Currently, I am working on two flavors for the divisional ranking pages:
Standard Elo
The standard Elo will remain as is — unless I find a better Starter Rating / K-Factor combination for the sport as a whole or need to fix a bug.
Modified Elo
| Thursday, December 31st 2026: Rizin FF Super Rizin 6: Shiwasu no Owarinagoya Gekokujo Matsuri | |||
 [#1 W105] Natalia Kuziutina |  [#4 W105] Saori Oshima | ||
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| Last Fight Date: 9/10/2026 [Rizin Fighting Federation] Last Opponent: [#18 W105] Rena Kubota Last 5: W W W W W | Last Fight Date: 7/18/2026 [Rizin Fighting Federation] Last Opponent: [#13 W105] Ye Ji Lee Last 5: L W L W W | ||
| Sunday, December 13th 2026: Deep - 135 Impact | |||
| [#3 SW] Sukai China | [#4 SW] Jo Arai | ||
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| Last Fight Date: 5/04/2026 [DEEP] Last Opponent: [#6 SW] Sora Sugiyama Last 5: W W W W W | Last Fight Date: 9/13/2026 [DEEP] Last Opponent: [#23 SW] Daichi Kitakata Last 5: L L W L W | ||
| Sunday, December 13th 2026: Deep Tokyo Impact 2026 6th Round | |||
| [#6 SW] Sora Sugiyama | [#10 SW] Goal Makino | ||
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| Last Fight Date: 9/20/2026 [DEEP] Last Opponent: [NR] Musashi Musashi Last 5: W W W L W | Last Fight Date: 9/06/2026 [DEEP] Last Opponent: [#42 SW] Toshiya Takashima Last 5: W W W W W | ||
| [#18 W125] |  Lucia Szabova | [#1 WW] | Islam Makhachev | |
| [#18 LW] |  Renato Carneiro | [#1 FW] |  Alexander Volkanovski | |
| [#13 LW] | Tom Nolan | [#26 WW] |  Jacobe Smith | |
| [#102 W125] | Tainara Lisboa | [#1 LW] | Justin Gaethje | |
| [#2 LW] |  Ilia Topuria | [#8 HW] | Josh Hokit |
As you may know, the Elo system is a popular rating instrument used in the world of chess. In the combat sports world, it has inspired the widely known boxing ratings over at BoxRec and to a lesser degree, the standard system used here. From a broader standpoint, as far as I know, it is considered the grandfather of mathematical-based rating systems.
Now, it does have its flaws and those flaws were on display for many years over at site called MMA Elo, but those issues were compounded by the lackluster data efforts by that site’s creator — a problem you won’t see here.
At its core, Elo is simple math. That’s what makes it so interesting. It is very simple, but does offer a few variables that can be optimized for the specific task at hand, most notably, the K-factor. Simply put, the K-factor affects the amount of change that a single contest can have — the lower the K-factor, the smaller the potential change and vice-versa.
In chess, a sport that often has a frequent, consistent and logical schedule, the K-factor is quite low, commonly between 16 and 32. It turns out, a K-factor somewhere between 150 and 200 yields the most accurate prediction rates in MMA.
So, to start, the Elo system will be implemented with a starter rating of 1000 and a K-factor in the neighborhood of 170. There will be no provisional system and no K-factor tiers (yet), but the plan is to offer a few flavors and perhaps incorporate some other common systems as well. These flavors will be entirely driven by prediction rates in some shape or form and there will be no emphasis on subjectivity, so things could get a little wacky.
The “standard” system you’ve seen for over a decade will still be the default, but we’ll be giving you the option to filter the divisional pages by system. The one thing to keep in mind, is that the Top X fighters displayed will (at least for now) be driven by the standard system only — which means that the #251 Heavyweight by our standard measure, may be the #249 Heavyweight by Elo, but since he didn’t make the standard cut, he won’t be in the lists. This may or may not change in the future.
Any and all comments are welcome.
Heavyweight (265)
[#10] Junior dos Santos (18-5-0, -175) vs. [#21] Blagoy Ivanov (16-1-0, +146)
Junior dos Santos is the All-Time #6 ranked Heavyweight and #29 ranked Absolute fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Junior dos Santos (1-2-0)
2017-05-13: L vs. [#2HW+/#10DD/#8P4P] Stipe Miocic (18-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:22 of round 1
2016-04-10: W vs. [*] Ben Rothwell (36-10-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2015-12-19: L vs. [#9HW+] Alistair Overeem (43-17-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:43 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Blagoy Ivanov (3-0-0)
2017-11-02: W vs. [#58HW+] Caio Alencar (11-3-0) via UD ()
2017-03-18: W vs. [*] Shawn Jordan (19-8-0) via TKO in 1:43 of round 1
2016-06-17: W vs. [#74HW+] Josh Copeland (16-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Junior dos Santos 427, Blagoy Ivanov 254
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#27] Dennis Bermudez (16-8-0, -268) vs. [#48] Rick Glenn (20-5-1, +202)
Last 3 Fights: Dennis Bermudez (0-3-0)
2018-01-27: L vs. [#24FW] Andre Fili (18-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2017-07-22: L vs. [#6FW] Darren Elkins (24-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-02-04: L vs. [*] Chan Sung Jung (14-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:49 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Rick Glenn (2-1-0)
2017-12-30: L vs. [#13FW] Myles Jury (17-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-09-09: W vs. [#149FW] Gavin Tucker (10-1-0) via UD (30-24, 29-27, 30-25)
2017-02-11: W vs. [*] Phillipe Nover (10-8-1) via SD (29-28, 27-30, 29-28)
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dennis Bermudez 168, Rick Glenn 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Dennis Bermudez leads 1-0
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Welterweight (170)
[#96] Zak Ottow (16-5-0, +115) vs. [#268] Sage Northcutt (10-2-0, -140)
Last 3 Fights: Zak Ottow (2-1-0)
2018-03-03: W vs. [#213WW] Mike Pyle (27-14-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 1
2017-11-25: L vs. [#84WW] Jingliang Li (15-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:57 of round 1
2017-06-10: W vs. [#131WW] Kiichi Kunimoto (19-7-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Sage Northcutt (2-1-0)
2018-02-18: W vs. [#151LW] Thibault Gouti (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-11-11: W vs. [#314LW] Michel Quinones (8-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2016-12-17: L vs. [#333WW] Mickey Gall (4-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:40 of round 2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Zak Ottow 133, Sage Northcutt 146
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notable Info
Heavyweight Championship (265)
[#1/#4DD/#3P4P] Stipe Miocic (18-2-0, -249) vs. [#1LHW/#2DD/#4P4P] Daniel Cormier (20-1-0, +200)
Stipe Miocic is the All-Time #5 ranked Heavyweight and #23 ranked Absolute fighter.
Daniel Cormier is the All-Time #29 ranked Heavyweight and #21 ranked Absolute fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Stipe Miocic (3-0-0)
2018-01-20: W vs. [#2HW+] Francis Ngannou (11-2-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)
2017-05-13: W vs. [#8HW+] Junior dos Santos (18-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:22 of round 1
2016-09-10: W vs. [#7HW+] Alistair Overeem (43-17-0) via TKO in 4:27 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Daniel Cormier (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2018-01-20: W vs. [#6LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (15-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:00 of round 2
2017-07-29: NC vs. [#2LHW/#5P4P] Jon Jones (22-1-0)
2017-04-08: W vs. [*] Anthony Johnson (22-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:37 of round 2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Stipe Miocic 168, Daniel Cormier 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1/#1DD/#2P4P] Max Holloway (19-3-0, -149) vs. [#2/#7DD/#9P4P] Brian Ortega (14-0-0, +124)
Max Holloway is the All-Time #3 ranked Featherweight and #35 ranked Absolute fighter.
Brian Ortega is the All-Time #20 ranked Featherweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (3-0-0)
2017-12-02: W vs. [#3FW] Jose Aldo (26-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 3
2017-06-03: W vs. [#3FW] Jose Aldo (26-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:13 of round 3
2016-12-10: W vs. [#8LW] Anthony Pettis (20-7-0) via TKO (Kick to the Body and Punches) in 4:50 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Brian Ortega (3-0-0)
2018-03-03: W vs. [#4FW] Frankie Edgar (23-6-1) via KO (Punches) in 4:44 of round 1
2017-12-09: W vs. [#14FW] Cub Swanson (25-9-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:22 of round 2
2017-07-29: W vs. [#15FW] Renato Carneiro (12-1-1) via SUB in 2:59 of round 3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Max Holloway 217, Brian Ortega 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#2] Francis Ngannou (11-2-0, -372) vs. [#10] Derrick Lewis (19-5-0, +290)
Francis Ngannou is the All-Time #36 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Francis Ngannou (2-1-0)
2018-01-20: L vs. [#1HW+/#4DD/#3P4P] Stipe Miocic (18-2-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)
2017-12-02: W vs. [#7HW+] Alistair Overeem (43-17-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:42 of round 1
2017-01-28: W vs. [#19HW+] Andrei Arlovski (27-16-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:32 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Derrick Lewis (2-1-0)
2018-02-18: W vs. [#22HW+] Marcin Tybura (16-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:48 of round 3
2017-06-10: L vs. [#9HW+] Mark Hunt (13-12-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:51 of round 4
2017-02-19: W vs. [#18HW+] Travis Browne (18-7-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:12 of round 2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Francis Ngannou 168, Derrick Lewis 139
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#12] Brad Tavares (17-4-0, +119) vs. [#46] Israel Adesanya (13-0-0, -143)
Last 3 Fights: Brad Tavares (3-0-0)
2018-04-14: W vs. [#22MW] Krzysztof Jotko (19-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 3
2017-10-07: W vs. [#33MW] Thales Leites (27-9-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2017-07-07: W vs. [#15MW] Elias Theodorou (15-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Israel Adesanya (3-0-0)
2018-04-14: W vs. [#63MW] Marvin Vettori (12-4-1) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2018-02-10: W vs. [#190MW] Rob Wilkinson (11-2-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 3:37 of round 2
2017-11-24: W vs. [#387MW] Stuart Dare (8-6-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 4:53 of round 1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brad Tavares 83, Israel Adesanya 83
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#19] Roxanne Modafferi (21-14-0, +145) vs. [#30] Barb Honchak (10-3-0, -172)
Roxanne Modafferi is the All-Time #19 ranked Women’s fighter.
Barb Honchak is the All-Time #13 ranked Women’s fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Roxanne Modafferi (2-1-0)
2017-12-01: L vs. [#5FLY] Nicco Montano (4-2-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 50-45)
2017-05-20: W vs. [#38FLY] Sarah DAlelio (11-7-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 1:37 of round 3
2017-04-01: W vs. [#88FLY] Priscila de Souza (12-8-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:53 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Barb Honchak (2-1-0)
2017-12-01: L vs. [#29FLY] Lauren Murphy (10-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2014-11-01: W vs. [#40FLY] Takayo Hashi (16-6-1) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2013-12-07: W vs. [#7BW] Leslie Smith (10-7-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roxanne Modafferi 217, Barb Honchak 217
Previous Match-up Record: Barb Honchak leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Barb Honchak leads 2-1
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Middleweight (185)
[#62] Julian Marquez (7-1-0, -165) vs. [#117] Alessio Di Chirico (11-2-0, +139)
Last 3 Fights: Julian Marquez (3-0-0)
2017-12-16: W vs. [#50MW] Darren Stewart (8-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:42 of round 2
2017-08-01: W vs. [#450MW] Phil Hawes (4-2-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:20 of round 2
2017-05-19: W vs. [#163LHW] Cameron Olson (9-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:06 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Alessio Di Chirico (2-1-0)
2017-12-16: W vs. [#229MW] Oluwale Bamgbose (6-4-0) via KO (Knee) in 2:14 of round 2
2017-01-28: L vs. [#64MW] Eric Spicely (10-4-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:14 of round 1
2016-08-27: W vs. [*] Garreth McLellan (13-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julian Marquez 202, Alessio Di Chirico 202
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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UPDATE – Re-posting at 6pm Eastern – Forgot the semi-annual nationality adjustment (ultimately one was not warranted for 1st half of 2018) and resolving a few data issues.
Women Flyweight (125)
[#14] Ilima-Lei Macfarlane (7-0-0) vs. [#41] Alejandra Lara (7-1-0)
Last 3 Fights: Ilima-Lei Macfarlane (3-0-0)
2017-11-03: W vs. [#67FLY] Emily Ducote (6-4-0) via Verbal Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 3:42 of round 5
2017-04-21: W vs. [NA] Jessica Middleton (3-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:15 of round 1
2016-12-03: W vs. [#67FLY] Emily Ducote (6-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Alejandra Lara (3-0-0)
2017-12-09: W vs. [#82FLY] Lena Ovchynnikova (12-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:09 of round 3
2016-02-13: W vs. [#115SW] Lina Franco Rodriguez (3-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:32 of round 2
2015-09-05: W vs. [NA] Janeth Alvarado (0-1-1) via TKO (Retirement) in 5:00 of round 1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ilima-Lei Macfarlane 238, Alejandra Lara 202
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (160)
[#46] Saad Awad (22-9-0) vs. [#401] Ryan Couture (11-5-0)
Last 3 Fights: Saad Awad (3-0-0)
2018-01-26: W vs. [#136LW] J.J. Ambrose (28-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-11-03: W vs. [#442LW] Zach Freeman (9-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:07 of round 1
2017-04-21: W vs. [#116LW] Ryan Quinn (14-7-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Ryan Couture (1-2-0)
2017-06-24: W vs. [#1052WW] Haim Gozali (8-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2016-10-21: L vs. [#54LW] Goiti Yamauchi (22-4-0) via SUB in of round 1
2016-01-29: L vs. [#6LW] Patricky Freire (19-8-0) via TKO in of round 1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Saad Awad 154, Ryan Couture 370
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#78] Juan Archuleta (19-1-0) vs. [#309] Robbie Peralta (19-8-0)
Last 3 Fights: Juan Archuleta (3-0-0)
2018-03-02: W vs. [#553FW] William Joplin (16-15-0) via UD (30-24, 30-23, 30-26)
2017-12-03: W vs. [#262FW] Mark Dickman (11-4-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 5:00 of round 4
2017-09-02: W vs. [#1097LW] Adel Altamimi (6-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:23 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Robbie Peralta (1-2-0)
2017-09-03: W vs. [NA] Shad Smith (13-23-2) via UD ()
2017-03-31: L vs. [#112LW] Alan Omer (21-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:44 of round 3
2015-12-18: L vs. [#98FW] Sheymon Moraes (9-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:21 of round 2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Juan Archuleta 119, Robbie Peralta 299
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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