Fight Matrix Program – Bellator 244: Bader vs. Nemkov (2020-08-21)

16 Aug , 2020,
Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#2] Ryan Bader (27-5-0) vs. [#5] Vadim Nemkov (11-2-0)
Ryan Bader is the All-Time #16 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Vadim Nemkov is the All-Time #39 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ryan Bader (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2019-09-07: NC vs. [#10HW+] Cheick Kongo (30-10-2)
2019-01-26: W vs. [#20HW+] Fedor Emelianenko (39-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:35 of round 1
2018-10-12: W vs. [#28HW+] Matt Mitrione (13-8-0) via UD (30-25, 30-24, 30-25)

Last 3 Fights: Vadim Nemkov (3-0-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#37LHW] Rafael Carvalho (16-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:56 of round 2
2018-11-15: W vs. [#6LHW] Phil Davis (21-5-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-02-16: W vs. [*] Liam McGeary (13-4-0) via TKO (Leg Kicks) in 4:02 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Ryan Bader 2287.08 +386.41 85.39%
Elo Modified Ryan Bader 2245.30 +360.73 82.91%
Glicko-1 Ryan Bader 2318.67 +353.99 88.47%
WHR Ryan Bader 2108.84 +208.46 72.16%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ryan Bader 349, Vadim Nemkov 314
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ryan Bader leads 2-1
.

Women Featherweight (145)
[#4] Julia Budd (13-3-0) vs. [#15] Jessy Miele (9-3-0)

Last 3 Fights: Julia Budd (2-1-0)
2020-01-25: L vs. [#2FW/#4DD/#5P4P] Cristiane Justino (22-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:14 of round 4
2019-07-12: W vs. [#19FW] Olga Rubin (6-2-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 2:14 of round 1
2018-07-13: W vs. [#24FW] Talita Nogueira (7-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:07 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Jessy Miele (3-0-0)
2019-10-25: W vs. [#24FW] Talita Nogueira (7-2-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 30-27)
2019-05-31: W vs. [#32FW] Elizabeth Phillips (6-7-0) via SD (29-27, 30-26, 28-29)
2019-01-19: W vs. [NA] Kylie OHearn (1-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:27 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Julia Budd 1634.20 +237.57 74.75%
Elo Modified Julia Budd 1598.97 +256.98 75.49%
Glicko-1 Julia Budd 1596.45 +308.46 85.51%
WHR Julia Budd 1597.95 +309.58 80.44%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julia Budd 209, Jessy Miele 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Julia Budd leads 2-1
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#16] Valentin Moldavsky (9-1-0) vs. [#36] Roy Nelson (23-18-0)

Last 3 Fights: Valentin Moldavsky (3-0-0)
2020-02-21: W vs. [#43HW+] Javy Ayala (11-8-0) via UD (30-24, 30-25, 30-24)
2019-03-22: W vs. [#12HW+] Linton Vassell (19-8-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2018-07-13: W vs. [*] Ernest James (1-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:03 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Roy Nelson (0-3-0)
2019-10-25: L vs. [#29HW+] Frank Mir (19-13-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-02-16: L vs. [*] Mirko Filipovic (38-11-2) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-10-12: L vs. [#22HW+] Sergei Kharitonov (31-9-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 4:59 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Valentin Moldavsky 1691.14 +218.29 73.05%
Elo Modified Valentin Moldavsky 1761.36 +206.13 71.14%
Glicko-1 Valentin Moldavsky 1764.41 +164.96 72.10%
WHR Valentin Moldavsky 1776.97 +252.58 76.02%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Valentin Moldavsky 182, Roy Nelson 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#24] John Salter (17-4-0) vs. [#44] Andrew Kapel (15-6-0)

Last 3 Fights: John Salter (2-1-0)
2019-11-08: W vs. [#55MW] Costello Van Steenis (12-2-0) via UD ()
2018-11-30: W vs. [#68MW] Chidi Njokuani (18-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:32 of round 1
2018-09-21: L vs. [#8MW] Rafael Lovato Jr. (10-0-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:27 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Andrew Kapel (3-0-0)
2019-11-08: W vs. [#64LHW] Muhammed Lawal (21-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 1
2019-02-02: W vs. [*] Tyler Hufnagle (5-2-0) via SUB in 2:48 of round 1
2018-04-14: W vs. [*] Kevin Nowaczyk (20-4-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 John Salter 1870.18 +152.97 66.79%
Elo Modified John Salter 1854.86 +143.34 65.19%
Glicko-1 John Salter 1905.27 +139.59 69.08%
WHR John Salter 1841.19 +142.25 65.70%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: John Salter 287, Andrew Kapel 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#49] Josh Hill (19-3-0) vs. [#94] Erik Perez (19-7-0)

Last 3 Fights: Josh Hill (3-0-0)
2020-02-21: W vs. [#250BW] Vinicius Zani (11-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#831BW] Gilberto Aguilar (17-18-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:38 of round 1
2019-05-24: W vs. [#106BW] Jesse Arnett (16-6-0) via TKO in 2:11 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Erik Perez (2-1-0)
2019-12-20: L vs. [#126FW] Toby Misech (11-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:54 of round 1
2018-11-17: W vs. [#673BW] Andres Ayala (13-8-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:39 of round 1
2018-04-20: W vs. [#344BW] D.J. Fuentes (13-12-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Josh Hill 1702.69 +104.24 61.69%
Elo Modified Josh Hill 1700.78 +103.26 61.11%
Glicko-1 Josh Hill 1732.96 +145.52 69.80%
WHR Josh Hill 1686.41 +206.39 71.97%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josh Hill 182, Erik Perez 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Erik Perez leads 1-0
.

Lightweight (155)
[#47] Adam Piccolotti (12-3-0) vs. [#72] Sidney Outlaw (14-4-0)

Last 3 Fights: Adam Piccolotti (2-1-0)
2019-09-07: W vs. [#500WW] Jake Smith (7-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:34 of round 2
2019-04-27: L vs. [#18LW] Ben Henderson (28-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-09-29: W vs. [#263WW] James Terry (20-11-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Sidney Outlaw (2-1-0)
2019-12-29: L vs. [#8LW] Michael Chandler (21-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:59 of round 1
2019-11-15: W vs. [#332LW] Roger Huerta (24-12-1) via UD ()
2019-05-17: W vs. [#564LW] Cesar Balmaceda (6-2-0) via SUB in 2:30 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Sidney Outlaw 1686.52 +14.65 51.67%
Elo Modified Adam Piccolotti 1740.18 +35.37 53.86%
Glicko-1 Adam Piccolotti 1797.70 +93.60 63.16%
WHR Sidney Outlaw 1636.99 +1.04 50.12%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Adam Piccolotti 349, Sidney Outlaw 236
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#1657] Will Smith (3-1-0) vs. [#1937] Lucas Brennan (2-0-0)

Last 3 Fights: Will Smith (2-1-0)
2019-09-07: W vs. [NA] Aaron Reese (0-1-0) via UD ()
2019-07-20: W vs. [NA] Carl Langston (0-5-0) via UD ()
2019-05-31: L vs. [#625BW] Ashiek Ajim (3-0-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Lucas Brennan (2-0-0)
2019-11-08: W vs. [NA] Jacob Landin (0-3-0) via Submission (Forearm Choke) in 3:36 of round 1
2019-07-12: W vs. [NA] Thomas Lopez (1-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:02 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Lucas Brennan 1080.17 +11.33 51.29%
Elo Modified Lucas Brennan 1100.52 +44.76 54.88%
Glicko-1 Lucas Brennan 1104.84 +28.77 54.13%
WHR Lucas Brennan 1082.43 +27.57 53.14%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Will Smith 349, Lucas Brennan 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#511] Vladimir Tokov (5-0-0) vs. [*] Christian Gonzalez (3-1-0)

Last 3 Fights: Vladimir Tokov (3-0-0)
2019-10-04: W vs. [#896LW] Brandon Hastings (6-4-0) via UD ()
2019-03-22: W vs. [*] Ryan Walker (8-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-07-21: W vs. [#1419LW] Evgeniy Plaksin (10-11-1) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Christian Gonzalez (2-1-0)
2018-10-20: W vs. [NA] Tyrese McCloud (0-6-0) via SUB in 1:30 of round 1
2017-01-21: L vs. [#63WW] Daniel Rodriguez (12-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:55 of round 2
2016-04-25: W vs. [NA] Hector Saldana (3-4-0) via TKO in of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Vladimir Tokov 1328.43 +251.63 75.94%
Elo Modified Vladimir Tokov 1399.28 +328.47 80.81%
Glicko-1 Vladimir Tokov 1315.45 +207.56 76.76%
WHR Vladimir Tokov 1292.20 +169.56 68.45%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vladimir Tokov 322, Christian Gonzalez 671
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#868] Lance Gibson Jr. (3-0-0) vs. [*] Shane Kruchten (12-5-0)

Last 3 Fights: Lance Gibson Jr. (3-0-0)
2019-10-26: W vs. [NA] Dominic Jones (2-3-0) via KO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:58 of round 1
2019-03-08: W vs. [*] Myles Merola (11-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:09 of round 1
2017-12-09: W vs. [NA] Sterling Lenz (3-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:15 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Shane Kruchten (1-2-0)
2019-03-29: L vs. [#116FW] Daniel Straus (26-9-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:53 of round 1
2018-01-20: L vs. [#99FW] Aaron Pico (6-3-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 0:37 of round 1
2016-12-31: W vs. [*] Jeremy Mahon (5-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Shane Kruchten 1228.41 +22.31 52.55%
Elo Modified Lance Gibson Jr. 1305.16 +86.58 59.36%
Glicko-1 Lance Gibson Jr. 1235.94 +47.51 56.80%
WHR Lance Gibson Jr. 1195.66 +65.56 57.43%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lance Gibson Jr. 300, Shane Kruchten 511
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#608] Salim Mukhidinov (7-4-0) vs. [#787] Weber Almeida (3-0-0)

Last 3 Fights: Salim Mukhidinov (1-2-0)
2020-02-21: L vs. [#333FW] Cris Lencioni (10-2-0) via SD ()
2019-10-04: W vs. [#1037FW] Adel Altamimi (8-7-0) via UD ()
2017-05-06: L vs. [#174LW] Humberto Bandenay (18-8-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:40 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Weber Almeida (3-0-0)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#1788FW] Castle Williams (4-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:20 of round 2
2019-01-26: W vs. [NA] Odan Ruiz (0-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:04 of round 1
2015-09-05: W vs. [NA] Bruno Senna (1-1-0) via TKO in 2:20 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Weber Almeida 1219.91 +7.22 50.83%
Elo Modified Weber Almeida 1319.85 +62.30 56.78%
Glicko-1 Salim Mukhidinov 1307.01 +59.69 58.51%
WHR Weber Almeida 1270.22 +7.33 50.84%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Salim Mukhidinov 182, Weber Almeida 328
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (175)
[#53] Yaroslav Amosov (23-0-0) vs. [#124] Mark Lemminger (11-1-0)

Last 3 Fights: Yaroslav Amosov (3-0-0)
2020-02-21: W vs. [#93WW] Ed Ruth (8-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-08-24: W vs. [#105WW] David Rickels (21-6-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:05 of round 2
2019-02-16: W vs. [#131WW] Erick Silva (20-11-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Mark Lemminger (3-0-0)
2020-07-24: W vs. [#500WW] Jake Smith (7-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:46 of round 2
2019-09-05: W vs. [#304LW] Ben Egli (12-4-0) via UD ()
2019-06-28: W vs. [#742WW] Isaac Steele (7-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:14 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Yaroslav Amosov 1892.15 +274.35 77.79%
Elo Modified Yaroslav Amosov 1888.38 +238.30 73.95%
Glicko-1 Yaroslav Amosov 1915.04 +281.02 83.44%
WHR Yaroslav Amosov 1821.02 +301.06 79.83%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yaroslav Amosov 182, Mark Lemminger 28
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (150)
[#201FW] John de Jesus (11-8-0) vs. [*] Vladislav Parubchenko (16-1-0)

Last 3 Fights: John de Jesus (2-1-0)
2020-01-11: W vs. [#639FW] Josh Rohler (6-3-0) via TKO in 2:39 of round 2
2019-11-16: W vs. [#801FW] Ethan Goss (5-5-0) via TKO in 2:13 of round 2
2019-05-31: L vs. [#233FW] Frank Buenafuente (10-4-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Vladislav Parubchenko (3-0-0)
2018-07-09: W vs. [*] Alexey Gannenko (6-7-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:58 of round 1
2017-05-27: W vs. [*] Artem Budur (4-7-0) via SUB in 4:22 of round 1
2017-02-11: W vs. [#229FW] Takahiro Ashida (23-10-2) via SUB in 3:20 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Vladislav Parubchenko 1568.55 +146.86 66.17%
Elo Modified Vladislav Parubchenko 1596.98 +131.67 64.02%
Glicko-1 Vladislav Parubchenko 1660.74 +178.35 73.63%
WHR Vladislav Parubchenko 1593.49 +172.43 68.73%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: John de Jesus 223, Vladislav Parubchenko 774
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Ryan Bader
Highest Stored DD Rating: Ryan Bader
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Ryan Bader vs. Vadim Nemkov
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Ryan Bader vs. Vadim Nemkov
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2020-8-16