Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN+ 25: Anderson vs. Blachowicz 2 (02-15-2020)

11 Feb , 2020,
Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#5] Jan Blachowicz (25-8-0, +184) vs. [#9] Corey Anderson (13-4-0, -227)
Jan Blachowicz is the All-Time #29 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Corey Anderson is the All-Time #38 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jan Blachowicz (2-1-0)
2019-11-16: W vs. [#10MW] Ronaldo Souza (26-8-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#12LHW] Luke Rockhold (16-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:39 of round 2
2019-02-23: L vs. [#3LHW] Thiago Santos (21-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:39 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Corey Anderson (3-0-0)
2019-11-02: W vs. [#27LHW] Johnny Walker (17-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:07 of round 1
2018-12-29: W vs. [#47HW+] Ilir Latifi (14-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-07-22: W vs. [#11LHW] Glover Teixeira (30-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Corey Anderson – Win%: 66.34
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jan Blachowicz (2064.49) [+64.86] – Win%: 57.36
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jan Blachowicz (2017.04) [+3.13] – Win%: 50.34
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Jan Blachowicz (2033.48) [+26.79] – Win%: 54.90
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jan Blachowicz 91, Corey Anderson 105
Previous Match-up Record: Corey Anderson leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#61] Diego Sanchez (29-12-0, +133) vs. [#142] Michel Pereira (24-10-0, -160)
Diego Sanchez is the All-Time #23 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Diego Sanchez (2-1-0)
2019-07-06: L vs. [#9WW] Michael Chiesa (17-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-03-02: W vs. [#155WW] Mickey Gall (6-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:13 of round 2
2018-09-08: W vs. [#248WW] Craig White (14-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Michel Pereira (2-1-0)
2019-09-14: L vs. [#92WW] Tristan Connelly (14-6-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-28)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#115WW] Danny Roberts (17-5-0) via KO (Flying Knee and Punch) in 1:47 of round 1
2019-02-23: W vs. [#571HW+] Dae Sung Kim (4-6-0) via TKO in 1:02 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Michel Pereira – Win%: 58.91
Elo Favorite (Standard): Diego Sanchez (1711.43) [+187.22] – Win%: 70.17
Elo Favorite (Modified): Diego Sanchez (1707.76) [+158.73] – Win%: 66.70
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Diego Sanchez (1668.64) [+98.66] – Win%: 68.00
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Diego Sanchez 224, Michel Pereira 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#57] Devin Clark (10-4-0) vs. [#164] Dequan Townsend (22-10-0)

Last 3 Fights: Devin Clark (1-2-0)
2019-10-12: L vs. [#14LHW] Ryan Spann (17-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:01 of round 2
2019-06-01: W vs. [#121LHW] Darko Stosic (13-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#19LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (12-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Dequan Townsend (1-2-0)
2020-01-25: L vs. [#128MW] Bevon Lewis (7-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-06-29: L vs. [#74LHW] Dalcha Lungiambula (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 0:42 of round 3
2019-03-09: W vs. [#399LHW] Wayman Carter (7-10-0) via SUB in of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Devin Clark (1553.42) [+247.08] – Win%: 75.56
Elo Favorite (Modified): Devin Clark (1573.65) [+242.13] – Win%: 74.27
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Devin Clark (1535.67) [+188.83] – Win%: 81.19
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Devin Clark 126, Dequan Townsend 21
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#39] Mara Romero Borella (12-6-0, +147) vs. [#46] Montana De La Rosa (9-5-0, -176)

Last 3 Fights: Mara Romero Borella (1-2-0)
2019-08-03: L vs. [#12FLY] Lauren Murphy (12-4-0) via TKO (Knee and Elbows) in 1:46 of round 3
2019-02-02: W vs. [#36FLY] Taila Santos (15-1-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-01-27: L vs. [#2FLY] Katlyn Chookagian (13-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Montana De La Rosa (2-1-0)
2019-06-22: L vs. [#18FLY] Andrea Lee (11-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-02-09: W vs. [#164FLY] Nadia Kassem (5-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:37 of round 2
2018-07-06: W vs. [#129FLY] Rachael Ostovich (4-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:21 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Montana De La Rosa – Win%: 61.16
Elo Favorite (Standard): Mara Romero Borella (1350.70) [+60.39] – Win%: 56.85
Elo Favorite (Modified): Montana De La Rosa (1328.53) [+17.70] – Win%: 51.93
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Montana De La Rosa (1334.66) [+36.68] – Win%: 57.17
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mara Romero Borella 196, Montana De La Rosa 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#208] Brok Weaver (14-4-0, -279) vs. [#319] Rodrigo Vargas (10-3-0, +223)

Last 3 Fights: Brok Weaver (3-0-0)
2019-08-13: W vs. [#518WW] Devin Smyth (9-2-0) via UD ()
2019-02-07: W vs. [#1127WW] James Freeman (6-3-0) via DQ in 3:27 of round 1
2018-12-21: W vs. [#392WW] Tyler Hill (10-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:41 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Rodrigo Vargas (2-1-0)
2019-08-10: L vs. [#188LW] Alex da Silva Coelho (21-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-05-18: W vs. [*] Mike de la Torre (14-9-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:18 of round 1
2017-06-30: W vs. [#1039LW] Danny Ramirez (6-6-0) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Brok Weaver – Win%: 70.39
Elo Favorite (Standard): Brok Weaver (1533.09) [+170.03] – Win%: 68.50
Elo Favorite (Modified): Brok Weaver (1451.74) [+6.88] – Win%: 50.75
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Rodrigo Vargas (1470.38) [+44.47] – Win%: 58.44
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brok Weaver 186, Rodrigo Vargas 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#51] Yancy Medeiros (15-6-0, -119) vs. [#167] Lando Vannata (10-4-2, -105)

Last 3 Fights: Yancy Medeiros (1-2-0)
2019-01-19: L vs. [#22LW] Gregor Gillespie (13-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 2
2018-02-18: L vs. [#19WW] Donald Cerrone (36-14-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:58 of round 1
2017-12-02: W vs. [#44WW] Alex Oliveira (20-8-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:02 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Lando Vannata (1-1-1)
2019-09-28: L vs. [#76LW] Marc Diakiese (14-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2019-02-09: W vs. [#973LW] Marcos Mariano (6-6-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 4:55 of round 1
2018-11-03: D vs. [#117LW] Matt Frevola (8-1-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Yancy Medeiros – Win%: 51.47
Elo Favorite (Standard): Yancy Medeiros (1745.93) [+353.16] – Win%: 83.39
Elo Favorite (Modified): Yancy Medeiros (1738.51) [+309.97] – Win%: 79.52
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Yancy Medeiros (1694.59) [+236.22] – Win%: 85.99
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yancy Medeiros 392, Lando Vannata 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#54] Tim Means (29-11-1) vs. [#266] Daniel Rodriguez (10-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Tim Means (2-1-0)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#85WW] Thiago Alves (23-15-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:38 of round 1
2019-03-09: L vs. [#50WW] Niko Price (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:50 of round 1
2018-11-30: W vs. [#167WW] Ricky Rainey (13-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:18 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Rodriguez (3-0-0)
2019-12-19: W vs. [#579WW] Jackie Gosh (8-3-0) via in of round 1
2019-07-30: W vs. [#867WW] Rico Farrington (7-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-02-22: W vs. [#1688WW] Evan Solorio (4-3-0) via KO (Knee) in 2:31 of round 2

Elo Favorite (Standard): Tim Means (1686.82) [+225.52] – Win%: 73.70
Elo Favorite (Modified): Tim Means (1730.32) [+242.55] – Win%: 74.31
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Tim Means (1695.15) [+207.17] – Win%: 83.30
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tim Means 70, Daniel Rodriguez 58
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#22] John Dodson (20-11-0, +131) vs. [#23] Nathaniel Wood (16-3-0, -158)
John Dodson is the All-Time #29 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: John Dodson (1-2-0)
2019-02-23: L vs. [#5BW] Petr Yan (14-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-09-08: L vs. [#11BW] Jimmie Rivera (22-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-03-03: W vs. [#7BW] Pedro Munhoz (18-4-0) via SD (30-27, 29-28, 28-29)

Last 3 Fights: Nathaniel Wood (3-0-0)
2019-03-16: W vs. [#70BW] Jose Alberto Quinonez (8-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:46 of round 2
2018-12-29: W vs. [#55BW] Andre Ewell (16-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:12 of round 3
2018-06-01: W vs. [*] Johnny Eduardo (28-12-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:18 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Nathaniel Wood – Win%: 58.58
Elo Favorite (Standard): Nathaniel Wood (1784.00) [+51.77] – Win%: 55.88
Elo Favorite (Modified): Nathaniel Wood (1767.78) [+4.37] – Win%: 50.48
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Nathaniel Wood (1771.10) [+25.87] – Win%: 54.92
Days Since Last Pro Fight: John Dodson 357, Nathaniel Wood 336
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#27] Jim Miller (31-13-0, +124) vs. [#47] Scott Holtzman (13-3-0, -150)
Jim Miller is the All-Time #40 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jim Miller (2-1-0)
2019-08-03: W vs. [#56LW] Clay Guida (35-19-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:58 of round 1
2019-04-27: W vs. [#513LW] Jason Gonzalez (11-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:12 of round 1
2018-12-15: L vs. [#7LW] Charles Oliveira (28-8-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:15 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Scott Holtzman (2-1-0)
2019-08-03: W vs. [#221LW] Dong Hyun Ma (17-11-3) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2019-02-17: L vs. [#47FW] Nik Lentz (30-11-2) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-10-06: W vs. [*] Alan Patrick Silva Alves (15-2-0) via KO (Elbows) in 3:42 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Scott Holtzman – Win%: 57.33
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jim Miller (1775.60) [+57.29] – Win%: 56.51
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jim Miller (1760.76) [+52.64] – Win%: 55.74
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Jim Miller (1771.20) [+60.97] – Win%: 61.33
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jim Miller 196, Scott Holtzman 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#9] Ray Borg (12-4-0, -147) vs. [#15] Rogerio Bontorin (16-1-0, +122)
Ray Borg is the All-Time #16 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ray Borg (1-2-0)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#136BW] Gabriel Silva (8-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-03-30: L vs. [#32BW] Casey Kenney (13-1-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2017-10-07: L vs. [#8BW/#3P4P] Demetrious Johnson (30-3-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:15 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Rogerio Bontorin (3-0-0)
2019-08-10: W vs. [#64FLY] Raulian Paiva (18-3-0) via TKO (Cut) in 2:56 of round 1
2019-02-02: W vs. [#23FLY] Magomed Bibulatov (15-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-08-10: W vs. [*] Gustavo Gabriel Silva (13-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:37 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ray Borg – Win%: 56.91
Elo Favorite (Standard): Rogerio Bontorin (1747.19) [+46.01] – Win%: 55.24
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ray Borg (1739.45) [+22.65] – Win%: 52.48
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Rogerio Bontorin (1737.67) [+30.53] – Win%: 55.72
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ray Borg 210, Rogerio Bontorin 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#32] Casey Kenney (13-1-1, +176) vs. [#34] Merab Dvalishvili (9-4-0, -218)

Last 3 Fights: Casey Kenney (3-0-0)
2019-08-17: W vs. [#194FW] Manny Bermudez (14-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-03-30: W vs. [#9FLY] Ray Borg (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-03-22: W vs. [#282BW] Vince Cachero (7-2-0) via KO (Knee) in 1:38 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Merab Dvalishvili (2-1-0)
2019-05-04: W vs. [#81BW] Brad Katona (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-09-15: W vs. [#269BW] Terrion Ware (17-10-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-25)
2018-04-21: L vs. [#31BW] Ricky Simon (16-3-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 5:00 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Merab Dvalishvili – Win%: 65.42
Elo Favorite (Standard): Casey Kenney (1809.61) [+194.18] – Win%: 70.83
Elo Favorite (Modified): Casey Kenney (1820.40) [+171.10] – Win%: 67.89
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Casey Kenney (1790.03) [+132.59] – Win%: 73.02
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Casey Kenney 182, Merab Dvalishvili 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight (135)
[#12] Macy Chiasson (5-1-0, -160) vs. [#24] Nicco Montano (4-3-0, +132)

Last 3 Fights: Macy Chiasson (2-1-0)
2019-09-28: L vs. [#11BW] Lina Lansberg (10-5-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-27)
2019-05-04: W vs. [#22BW] Sarah Moras (6-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:22 of round 2
2019-03-02: W vs. [#42BW] Gina Mazany (6-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:49 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Nicco Montano (1-2-0)
2019-07-13: L vs. [#6BW] Julianna Pena (9-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)
2017-12-01: W vs. [#7FLY] Roxanne Modafferi (24-16-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 50-45)
2017-01-07: L vs. [#10BW] Julia Avila (7-1-0) via UD (49-47, 49-46, 48-47)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Macy Chiasson – Win%: 58.81
Elo Favorite (Standard): Nicco Montano (1442.57) [+18.71] – Win%: 52.13
Elo Favorite (Modified): Macy Chiasson (1568.30) [+79.55] – Win%: 58.62
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Nicco Montano (1484.39) [+6.98] – Win%: 51.34
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Macy Chiasson 140, Nicco Montano 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#50] Mark De La Rosa (11-3-0, +175) vs. [#64] Raulian Paiva (18-3-0, -216)

Last 3 Fights: Mark De La Rosa (1-2-0)
2019-08-31: L vs. [#24FLY] Kai Kara-France (20-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-03-30: L vs. [#7FLY] Alex Perez (23-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-11-10: W vs. [#166BW] Joby Sanchez (13-5-0) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 28-29)

Last 3 Fights: Raulian Paiva (1-2-0)
2019-08-10: L vs. [#15FLY] Rogerio Bontorin (16-1-0) via TKO (Cut) in 2:56 of round 1
2019-02-09: L vs. [#24FLY] Kai Kara-France (20-8-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-08-11: W vs. [*] Allan Nascimento (17-5-0) via SD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Raulian Paiva – Win%: 65.27
Elo Favorite (Standard): Mark De La Rosa (1512.54) [+7.21] – Win%: 50.82
Elo Favorite (Modified): Raulian Paiva (1525.01) [+38.49] – Win%: 54.20
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Raulian Paiva (1525.02) [+42.76] – Win%: 58.11
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mark De La Rosa 168, Raulian Paiva 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– The Glicko-1 scores in this post are adjusted to better match the 1000 Elo starter rating for an easier comparison.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Jan Blachowicz
Highest Stored DD Rating: Jan Blachowicz
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Jan Blachowicz vs. Corey Anderson
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Jan Blachowicz vs. Corey Anderson
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Moderate [***]
Run Date: 2020-2-9