Fight Matrix Program – Bellator 249: Cyborg vs. Blencowe (2020-10-15)

11 Oct , 2020,
Jason

Women Featherweight (145)
[#2/#4DD/#5P4P] Cristiane Justino (22-2-0) vs. [#5] Arlene Blencowe (13-7-0)
Cristiane Justino is the All-Time #1 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cristiane Justino (2-1-0)
2020-01-25: W vs. [#3FW] Julia Budd (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:14 of round 4
2019-07-27: W vs. [#6FW] Felicia Spencer (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-12-29: L vs. [#1FW/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (20-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:51 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Arlene Blencowe (3-0-0)
2019-11-08: W vs. [#9FW] Leslie Smith (12-8-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-07-12: W vs. [#16FW] Amanda Bell (7-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:22 of round 1
2018-09-29: W vs. [#48FW] Amber Leibrock (3-4-0) via TKO (Slam and Punches) in 1:23 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Cristiane Justino 1881.38 +326.54 81.63%
Elo Modified Cristiane Justino 1874.18 +290.54 78.11%
Glicko-1 Cristiane Justino 1932.81 +350.87 88.28%
WHR Cristiane Justino 1937.92 +386.88 85.41%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cristiane Justino 264, Arlene Blencowe 342
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cristiane Justino leads 5-2
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Lightweight (155)
[#20] Patricky Freire (23-9-0) vs. [#154WW] Jaleel Willis (13-2-0)
Patricky Freire is the All-Time #47 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Patricky Freire (2-1-0)
2019-12-31: L vs. [#12LW] Tofiq Musayev (18-3-0) via UD ()
2019-12-31: W vs. [#78LW] Luiz Gustavo Felix dos Sa (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches and Soccer Kick) in 0:28 of round 1
2019-10-12: W vs. [#131LW] Tatsuya Kawajiri (37-14-2) via KO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 1:10 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jaleel Willis (3-0-0)
2020-08-21: W vs. [#234WW] Vinicius de Jesus (9-3-0) via UD ()
2020-03-07: W vs. [NA] James Horne (3-4-0) via UD ()
2019-09-28: W vs. [#887WW] James Warfield (23-16-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Patricky Freire 1900.02 +294.42 79.33%
Elo Modified Patricky Freire 1868.16 +228.42 73.10%
Glicko-1 Patricky Freire 1934.59 +314.13 85.92%
WHR Patricky Freire 1812.14 +313.37 80.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Patricky Freire 289, Jaleel Willis 55
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#29] Leandro Higo (19-5-0) vs. [#74] Ricky Bandejas (13-4-0)

Last 3 Fights: Leandro Higo (1-2-0)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#77BW] Shawn Bunch (9-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:34 of round 2
2018-09-29: L vs. [#92FW] Aaron Pico (6-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:19 of round 1
2018-03-02: L vs. [#14FW] Darrion Caldwell (15-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:36 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ricky Bandejas (2-1-0)
2020-07-24: L vs. [#27BW] Sergio Pettis (20-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-02-22: W vs. [#139BW] Frans Mlambo (9-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:25 of round 2
2019-08-24: W vs. [#553BW] Ahmet Kayretli (9-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:21 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Leandro Higo 1643.56 +98.69 61.08%
Elo Modified Leandro Higo 1687.81 +102.58 61.04%
Glicko-1 Leandro Higo 1698.36 +111.74 65.55%
WHR Leandro Higo 1565.45 +2.52 50.29%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Leandro Higo 383, Ricky Bandejas 83
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#203WW] Saad Awad (23-13-0) vs. [#319] Mandel Nallo (7-1-0)

Last 3 Fights: Saad Awad (0-3-0)
2019-10-26: L vs. [#33WW] Paul Daley (42-17-2) via TKO (Punches) in 1:30 of round 2
2019-10-04: L vs. [#26LW] Goiti Yamauchi (25-4-0) via Verbal Submission (Armbar) in 1:40 of round 1
2019-03-29: L vs. [#67LW] Brandon Girtz (16-9-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Mandel Nallo (2-1-0)
2019-10-25: L vs. [#174LW] Killys Mota (12-1-0) via TKO (Leg Injury) in 1:16 of round 3
2018-10-12: W vs. [#156LW] Carrington Banks (9-2-0) via KO (Knee) in 0:57 of round 2
2017-12-01: W vs. [*] Alec Williams (6-2-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:18 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Saad Awad 1503.04 +89.39 60.07%
Elo Modified Saad Awad 1520.09 +51.14 55.57%
Glicko-1 Saad Awad 1538.54 +88.14 62.42%
WHR Saad Awad 1519.77 +71.98 58.15%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Saad Awad 355, Mandel Nallo 356
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[NA] Kastriot Xhema (3-4-0) vs. [NA] Albert Gonzales (1-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Kastriot Xhema (1-2-0)
2019-08-24: L vs. [#868MW] Connor Dixon (2-1-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:08 of round 3
2019-06-14: W vs. [NA] Whitney Jean-Francois (2-7-1) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:17 of round 2
2019-02-16: L vs. [*] Kemran Lachinov (9-2-0) via Technical Submission (Kneebar) in 0:58 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Albert Gonzales (1-2-0)
2019-09-07: L vs. [#805MW] Tyson Miller (1-0-0) via TKO (Leg Injury) in 1:18 of round 1
2019-08-02: W vs. [NA] Havier Pedroza (0-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:53 of round 1
2018-12-07: L vs. [*] James Porter (1-0-0) via UD ()

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kastriot Xhema 418, Albert Gonzales 404
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#68WW] Curtis Millender (18-6-0) vs. [#164] Joe Schilling (4-6-0)

Last 3 Fights: Curtis Millender (1-2-0)
2020-08-07: L vs. [#64WW] Sabah Homasi (14-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-01-25: W vs. [#299MW] Moses Murrietta (8-4-0) via UD ()
2019-04-13: L vs. [#22WW] Belal Muhammad (17-3-0) via UD (30-26, 29-27, 29-27)

Last 3 Fights: Joe Schilling (2-1-0)
2019-10-04: L vs. [#105MW] Tony Johnson (8-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:07 of round 3
2019-03-29: W vs. [#295MW] Keith Berry (17-15-1) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2018-11-30: W vs. [#265LW] Will Morris (6-1-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Curtis Millender 1615.66 +444.90 88.42%
Elo Modified Curtis Millender 1622.76 +411.83 85.85%
Glicko-1 Curtis Millender 1642.65 +434.07 92.40%
WHR Curtis Millender 1574.50 +174.86 68.98%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Curtis Millender 69, Joe Schilling 377
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#115] Steve Mowry (7-0-0) vs. [#167] Shawn Teed (6-2-1)

Last 3 Fights: Steve Mowry (3-0-0)
2019-10-25: W vs. [#267HW+] Gokhan Saricam (5-1-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 0:56 of round 2
2019-02-15: W vs. [NA] Darion Abbey (1-2-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 1:27 of round 1
2018-09-21: W vs. [*] Ben Moa (4-1-0) via Submission (Keylock) in 2:40 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Shawn Teed (1-1-1)
2019-11-16: W vs. [#240HW+] Ben Reiter (17-3-1) via TKO in 2:27 of round 3
2019-08-16: D vs. [#255HW+] Marino Eatman (5-3-1) via DRAW in 5:00 of round 3
2018-07-31: L vs. [#194HW+] Juan Adams (5-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:17 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Steve Mowry 1434.28 +60.50 56.87%
Elo Modified Steve Mowry 1531.82 +88.08 59.52%
Glicko-1 Steve Mowry 1494.96 +94.22 63.24%
WHR Steve Mowry 1494.77 +197.44 71.14%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Steve Mowry 356, Shawn Teed 334
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Steve Mowry leads 1-0
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#236] Christian Edwards (3-0-0) vs. [#303] Hamza Salim (5-3-0)

Last 3 Fights: Christian Edwards (3-0-0)
2020-02-21: W vs. [#440LHW] DiMarcco Hutchison (3-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-25)
2019-11-08: W vs. [NA] Cesar Bennett (0-1-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:16 of round 1
2019-07-12: W vs. [*] Justin Vargas (3-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:54 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Hamza Salim (2-1-0)
2020-08-07: L vs. [#208LHW] Grant Neal (4-0-0) via UD (30-26, 30-24, 30-27)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#757WW] Brad Grelck (6-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:59 of round 1
2017-11-10: W vs. [NA] Liam Stevenson (0-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:46 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Christian Edwards 1233.05 +67.88 57.69%
Elo Modified Christian Edwards 1366.32 +174.03 68.18%
Glicko-1 Christian Edwards 1247.01 +29.86 54.29%
WHR Christian Edwards 1192.68 +62.54 57.09%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Christian Edwards 237, Hamza Salim 69
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#266] Kyle Crutchmer (6-0-0) vs. [*] Kemran Lachinov (9-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Kyle Crutchmer (3-0-0)
2020-02-21: W vs. [#351MW] Scott Futrell (10-11-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 2:58 of round 1
2019-11-08: W vs. [#706WW] Robert Gidron (4-5-0) via UD ()
2019-02-01: W vs. [#369WW] Josh Weston (8-8-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Kemran Lachinov (3-0-0)
2019-06-01: W vs. [NA] Billy Goff (2-2-0) via UD ()
2019-02-16: W vs. [NA] Kastriot Xhema (3-4-0) via Technical Submission (Kneebar) in 0:58 of round 2
2018-10-12: W vs. [*] Sean Lally (8-5-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Kemran Lachinov 1433.60 +46.23 55.26%
Elo Modified Kyle Crutchmer 1476.02 +22.61 52.47%
Glicko-1 Kemran Lachinov 1429.57 +19.24 52.76%
WHR Kyle Crutchmer 1333.51 +34.60 53.94%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kyle Crutchmer 237, Kemran Lachinov 502
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (140)
[#234BW] DaMon Blackshear (7-3-0) vs. [#1731] Mike Kimbel (3-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: DaMon Blackshear (2-1-0)
2019-10-25: W vs. [#699FW] Kody Nordby (9-6-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 1:00 of round 2
2018-12-14: L vs. [#214FW] Pat Sabatini (12-3-0) via UD ()
2018-09-22: W vs. [*] Chris Wright (8-8-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:06 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Mike Kimbel (1-2-0)
2019-08-24: L vs. [#1225FW] Chris Disonell (4-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:54 of round 1
2019-06-14: W vs. [*] Sebastian Ruiz (2-3-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 30-27)
2019-02-15: L vs. [#831BW] John Douma (4-2-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:51 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 DaMon Blackshear 1282.54 +249.37 75.75%
Elo Modified DaMon Blackshear 1343.36 +301.49 78.91%
Glicko-1 DaMon Blackshear 1366.72 +377.83 89.80%
WHR DaMon Blackshear 1312.61 +313.80 80.75%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: DaMon Blackshear 356, Mike Kimbel 418
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#65] Andrew Kapel (15-7-0) vs. [#214] Joseph Creer (7-1-1)

Last 3 Fights: Andrew Kapel (2-1-0)
2020-08-21: L vs. [#18MW] John Salter (18-4-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:11 of round 3
2019-11-08: W vs. [#67LHW] Muhammed Lawal (21-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 1
2019-02-02: W vs. [*] Tyler Hufnagle (5-2-0) via SUB in 2:48 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Joseph Creer (2-1-0)
2019-12-20: W vs. [#309MW] Ty Gwerder (5-1-0) via UD ()
2019-08-24: L vs. [#94MW] Austin Vanderford (10-0-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2018-07-28: W vs. [*] Dervin Lopez (8-5-0) via TKO in 2:40 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Andrew Kapel 1667.45 +262.36 76.83%
Elo Modified Andrew Kapel 1664.33 +224.05 72.73%
Glicko-1 Andrew Kapel 1698.64 +328.47 86.89%
WHR Andrew Kapel 1633.84 +299.24 79.69%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andrew Kapel 55, Joseph Creer 300
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#613LW] Aviv Gozali (4-0-0) vs. [#1391LW] Logan Neal (1-0-0)

Last 3 Fights: Aviv Gozali (3-0-0)
2019-11-15: W vs. [#1269LW] Zaka Fatullazade (17-10-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 0:56 of round 1
2019-08-24: W vs. [#1086WW] Eduard Muravitskiy (10-10-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 0:11 of round 1
2019-04-27: W vs. [NA] Travis Crain (0-4-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:15 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Logan Neal (1-0-0)
2019-11-01: W vs. [NA] Paul Teague (1-2-0) via Submission in 4:08 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Aviv Gozali 1263.68 +173.83 68.87%
Elo Modified Aviv Gozali 1324.59 +165.73 67.38%
Glicko-1 Aviv Gozali 1304.44 +202.93 76.28%
WHR Aviv Gozali 1253.20 +199.25 71.31%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Aviv Gozali 335, Logan Neal 349
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Patricky Freire
Highest Stored DD Rating: Cristiane Justino
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Patricky Freire vs. Jaleel Willis
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Cristiane Justino vs. Arlene Blencowe
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Good [***]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Very Low [*½]
Run Date: 2020-10-11