Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana (2020-10-03)

Sep 28, 2020
Jason

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#2/#10DD] Holly Holm (13-5-0, -124) vs. [#5] Irene Aldana (12-5-0, +101)
Holly Holm is the All-Time #17 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Holly Holm (2-1-0)
2020-01-18: W vs. [#4BW] Raquel Pennington (11-8-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-07-06: L vs. [#1FW/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (20-4-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
2018-06-09: W vs. [#7FW] Megan Anderson (11-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Irene Aldana (2-1-0)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#8BW] Ketlen Vieira (11-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:51 of round 1
2019-09-21: W vs. [#39BW] Vanessa Melo (10-8-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-07-20: L vs. [#4BW] Raquel Pennington (11-8-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Holly Holm -124 52.66%
Elo K170 Holly Holm 1627.89 +13.34 51.52%
Elo Modified Irene Aldana 1640.13 +26.90 52.94%
Glicko-1 Irene Aldana 1664.01 +49.69 57.10%
WHR Holly Holm 1692.26 +103.50 61.61%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Holly Holm 259, Irene Aldana 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Holly Holm leads 3-1
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#124] Carlos Felipe (8-1-0, +212) vs. [#174] Yorgan De Castro (6-1-0, -265)

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Felipe (2-1-0)
2020-07-18: L vs. [#38HW+] Sergey Spivak (11-2-0) via MD (29-27, 28-28, 29-27)
2017-05-20: W vs. [*] Francisco Sandro da Silva (8-4-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:07 of round 1
2017-04-01: W vs. [*] Isaias Silva (2-1-0) via TKO in 0:41 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Yorgan De Castro (2-1-0)
2020-05-09: L vs. [#81HW+] Greg Hardy (6-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-10-05: W vs. [#160HW+] Justin Tafa (4-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:10 of round 1
2019-06-18: W vs. [*] Sanford Alton Meeks (3-1-0) via TKO (Leg Kick and Punches) in 4:45 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Yorgan De Castro -265 69.37%
Elo K170 Carlos Felipe 1395.19 +100.52 61.28%
Elo Modified Carlos Felipe 1457.72 +72.76 57.90%
Glicko-1 Carlos Felipe 1500.38 +144.50 69.67%
WHR Carlos Felipe 1431.40 +162.90 67.79%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carlos Felipe 77, Yorgan De Castro 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#1/#9DD/#9P4P] Germaine de Randamie (9-4-0, -107) vs. [#7] Julianna Pena (9-3-0, -116)
Germaine de Randamie is the All-Time #27 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Germaine de Randamie (2-1-0)
2019-12-14: L vs. [#1FW/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (20-4-0) via UD (49-46, 49-45, 49-44)
2019-07-13: W vs. [#3BW] Aspen Ladd (9-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:16 of round 1
2018-11-10: W vs. [#4BW] Raquel Pennington (11-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Julianna Pena (2-1-0)
2019-07-13: W vs. [#23BW] Nicco Montano (4-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)
2017-01-28: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#3P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (19-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:29 of round 2
2016-07-09: W vs. [#8FW] Cat Zingano (11-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Julianna Pena -116 50.95%
Elo K170 Germaine de Randamie 1683.40 +45.38 55.16%
Elo Modified Germaine de Randamie 1693.92 +40.84 54.46%
Glicko-1 Germaine de Randamie 1694.46 +47.30 56.77%
WHR Germaine de Randamie 1760.38 +161.16 67.62%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Germaine de Randamie 294, Julianna Pena 448
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#52] Tom Breese (11-2-0) vs. [#82] K.B. Bhullar (8-0-0)

Last 3 Fights: Tom Breese (1-2-0)
2020-02-29: L vs. [#24MW] Brendan Allen (15-3-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:47 of round 1
2018-05-27: W vs. [*] Daniel Kelly (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:33 of round 1
2016-06-04: L vs. [*] Sean Strickland (20-3-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: K.B. Bhullar (3-0-0)
2019-09-27: W vs. [#107MW] Matt Dwyer (11-7-0) via UD ()
2019-05-24: W vs. [*] Cody Krahn (16-14-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:04 of round 1
2019-03-01: W vs. [#535WW] Derek Boyle (14-13-0) via Anaconda Choke in 4:50 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Tom Breese 1670.86 +209.80 72.28%
Elo Modified Tom Breese 1735.92 +246.97 74.67%
Glicko-1 Tom Breese 1776.98 +257.34 81.48%
WHR Tom Breese 1667.78 +115.62 62.91%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tom Breese 217, K.B. Bhullar 372
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#60] Dusko Todorovic (9-0-0, -302) vs. [#195] Dequan Townsend (22-11-0, +239)

Last 3 Fights: Dusko Todorovic (3-0-0)
2019-08-27: W vs. [#92MW] Teddy Ash (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-12-01: W vs. [#123WW] Michel Pereira (25-11-0) via TKO in 4:32 of round 1
2018-07-21: W vs. [*] Kazuo Takahashi (30-28-3) via TKO (Punches) in 1:41 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Dequan Townsend (0-3-0)
2020-02-15: L vs. [#42LHW] Devin Clark (12-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-26)
2020-01-25: L vs. [#110MW] Bevon Lewis (7-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-06-29: L vs. [#70LHW] Dalcha Lungiambula (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 0:42 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dusko Todorovic -302 71.80%
Elo K170 Dusko Todorovic 1656.27 +379.62 85.00%
Elo Modified Dusko Todorovic 1703.22 +401.10 85.27%
Glicko-1 Dusko Todorovic 1711.23 +426.45 92.09%
WHR Dusko Todorovic 1649.23 +376.13 84.79%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dusko Todorovic 403, Dequan Townsend 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[*] Carlos Condit (30-13-0, -101) vs. [#102] Court McGee (19-9-0, -122)
Carlos Condit is the All-Time #7 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Condit (0-3-0)
2018-12-29: L vs. [#10WW] Michael Chiesa (17-4-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 0:56 of round 2
2018-04-14: L vs. [#36WW] Alex Oliveira (22-8-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:17 of round 2
2017-12-30: L vs. [#9WW] Neil Magny (24-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Court McGee (1-2-0)
2019-10-18: L vs. [#34WW] Sean Brady (13-0-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-04-27: L vs. [#80WW] Dhiego Lima (15-7-0) via SD (28-29, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-10-27: W vs. [#142MW] Alex Garcia (15-8-0) via UD (29-28, 30-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Court McGee -122 52.23%
Elo K170 Carlos Condit 1692.60 +179.72 69.44%
Elo Modified Carlos Condit 1702.77 +138.56 64.72%
Glicko-1 Carlos Condit 1735.39 +147.11 69.99%
WHR Carlos Condit 1558.45 +29.51 53.36%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carlos Condit 644, Court McGee 351
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#60] Charles Jourdain (10-3-0, -412) vs. [#299] Joshua Culibao (9-1-0, +313)

Last 3 Fights: Charles Jourdain (1-2-0)
2020-06-13: L vs. [#26FW] Andre Fili (21-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-12-21: W vs. [#183FW] Doo Ho Choi (14-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 2
2019-05-18: L vs. [*] Desmond Green (23-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Joshua Culibao (2-1-0)
2020-02-22: L vs. [#163WW] Jalin Turner (10-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:01 of round 2
2019-03-01: W vs. [*] Josh Payne (8-9-0) via TKO in 3:02 of round 1
2018-11-10: W vs. [#735FW] Rodolfo Marques (25-15-1) via TKO in of round 4

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Charles Jourdain -412 76.87%
Elo K170 Charles Jourdain 1571.14 +150.24 66.52%
Elo Modified Charles Jourdain 1636.33 +234.72 73.64%
Glicko-1 Charles Jourdain 1710.73 +355.88 88.58%
WHR Charles Jourdain 1584.11 +304.79 80.10%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Jourdain 112, Joshua Culibao 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#75] Kyler Phillips (7-1-0) vs. [#157] Cameron Else (9-4-0)

Last 3 Fights: Kyler Phillips (2-1-0)
2020-02-29: W vs. [#232BW] Gabriel Silva (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-02-01: W vs. [*] Emeka Ifekandu (6-3-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:30 of round 1
2018-10-20: L vs. [#26BW] Victor Henry (20-4-0) via SD ()

Last 3 Fights: Cameron Else (3-0-0)
2020-02-08: W vs. [NA] Brad Evans (3-16-0) via SUB in 1:30 of round 1
2019-07-25: W vs. [#267BW] Aidan James (4-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:59 of round 1
2019-06-15: W vs. [NA] Tom Major (0-1-0) via TKO in 1:00 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Kyler Phillips 1475.25 +102.91 61.54%
Elo Modified Kyler Phillips 1582.72 +167.91 67.59%
Glicko-1 Kyler Phillips 1587.54 +162.84 71.85%
WHR Kyler Phillips 1585.46 +198.09 71.20%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kyler Phillips 217, Cameron Else 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#119] Jordan Williams (9-3-0, -152) vs. [#168] Nassourdine Imavov (8-2-0, +126)

Last 3 Fights: Jordan Williams (2-1-0)
2020-09-15: W vs. [#201MW] Gregory Rodrigues (7-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:19 of round 1
2019-07-23: L vs. [#160WW] Ramazan Kuramagomedov (8-0-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-04-27: W vs. [*] Diego Herzog (4-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Nassourdine Imavov (3-0-0)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#304MW] Jonathan Meunier (9-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:27 of round 1
2019-09-28: W vs. [#700WW] Mateusz Gluch (8-6-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 0:00 of round 1
2019-07-26: W vs. [#911MW] Francesco Demontis (1-3-0) via Submission in 2:26 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jordan Williams -152 57.68%
Elo K170 Nassourdine Imavov 1527.93 +88.39 59.96%
Elo Modified Nassourdine Imavov 1554.17 +36.01 53.93%
Glicko-1 Nassourdine Imavov 1585.97 +28.61 54.11%
WHR Jordan Williams 1572.31 +62.33 57.07%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jordan Williams 18, Nassourdine Imavov 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#44] Jinh Yu Frey (9-5-0) vs. [#96] Konklak Suphisara (4-2-0)
Jinh Yu Frey is the All-Time #38 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jinh Yu Frey (1-2-0)
2020-06-27: L vs. [#20SW] Kay Hansen (7-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:26 of round 3
2020-02-07: W vs. [#11AW] Ashley Cummins (7-6-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-06-02: L vs. [#2AW/#8DD/#7P4P] Ayaka Hamasaki (20-3-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Konklak Suphisara (2-1-0)
2020-02-22: L vs. [#15SW] Angela Hill (12-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-10-26: W vs. [#121SW] Aleksandra Albu (3-2-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 30-27)
2019-06-07: W vs. [*] Monique Adriane (4-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Jinh Yu Frey 1343.42 +147.07 66.19%
Elo Modified Jinh Yu Frey 1368.77 +192.00 69.86%
Glicko-1 Jinh Yu Frey 1332.10 +196.93 75.65%
WHR Jinh Yu Frey 1218.31 +43.74 54.98%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jinh Yu Frey 98, Konklak Suphisara 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#37] Casey Kenney (14-2-1, -265) vs. [#136] Heili Alateng (14-7-1, +213)

Last 3 Fights: Casey Kenney (2-1-0)
2020-05-30: W vs. [#146BW] Louis Smolka (16-7-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:03 of round 1
2020-02-15: L vs. [#12BW] Merab Dvalishvili (12-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-25, 29-28)
2019-08-17: W vs. [#157LW] Manny Bermudez (15-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Heili Alateng (3-0-0)
2019-12-21: W vs. [#75FLY] Ryan Benoit (10-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-08-31: W vs. [#293BW] Danaa Batgerel (8-2-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2018-05-12: W vs. [*] Jong Hyun Kwak (6-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:40 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Casey Kenney -265 69.44%
Elo K170 Casey Kenney 1731.68 +168.78 68.38%
Elo Modified Casey Kenney 1748.31 +221.70 72.52%
Glicko-1 Casey Kenney 1779.08 +273.74 82.86%
WHR Casey Kenney 1662.62 +218.66 73.08%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Casey Kenney 126, Heili Alateng 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[*] Jessin Ayari (16-5-0, +100) vs. [*] Luigi Vendramini (8-1-0, -124)

Last 3 Fights: Jessin Ayari (1-2-0)
2018-10-27: L vs. [#38LW] Stevie Ray (23-9-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2017-05-28: L vs. [#8MW] Darren Till (18-3-1) via UD (30-27, 29-27, 30-27)
2016-09-03: W vs. [*] Jim Wallhead (31-11-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Luigi Vendramini (2-1-0)
2018-09-22: L vs. [#31WW] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (22-7-0) via KO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 1:20 of round 2
2018-09-07: W vs. [*] Lucas Eurico (7-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:57 of round 1
2017-08-19: W vs. [#882FW] Adriano Andre (8-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Luigi Vendramini -124 52.54%
Elo K170 Jessin Ayari 1524.35 +189.50 70.39%
Elo Modified Jessin Ayari 1522.93 +170.81 67.87%
Glicko-1 Jessin Ayari 1535.59 +163.19 71.90%
WHR Jessin Ayari 1504.85 +163.96 67.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jessin Ayari 707, Luigi Vendramini 742
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Casey Kenney
Highest Stored DD Rating: Germaine de Randamie
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Carlos Condit vs. Court McGee
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Holly Holm vs. Irene Aldana
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2020-9-27

Leave A Comment

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Before asking where a specific fighter is ranked or why they aren't ranked:


- We update the rankings once per week, usually on Sunday or Monday.

- Fighters who have not fought in 450 days or more ARE NOT RANKED UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES.

- Use the "Fighter Search" option in the upper-right of the page. The fighter may be ranked in a different division.

- Most of the divisions have multiple pages beyond this one. See the clickable ranges above and below the ranking table.

Furthermore, we do not maintain the "next fight" data. This is gathered from Sherdog. Any issues regarding this data should be forwarded to them.