Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN+ 3: Blachowicz vs. Santos (02-23-2019)

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#7] Thiago Santos (20-6-0) vs. [#10] Jan Blachowicz (23-7-0)
Jan Blachowicz is the All-Time #50 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Thiago Santos (3-0-0)
2018-12-08: W vs. [#21LHW] Jimi Manuwa (17-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:41 of round 2
2018-09-22: W vs. [#34MW] Eryk Anders (11-3-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 5:00 of round 3
2018-08-04: W vs. [#80MW] Kevin Holland (14-4-0) via UD (29-27, 29-26, 29-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jan Blachowicz (3-0-0)
2018-09-15: W vs. [#24LHW] Nikita Krylov (24-6-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:41 of round 2
2018-03-17: W vs. [#21LHW] Jimi Manuwa (17-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2017-12-16: W vs. [#10MW] Jared Cannonier (11-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Elo Favorite (Standard): Thiago Santos (1987.74) [+90.57] – Win%: 60.20
Elo Favorite (Modified): Thiago Santos (1990.61) [+64.27] – Win%: 56.99
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Thiago Santos 77, Jan Blachowicz 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#27] Stefan Struve (28-11-0) vs. [#50] Marcos Rogerio de Lima (16-5-1)

Last 3 Fights: Stefan Struve (0-3-0)
2018-07-22: L vs. [#17HW+] Marcin Tybura (17-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-03-03: L vs. [#34HW+] Andrei Arlovski (27-18-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2017-09-02: L vs. [#9HW+] Alexander Volkov (30-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:30 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Marcos Rogerio de Lima (2-1-0)
2018-11-03: W vs. [#80HW+] Adam Wieczorek (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-04-22: L vs. [#19LHW] Ovince St. Preux (23-12-0) via Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 2:11 of round 2
2017-01-28: W vs. [#80LHW] Jeremy Kimball (16-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:27 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Marcos Rogerio de Lima (1629.95) [+76.67] – Win%: 58.67
Elo Favorite (Modified): Marcos Rogerio de Lima (1662.24) [+54.06] – Win%: 55.89
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Stefan Struve 216, Marcos Rogerio de Lima 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#34] Gian Villante (17-10-0) vs. [#59] Michal Oleksiejczuk (14-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Gian Villante (2-1-0)
2018-10-27: W vs. [#60LHW] Ed Herman (23-14-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-06-01: L vs. [#23LHW] Sam Alvey (33-12-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-01-20: W vs. [#38HW+] Francimar Barroso (22-7-1) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)

Last 3 Fights: Michal Oleksiejczuk (3-0-0)
2017-12-30: W vs. [#78LHW] Khalil Rountree (7-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-05-12: W vs. [#150LHW] Riccardo Nosiglia (7-1-0) via TKO in 1:39 of round 1
2017-04-01: W vs. [#347LHW] Charles Andrade (34-42-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:00 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Gian Villante (1652.60) [+61.93] – Win%: 57.03
Elo Favorite (Modified): Gian Villante (1640.57) [+9.57] – Win%: 51.05
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gian Villante 119, Michal Oleksiejczuk 420
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#2] Liz Carmouche (12-6-0) vs. [#12BW] Lucie Pudilova (8-3-0)

Last 3 Fights: Liz Carmouche (2-1-0)
2018-07-14: W vs. [#9FLY] Jennifer Maia (15-5-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-12-09: L vs. [#8FLY] Alexis Davis (19-8-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2016-11-12: W vs. [#4FLY] Katlyn Chookagian (11-2-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Lucie Pudilova (2-1-0)
2018-09-08: L vs. [#9BW] Irene Aldana (9-4-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2018-02-18: W vs. [#24BW] Sarah Moras (5-4-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-06-17: W vs. [#27BW] Ji Yeon Kim (8-2-2) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Elo Favorite (Standard): Liz Carmouche (1598.09) [+258.54] – Win%: 76.52
Elo Favorite (Modified): Liz Carmouche (1609.42) [+178.74] – Win%: 68.62
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Liz Carmouche 224, Lucie Pudilova 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#10] John Dodson (20-10-0) vs. [#15] Petr Yan (11-1-0)
John Dodson is the All-Time #27 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: John Dodson (1-2-0)
2018-09-08: L vs. [#9BW] Jimmie Rivera (22-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-03-03: W vs. [#11BW] Pedro Munhoz (17-3-0) via SD (30-27, 29-28, 28-29)
2017-11-11: L vs. [#2BW] Marlon Moraes (22-5-1) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 27-30)

Last 3 Fights: Petr Yan (3-0-0)
2018-12-29: W vs. [#50BW] Douglas Silva de Andrade (25-3-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2018-09-15: W vs. [#110BW] Jin Soo Son (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-06-23: W vs. [#225BW] Teruto Ishihara (10-7-2) via TKO (Punches) in 3:28 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Petr Yan (1830.18) [+17.60] – Win%: 52.01
Elo Favorite (Modified): Petr Yan (1873.59) [+62.01] – Win%: 56.74
Days Since Last Pro Fight: John Dodson 168, Petr Yan 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#33] Klidson Farias de Abreu (14-2-0) vs. [#40] Magomed Ankalaev (11-1-0)

Last 3 Fights: Klidson Farias de Abreu (3-0-0)
2018-11-17: W vs. [#54HW+] Anton Vyazigin (12-3-0) via Submission (Straight Armbar) in 3:16 of round 2
2018-07-09: W vs. [#45LHW] Viktor Nemkov (26-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:02 of round 2
2018-04-13: W vs. [#232LHW] Matt Baker (14-10-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:03 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Magomed Ankalaev (2-1-0)
2018-09-15: W vs. [#76LHW] Marcin Prachnio (13-4-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:09 of round 1
2018-03-17: L vs. [#62LHW] Paul Craig (10-3-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:59 of round 3
2017-10-04: W vs. [*] Celso Ricardo da Silva (13-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Klidson Farias de Abreu (1716.90) [+61.68] – Win%: 57.00
Elo Favorite (Modified): Klidson Farias de Abreu (1743.92) [+37.26] – Win%: 54.07
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Klidson Farias de Abreu 98, Magomed Ankalaev 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#57] Gillian Robertson (5-3-0) vs. [#117] Veronica Macedo (5-2-1)

Last 3 Fights: Gillian Robertson (2-1-0)
2018-09-22: L vs. [#13FLY] Mayra Bueno Silva (5-0-0) via Submission (Ambar) in 4:55 of round 1
2018-05-27: W vs. [#83FLY] Molly McCann (7-2-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:05 of round 2
2017-12-01: W vs. [#33SW] Emily Whitmire (4-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:12 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Veronica Macedo (0-2-1)
2018-05-19: L vs. [#15FLY] Andrea Lee (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2016-09-03: L vs. [#61FLY] Ashlee Evans-Smith (6-4-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:46 of round 3
2016-08-14: D vs. [#44FW] Iren Racz (4-8-2) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3

Elo Favorite (Standard): Gillian Robertson (1264.09) [+136.73] – Win%: 65.13
Elo Favorite (Modified): Gillian Robertson (1287.04) [+125.08] – Win%: 63.36
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gillian Robertson 154, Veronica Macedo 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#157] Carlo Pedersoli Jr. (11-2-0) vs. [#207] Dwight Grant (8-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Carlo Pedersoli Jr. (2-1-0)
2018-09-22: L vs. [#18WW] Alex Oliveira (20-6-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:39 of round 1
2018-05-27: W vs. [#260WW] Bradley Scott (11-6-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-04-28: W vs. [#168WW] Nicolas Dalby (16-3-1) via SD (29-28, 29-27, 28-29)

Last 3 Fights: Dwight Grant (2-1-0)
2018-12-15: L vs. [#112WW] Zak Ottow (17-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-06-19: W vs. [#858WW] Tyler Hill (8-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:08 of round 2
2016-11-19: W vs. [#406WW] Danasabe Mohammed (6-2-0) via UD ()

Elo Favorite (Standard): Carlo Pedersoli Jr. (1607.45) [+181.72] – Win%: 69.64
Elo Favorite (Modified): Carlo Pedersoli Jr. (1577.29) [+77.61] – Win%: 58.41
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 154, Dwight Grant 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#62] Damir Hadzovic (12-4-0) vs. [#167] Marco Polo Reyes (8-4-0)

Last 3 Fights: Damir Hadzovic (2-1-0)
2018-07-22: W vs. [#190LW] Nick Hein (14-4-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2018-02-03: L vs. [#59LW] Alan Patrick Silva Alves (15-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-05-28: W vs. [#35LW] Marcin Held (25-7-0) via KO (Knee) in 0:07 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Marco Polo Reyes (2-1-0)
2018-01-14: W vs. [#241LW] Matt Frevola (6-1-1) via KO (Punches) in 1:00 of round 1
2017-05-13: L vs. [#25LW] James Vick (13-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:39 of round 1
2016-11-05: W vs. [#365WW] Jason Novelli (12-3-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Elo Favorite (Standard): Damir Hadzovic (1670.63) [+131.61] – Win%: 64.60
Elo Favorite (Modified): Damir Hadzovic (1650.45) [+137.31] – Win%: 64.59
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Damir Hadzovic 216, Marco Polo Reyes 405
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#20] Michel Prazeres (26-2-0) vs. [#109] Ismail Naurdiev (17-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Michel Prazeres (3-0-0)
2018-11-17: W vs. [#45WW] Bartosz Fabinski (14-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:02 of round 1
2018-05-19: W vs. [#36MW] Zak Cummings (22-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-02-03: W vs. [#58LW] Desmond Green (21-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Ismail Naurdiev (2-1-0)
2019-02-02: W vs. [#386WW] Paulistenio Rocha (15-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:36 of round 1
2017-11-18: W vs. [#256WW] Georgi Valentinov (19-5-0) via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 3:10 of round 1
2017-09-23: L vs. [#115WW] Ismael de Jesus (17-6-1) via UD ()

Elo Favorite (Standard): Michel Prazeres (2026.82) [+381.43] – Win%: 85.10
Elo Favorite (Modified): Michel Prazeres (1944.05) [+275.48] – Win%: 76.96
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michel Prazeres 98, Ismail Naurdiev 21
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#167] Chris Fishgold (17-2-1) vs. [#428] Daniel Teymur (6-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Chris Fishgold (2-1-0)
2018-10-27: L vs. [#29FW] Calvin Kattar (19-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:11 of round 1
2017-10-28: W vs. [#419LW] Alexander Jacobsen (9-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:15 of round 1
2016-11-12: W vs. [#206MW] Nic Herron-Webb (20-8-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Teymur (1-2-0)
2018-06-01: L vs. [#87FW] Julio Arce (15-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:55 of round 3
2017-07-16: L vs. [#58FW] Danny Henry (12-2-0) via UD (29-26, 29-28, 29-28)
2016-12-10: W vs. [#715FW] Manolo Scianna (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:06 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Chris Fishgold (1603.17) [+234.13] – Win%: 74.45
Elo Favorite (Modified): Chris Fishgold (1621.11) [+176.16] – Win%: 68.38
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chris Fishgold 119, Daniel Teymur 267
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#19] Rustam Khabilov (23-3-0) vs. [#41] Carlos Diego Ferreira (14-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Rustam Khabilov (3-0-0)
2018-09-15: W vs. [#53LW] Kajan Johnson (23-13-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-09-02: W vs. [#58LW] Desmond Green (21-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2016-12-10: W vs. [#107LW] Jason Saggo (13-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Diego Ferreira (3-0-0)
2018-12-08: W vs. [#336LW] Kyle Nelson (12-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:23 of round 2
2018-02-18: W vs. [#116LW] Jared Gordon (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:58 of round 1
2016-01-30: W vs. [#36LW] Olivier Aubin-Mercier (11-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Elo Favorite (Standard): Rustam Khabilov (2014.64) [+188.06] – Win%: 70.25
Elo Favorite (Modified): Rustam Khabilov (1966.67) [+128.35] – Win%: 63.69
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rustam Khabilov 161, Carlos Diego Ferreira 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#75] Damir Ismagulov (17-2-0) vs. [#187] Joel Alvarez (15-1-0)

Last 3 Fights: Damir Ismagulov (3-0-0)
2018-12-01: W vs. [#620LW] Alex Gorgees (7-1-0) via UD ()
2018-06-15: W vs. [#224LW] Artem Damkovsky (22-11-0) via TKO (Hand Injury) in 3:53 of round 1
2018-02-22: W vs. [#195LW] Raul Tutarauli (19-5-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Joel Alvarez (3-0-0)
2018-11-24: W vs. [#641LW] Radu Maxim (9-2-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in of round 1
2018-09-29: W vs. [#935LW] Julio Cesar Alves (16-11-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:02 of round 2
2018-05-05: W vs. [#1125WW] Alexandre Ribeiro (14-3-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:17 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Damir Ismagulov (1834.08) [+191.61] – Win%: 70.59
Elo Favorite (Modified): Damir Ismagulov (1831.06) [+174.88] – Win%: 68.25
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Damir Ismagulov 84, Joel Alvarez 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Thiago Santos
Highest Stored DD Rating: Liz Carmouche
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Thiago Santos vs. Jan Blachowicz
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: John Dodson vs. Petr Yan
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2019-2-19