Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night 166: Blaydes vs. dos Santos (01-25-2020)

22 Jan , 2020,
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Heavyweight (265)
[#4] Junior dos Santos (21-6-0, +197) vs. [#7] Curtis Blaydes (12-2-0, -245)
Junior dos Santos is the All-Time #6 ranked Heavyweight and #25 ranked Absolute fighter.
Curtis Blaydes is the All-Time #41 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Junior dos Santos (2-1-0)
2019-06-29: L vs. [#3HW+] Francis Ngannou (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:11 of round 1
2019-03-09: W vs. [#5HW+] Derrick Lewis (22-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:58 of round 2
2018-12-01: W vs. [#44HW+] Tai Tuivasa (10-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:30 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Curtis Blaydes (2-1-0)
2019-09-07: W vs. [#17HW+] Shamil Abdurakhimov (20-6-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punch) in 2:22 of round 2
2019-03-23: W vs. [#16HW+] Justin Willis (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-25)
2018-11-24: L vs. [#3HW+] Francis Ngannou (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Curtis Blaydes – Win%: 67.83
Elo Favorite (Standard): Junior dos Santos (2018.18) [+70.21] – Win%: 57.95
Elo Favorite (Modified): Junior dos Santos (2029.22) [+65.99] – Win%: 57.17
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Junior dos Santos (2019.20) [+66.54] – Win%: 62.07
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Junior dos Santos 210, Curtis Blaydes 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Curtis Blaydes leads 2-1
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Welterweight (170)
[#7] Rafael dos Anjos (29-12-0, -260) vs. [#25] Michael Chiesa (16-4-0, +209)
Rafael dos Anjos is the All-Time #24 ranked Welterweight and #31 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rafael dos Anjos (1-2-0)
2019-07-20: L vs. [#5WW] Leon Edwards (18-3-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#6LW] Kevin Lee (18-5-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:47 of round 4
2018-11-30: L vs. [#1WW/#3DD/#6P4P] Kamaru Usman (16-1-0) via UD (49-45, 50-43, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Chiesa (2-1-0)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#63WW] Diego Sanchez (29-12-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2018-12-29: W vs. [#75WW] Carlos Condit (30-13-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 0:56 of round 2
2018-07-07: L vs. [#12LW] Anthony Pettis (22-10-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 0:52 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Rafael dos Anjos – Win%: 69.05
Elo Favorite (Standard): Rafael dos Anjos (2029.40) [+89.18] – Win%: 60.05
Elo Favorite (Modified): Rafael dos Anjos (1994.37) [+67.74] – Win%: 57.36
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Rafael dos Anjos (2007.12) [+76.27] – Win%: 63.60
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafael dos Anjos 189, Michael Chiesa 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Rafael dos Anjos leads 2-0
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Featherweight (145)
[#7] Josh Emmett (15-2-0, -103) vs. [#32] Arnold Allen (15-1-0, -120)

Last 3 Fights: Josh Emmett (2-1-0)
2019-07-13: W vs. [#26FW] Mirsad Bektic (13-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:25 of round 1
2019-03-30: W vs. [#84LW] Michael Johnson (19-15-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:14 of round 3
2018-02-24: L vs. [#14FW] Jeremy Stephens (28-17-0) via KO (Elbows) in 1:35 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Arnold Allen (3-0-0)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#100FW] Gilbert Melendez (22-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-03-16: W vs. [#86FW] Jordan Rinaldi (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-26)
2018-05-27: W vs. [#81FW] Mads Burnell (13-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:41 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Arnold Allen – Win%: 51.80
Elo Favorite (Standard): Josh Emmett (1954.82) [+113.53] – Win%: 62.68
Elo Favorite (Modified): Josh Emmett (1940.09) [+106.52] – Win%: 61.45
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Josh Emmett (1937.01) [+96.57] – Win%: 67.16
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josh Emmett 196, Arnold Allen 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#46BW] Alex Perez (22-5-0, -258) vs. [#24] Jordan Espinosa (14-6-0, +207)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Perez (2-1-0)
2019-03-30: W vs. [#50FLY] Mark De La Rosa (11-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-11-30: L vs. [#1FLY] Joseph Benavidez (28-5-0) via TKO (Strikes) in 4:19 of round 1
2018-08-04: W vs. [#17FLY] Jose Torres (9-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:36 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jordan Espinosa (2-1-0)
2019-08-03: L vs. [#12FLY] Matt Schnell (14-5-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 1:23 of round 1
2019-03-23: W vs. [#39FLY] Eric Shelton (13-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-07-10: W vs. [#41FLY] Riley Dutro (12-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:58 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Alex Perez – Win%: 68.87
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alex Perez (1758.70) [+166.34] – Win%: 68.13
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alex Perez (1743.61) [+199.07] – Win%: 70.50
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Alex Perez (1734.31) [+149.08] – Win%: 75.33
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Perez 301, Jordan Espinosa 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#19] Angela Hill (10-7-0, -172) vs. [#37] Hannah Cifers (10-3-0, +143)

Last 3 Fights: Angela Hill (2-1-0)
2019-09-21: W vs. [#51SW] Ariane Carnelossi (12-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 1:56 of round 3
2019-06-08: L vs. [#18SW] Xiaonan Yan (11-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#61SW] Jodie Esquibel (6-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Hannah Cifers (2-1-0)
2019-08-17: W vs. [#61SW] Jodie Esquibel (6-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-03-02: W vs. [#74SW] Polyana Viana (10-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-11-10: L vs. [#14FLY] Maycee Barber (8-1-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:01 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Angela Hill – Win%: 60.58
Elo Favorite (Standard): Angela Hill (1411.96) [+4.35] – Win%: 50.50
Elo Favorite (Modified): Angela Hill (1435.63) [+46.53] – Win%: 55.08
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Angela Hill (1437.67) [+53.22] – Win%: 60.25
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Angela Hill 126, Hannah Cifers 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#90] Jamahal Hill (6-0-0, -133) vs. [#110] Darko Stosic (13-3-0, +108)

Last 3 Fights: Jamahal Hill (3-0-0)
2019-07-23: W vs. [#234LHW] Alexander Poppeck (9-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:29 of round 2
2019-02-16: W vs. [#465HW+] William Vincent (6-9-0) via TKO in 5:00 of round 1
2018-06-30: W vs. [#155MW] Dequan Townsend (22-9-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Darko Stosic (1-2-0)
2019-08-03: L vs. [#88LHW] Kennedy Nzechukwu (7-1-0) via UD (29-26, 28-27, 28-27)
2019-06-01: L vs. [#57LHW] Devin Clark (10-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-07-22: W vs. [#177HW+] Jeremy Kimball (17-9-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:13 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jamahal Hill – Win%: 54.27
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jamahal Hill (1463.04) [+88.28] – Win%: 59.95
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jamahal Hill (1506.93) [+89.59] – Win%: 59.68
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Jamahal Hill (1451.64) [+29.83] – Win%: 55.83
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jamahal Hill 186, Darko Stosic 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#30LW] Nik Lentz (30-10-2, -118) vs. [#126] Nad Narimani (12-3-0, -106)

Last 3 Fights: Nik Lentz (2-1-0)
2019-05-18: L vs. [#7LW] Charles Oliveira (28-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:11 of round 2
2019-02-17: W vs. [#50LW] Scott Holtzman (13-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-10-06: W vs. [*] Gray Maynard (13-7-1) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:19 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Nad Narimani (2-1-0)
2019-03-16: L vs. [#57FW] Mike Grundy (12-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:42 of round 2
2018-11-17: W vs. [#136BW] Anderson dos Santos (20-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-07-22: W vs. [#91BW] Khalid Taha (14-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Nik Lentz – Win%: 51.26
Elo Favorite (Standard): Nik Lentz (1803.26) [+154.67] – Win%: 66.97
Elo Favorite (Modified): Nik Lentz (1800.25) [+127.30] – Win%: 63.58
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Nik Lentz (1794.95) [+134.86] – Win%: 73.25
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nik Lentz 252, Nad Narimani 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#44] Lucie Pudilova (8-5-0, -167) vs. [*] Justine Kish (6-2-0, +139)

Last 3 Fights: Lucie Pudilova (0-3-0)
2019-08-03: L vs. [#12FLY] Antonina Shevchenko (8-1-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:20 of round 2
2019-02-23: L vs. [#4FLY] Liz Carmouche (13-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-09-08: L vs. [#5BW] Irene Aldana (12-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)

Last 3 Fights: Justine Kish (1-2-0)
2018-01-27: L vs. [#42FLY] Ji Yeon Kim (9-2-2) via UD (28-29, 30-27, 29-28)
2017-06-25: L vs. [*] Felice Herrig (14-8-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 30-26)
2016-12-09: W vs. [#38SW] Ashley Yoder (7-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-82)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Lucie Pudilova – Win%: 59.91
Elo Favorite (Standard): Justine Kish (1267.00) [+34.13] – Win%: 53.89
Elo Favorite (Modified): Justine Kish (1345.11) [+37.31] – Win%: 54.07
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Lucie Pudilova (1289.56) [+10.15] – Win%: 52.03
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lucie Pudilova 175, Justine Kish 728
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Lucie Pudilova leads 1-0
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Middleweight (185)
[#155] Dequan Townsend (22-9-0, +302) vs. [#180] Bevon Lewis (6-2-0, -397)

Last 3 Fights: Dequan Townsend (2-1-0)
2019-06-29: L vs. [#73LHW] Dalcha Lungiambula (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 0:42 of round 3
2019-03-09: W vs. [#392LHW] Wayman Carter (7-10-0) via SUB in of round 1
2019-03-09: W vs. [#392LHW] Wayman Carter (7-10-0) via Submission (Guillotine) in 1:31 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Bevon Lewis (1-2-0)
2019-06-08: L vs. [#47MW] Darren Stewart (11-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-12-29: L vs. [#16MW] Uriah Hall (15-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:32 of round 3
2018-07-10: W vs. [#250LHW] Alton Cunningham (7-2-0) via TKO (Knees) in 3:01 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Bevon Lewis – Win%: 76.25
Elo Favorite (Standard): Dequan Townsend (1400.61) [+71.76] – Win%: 58.12
Elo Favorite (Modified): Bevon Lewis (1417.15) [+23.06] – Win%: 52.52
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Dequan Townsend (1385.28) [+0.28] – Win%: 50.06
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dequan Townsend 210, Bevon Lewis 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#20] Montel Jackson (8-1-0, -628) vs. [#190] Felipe Dias Colares (9-1-0, +441)

Last 3 Fights: Montel Jackson (2-1-0)
2019-04-13: W vs. [#106BW] Andre Soukhamthath (13-8-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2018-12-29: W vs. [#31BW] Brian Kelleher (20-10-0) via Submission (DArce Choke) in 1:40 of round 1
2018-08-04: L vs. [#29BW] Ricky Simon (16-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Felipe Dias Colares (2-1-0)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#207BW] Domingo Pilarte (8-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-02-02: L vs. [#88BW] Geraldo de Freitas Jr. (12-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2017-09-30: W vs. [#400FW] Caio Gregorio (7-3-0) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Montel Jackson – Win%: 82.35
Elo Favorite (Standard): Montel Jackson (1599.51) [+72.20] – Win%: 58.17
Elo Favorite (Modified): Montel Jackson (1661.21) [+178.17] – Win%: 68.57
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Montel Jackson (1636.30) [+144.67] – Win%: 75.17
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Montel Jackson 287, Felipe Dias Colares 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight (135)
[#8] Lina Lansberg (10-4-0, +127) vs. [*] Sara McMann (11-5-0, -153)
Sara McMann is the All-Time #32 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Lina Lansberg (2-1-0)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#11BW] Macy Chiasson (5-1-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-27)
2019-06-01: W vs. [#28BW] Tonya Evinger (19-9-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)
2018-10-06: L vs. [#12BW] Yana Kunitskaya (12-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Sara McMann (1-2-0)
2018-02-24: L vs. [#13BW] Marion Reneau (9-5-1) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:40 of round 2
2017-09-09: L vs. [#14BW] Ketlen Vieira (10-1-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:16 of round 2
2017-02-19: W vs. [#55BW] Gina Mazany (5-3-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 1:14 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Sara McMann – Win%: 57.85
Elo Favorite (Standard): Lina Lansberg (1538.37) [+136.28] – Win%: 65.08
Elo Favorite (Modified): Lina Lansberg (1566.08) [+109.33] – Win%: 61.74
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Lina Lansberg (1524.80) [+75.56] – Win%: 64.16
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lina Lansberg 119, Sara McMann 700
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[*] Brett Johns (15-2-0, -101) vs. [#52] Tony Gravely (19-5-0, -124)

Last 3 Fights: Brett Johns (1-2-0)
2018-08-04: L vs. [#7BW] Pedro Munhoz (18-4-0) via UD (30-26, 29-28, 29-27)
2018-04-21: L vs. [#3BW] Aljamain Sterling (18-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-12-01: W vs. [*] Joe Soto (18-7-0) via Submission (Calf Slicer) in 0:30 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tony Gravely (3-0-0)
2019-08-13: W vs. [#265FW] Ray Rodriguez (16-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 3
2019-03-29: W vs. [#226FLY] Darren Mima (10-9-0) via SUB in of round 2
2019-01-19: W vs. [#581BW] Kris Moutinho (7-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:02 of round 4

Odds Favorite (Implied): Tony Gravely – Win%: 52.41
Elo Favorite (Standard): Tony Gravely (1722.10) [+62.83] – Win%: 57.13
Elo Favorite (Modified): Tony Gravely (1741.08) [+65.34] – Win%: 57.10
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Tony Gravely (1718.69) [+45.72] – Win%: 58.65
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brett Johns 539, Tony Gravely 165
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#48] Nate Landwehr (13-2-0, -116) vs. [#89] Herbert Burns (9-2-0, -108)

Last 3 Fights: Nate Landwehr (3-0-0)
2019-06-28: W vs. [#108FW] Viktor Kolesnik (18-4-1) via UD ()
2018-12-15: W vs. [#192FW] Andrey Lezhnev (18-9-0) via TKO in 3:10 of round 3
2018-07-21: W vs. [#253LW] Khamzat Dalgiev (11-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:35 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Herbert Burns (3-0-0)
2019-08-06: W vs. [#131FW] Darrick Minner (24-10-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 2:29 of round 1
2019-04-26: W vs. [#520FW] Luis Gomez (7-4-0) via SUB in 2:24 of round 1
2018-12-21: W vs. [#670FW] Aibek Nurseit (3-2-1) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 2:35 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Nate Landwehr – Win%: 50.84
Elo Favorite (Standard): Nate Landwehr (1801.95) [+185.34] – Win%: 69.99
Elo Favorite (Modified): Nate Landwehr (1779.40) [+112.23] – Win%: 62.04
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Nate Landwehr (1758.37) [+91.64] – Win%: 66.68
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nate Landwehr 211, Herbert Burns 172
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– The Glicko-1 scores in this post are adjusted to better match the 1000 Elo starter rating for an easier comparison.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Junior dos Santos
Highest Stored DD Rating: Josh Emmett
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Junior dos Santos vs. Curtis Blaydes
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Junior dos Santos vs. Curtis Blaydes
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Moderate [***]
Run Date: 2020-1-22