Fight Matrix Program – UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade (05-11-2019)

6 May , 2019,
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Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#1/#3DD/#2P4P] Rose Namajunas (8-3-0, +103) vs. [#2/#6DD/#3P4P] Jessica Andrade (19-6-0, -127)
Rose Namajunas is the All-Time #16 ranked Women’s fighter.
Jessica Andrade is the All-Time #29 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rose Namajunas (3-0-0)
2018-04-07: W vs. [#3SW/#8DD/#10P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (15-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2017-11-04: W vs. [#3SW/#8DD/#10P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (15-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:03 of round 1
2017-04-15: W vs. [#8SW] Michelle Waterson (17-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:47 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jessica Andrade (3-0-0)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#13SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (12-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:58 of round 1
2018-02-24: W vs. [#14SW] Tecia Torres (10-4-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-09-22: W vs. [#9SW] Claudia Gadelha (16-4-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jessica Andrade – Win%: 53.17
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jessica Andrade (1833.54) [+0.25] – Win%: 50.03
Elo Favorite (Modified): Rose Namajunas (1825.65) [+7.32] – Win%: 50.80
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rose Namajunas 399, Jessica Andrade 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Rose Namajunas leads 4-3
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Middleweight (185)
[#13] Jared Cannonier (11-4-0, -155) vs. [#15] Anderson Silva (34-9-0, +129)
Anderson Silva is the All-Time #1 ranked Middleweight and #4 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jared Cannonier (1-2-0)
2018-11-03: W vs. [#18MW] David Branch (22-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:29 of round 2
2018-05-19: L vs. [#9LHW] Dominick Reyes (11-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:55 of round 1
2017-12-16: L vs. [#13LHW] Jan Blachowicz (23-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Anderson Silva (1-2-0)
2019-02-09: L vs. [#4MW] Israel Adesanya (17-0-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-02-11: W vs. [#10MW] Derek Brunson (19-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2016-07-09: L vs. [#1HW+/#3DD/#2P4P] Daniel Cormier (22-1-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jared Cannonier – Win%: 58.19
Elo Favorite (Standard): Anderson Silva (1901.79) [+274.90] – Win%: 77.83
Elo Favorite (Modified): Anderson Silva (1933.45) [+299.20] – Win%: 78.75
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jared Cannonier 189, Anderson Silva 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#2/#8DD] Jose Aldo (28-4-0, -136) vs. [#5] Alexander Volkanovski (19-1-0, +111)
Jose Aldo is the All-Time #1 ranked Featherweight and #3 ranked Absolute fighter.
Alexander Volkanovski is the All-Time #44 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jose Aldo (2-1-0)
2019-02-02: W vs. [#10FW] Renato Carneiro (13-2-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:44 of round 2
2018-07-28: W vs. [#9FW] Jeremy Stephens (28-16-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:19 of round 1
2017-12-02: L vs. [#1FW/#2DD/#8P4P] Max Holloway (20-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkanovski (3-0-0)
2018-12-29: W vs. [*] Chad Mendes (18-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:14 of round 2
2018-07-14: W vs. [#16FW] Darren Elkins (24-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-02-10: W vs. [#67FW] Jeremy Kennedy (13-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:57 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jose Aldo – Win%: 54.87
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jose Aldo (2179.17) [+84.45] – Win%: 59.53
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jose Aldo (2170.79) [+98.87] – Win%: 60.65
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jose Aldo 98, Alexander Volkanovski 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jose Aldo leads 2-1
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Welterweight (170)
[#50] Thiago Alves (23-13-0, -111) vs. [#457] Laureano Staropoli (8-1-0, -112)
Thiago Alves is the All-Time #17 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Thiago Alves (1-2-0)
2019-02-02: W vs. [#55WW] Max Griffin (15-6-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-09-15: L vs. [#30WW] Alexey Kunchenko (20-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-02-18: L vs. [#43WW] Curtis Millender (17-5-0) via KO (Knee) in 4:17 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Laureano Staropoli (3-0-0)
2018-11-17: W vs. [#1203WW] Hector Aldana (4-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-06-10: W vs. [#666WW] Carlos Alberto Bazan Roja (8-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:00 of round 2
2016-06-11: W vs. [NA] Sebastian Delgadillo (1-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:45 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Laureano Staropoli – Win%: 50.10
Elo Favorite (Standard): Thiago Alves (1758.51) [+362.72] – Win%: 83.98
Elo Favorite (Modified): Thiago Alves (1703.84) [+288.61] – Win%: 77.96
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Thiago Alves 98, Laureano Staropoli 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#17] Carlos Diego Ferreira (15-2-0, -152) vs. [#25] Francisco Trinaldo (23-6-0, +127)

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Diego Ferreira (3-0-0)
2019-02-23: W vs. [#32LW] Rustam Khabilov (23-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-12-08: W vs. [#346FW] Kyle Nelson (12-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:23 of round 2
2018-02-18: W vs. [#125LW] Jared Gordon (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:58 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Francisco Trinaldo (2-1-0)
2018-09-22: W vs. [*] Evan Dunham (18-8-1) via KO (Knee to the Body) in 4:10 of round 2
2018-02-18: L vs. [#24LW] James Vick (13-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-10-28: W vs. [#36LW] Jim Miller (30-13-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Carlos Diego Ferreira – Win%: 57.79
Elo Favorite (Standard): Carlos Diego Ferreira (1953.52) [+26.28] – Win%: 53.00
Elo Favorite (Modified): Carlos Diego Ferreira (1943.09) [+54.65] – Win%: 55.95
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carlos Diego Ferreira 77, Francisco Trinaldo 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#10] Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (23-8-0, +132) vs. [#45] Ryan Spann (15-5-0, -159)
Antonio Rogerio Nogueira is the All-Time #18 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (2-1-0)
2018-09-22: W vs. [#23LHW] Sam Alvey (33-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:00 of round 2
2016-11-19: L vs. [#5HW+] Ryan Bader (27-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:51 of round 3
2016-05-14: W vs. [#46LHW] Patrick Cummins (10-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:52 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ryan Spann (3-0-0)
2018-09-22: W vs. [#149HW+] Luis Henrique Barbosa de (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-06-19: W vs. [#98LHW] Emiliano Sordi (17-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:26 of round 1
2018-01-26: W vs. [#77HW+] Alex Nicholson (13-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:24 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ryan Spann – Win%: 58.75
Elo Favorite (Standard): Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (1868.04) [+231.44] – Win%: 74.22
Elo Favorite (Modified): Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (1861.82) [+187.62] – Win%: 69.45
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Antonio Rogerio Nogueira 231, Ryan Spann 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#123] Thiago Moises (11-3-0, -153) vs. [#185] Kurt Holobaugh (17-6-0, +127)

Last 3 Fights: Thiago Moises (2-1-0)
2018-11-10: L vs. [#16LW] Beneil Dariush (16-4-1) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-26)
2018-08-11: W vs. [#446LW] Gleidson Moraes Cutis (7-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 1
2018-06-01: W vs. [#431WW] Jeff Peterson (10-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:31 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Kurt Holobaugh (0-2-0, 1 NC)
2018-11-03: L vs. [#28FW] Shane Burgos (12-1-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:11 of round 1
2018-07-14: L vs. [#14BW] Raoni Barcelos (13-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:29 of round 3
2017-07-11: NC vs. [#154FW] Matt Bessette (23-9-0)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Thiago Moises – Win%: 57.85
Elo Favorite (Standard): Thiago Moises (1564.91) [+44.94] – Win%: 55.11
Elo Favorite (Modified): Thiago Moises (1600.80) [+67.78] – Win%: 57.37
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Thiago Moises 182, Kurt Holobaugh 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight (135)
[#10] Irene Aldana (9-4-0, -252) vs. [*] Bethe Correia (10-3-1, +204)

Last 3 Fights: Irene Aldana (2-1-0)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#47FLY] Lucie Pudilova (8-4-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2018-01-14: W vs. [#18BW] Talita Bernardo (6-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-04-08: L vs. [#4FLY] Katlyn Chookagian (11-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Bethe Correia (1-1-1)
2017-06-17: L vs. [#3BW/#10DD] Holly Holm (12-4-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punch) in 1:09 of round 3
2017-03-11: D vs. [#11BW] Marion Reneau (9-5-1) via DRAW in 5:00 of round 3
2016-09-10: W vs. [#3FLY] Jessica Eye (14-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Irene Aldana – Win%: 68.52
Elo Favorite (Standard): Irene Aldana (1449.26) [+124.87] – Win%: 63.89
Elo Favorite (Modified): Irene Aldana (1454.40) [+61.78] – Win%: 56.72
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Irene Aldana 245, Bethe Correia 693
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#42] Clay Guida (34-18-0, -545) vs. [#365] B.J. Penn (16-13-2, +397)
Clay Guida is the All-Time #29 ranked Lightweight fighter.
B.J. Penn is the All-Time #1 ranked Lightweight and #8 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Clay Guida (2-1-0)
2018-06-09: L vs. [#6LW] Charles Oliveira (26-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:18 of round 1
2017-11-11: W vs. [#105LW] Joe Lauzon (27-15-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 1:07 of round 1
2017-06-25: W vs. [*] Erik Koch (15-6-0) via UD (30-26, 29-28, 29-26)

Last 3 Fights: B.J. Penn (0-3-0)
2018-12-29: L vs. [#56LW] Ryan Hall (7-1-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 2:46 of round 1
2017-06-25: L vs. [*] Dennis Siver (23-11-0) via MD (29-27, 28-28, 29-28)
2017-01-15: L vs. [#24FW] Yair Rodriguez (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:24 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Clay Guida – Win%: 80.76
Elo Favorite (Standard): Clay Guida (1721.56) [+213.61] – Win%: 72.63
Elo Favorite (Modified): Clay Guida (1712.99) [+171.42] – Win%: 67.93
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Clay Guida 336, B.J. Penn 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: B.J. Penn leads 4-1
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#50] Priscila Cachoeira (8-2-0, +127) vs. [#28BW] Luana Carolina Carvalho de Souza (5-1-0, -153)

Last 3 Fights: Priscila Cachoeira (1-2-0)
2019-03-16: L vs. [#34FLY] Molly McCann (8-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-02-03: L vs. [#1FLY/#2DD/#4P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (16-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:25 of round 2
2017-09-07: W vs. [#42BW] Rosy Duarte (12-5-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:54 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Luana Carolina Carvalho de Souza (3-0-0)
2018-08-11: W vs. [#83FLY] Mabelly Lima (8-1-0) via UD ()
2017-09-29: W vs. [NA] Mary Ellen Cato (0-1-0) via UD ()
2016-07-09: W vs. [*] Jessica Negrao (2-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:02 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Luana Carolina Carvalho de Souza – Win%: 57.85
Elo Favorite (Standard): Luana Carolina Carvalho de Souza (1357.66) [+78.25] – Win%: 58.84
Elo Favorite (Modified): Luana Carolina Carvalho de Souza (1410.08) [+90.18] – Win%: 59.74
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Priscila Cachoeira 56, Luana Carolina Carvalho de Souza 273
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#45] Sergio Moraes (14-4-1, +120) vs. [#86] Warlley Alves (12-3-0, -143)

Last 3 Fights: Sergio Moraes (2-1-0)
2019-03-09: L vs. [#22WW] Anthony Rocco Martin (16-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-09-22: W vs. [#95WW] Ben Saunders (22-12-2) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:35 of round 2
2018-02-03: W vs. [#70WW] Tim Means (28-11-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Warlley Alves (2-1-0)
2018-08-25: L vs. [#47WW] James Krause (26-7-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 0:00 of round 2
2018-05-12: W vs. [#116WW] Sultan Aliev (15-3-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2017-10-21: W vs. [#251WW] Salim Touahri (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Warlley Alves – Win%: 56.42
Elo Favorite (Standard): Sergio Moraes (1816.22) [+133.14] – Win%: 64.75
Elo Favorite (Modified): Sergio Moraes (1774.44) [+88.46] – Win%: 59.56
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergio Moraes 63, Warlley Alves 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#14] Raoni Barcelos (13-1-0, -352) vs. [#179] Carlos Huachin (11-3-2, +277)

Last 3 Fights: Raoni Barcelos (3-0-0)
2018-11-30: W vs. [*] Chris Gutierrez (13-4-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:12 of round 2
2018-07-14: W vs. [#185LW] Kurt Holobaugh (17-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:29 of round 3
2016-10-28: W vs. [#253LW] Dan Moret (13-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:51 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Huachin (2-0-1)
2019-03-29: W vs. [#817FW] Marcelino Cavalcante (10-9-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:50 of round 1
2018-11-07: W vs. [NA] Andrine Dalla Clemente (4-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:20 of round 1
2018-06-15: D vs. [#423BW] Rodrigo Vera (8-0-1) via Draw in 5:00 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Raoni Barcelos – Win%: 74.59
Elo Favorite (Standard): Raoni Barcelos (1823.63) [+402.39] – Win%: 86.27
Elo Favorite (Modified): Raoni Barcelos (1830.99) [+400.05] – Win%: 85.21
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raoni Barcelos 162, Carlos Huachin 43
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight (135)
[#18] Talita Bernardo (6-3-0, -323) vs. [#29FLY] Melissa Gatto (6-0-2, +252)

Last 3 Fights: Talita Bernardo (1-2-0)
2018-10-27: W vs. [#29BW] Sarah Moras (5-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-27, 29-28)
2018-01-14: L vs. [#10BW] Irene Aldana (9-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-09-02: L vs. [#11BW] Marion Reneau (9-5-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:54 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Melissa Gatto (2-0-1)
2018-09-29: W vs. [#15BW] Karolline Rosa Cavedo (11-3-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 4:19 of round 1
2018-07-07: D vs. [#46FLY] Sidy Rocha (11-5-2) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 3
2018-05-05: W vs. [NA] Joice de Andrade (0-1-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:34 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Talita Bernardo – Win%: 72.88
Elo Favorite (Standard): Melissa Gatto (1371.12) [+115.38] – Win%: 62.88
Elo Favorite (Modified): Melissa Gatto (1399.36) [+89.57] – Win%: 59.68
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Talita Bernardo 196, Melissa Gatto 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Jose Aldo
Highest Stored DD Rating: Jose Aldo
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Jose Aldo vs. Alexander Volkanovski
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Jose Aldo vs. Alexander Volkanovski
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Large [***½]
Run Date: 2019-5-5