Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori (2020-12-05)

3 Dec , 2020,
Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#4] Jack Hermansson (21-5-0) vs. [#22] Marvin Vettori (14-4-1)
Jack Hermansson is the All-Time #42 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jack Hermansson (2-1-0)
2020-07-18: W vs. [#10MW] Kelvin Gastelum (15-6-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 1:18 of round 1
2019-09-28: L vs. [#8MW] Jared Cannonier (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:27 of round 2
2019-04-27: W vs. [#9MW] Ronaldo Souza (26-8-0) via UD (49-45, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Marvin Vettori (3-0-0)
2020-06-13: W vs. [#49MW] Karl Roberson (9-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 1
2019-10-12: W vs. [#46MW] Andrew Sanchez (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-07-13: W vs. [*] Cezar Ferreira (13-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Jack Hermansson 2032.91 +177.75 69.26%
Elo Modified Jack Hermansson 2041.13 +152.75 66.12%
Glicko-1 Jack Hermansson 2131.19 +195.94 75.55%
WHR Jack Hermansson 1935.76 +45.09 55.13%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Hermansson 140, Marvin Vettori 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Marvin Vettori leads 1-0
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#21] Ovince St. Preux (25-14-0, +147) vs. [#33] Jamahal Hill (8-0-0, -177)
Ovince St. Preux is the All-Time #45 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ovince St. Preux (2-1-0)
2020-09-05: W vs. [#64LHW] Alonzo Menifield (9-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:07 of round 2
2020-05-13: L vs. [#26HW+] Ben Rothwell (38-13-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#52LHW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (16-4-0) via Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 2:14 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jamahal Hill (3-0-0)
2020-05-30: W vs. [#44LHW] Klidson Abreu (15-5-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 1:51 of round 1
2020-01-25: W vs. [#102LHW] Darko Stosic (13-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-07-23: W vs. [*] Alexander Poppeck (9-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:29 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jamahal Hill -177 61.21%
Elo K170 Ovince St. Preux 1704.03 +70.27 57.96%
Elo Modified Ovince St. Preux 1777.82 +123.17 63.16%
Glicko-1 Ovince St. Preux 1865.52 +176.44 73.41%
WHR Ovince St. Preux 1747.99 +175.61 69.05%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ovince St. Preux 91, Jamahal Hill 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#19] Taila Santos (16-1-0, -215) vs. [#34] Montana De La Rosa (10-6-0, +174)

Last 3 Fights: Taila Santos (2-1-0)
2020-07-15: W vs. [#33FLY] Molly McCann (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-02-02: L vs. [#62FLY] Mara Romero Borella (12-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-08-11: W vs. [*] Estefani Almeida (8-2-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Montana De La Rosa (1-2-0)
2020-09-05: L vs. [#10FLY] Viviane Araujo (9-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-02-15: W vs. [#62FLY] Mara Romero Borella (12-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-06-22: L vs. [#22FLY] Andrea Lee (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Taila Santos -215 65.15%
Elo K170 Taila Santos 1513.09 +184.25 69.89%
Elo Modified Taila Santos 1557.92 +210.21 71.51%
Glicko-1 Taila Santos 1599.35 +266.37 82.25%
WHR Taila Santos 1518.89 +252.41 76.01%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Taila Santos 143, Montana De La Rosa 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Montana De La Rosa leads 1-0
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#66] Roman Dolidze (7-0-0, -159) vs. [*] John Allan Arte (14-5-0, +132)

Last 3 Fights: Roman Dolidze (3-0-0)
2020-07-18: W vs. [#88LHW] Khadis Ibragimov (8-4-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 4:15 of round 1
2018-12-15: W vs. [#140LHW] Michal Pasternak (14-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:00 of round 3
2018-06-16: W vs. [*] Eder de Souza (17-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:36 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: John Allan Arte (2-1-0)
2019-07-13: W vs. [#84LHW] Mike Rodriguez (11-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-06-28: W vs. [#274LHW] Alexandre Silva (7-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 01:33 of round 2
2018-08-11: L vs. [#142LHW] Vinicius Moreira Castro (9-4-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:40 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Roman Dolidze -159 58.75%
Elo K170 John Allan Arte 1552.48 +57.62 56.54%
Elo Modified John Allan Arte 1574.64 +11.34 51.24%
Glicko-1 John Allan Arte 1602.66 +26.73 53.84%
WHR Roman Dolidze 1531.61 +68.39 57.75%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roman Dolidze 140, John Allan Arte 511
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#27] Nate Landwehr (14-3-0, +402) vs. [#33] Movsar Evloev (13-0-0, -563)

Last 3 Fights: Nate Landwehr (2-1-0)
2020-05-16: W vs. [#38FW] Darren Elkins (25-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-01-25: L vs. [#52FW] Herbert Burns (11-3-0) via KO (Knee) in 2:43 of round 1
2019-06-28: W vs. [#101FW] Viktor Kolesnik (19-4-1) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Movsar Evloev (3-0-0)
2020-07-25: W vs. [#99FW] Mike Grundy (12-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-10-26: W vs. [#31BW] Enrique Barzola (17-5-2) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-04-20: W vs. [#258FW] Seung Woo Choi (9-3-0) via UD (29-27, 29-26, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Movsar Evloev -563 80.99%
Elo K170 Movsar Evloev 1896.10 +134.00 64.84%
Elo Modified Movsar Evloev 1888.55 +129.50 63.80%
Glicko-1 Movsar Evloev 1905.15 +121.47 66.80%
WHR Movsar Evloev 1822.65 +121.31 63.51%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nate Landwehr 203, Movsar Evloev 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#97] Gian Villante (17-12-0, -215) vs. [#182] Jake Collier (11-5-0, +174)

Last 3 Fights: Gian Villante (1-2-0)
2020-06-27: L vs. [#54HW+] Maurice Greene (9-5-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:44 of round 3
2019-02-23: L vs. [#52LHW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (16-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 1
2018-10-27: W vs. [#30LHW] Ed Herman (26-14-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jake Collier (1-2-0)
2020-07-25: L vs. [#96HW+] Tom Aspinall (9-2-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 0:45 of round 1
2017-11-11: W vs. [*] Marcel Fortuna (9-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2017-04-15: L vs. [#47LHW] Devin Clark (12-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gian Villante -215 65.15%
Elo K170 Gian Villante 1448.34 +48.01 55.46%
Elo Modified Gian Villante 1464.44 +24.87 52.72%
Glicko-1 Gian Villante 1443.02 +24.08 53.46%
WHR Gian Villante 1393.42 +43.34 54.93%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gian Villante 161, Jake Collier 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#275] Jordan Leavitt (7-0-0, -377) vs. [#489] Matt Wiman (16-9-0, +289)

Last 3 Fights: Jordan Leavitt (3-0-0)
2020-08-04: W vs. [#755LW] Jose Flores (9-2-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:15 of round 1
2020-07-17: W vs. [#942LW] Leivon Lewis (4-1-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 2:01 of round 2
2020-02-22: W vs. [#849LW] Isaiah William (4-3-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Matt Wiman (1-2-0)
2019-12-07: L vs. [#105LW] Joe Solecki (10-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2019-06-22: L vs. [#118LW] Luis Pena (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:14 of round 3
2014-11-22: W vs. [*] Isaac Vallie-Flagg (16-7-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jordan Leavitt -377 75.45%
Elo K170 Matt Wiman 1503.89 +6.59 50.75%
Elo Modified Jordan Leavitt 1577.48 +50.02 55.45%
Glicko-1 Jordan Leavitt 1546.21 +18.14 52.61%
WHR Jordan Leavitt 1467.89 +146.51 66.14%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jordan Leavitt 123, Matt Wiman 364
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#31] Jimmy Flick (15-5-0, -186) vs. [#75] Cody Durden (11-2-1, +154)

Last 3 Fights: Jimmy Flick (3-0-0)
2020-09-01: W vs. [#124FLY] Nate Smith (6-1-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:15 of round 3
2020-07-24: W vs. [#125FLY] Greg Fischer (10-2-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 0:38 of round 1
2020-02-29: W vs. [#343BW] Jesse Bazzi (11-8-0) via SUB in 3:41 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Cody Durden (2-0-1)
2020-08-01: D vs. [*] Chris Gutierrez (15-4-2) via Draw (Unanimous) in 5:00 of round 3
2020-07-18: W vs. [#721BW] John Sweeney (6-3-0) via TKO in 1:20 of round 1
2020-03-07: W vs. [#694BW] Varon Webb (10-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:17 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jimmy Flick -186 62.28%
Elo K170 Jimmy Flick 1556.18 +27.06 53.09%
Elo Modified Jimmy Flick 1558.63 +35.00 53.82%
Glicko-1 Jimmy Flick 1602.85 +44.18 56.33%
WHR Jimmy Flick 1512.37 +59.01 56.70%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jimmy Flick 95, Cody Durden 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#28] Damon Jackson (18-3-1, +174) vs. [#106] Ilia Topuria (9-0-0, -215)

Last 3 Fights: Damon Jackson (2-1-0)
2020-09-19: W vs. [#40FW] Mirsad Bektic (13-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:21 of round 3
2020-03-06: W vs. [#525FW] Mauro Chaulet (13-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:11 of round 1
2019-05-23: L vs. [#45FW] Movlid Khaybulaev (15-0-1) via KO (Flying Knee) in 0:10 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ilia Topuria (3-0-0)
2020-10-10: W vs. [#132FW] Youssef Zalal (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-11-15: W vs. [#912FW] Stephen Goncalves (5-2-0) via TKO in 3:42 of round 1
2019-09-07: W vs. [NA] Luis Gomez (0-1-0) via SUB in of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ilia Topuria -215 65.15%
Elo K170 Damon Jackson 1761.17 +172.05 68.70%
Elo Modified Damon Jackson 1779.04 +146.98 65.55%
Glicko-1 Damon Jackson 1828.28 +174.22 73.16%
WHR Damon Jackson 1728.50 +123.55 63.75%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Damon Jackson 77, Ilia Topuria 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#89] Gabriel Benitez (21-8-0, -193) vs. [#188] Justin Jaynes (16-5-0, +160)

Last 3 Fights: Gabriel Benitez (1-2-0)
2020-05-13: L vs. [#116FW] Omar Morales (9-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-08-17: L vs. [#21FW] Sodiq Yusuff (11-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:14 of round 1
2018-05-19: W vs. [#163LW] Humberto Bandenay (18-8-0) via KO (Slam) in 0:39 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Justin Jaynes (2-1-0)
2020-08-08: L vs. [#78FW] Gavin Tucker (12-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:43 of round 3
2020-06-20: W vs. [#187LW] Frank Camacho (23-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:41 of round 1
2019-05-29: W vs. [#863WW] James Warfield (23-16-0) via TKO in 2:05 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gabriel Benitez -193 63.13%
Elo K170 Gabriel Benitez 1502.99 +6.97 50.80%
Elo Modified Gabriel Benitez 1523.62 +32.35 53.53%
Glicko-1 Gabriel Benitez 1557.35 +26.16 53.76%
WHR Justin Jaynes 1516.13 +52.62 55.98%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gabriel Benitez 206, Justin Jaynes 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#86] Jose Alberto Quinonez (8-4-0, +108) vs. [#141] Louis Smolka (16-7-0, -133)

Last 3 Fights: Jose Alberto Quinonez (1-2-0)
2020-03-07: L vs. [#35BW] Sean OMalley (12-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:02 of round 1
2019-09-21: W vs. [#286BW] Carlos Huachin (11-5-3) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-03-16: L vs. [#123FW] Nathaniel Wood (17-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:46 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Louis Smolka (1-2-0)
2020-05-30: L vs. [#48FW] Casey Kenney (16-2-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:03 of round 1
2019-09-14: W vs. [#455BW] Ryan MacDonald (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:43 of round 1
2019-03-09: L vs. [#14FLY] Matt Schnell (14-5-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:18 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Louis Smolka -133 54.27%
Elo K170 Jose Alberto Quinonez 1490.19 +10.45 51.19%
Elo Modified Jose Alberto Quinonez 1525.14 +38.46 54.20%
Glicko-1 Jose Alberto Quinonez 1496.23 +5.96 50.86%
WHR Louis Smolka 1471.10 +30.61 53.49%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jose Alberto Quinonez 273, Louis Smolka 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Jack Hermansson
Highest Stored DD Rating: Jack Hermansson
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Jack Hermansson vs. Marvin Vettori
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Jack Hermansson vs. Marvin Vettori
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2020-11-29