round 2
2019-12-07: L vs. [#5HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (11-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:56 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkov (2-1-0)
2020-10-24: W vs. [#22HW+] Walt Harris (13-9-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:15 of round 2
2020-06-20: L vs. [#3HW+] Curtis Blaydes (14-2-0) via UD (48-47, 48-46, 49-46)
2019-11-09: W vs. [#42HW+] Greg Hardy (7-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexander Volkov -183 61.87%
Elo K170 Alistair Overeem 1972.62 +40.94 54.66%
Elo Modified Alistair Overeem 1979.81 +22.01 52.41%
Glicko-1 Alistair Overeem 2059.20 +18.12 52.61%
WHR Alistair Overeem 1914.56 +37.36 54.26%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alistair Overeem 154, Alexander Volkov 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alistair Overeem leads 6-5
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#2] Cory Sandhagen (13-2-0, -435) vs. [#5] Frankie Edgar (24-8-1, +325)
Cory Sandhagen is the All-Time #42 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Frankie Edgar is the All-Time #16 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cory Sandhagen (2-1-0)
2020-10-10: W vs. [#7BW] Marlon Moraes (23-8-1) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 1:03 of round 2
2020-06-06: L vs. [#3BW] Aljamain Sterling (19-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:28 of round 1
2019-08-17: W vs. [#22BW] Raphael Assuncao (27-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Frankie Edgar (1-2-0)
2020-08-22: W vs. [#9BW] Pedro Munhoz (18-5-0) via SD (48-47, 46-49, 48-47)
2019-12-21: L vs. [#9FW] Chan Sung Jung (16-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:18 of round 1
2019-07-27: L vs. [#2FW/#6DD] Max Holloway (22-6-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 48-47)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Cory Sandhagen -435 77.55%
Elo K170 Cory Sandhagen 2038.31 +42.04 54.79%
Elo Modified Cory Sandhagen 1964.70 +33.49 53.66%
Glicko-1 Cory Sandhagen 2024.71 +64.21 59.14%
WHR Frankie Edgar 1831.61 +4.19 50.48%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cory Sandhagen 119, Frankie Edgar 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#10] Macy Chiasson (6-1-0, -218) vs. [#19] Marion Reneau (9-6-1, +173)

Last 3 Fights: Macy Chiasson (2-1-0)
2020-02-15: W vs. [#44BW] Shanna Young (7-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-09-28: L vs. [#14BW] Lina Lansberg (10-5-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-27)
2019-05-04: W vs. [#32BW] Sarah Moras (6-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:22 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Marion Reneau (0-3-0)
2020-06-20: L vs. [#4BW] Raquel Pennington (11-8-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-03-09: L vs. [#9BW] Yana Kunitskaya (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-07-14: L vs. [#8FW] Cat Zingano (11-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Macy Chiasson -218 65.17%
Elo K170 Macy Chiasson 1474.88 +183.33 69.79%
Elo Modified Macy Chiasson 1595.01 +263.65 76.03%
Glicko-1 Macy Chiasson 1507.61 +150.28 70.37%
WHR Macy Chiasson 1487.64 +115.38 62.88%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Macy Chiasson 357, Marion Reneau 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#6] Manel Kape (15-4-0, +114) vs. [#7] Alexandre Pantoja (22-5-0, -140)
Alexandre Pantoja is the All-Time #17 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Manel Kape (3-0-0)
2019-12-31: W vs. [#28BW] Kai Asakura (17-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:38 of round 2
2019-08-18: W vs. [*] Takeya Mizugaki (23-14-2) via KO (Punch) in 1:36 of round 2
2019-04-21: W vs. [#728BW] Seiichiro Ito (11-4-2) via TKO (Punch to the Body) in 3:59 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Alexandre Pantoja (1-2-0)
2020-07-18: L vs. [#4FLY] Askar Askarov (13-0-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-12-21: W vs. [#13FLY] Matt Schnell (15-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:17 of round 1
2019-07-27: L vs. [#1FLY/#4DD/#6P4P] Deiveson Figueiredo (20-1-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexandre Pantoja -140 55.52%
Elo K170 Alexandre Pantoja 1734.36 +3.45 50.39%
Elo Modified Manel Kape 1738.91 +27.73 53.03%
Glicko-1 Manel Kape 1791.14 +17.53 52.52%
WHR Alexandre Pantoja 1767.66 +53.27 56.05%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manel Kape 403, Alexandre Pantoja 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alexandre Pantoja leads 1-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#17] Cody Stamann (19-3-1, -311) vs. [#51] Andre Ewell (17-6-0, +242)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Stamann (1-1-1)
2020-07-15: L vs. [#10BW] Jimmie Rivera (23-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-06-06: W vs. [#47FW] Brian Kelleher (22-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-12-07: D vs. [#16BW] Yadong Song (16-4-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Andre Ewell (2-1-0)
2020-09-19: W vs. [#122BW] Irwin Rivera (10-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-02-08: W vs. [#56BW] Jonathan Martinez (13-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2019-10-12: L vs. [#15BW] Marlon Vera (17-7-1) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 3:17 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Cody Stamann -311 72.12%
Elo K170 Cody Stamann 1788.88 +122.23 63.61%
Elo Modified Cody Stamann 1754.95 +206.24 71.15%
Glicko-1 Cody Stamann 1778.03 +242.64 80.17%
WHR Cody Stamann 1673.45 +236.18 74.63%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cody Stamann 206, Andre Ewell 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#7] Diego Ferreira (17-2-0, -126) vs. [#10] Beneil Dariush (19-4-1, +101)
Beneil Dariush is the All-Time #50 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Diego Ferreira (3-0-0)
2020-01-18: W vs. [#12WW] Anthony Pettis (24-10-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:46 of round 2
2019-09-07: W vs. [*] Mairbek Taisumov (27-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-27, 29-27)
2019-02-23: W vs. [*] Rustam Khabilov (24-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Beneil Dariush (3-0-0)
2020-08-08: W vs. [#30LW] Scott Holtzman (14-4-0) via KO (Spinning Backfist) in 4:38 of round 1
2020-03-07: W vs. [#38LW] Drakkar Klose (11-2-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:00 of round 2
2019-10-26: W vs. [#178LW] Frank Camacho (23-9-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:02 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Diego Ferreira -126 52.84%
Elo K170 Diego Ferreira 2095.47 +79.03 58.93%
Elo Modified Diego Ferreira 2075.77 +72.52 57.87%
Glicko-1 Diego Ferreira 2122.01 +68.37 59.72%
WHR Diego Ferreira 2045.96 +108.41 62.14%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Diego Ferreira 385, Beneil Dariush 182
Previous Match-up Record: Beneil Dariush leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Diego Ferreira leads 1-0
.

Lightweight (155)
[#61] Clay Guida (35-20-0, +175) vs. [#83] Michael Johnson (19-16-0, -220)
Clay Guida is the All-Time #32 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Michael Johnson is the All-Time #46 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Clay Guida (1-2-0)
2020-06-20: L vs. [#29LW] Bobby Green (27-11-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-08-03: L vs. [#39LW] Jim Miller (32-15-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:58 of round 1
2019-05-11: W vs. [*] B.J. Penn (16-14-2) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Johnson (0-3-0)
2020-05-13: L vs. [#24LW] Thiago Moises (14-4-0) via Submission (Achilles Lock) in 0:25 of round 2
2019-10-26: L vs. [*] Stevie Ray (23-9-0) via MD (28-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-03-30: L vs. [#5FW] Josh Emmett (16-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:14 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Michael Johnson -220 65.40%
Elo K170 Michael Johnson 1555.15 +6.73 50.77%
Elo Modified Clay Guida 1565.56 +2.56 50.28%
Glicko-1 Clay Guida 1579.98 +3.26 50.47%
WHR Michael Johnson 1560.99 +14.45 51.65%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Clay Guida 231, Michael Johnson 269
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Clay Guida leads 2-1
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#78] Danilo Marques (10-2-0, +190) vs. [#79] Mike Rodriguez (11-6-0, -238)

Last 3 Fights: Danilo Marques (3-0-0)
2020-09-26: W vs. [#84LHW] Khadis Ibragimov (8-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-02-18: W vs. [*] Cleiton Caetano (5-5-1) via UD ()
2017-07-08: W vs. [NA] Marck Polimeno (0-21-0) via Submission (Armbar) in of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Mike Rodriguez (1-2-0)
2020-09-12: L vs. [#32LHW] Ed Herman (26-14-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 4:01 of round 3
2020-08-22: W vs. [#59LHW] Marcin Prachnio (14-5-0) via KO (Elbow and Punches) in 2:17 of round 1
2019-12-21: L vs. [#46LHW] Da Un Jung (13-2-1) via KO (Punches) in 1:04 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mike Rodriguez -238 67.12%
Elo K170 Mike Rodriguez 1402.25 +95.12 60.69%
Elo Modified Mike Rodriguez 1436.94 +55.27 56.02%
Glicko-1 Mike Rodriguez 1456.78 +91.95 62.93%
WHR Mike Rodriguez 1384.64 +10.26 51.17%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Danilo Marques 133, Mike Rodriguez 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#46] Timur Valiev (16-3-0) vs. [#538] Martin Day (9-5-0)

Last 3 Fights: Timur Valiev (2-1-0)
2020-08-22: L vs. [#29BW] Trevin Jones (13-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:59 of round 2
2019-12-13: W vs. [#152FW] Taigro Costa (17-6-0) via UD ()
2019-07-13: W vs. [*] Giovanni da Silva Santos (19-3-0) via TKO in 3:58 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Martin Day (0-3-0)
2020-11-28: L vs. [#127BW] Anderson dos Santos (21-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:35 of round 1
2020-07-11: L vs. [#196BW] Davey Grant (12-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:38 of round 3
2018-11-24: L vs. [#153BW] Pingyuan Liu (15-6-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Timur Valiev 1725.05 +528.03 91.78%
Elo Modified Timur Valiev 1752.28 +526.02 90.91%
Glicko-1 Timur Valiev 1759.12 +576.00 96.50%
WHR Timur Valiev 1709.38 +551.55 92.55%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Timur Valiev 168, Martin Day 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[*] Devonte Smith (10-2-0) vs. TBA/Unknown (N/A)

Last 3 Fights: Devonte Smith (2-1-0)
2019-08-17: L vs. [#69LW] Khama Worthy (16-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:15 of round 1
2019-02-09: W vs. [#383LW] Dong Hyun Ma (17-11-3) via TKO (Punches) in 3:53 of round 1
2018-11-10: W vs. [#86FW] Julian Erosa (24-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:46 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Devonte Smith 539, TBA/Unknown 7
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#15] Karol Rosa (13-3-0, -204) vs. [#23] Joselyne Edwards (10-2-0, +169)

Last 3 Fights: Karol Rosa (3-0-0)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#24BW] Vanessa Melo (11-8-0) via UD (30-26, 29-27, 30-26)
2019-08-31: W vs. [*] Lara Fritzen Procopio (6-1-0) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 28-29)
2019-04-19: W vs. [*] Gisele Moreira (9-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Joselyne Edwards (2-1-0)
2021-01-16: W vs. [#61BW] Yanan Wu (10-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-07-03: W vs. [NA] Pamela Gonzalez (2-5-0) via TKO in 0:28 of round 1
2018-11-30: L vs. [#33BW] Sarah Alpar (9-5-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Karol Rosa -204 64.35%
Elo K170 Karol Rosa 1499.62 +138.82 65.34%
Elo Modified Karol Rosa 1469.73 +45.19 54.93%
Glicko-1 Karol Rosa 1464.90 +2.96 50.43%
WHR Karol Rosa 1466.56 +50.39 55.73%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Karol Rosa 210, Joselyne Edwards 21
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#33] Molly McCann (10-3-0, -168) vs. [*] Lara Fritzen Procopio (6-1-0, +138)

Last 3 Fights: Molly McCann (2-1-0)
2020-07-15: L vs. [#11FLY] Taila Santos (17-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-10-18: W vs. [#115FLY] Diana Belbita (13-6-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-25)
2019-06-22: W vs. [#29FLY] Ariane Lipski (13-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Lara Fritzen Procopio (2-1-0)
2019-08-31: L vs. [#15BW] Karol Rosa (13-3-0) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 28-29)
2018-08-24: W vs. [#40BW] Sidy Rocha (12-8-2) via UD ()
2018-03-17: W vs. [#12FW] Mariana Morais (16-10-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Molly McCann -168 59.87%
Elo K170 Molly McCann 1401.33 +95.59 60.75%
Elo Modified Molly McCann 1424.88 +20.74 52.27%
Glicko-1 Molly McCann 1432.24 +25.69 53.69%
WHR Lara Fritzen Procopio 1407.14 +43.71 54.98%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Molly McCann 206, Lara Fritzen Procopio 525
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#124] Youssef Zalal (10-3-0, -242) vs. [#260] Seung Woo Choi (8-3-0, +190)

Last 3 Fights: Youssef Zalal (2-1-0)
2020-10-10: L vs. [#25FW] Ilia Topuria (10-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-08-08: W vs. [#437FW] Peter Barrett (11-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2020-06-27: W vs. [#125FW] Jordan Griffin (18-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Seung Woo Choi (1-2-0)
2019-12-21: W vs. [#1022FW] Suman Mokhtarian (8-2-0) via UD (29-26, 29-26, 29-25)
2019-07-27: L vs. [#34FW] Gavin Tucker (13-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:17 of round 3
2019-04-20: L vs. [#37LW] Movsar Evloev (14-0-0) via UD (29-27, 29-26, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Youssef Zalal -242 67.23%
Elo K170 Youssef Zalal 1447.12 +52.05 55.92%
Elo Modified Youssef Zalal 1533.95 +118.94 62.73%
Glicko-1 Youssef Zalal 1527.99 +126.49 67.44%
WHR Youssef Zalal 1485.35 +68.25 57.73%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Youssef Zalal 119, Seung Woo Choi 413
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#188] Denys Bondar (14-2-0, -175) vs. [#237] Ode Osbourne (8-3-0, +146)

Last 3 Fights: Denys Bondar (3-0-0)
2020-08-23: W vs. [#784BW] Kenan Jafarli (20-13-0) via SUB in 4:17 of round 1
2019-12-22: W vs. [#640FLY] Lev Ambarcumian (6-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:20 of round 3
2019-12-22: W vs. [#583FLY] Ghenadie Gitlan (3-2-1) via TKO in 1:45 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ode Osbourne (2-1-0)
2020-01-18: L vs. [#47FW] Brian Kelleher (22-11-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:49 of round 1
2019-07-16: W vs. [*] Armando Villarreal (5-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:39 of round 1
2019-01-19: W vs. [*] Kelly Offield (3-2-0) via SUB in 4:07 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Denys Bondar -175 61.02%
Elo K170 Denys Bondar 1472.43 +167.85 68.28%
Elo Modified Denys Bondar 1481.97 +151.15 65.96%
Glicko-1 Denys Bondar 1561.51 +249.74 80.81%
WHR Denys Bondar 1518.51 +238.42 74.82%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Denys Bondar 167, Ode Osbourne 385
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Alistair Overeem
Highest Stored DD Rating: Cory Sandhagen
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Alistair Overeem vs. Alexander Volkov
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Cory Sandhagen vs. Frankie Edgar
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Large [***½]
Run Date: 2021-2-2

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