Fight Matrix Program – PFL 2019 #10 (12-31-2019)

30 Dec , 2019,
Jason

Women Featherweight (154)
[#5] Larissa Pacheco (13-3-0, 153.6lb, +711) vs. [#7] Kayla Harrison (6-0-0, 154.8lb, -1245)

Last 3 Fights: Larissa Pacheco (2-1-0)
2019-10-11: W vs. [#8FW] Sarah Kaufman (21-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-07-11: W vs. [#29FW] Bobbi Jo Dalziel (5-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:31 of round 1
2019-05-09: L vs. [#7FW] Kayla Harrison (6-0-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-25)

Last 3 Fights: Kayla Harrison (3-0-0)
2019-10-11: W vs. [#29FW] Bobbi Jo Dalziel (5-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:32 of round 1
2019-07-11: W vs. [#55FW] Morgan Frier (4-3-0) via Submission (Key Lock) in 3:35 of round 1
2019-05-09: W vs. [#5FW] Larissa Pacheco (13-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-25)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Kayla Harrison – Win%: 88.24
Elo Favorite (Standard): Kayla Harrison (1440.10) [+10.97] – Win%: 51.25
Elo Favorite (Modified): Kayla Harrison (1547.65) [+50.90] – Win%: 55.55
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Kayla Harrison (1481.80) [+14.37] – Win%: 52.79
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Larissa Pacheco 81, Kayla Harrison 81
Previous Match-up Record: Kayla Harrison leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (169)
[#39] David Michaud (18-5-0, 169.5lb, +113) vs. [#53] Ray Cooper III (19-7-1, 168.6lb, -142)

Last 3 Fights: David Michaud (3-0-0)
2019-10-11: W vs. [#69WW] Glaico Franca (22-6-0) via MD ()
2019-10-11: W vs. [#62WW] John Howard (28-16-1) via UD ()
2019-07-11: W vs. [#80WW] Handesson Ferreira (14-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:37 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ray Cooper III (1-1-1)
2019-10-11: W vs. [#89WW] Chris Curtis (21-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:11 of round 2
2019-10-11: D vs. [#88WW] Sadibou Sy (8-5-2) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 2
2019-07-11: L vs. [#62WW] John Howard (28-16-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:23 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ray Cooper III – Win%: 55.55
Elo Favorite (Standard): David Michaud (1821.04) [+103.32] – Win%: 61.59
Elo Favorite (Modified): David Michaud (1785.77) [+65.77] – Win%: 57.15
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): David Michaud (1763.86) [+5.34] – Win%: 51.00
Days Since Last Pro Fight: David Michaud 81, Ray Cooper III 81
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: David Michaud leads 2-1
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Heavyweight (258)
[#20] Ali Isaev (8-0-0, 258.8lb, -507) vs. [#36] Jared Rosholt (20-7-0, 250.6lb, +366)

Last 3 Fights: Ali Isaev (3-0-0)
2019-10-31: W vs. [#35HW+] Denis Goltsov (25-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 3
2019-10-31: W vs. [#51HW+] Kelvin Tiller (11-5-0) via UD ()
2019-08-08: W vs. [#138HW+] Carl Seumanutafa (12-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jared Rosholt (3-0-0)
2019-10-31: W vs. [#51HW+] Kelvin Tiller (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-10-31: W vs. [#86HW+] Muhammed DeReese (8-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:41 of round 1
2019-08-08: W vs. [#55HW+] Satoshi Ishii (22-10-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ali Isaev – Win%: 79.55
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ali Isaev (1777.99) [+35.78] – Win%: 54.08
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ali Isaev (1818.91) [+48.46] – Win%: 55.28
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Ali Isaev (1799.19) [+51.12] – Win%: 59.42
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ali Isaev 61, Jared Rosholt 61
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 3 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (154)
[#17] Natan Schulte (19-3-1, 153.6lb, -240) vs. [#34] Loik Radzhabov (14-1-1, 154.8lb, +188)

Last 3 Fights: Natan Schulte (3-0-0)
2019-10-17: W vs. [#51LW] Akhmed Aliev (19-6-0) via Technical Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:26 of round 2
2019-10-17: W vs. [#130LW] Ramsey Nijem (10-8-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:52 of round 1
2019-07-25: W vs. [#162WW] Jesse Ronson (20-10-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Loik Radzhabov (2-0-1)
2019-10-17: W vs. [#37LW] Chris Wade (17-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-10-17: D vs. [#64LW] Islam Mamedov (18-1-1) via Majority Draw in 5:00 of round 2
2019-07-25: W vs. [#168LW] Ylies Djiroun (17-6-0) via SD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Natan Schulte – Win%: 67.03
Elo Favorite (Standard): Natan Schulte (2022.75) [+188.54] – Win%: 70.29
Elo Favorite (Modified): Natan Schulte (1983.08) [+216.72] – Win%: 72.09
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Natan Schulte (1993.82) [+184.56] – Win%: 79.35
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Natan Schulte 75, Loik Radzhabov 75
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Natan Schulte leads 3-1
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Featherweight (144)
[#9] Lance Palmer (21-3-0, 144.6lb, -978) vs. [#35] Alex Gilpin (14-3-0, 144.4lb, +604)
Lance Palmer is the All-Time #49 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Lance Palmer (3-0-0)
2019-10-17: W vs. [#35FW] Alex Gilpin (14-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-10-17: W vs. [#105FW] Alexandre Almeida (21-10-0) via UD ()
2019-07-25: W vs. [#135FW] Luis Rafael Laurentino (34-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:45 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Alex Gilpin (2-1-0)
2019-10-17: L vs. [#9FW] Lance Palmer (21-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-10-17: W vs. [#43FW] Andre Harrison (21-2-1) via Technical Submission (Ninja Front Choke) in 1:49 of round 2
2019-07-25: W vs. [#438FW] Freddy Assuncao (10-2-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:08 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Lance Palmer – Win%: 86.46
Elo Favorite (Standard): Lance Palmer (2108.85) [+298.91] – Win%: 79.67
Elo Favorite (Modified): Lance Palmer (2085.32) [+271.72] – Win%: 76.66
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Lance Palmer (2057.48) [+206.20] – Win%: 82.05
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lance Palmer 75, Alex Gilpin 75
Previous Match-up Record: Lance Palmer leads 2-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (204)
[#25] Emiliano Sordi (21-8-0, 204.4lb, -119) vs. [#28] Jordan Johnson (12-1-1, 202.2lb, -109)

Last 3 Fights: Emiliano Sordi (3-0-0)
2019-10-31: W vs. [#48LHW] Bozigit Ataev (21-5-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:26 of round 1
2019-10-31: W vs. [#470LHW] Sigi Pesaleli (1-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:13 of round 1
2019-08-08: W vs. [#48LHW] Bozigit Ataev (21-5-1) via KO (Punches) in 1:23 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jordan Johnson (2-0-1)
2019-10-31: W vs. [#42LHW] Rashid Yusupov (12-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-27)
2019-10-31: D vs. [#26LHW] Maxim Grishin (30-7-2) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 2
2019-08-08: W vs. [#470LHW] Sigi Pesaleli (1-3-0) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Emiliano Sordi – Win%: 51.02
Elo Favorite (Standard): Emiliano Sordi (1768.74) [+7.57] – Win%: 50.86
Elo Favorite (Modified): Emiliano Sordi (1787.61) [+11.24] – Win%: 51.23
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Emiliano Sordi (1801.55) [+63.67] – Win%: 61.74
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Emiliano Sordi 61, Jordan Johnson 61
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Featherweight (146)
[#70] Brendan Loughnane (18-3-0, 146.0lb, -543) vs. [#554] David Alex Duarte (11-4-0, 145.8lb, +389)

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Loughnane (3-0-0)
2019-10-11: W vs. [#566FW] Matt Wagy (13-7-0) via UD ()
2019-06-18: W vs. [#138FW] Bill Algeo (12-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-11-30: W vs. [#964FW] Amaury Junior (12-9-0) via TKO in 0:44 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: David Alex Duarte (1-2-0)
2019-06-28: L vs. [#489FW] Bruno Tavares (13-5-1) via SD ()
2019-03-06: L vs. [#223LW] Carrington Banks (8-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2018-03-10: W vs. [#1234LW] Suraj Bahadur (5-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:03 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Brendan Loughnane – Win%: 80.50
Elo Favorite (Standard): Brendan Loughnane (1678.29) [+468.02] – Win%: 89.45
Elo Favorite (Modified): Brendan Loughnane (1728.50) [+446.16] – Win%: 87.58
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Brendan Loughnane (1640.73) [+331.68] – Win%: 93.45
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brendan Loughnane 81, David Alex Duarte 186
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– The Glicko-1 scores in this post are adjusted to better match the 1000 Elo starter rating for an easier comparison.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Lance Palmer
Highest Stored DD Rating: Lance Palmer
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Lance Palmer vs. Alex Gilpin
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Lance Palmer vs. Alex Gilpin
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2019-12-30