Fight Matrix Program – Bellator 222: MacDonald vs. Gracie (06-14-2019)

11 Jun , 2019,
jcs
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Welterweight (170)
[#10] Rory MacDonald (20-5-1, -170) vs. [#99] Neiman Gracie (9-0-0, +146)
Rory MacDonald is the All-Time #11 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rory MacDonald (1-1-1)
2019-04-27: D vs. [#14WW] Jon Fitch (32-7-2) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 5
2018-09-29: L vs. [#3MW] Gegard Mousasi (45-6-2) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:23 of round 2
2018-01-20: W vs. [#11WW] Douglas Lima (31-7-0) via UD (49-45, 48-47, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Neiman Gracie (3-0-0)
2018-12-15: W vs. [#184WW] Ed Ruth (6-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:17 of round 4
2018-04-28: W vs. [#155MW] Javier Torres (11-5-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:18 of round 2
2017-10-20: W vs. [#242WW] Zak Bucia (18-11-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 2:27 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Rory MacDonald – Win%: 60.76
Elo Favorite (Standard): Rory MacDonald (2070.02) [+397.79] – Win%: 86.02
Elo Favorite (Modified): Rory MacDonald (2050.10) [+348.65] – Win%: 82.14
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rory MacDonald 48, Neiman Gracie 181
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#12MW] Lyoto Machida (25-8-0, -336) vs. [#32] Chael Sonnen (30-16-1, +269)
Lyoto Machida is the All-Time #8 ranked Light Heavyweight and #17 ranked Absolute fighter.
Chael Sonnen is the All-Time #45 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Lyoto Machida (3-0-0)
2018-12-15: W vs. [#22MW] Rafael Carvalho (15-3-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2018-05-12: W vs. [*] Vitor Belfort (26-14-0) via KO (Front Kick) in 1:00 of round 2
2018-02-03: W vs. [#56LHW] Eryk Anders (11-4-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Chael Sonnen (2-1-0)
2018-10-13: L vs. [#21HW+] Fedor Emelianenko (38-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:46 of round 1
2018-01-20: W vs. [#42HW+] Quinton Jackson (38-13-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-06-24: W vs. [#168HW+] Wanderlei Silva (35-14-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Lyoto Machida – Win%: 73.98
Elo Favorite (Standard): Lyoto Machida (2009.01) [+178.31] – Win%: 69.31
Elo Favorite (Modified): Lyoto Machida (1916.22) [+71.96] – Win%: 57.81
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lyoto Machida 181, Chael Sonnen 244
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Lyoto Machida leads 3-2
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Welterweight (175)
[#1102] Max Humphrey (3-2-0, +534) vs. [#1733] Dillon Danis (1-0-0, -754)

Last 3 Fights: Max Humphrey (1-2-0)
2018-07-28: L vs. [#800WW] Anthony Goldfield (3-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:16 of round 1
2018-01-20: W vs. [*] David Nieto-Clark (2-1-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:46 of round 1
2017-09-30: L vs. [#982WW] Zach Long (2-0-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:19 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Dillon Danis (1-0-0)
2018-04-28: W vs. [NA] Kyle Walker (2-4-0) via Submission (Toe Hold) in 1:38 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Dillon Danis – Win%: 84.84
Elo Favorite (Standard): Dillon Danis (1071.34) [+31.19] – Win%: 53.56
Elo Favorite (Modified): Dillon Danis (1143.86) [+96.64] – Win%: 60.42
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Max Humphrey 321, Dillon Danis 412
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#4] Kyoji Horiguchi (27-2-0, +121) vs. [#12] Darrion Caldwell (13-2-0, -145)
Kyoji Horiguchi is the All-Time #25 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Darrion Caldwell is the All-Time #35 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kyoji Horiguchi (3-0-0)
2019-04-21: W vs. [#125BW] Ben Nguyen (16-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:53 of round 1
2018-12-31: W vs. [#12BW] Darrion Caldwell (13-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:19 of round 3
2018-07-28: W vs. [#133BW] Hiromasa Ogikubo (18-4-2) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Darrion Caldwell (2-1-0)
2018-12-31: L vs. [#4BW] Kyoji Horiguchi (27-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:19 of round 3
2018-08-17: W vs. [#96FW] Noad Lahat (13-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:46 of round 2
2018-03-02: W vs. [#114FW] Leandro Higo (18-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:36 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Darrion Caldwell – Win%: 56.66
Elo Favorite (Standard): Kyoji Horiguchi (2149.36) [+267.44] – Win%: 77.24
Elo Favorite (Modified): Kyoji Horiguchi (2115.10) [+235.29] – Win%: 73.69
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kyoji Horiguchi 54, Darrion Caldwell 165
Previous Match-up Record: Kyoji Horiguchi leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#73] Patrick Mix (10-0-0, +110) vs. [#98] Ricky Bandejas (11-2-0, -134)

Last 3 Fights: Patrick Mix (3-0-0)
2019-02-23: W vs. [#1177BW] Turrell Galloway (8-9-0) via KO in 1:45 of round 1
2018-11-10: W vs. [#316BW] Keith Richardson (18-11-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 3:29 of round 3
2018-09-15: W vs. [#863FW] Fard Muhammad (6-12-0) via SUB in 3:48 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Ricky Bandejas (2-1-0)
2019-01-26: L vs. [#54FW] Juan Archuleta (22-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-08-17: W vs. [#429FW] James Gallagher (8-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:49 of round 1
2017-12-16: W vs. [#497BW] Nick Mamalis (29-14-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:07 of round 4

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ricky Bandejas – Win%: 54.59
Elo Favorite (Standard): Patrick Mix (1608.07) [+43.37] – Win%: 54.94
Elo Favorite (Modified): Patrick Mix (1635.69) [+38.98] – Win%: 54.26
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Patrick Mix 111, Ricky Bandejas 139
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#51] Eduardo Dantas (21-6-0, +181) vs. [#54] Juan Archuleta (22-1-0, -224)

Last 3 Fights: Eduardo Dantas (1-2-0)
2019-02-15: W vs. [#224BW] Toby Misech (10-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-07-13: L vs. [*] Michael McDonald (19-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:58 of round 1
2017-10-06: L vs. [#12BW] Darrion Caldwell (13-2-0) via UD (50-45, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Juan Archuleta (3-0-0)
2019-01-26: W vs. [#98BW] Ricky Bandejas (11-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-11-30: W vs. [#251FW] Jeremy Spoon (22-5-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-26)
2018-06-29: W vs. [#236FW] Robbie Peralta (19-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:14 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Juan Archuleta – Win%: 66.01
Elo Favorite (Standard): Juan Archuleta (1821.59) [+83.09] – Win%: 59.38
Elo Favorite (Modified): Juan Archuleta (1831.73) [+117.20] – Win%: 62.55
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Eduardo Dantas 119, Juan Archuleta 139
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#655] Nekruz Mirkhojaev (4-2-0) vs. [*] Marcus Surin (5-1-0)

Last 3 Fights: Nekruz Mirkhojaev (2-1-0)
2019-02-16: W vs. [#708MW] Pat Casey (4-1-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 1:38 of round 3
2017-09-15: W vs. [#2374LW] Jerome Mickle (3-7-0) via UD ()
2016-10-29: L vs. [#1112LW] Hopeton Stewart (4-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Marcus Surin (2-1-0)
2018-02-16: W vs. [NA] Dean Hancock (3-3-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:50 of round 2
2017-10-20: L vs. [*] Ryan Quinn (14-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2016-06-17: W vs. [NA] Christian Torres (0-1-0) via TKO (Knees) in 2:51 of round 2

Elo Favorite (Standard): Marcus Surin (1278.01) [+45.73] – Win%: 55.20
Elo Favorite (Modified): Marcus Surin (1332.66) [+55.28] – Win%: 56.02
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nekruz Mirkhojaev 118, Marcus Surin 483
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#1103] Sebastian Ruiz (2-2-0) vs. [#1628] Mike Kimbel (2-1-0)

Last 3 Fights: Sebastian Ruiz (1-2-0)
2018-09-21: L vs. [#628BW] Louis Jourdain (5-2-0) via UD ()
2018-06-08: W vs. [NA] Josh Baker (2-3-0) via KO in 1:57 of round 1
2018-05-04: L vs. [#121BW] Jesse Arnett (15-6-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:44 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Mike Kimbel (2-1-0)
2019-02-15: L vs. [#629BW] John Douma (4-1-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:51 of round 1
2018-10-12: W vs. [NA] Alex Potts (1-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:06 of round 1
2018-02-16: W vs. [NA] Geoffrey Then (1-2-0) via TKO (Slam and Punches) in 1:03 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Mike Kimbel (1074.11) [+0.31] – Win%: 50.04
Elo Favorite (Modified): Mike Kimbel (1146.13) [+0.63] – Win%: 50.07
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sebastian Ruiz 266, Mike Kimbel 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#798] Haim Gozali (10-6-0) vs. [#1586] Gustavo Wurlitzer (22-22-0)

Last 3 Fights: Haim Gozali (2-1-0)
2018-12-14: W vs. [NA] Dmitriy Makhotskiy (0-1-0) via SUB in 2:57 of round 1
2018-12-14: W vs. [NA] Alexey Kolesnikov (1-2-0) via SUB in 2:37 of round 1
2018-11-15: L vs. [#251WW] Ryan Couture (12-6-0) via UD (29-27, 30-27, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Gustavo Wurlitzer (2-1-0)
2018-10-27: W vs. [NA] Angel Cabanas (0-3-0) via Submission (Achilles Lock) in 4:48 of round 1
2018-05-06: W vs. [NA] Joao Babinski (0-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:15 of round 1
2018-02-24: L vs. [#752LW] Maxim Pashkov (14-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:06 of round 2

Elo Favorite (Standard): Haim Gozali (1232.34) [+155.40] – Win%: 67.04
Elo Favorite (Modified): Haim Gozali (1254.47) [+195.37] – Win%: 70.17
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Haim Gozali 182, Gustavo Wurlitzer 230
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[*] Heather Hardy (2-1-0) vs. [NA] Taylor Turner (3-5-0)

Last 3 Fights: Heather Hardy (2-1-0)
2018-02-16: W vs. [*] Ana Julaton (2-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-10-20: L vs. [#65FLY] Kristina Williams (3-1-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 2:00 of round 2
2017-06-24: W vs. [NA] Alice Yauger (4-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:47 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Taylor Turner (2-1-0)
2019-04-05: W vs. [NA] Anastasia Bruce (0-3-0) via SUB in 0:49 of round 1
2019-01-19: W vs. [NA] Ashley Hancock Samples (0-3-0) via TKO in 3:49 of round 1
2018-11-16: L vs. [NA] Hayley Turner (2-2-0) via SUB in 1:20 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Heather Hardy 483, Taylor Turner 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#72] Aaron Pico (4-2-0) vs. [#154] Adam Borics (12-0-0)

Last 3 Fights: Aaron Pico (2-1-0)
2019-01-26: L vs. [#24FW] Henry Corrales (17-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:07 of round 1
2018-09-29: W vs. [#114FW] Leandro Higo (18-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:19 of round 1
2018-05-12: W vs. [#522FW] Lee Morrison (19-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:10 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Adam Borics (3-0-0)
2018-09-21: W vs. [#445FW] Josenaldo Silva (25-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:46 of round 3
2018-04-06: W vs. [#937FW] Teodor Nikolov (11-2-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 1:30 of round 2
2017-04-14: W vs. [#1209LW] Anthony Taylor (5-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:12 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Adam Borics (1651.36) [+175.73] – Win%: 69.06
Elo Favorite (Modified): Adam Borics (1636.66) [+74.18] – Win%: 58.05
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Aaron Pico 139, Adam Borics 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[*] Michael Wilcox (6-3-0) vs. [*] Phil Hawes (4-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Wilcox (2-1-0)
2017-05-20: W vs. [#234LHW] Cristhian Torres (15-10-0) via SUB in of round 1
2015-07-18: L vs. [#63MW] Karl Roberson (7-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:11 of round 1
2015-02-07: W vs. [*] Chase Owens (4-5-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:15 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Phil Hawes (1-2-0)
2017-08-01: L vs. [#79MW] Julian Marquez (7-2-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:20 of round 2
2016-07-30: L vs. [#36MW] Louis Taylor (18-4-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:15 of round 2
2016-06-17: W vs. [*] Joshua Key (6-12-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:52 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Michael Wilcox (1218.56) [+66.90] – Win%: 57.58
Elo Favorite (Modified): Michael Wilcox (1267.54) [+25.02] – Win%: 52.74
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Wilcox 755, Phil Hawes 682
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#1535] Robson Gracie Jr. (1-0-0) vs. [NA] Oscar Vera (DEBUT)

Last 3 Fights: Robson Gracie Jr. (1-0-0)
2018-12-14: W vs. [NA] Bryson Bolohao (0-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:00 of round 2

Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#1776] Kastriot Xhema (2-3-0) vs. [NA] Whitney Jean-Francois (2-6-1)

Last 3 Fights: Kastriot Xhema (1-2-0)
2019-02-16: L vs. [#359WW] Kemran Lachinov (8-2-0) via Technical Submission (Kneebar) in 0:58 of round 2
2018-10-12: L vs. [#708MW] Pat Casey (4-1-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2018-02-16: W vs. [NA] Peter Nascimento (0-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:52 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Whitney Jean-Francois (0-2-1)
2017-11-17: L vs. [*] Gregy Styles (2-1-0) via TKO (Leg Injury) in 4:00 of round 1
2015-11-20: L vs. [*] Jonathan DelBrugge (9-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:39 of round 1
2015-09-25: D vs. [NA] Jose Viera (1-2-1) via Draw in 4:00 of round 3

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kastriot Xhema 118, Whitney Jean-Francois 574
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[NA] Brandon Medina (DEBUT) vs. [NA] Brandon Polcare (1-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Polcare (1-2-0)
2017-08-25: L vs. [NA] Alex Potts (1-1-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 3:10 of round 1
2015-10-23: L vs. [#632FLY] Billy Giovanella (9-9-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:19 of round 1
2015-01-03: W vs. [NA] John OBrien (0-3-0) via SUB in 0:47 of round 1

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Featherweight (145)
[*] Kenny Rivera (2-2-0) vs. [NA] John Beneduce (2-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Kenny Rivera (1-2-0)
2014-02-21: W vs. [NA] Trevor Suter (3-6-0) via SUB in 0:24 of round 1
2013-06-02: L vs. [*] Alejandro Roman (8-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:52 of round 3
2013-02-02: L vs. [*] Jordan Stiner (9-5-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 1:49 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: John Beneduce (1-2-0)
2017-10-20: L vs. [NA] Dean Hancock (3-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:38 of round 1
2007-09-07: L vs. [*] David Sachs (10-4-0) via UD ()
2003-11-01: W vs. [NA] Joe Chin (0-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:22 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kenny Rivera 1939, John Beneduce 602
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#64] Rena Kubota (8-2-0) vs. [#37AW] Lindsey VanZandt (5-1-0)

Last 3 Fights: Rena Kubota (2-1-0)
2019-04-21: W vs. [#210SW] Samantha Jean-Francois (4-6-0) via UD ()
2018-07-28: L vs. [#6AW] Kanna Asakura (14-4-0) via UD ()
2018-07-06: W vs. [#31AW] Elaine Leal (6-7-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Lindsey VanZandt (2-1-0)
2019-02-15: W vs. [NA] Tabatha Ann Watkins (3-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:25 of round 2
2018-10-13: W vs. [#51AW] Melissa Karagianis (3-5-0) via TKO in of round 2
2018-09-01: L vs. [#24AW] Kelly DAngelo (4-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Elo Favorite (Standard): Rena Kubota (1307.51) [+102.52] – Win%: 61.50
Elo Favorite (Modified): Rena Kubota (1339.49) [+108.88] – Win%: 61.69
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rena Kubota 54, Lindsey VanZandt 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[NA] Valerie Loureda (1-0-0) vs. [NA] Larkyn Dasch (0-1-0)

Last 3 Fights: Larkyn Dasch (0-1-0)
2019-04-12: L vs. [NA] Christina Ricker (2-2-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Valerie Loureda (1-0-0)
2019-02-16: W vs. [NA] Colby Fletcher (1-3-0) via TKO (Strikes) in 2:55 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Larkyn Dasch 63, Valerie Loureda 118
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Rory MacDonald
Highest Stored DD Rating: Kyoji Horiguchi
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Rory MacDonald vs. Neiman Gracie
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Darrion Caldwell
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Outstanding [****½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2019-6-11