Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis (2020-11-28)

23 Nov , 2020,
Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#3] Curtis Blaydes (14-2-0, -334) vs. [#4] Derrick Lewis (24-7-0, +259)
Curtis Blaydes is the All-Time #33 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Derrick Lewis is the All-Time #29 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Curtis Blaydes (3-0-0)
2020-06-20: W vs. [#7HW+] Alexander Volkov (32-8-0) via UD (48-47, 48-46, 49-46)
2020-01-25: W vs. [#8HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:06 of round 2
2019-09-07: W vs. [#22HW+] Shamil Abdurakhimov (20-6-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punch) in 2:22 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Derrick Lewis (3-0-0)
2020-08-08: W vs. [#10HW+] Alexey Oleynik (59-14-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 2
2020-02-08: W vs. [#42HW+] Ilir Latifi (14-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-11-02: W vs. [#17HW+] Blagoy Ivanov (18-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Curtis Blaydes -334 73.42%
Elo K170 Curtis Blaydes 2113.49 +15.74 51.80%
Elo Modified Curtis Blaydes 2101.48 +61.24 56.66%
Glicko-1 Curtis Blaydes 2189.51 +68.81 59.78%
WHR Curtis Blaydes 2021.03 +114.89 62.83%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Curtis Blaydes 161, Derrick Lewis 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Curtis Blaydes leads 5-4
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#15] Anthony Smith (33-16-0, -119) vs. [#42] Devin Clark (12-4-0, -105)
Anthony Smith is the All-Time #38 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Smith (1-2-0)
2020-08-29: L vs. [#12LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (13-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-05-13: L vs. [#4LHW] Glover Teixeira (32-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:04 of round 5
2019-06-01: W vs. [#19LHW] Alexander Gustafsson (18-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:38 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Devin Clark (2-1-0)
2020-06-06: W vs. [#64LHW] Alonzo Menifield (9-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-02-15: W vs. [#210MW] Dequan Townsend (22-12-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-10-12: L vs. [#27LHW] Ryan Spann (18-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:01 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Anthony Smith -119 51.47%
Elo K170 Anthony Smith 1827.66 +140.26 65.49%
Elo Modified Anthony Smith 1845.49 +142.93 65.15%
Glicko-1 Anthony Smith 1921.91 +220.14 78.03%
WHR Anthony Smith 1786.59 +211.83 72.47%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Anthony Smith 91, Devin Clark 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#92] Josh Parisian (13-3-0, -215) vs. [#178] Parker Porter (9-6-0, +174)

Last 3 Fights: Josh Parisian (3-0-0)
2020-08-18: W vs. [#222HW+] Chad Johnson (6-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:43 of round 1
2020-01-29: W vs. [#378MW] Marcus Maulding (8-11-0) via TKO in 3:57 of round 1
2019-12-14: W vs. [#452HW+] Matunga Djikasa (3-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:16 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Parker Porter (2-1-0)
2020-08-15: L vs. [#74HW+] Chris Daukaus (10-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Knee) in 4:28 of round 1
2019-09-07: W vs. [#209HW+] Dirlei Broenstrup (16-8-0) via TKO in 3:17 of round 3
2019-05-31: W vs. [*] Kevin Ray Sears (8-6-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 2:29 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Josh Parisian -215 65.15%
Elo K170 Josh Parisian 1442.09 +197.81 71.17%
Elo Modified Josh Parisian 1457.67 +137.86 64.65%
Glicko-1 Josh Parisian 1514.71 +199.29 75.90%
WHR Josh Parisian 1399.85 +106.77 61.96%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josh Parisian 102, Parker Porter 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#16] Zhalgas Zhumagulov (13-4-0, -117) vs. [#46] Amir Albazi (13-1-0, -107)
Zhalgas Zhumagulov is the All-Time #41 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Zhalgas Zhumagulov (2-1-0)
2020-07-11: L vs. [#12FLY] Raulian Paiva (20-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-10-19: W vs. [#22FLY] Ali Bagautinov (19-7-0) via SD (47-48, 49-47, 49-48)
2018-08-31: W vs. [#20FLY] Tagir Ulanbekov (13-1-0) via MD ()

Last 3 Fights: Amir Albazi (2-1-0)
2020-07-18: W vs. [#330BW] Malcolm Gordon (12-4-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:42 of round 1
2019-11-15: W vs. [#290FLY] Ryan Curtis (5-2-0) via SUB in 2:25 of round 1
2019-04-19: L vs. [#25FLY] Jose Torres (9-1-1) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Zhalgas Zhumagulov -117 51.05%
Elo K170 Zhalgas Zhumagulov 1645.99 +55.36 56.29%
Elo Modified Amir Albazi 1612.69 +1.01 50.11%
Glicko-1 Amir Albazi 1665.28 +64.92 59.23%
WHR Amir Albazi 1607.02 +79.22 58.95%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Zhalgas Zhumagulov 140, Amir Albazi 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#47] Miguel Baeza (9-0-0, -179) vs. [#75] Takashi Sato (16-3-0, +148)

Last 3 Fights: Miguel Baeza (3-0-0)
2020-05-16: W vs. [#61WW] Matt Brown (22-17-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:18 of round 2
2019-10-12: W vs. [#941WW] Hector Aldana (4-3-0) via TKO (Leg Kick and Elbows) in 2:32 of round 2
2019-06-25: W vs. [#499WW] Victor Reyna (11-5-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Takashi Sato (2-1-0)
2020-06-27: W vs. [#119WW] Jason Witt (18-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:48 of round 1
2019-09-07: L vs. [#20WW] Belal Muhammad (17-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:55 of round 3
2019-04-27: W vs. [#107WW] Ben Saunders (22-13-2) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 1:18 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Miguel Baeza -179 61.40%
Elo K170 Takashi Sato 1729.52 +77.21 58.73%
Elo Modified Takashi Sato 1712.98 +71.77 57.79%
Glicko-1 Takashi Sato 1741.66 +65.65 59.34%
WHR Takashi Sato 1654.36 +72.45 58.20%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Miguel Baeza 196, Takashi Sato 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#110] Bill Algeo (13-5-0, +136) vs. [#117] Spike Carlyle (9-2-0, -164)

Last 3 Fights: Bill Algeo (1-2-0)
2020-08-29: L vs. [*] Ricardo Lamas (20-8-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2020-08-13: W vs. [#480FW] Tim Dooling (9-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-06-18: L vs. [#70FW] Brendan Loughnane (19-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Spike Carlyle (2-1-0)
2020-05-30: L vs. [#51FW] Billy Quarantillo (15-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-02-29: W vs. [#241FW] Aalon Cruz (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:25 of round 1
2019-11-15: W vs. [#1516LW] Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (2-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:50 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Spike Carlyle -164 59.45%
Elo K170 Bill Algeo 1518.42 +40.60 54.62%
Elo Modified Bill Algeo 1542.26 +14.83 51.62%
Glicko-1 Spike Carlyle 1574.40 +3.19 50.46%
WHR Bill Algeo 1540.78 +32.03 53.65%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bill Algeo 91, Spike Carlyle 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight (135)
[#44] Gina Mazany (6-4-0, -144) vs. [*] Rachael Ostovich (4-5-0, +118)

Last 3 Fights: Gina Mazany (1-2-0)
2020-06-13: L vs. [#17BW] Julia Avila (8-2-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 0:22 of round 1
2020-01-25: W vs. [NA] Valerie Barney (4-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:22 of round 1
2019-03-02: L vs. [#12BW] Macy Chiasson (6-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:49 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Rachael Ostovich (1-2-0)
2019-01-19: L vs. [#72FLY] Paige VanZant (8-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:50 of round 2
2018-07-06: L vs. [#34FLY] Montana De La Rosa (10-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:21 of round 3
2017-12-01: W vs. [NA] Karine Gevorgyan (3-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:40 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gina Mazany -144 56.26%
Elo K170 Gina Mazany 1194.68 +159.81 67.48%
Elo Modified Gina Mazany 1263.83 +220.00 72.37%
Glicko-1 Gina Mazany 1197.82 +202.05 76.19%
WHR Gina Mazany 1200.65 +194.20 70.83%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gina Mazany 168, Rachael Ostovich 679
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight (135)
[*] Ashlee Evans-Smith (6-4-0, -108) vs. [#68] Norma Dumont Viana (4-1-0, -116)

Last 3 Fights: Ashlee Evans-Smith (1-2-0)
2019-02-17: L vs. [#22FLY] Andrea Lee (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-04-07: W vs. [#59FLY] Bec Rawlings (8-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-09-09: L vs. [#28BW] Sarah Moras (6-6-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:51 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Norma Dumont Viana (2-1-0)
2020-02-29: L vs. [#7FW] Megan Anderson (11-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:31 of round 1
2018-08-05: W vs. [#12FW] Mariana Morais (16-10-0) via MD ()
2017-09-16: W vs. [NA] Erica Leidianny Ribeiro (1-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:43 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Norma Dumont Viana -116 50.84%
Elo K170 Norma Dumont Viana 1231.78 +16.64 51.90%
Elo Modified Norma Dumont Viana 1294.06 +22.44 52.45%
Glicko-1 Ashlee Evans-Smith 1198.36 +7.05 51.02%
WHR Ashlee Evans-Smith 1223.47 +55.61 56.32%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ashlee Evans-Smith 650, Norma Dumont Viana 273
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[*] Anderson dos Santos (20-8-0, +151) vs. [#601] Martin Day (9-4-0, -182)

Last 3 Fights: Anderson dos Santos (1-2-0)
2019-06-22: L vs. [#52BW] Andre Ewell (17-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)
2018-11-17: L vs. [#144FW] Nad Narimani (12-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-11-03: W vs. [#166BW] Aleandro Caetano (20-5-1) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Martin Day (1-2-0)
2020-07-11: L vs. [#199BW] Davey Grant (12-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:38 of round 3
2018-11-24: L vs. [#139BW] Pingyuan Liu (15-6-0) via UD ()
2018-08-04: W vs. [#405BW] Brady Huang (11-2-0) via TKO in 1:10 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Martin Day -182 61.83%
Elo K170 Anderson dos Santos 1409.87 +165.74 68.07%
Elo Modified Anderson dos Santos 1434.43 +165.17 67.33%
Glicko-1 Anderson dos Santos 1443.90 +205.41 76.54%
WHR Anderson dos Santos 1424.92 +225.40 73.69%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Anderson dos Santos 525, Martin Day 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#92] Su Mudaerji (12-4-0, -340) vs. [#330] Malcolm Gordon (12-4-0, +264)

Last 3 Fights: Su Mudaerji (1-2-0)
2019-08-31: W vs. [#104BW] Andre Soukhamthath (14-8-0) via UD (30-26, 30-25, 30-26)
2018-11-24: L vs. [#140BW] Louis Smolka (16-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:07 of round 2
2018-10-26: L vs. [#97FLY] Haobin Ma (14-7-0) via Submission (Choke) in 3:57 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Malcolm Gordon (2-1-0)
2020-07-18: L vs. [#46FLY] Amir Albazi (13-1-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:42 of round 1
2019-04-11: W vs. [*] Yoni Sherbatov (8-2-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:32 of round 1
2018-08-02: W vs. [#282FLY] James Mancini (6-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:02 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Su Mudaerji -340 73.77%
Elo K170 Malcolm Gordon 1429.30 +60.81 56.90%
Elo Modified Malcolm Gordon 1479.48 +80.77 58.75%
Glicko-1 Malcolm Gordon 1469.57 +55.86 57.97%
WHR Malcolm Gordon 1410.65 +35.91 54.09%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Su Mudaerji 455, Malcolm Gordon 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[*] Luke Sanders (13-3-0, -119) vs. [#69] Joseph Nathan Maness (12-1-0, -104)

Last 3 Fights: Luke Sanders (2-1-0)
2019-02-17: W vs. [#173FW] Renan Barao (34-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:01 of round 2
2018-08-25: L vs. [#36BW] Rani Yahya (26-10-1) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 1:31 of round 1
2018-04-14: W vs. [*] Patrick Williams (8-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Joseph Nathan Maness (2-1-0)
2020-08-01: W vs. [#430FW] Johnny Munoz Jr. (10-1-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2020-02-01: W vs. [#908FW] Kellen VanCamp (3-3-0) via TKO in 1:39 of round 1
2019-05-24: L vs. [#44BW] Taylor Lapilus (16-3-0) via TKO in 1:22 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Luke Sanders -119 51.59%
Elo K170 Joseph Nathan Maness 1633.00 +39.87 54.54%
Elo Modified Joseph Nathan Maness 1646.56 +21.14 52.31%
Glicko-1 Luke Sanders 1650.43 +13.81 51.99%
WHR Joseph Nathan Maness 1570.57 +94.59 60.64%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Luke Sanders 650, Joseph Nathan Maness 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#330] Jonathan Pearce (9-4-0) vs. [#329FW] Kai Kamaka III (8-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Jonathan Pearce (2-1-0)
2019-10-18: L vs. [#95LW] Joe Lauzon (28-15-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:33 of round 1
2019-07-09: W vs. [#319LW] Jacob Rosales (12-6-0) via TKO (Punch) in 1:50 of round 3
2018-09-21: W vs. [*] Dedrek Sanders (3-2-0) via TKO in 5:00 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Kai Kamaka III (3-0-0)
2020-08-15: W vs. [#257BW] Tony Kelley (7-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-07-31: W vs. [#769FW] Michael Stack (4-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-12-21: W vs. [#1482FW] Spencer Higa (8-11-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Kai Kamaka III 1416.42 +74.35 58.41%
Elo Modified Kai Kamaka III 1442.96 +56.70 56.17%
Glicko-1 Kai Kamaka III 1411.89 +33.12 54.75%
WHR Kai Kamaka III 1339.10 +6.61 50.76%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jonathan Pearce 407, Kai Kamaka III 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Curtis Blaydes
Highest Stored DD Rating: Curtis Blaydes
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Curtis Blaydes vs. Derrick Lewis
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Curtis Blaydes vs. Derrick Lewis
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2020-11-22