No End in Sight for Cyborg’s Featherweight Domination

6 Jan , 2016,
Richard Mann
5 comments

On Jan. 16, the world’s number-one ranked women’s featherweight Cristiane “Cyborg” Justino defends her title against Daria Ibragimova at Invicta FC 15. Justino had been preparing for a drop down to the bantamweight division. However, Ronda Rousey’s devastating knockout loss to Holly Holm has convinced her to continue her featherweight campaign.

Ibragimova is Russian fighter who holds a professional record of 9-1. She is currently ranked 10th in the Fight Matrix rankings at women’s featherweight. Despite these accolades, her opponents’ combined record is 19-25. During her six-plus year career, she has faced only one fighter who currently has more than three wins, Cindy Dandois, and Ibragimova lost via first-round submission. The Invicta FC 15 main event is expected to be another washout for “Cyborg.”

Justino has a virtual stranglehold on the division. In her last three fights, she has defeated the second, eighth and seventh ranked fighters at 145 pounds.

Against Ibragimova, “Cyborg” has a 71 to 20 advantage in ranking points. That is a 255 percent ranking advantage. Let’s compare that advantage to the other female fighters currently ranked number one. The following table shows a breakdown of how each number-one ranked female fighter stacks up, in terms of ranking points percent advantage, in a hypothetical matchup against the 10th ranked fighter in that division.

1 vs 10 Hypothetical

Clearly Justino has the biggest ranking advantage over her 10th ranked counterpart. It is also interesting to note that the divisions with lowest champion’s advantage percentage are the two divisions sponsored by the UFC.

By sponsoring only two divisions, the UFC has motivated top fighters to move up or down in weight. For example, two former Invicta FC atomweight champions, Jessica Penne and Michelle Waterson, both currently compete in the UFC’s strawweight division. Not only is “Cyborg” a dominant champion, but potential opponents are now also motivated by UFC paydays and exposure to move down to the bantamweight division.

On top of that, Bellator decided to make women’s featherweight a priority in 2015. They signed several respectable fighters and put on some decent fights. Currently six of the Fight Matrix top 15 had their last fight in Bellator. It is highly unlikely that Scott Coker would lend talent to a promotion that airs on UFC Fight Pass — even with the Vitaly Minakovs of the world running around.

Women’s featherweight has always been an odd weight class. On one hand, it is home to two of the most popular female fighters in the history of the sport, Justino and Gina Carano. On the other hand, it seems like most of the sport’s talent populates lower divisions. Elite XC promoter Gary Shaw tried to solve this problem with the addition of the absurd 140-pound division. Carano struggled to make weight and picked up wins over four bantamweights before the promotion closed up shop.

Barring the conversion of a high level wrestler or kickboxer, the current landscape of women’s featherweight will remain pretty much the same. If “Cyborg” stays in the division, she will almost certainly remain Invicta champion and the number-one ranked female fighter at 145-pounds.

Richard Mann currently runs the data-driven MMA blog StrikeScoreMMA.com

5 Comments

  1. oleg January 21, 2016 at 12:08 pm Reply
  2. McKinley Noble January 17, 2016 at 10:33 am Reply

    Still waiting on that Amanda Lucas vs. Cyborg fight.

    • Richard Mann January 20, 2016 at 9:05 pm Reply

      cue up the Imperial March

  3. jcs January 7, 2016 at 2:46 pm Reply

    How odd that the 115lb Mens division is stronger than the 145lb Womens?

  4. oleg January 7, 2016 at 1:29 pm Reply

    This article and our rankings do a great job of illustrating that while ‘Cyborg’ is a great fighter and a very dominant #1 in her division, if she chooses to stay at 145 for the rest of her career, her legacy will be marred as the #1 of the weakest modern division in the sport. They might as well rename it to Deadweight Division. The fact that it’s split up between Invicta and Bellator is hurting the division even more. And the fact that Justino is fighting against #10 isn’t helping things either.

    As a rule of thumb we determine how many fighters to rank per division by making sure that the lowest ranked fighters have rating points in the low 20’s. By this standard we really should cut off W-FW at 10 (and we’ve seriously considered doing this at one point).

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