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Ten biggest point-based upsets in MMA history (Revisited)

Posted on April 14, 2009 by Jason

We posted the original last June, and you can find the link at the bottom of this post.  Since then, we’ve had more bouts occur, we’ve improved the formulas, and added quite a bit of data,.

The significance of the upsets on this list is measured not by the betting odds, but by the difference in the Fightmatrix.com point standing between the two fighters, normalized by division.  The list is ranked on total difference, not proportional difference, so newer results tend to take precedence, as there is a growing gap between the top notch fighters, and the bottom of the barrel.

  1. Gabriel Gonzaga W Mirko Filipovic (UFC 70, Apr 21 2007)
  2. Frank Mir W Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira (UFC 92, Dec 27 2008)
  3. Matt Serra W Georges St. Pierre (UFC 69, Apr 7 2007)
  4. Mark Hunt W Wanderlei Silva (Pride Shockwave 2004, Dec 31 2004)
  5. Quinton Jackson W Chuck Liddell 2 (UFC 71, May 26 2007)
  6. Mark Coleman W Mauricio Rua (Pride 31, Feb 26 2006)
  7. Keith Jardine W Chuck Liddell (UFC 76, Sep 22 2007 )
  8. Cheick Kongo W Mirko Filipovic (UFC 75, Sep 8 2007)
  9. Junior dos Santos W Fabricio Werdum (UFC 90, Oct 25 2008)
  10. Sergey Golyaev W Takanori Gomi (Sengoku 6th, Nov 1 2008)

Initial Story

UFC 97: How they stack up

Posted on April 13, 2009 by Jason

UFC Middleweight Championship
[#1] Anderson Silva vs. [#11] Thales Leites

Light Heavyweight
[#9] Mauricio Rua vs. [#10] Chuck Liddell

Light Heavyweight
[#34] Krzysztof Soszynski vs. [#90] Brian Stann

Heavyweight
[#9] Cheick Kongo vs. [#35] Antoni Hardonk

Light Heavyweight
[#12] Luiz Cane vs. [#37] Steve Cantwell

Light Heavyweight
[#350] Eliot Marshall vs. [*] Vinny Magalhaes

Middleweight
[#30] Denis Kang vs. [#43] Xavier Foupa-Pokam

Middleweight
[#29] Jason MacDonald vs. [#62] Nate Quarry

Middleweight
[#34] David Loiseau vs. [#47] Ed Herman

Lightweight
[#59] Mark Bocek vs. [#92] David Bielkheden

Welterweight
[#28] TJ Grant vs. [#36] Ryo Chonan

Lightweight
[#53] Matt Wiman vs. [#60] Sam Stout

Ranking Notes: Dark green font represents an approximate ranking. An asterisk represents a fighter who is ranked, but too low for an approximation. These two scenarios will clear up slightly as we move forward. “NR” means the fighter is not ranked, due to inactivity, or due to a rating that is at or below the default starter rating.

Featured Upcoming Bouts (Outside of UFC)

Saturday, March 14th 2026: Pancrase - 361
 [#4 SW] Yuta Miyazawa [#9 SW] Kanji Funada
Last Fight Date: 11/09/2025 [Pancrase]
Last Opponent: [#32 SW] Tateo Iino
Last 5: W W L W W
Last Fight Date: 4/27/2025 [Pancrase]
Last Opponent: [#51 SW] Takafumi Ato
Last 5: W W W W W
Friday, March 6th 2026: RIZIN 52
 [#5 W105] Saori Oshima [#11 W105] Keito Oyama
Last Fight Date: 11/02/2025 [Rizin Fighting Federation]
Last Opponent: [#1 W105] Seika Izawa
Last 5: W L L W L
Last Fight Date: 11/02/2025 [Rizin Fighting Federation]
Last Opponent: [NR] Bo Mi Lee
Last 5: L W W W W
Sunday, March 8th 2026: Deep Osaka Impact 2026 1st Round
 [#7 W105] Moeri Suda [#10 W105] Namiko Kawabata
Last Fight Date: 9/15/2025 [DEEP]
Last Opponent: [#5 W105] Saori Oshima
Last 5: W W W W L
Last Fight Date: 5/25/2025 [DEEP]
Last Opponent: [#36 W105] Honoka Shigeta
Last 5: L L L W W

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[NR]  Daniel Cormier [NR]  Henry Cejudo
[#1 LW]  Ilia Topuria [#1 WW]  Islam Makhachev
[NR]  Conor McGregor [NR]  B.J. Penn
[#39 LHW]  Aleksandar Ilic [#20 BW]  Farid Basharat
[#1 LHW]  Alex Pereira [#26 W135]  Klaudia Sygula
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April Archive Updated

Posted on April 13, 2009 by Oleg

Fightmatrix.com Mixed Martial Arts Rankings Archive has been updated with the rankings as of April 6, 2009.

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MMA Rankings Updated – 4/12/09

Posted on April 12, 2009 by Jason

Notable Info

  • Recent shows from Beatdown, Shooto, Strike Force, and others added to the database.
  • Some older shows from Asia have been added to the database.  This has caused some fluctuations.
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TUF Season 9 – Episode 2 Results

Posted on April 8, 2009 by Jason

Only one upset in Episode 2, and it was a minor one (#3 beat #2).



Lightweights

6. Richie Whitson beat 8. Paul Bird

7. Santino Defranco beat 9. Waylon Lowe

12. Cameron Dollar beat 15. Tom Hayden



Welterweights

3. Mark Miller beat 2. Kevin Knabjian

4. Jason Pierce beat 12. Ryan Biglar

5. Damarques Johnson beat 7. Ray Elbe



So far, the higher seed is 9-4.  In one bout, both fighters were unranked.

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Join us on Facebook!

Posted on April 7, 2009 by Oleg

It’s been long overdue, but we finally have a Facebook page!

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TUF Season 9 – Episode 1 Results

Posted on April 7, 2009 by Jason

Since we posted the TUF 9 rankings, I figured it’d be interesting to follow the results… just to see how off (or on) we are. There have definitely been some “bracket busters” in the Welterweight division, but the Lightweights are performing as expected.

Lightweights

4. Andre Winner beat 13. Gary Kelly

2. Jeff Lawson beat 14. James Bryant

10. Martin Stapleton beat NR. Dan James

3. Ross Pearson beat 11. AJ Wenn


Welterweights

8. James Wilks beat 1. Che Mills

10. Nicholas Osipczak beat 6. Tommy Maguire

11. Dean Amasinger beat 9. Alex Reid

NR. David Falkner beat NR. James Bateman

Ranking the TUF Season 9 Lightweights

Posted on April 6, 2009 by Jason

All fighters are ranked using their FightMatrix rating points as of 4/6/09. Some of the bout histories for these obscure fighters are incomplete, especially those from the UK, but we decided to use the information that we have to provide a ranking of said fighters. There is some “grouping” of closely rated fighters, so we are presenting them in tiers.

Total Points

240 – 204

The Best of the Bunch

1. Jason Dent

2. Jeff Lawson

Worth Keeping an Eye On

3. Ross Pearson

4. Andre Winner

The Next Three

5. Josh Souder

6. Richie Whitson

7. Santino Defranco

On the Outside Looking In

8. Paul Bird

9. Waylon Lowe

10. Martin Stapleton

11. AJ Wenn

12. Cameron Dollar

Just Good Enough for a Rating

13. Gary Kelly

14. James Bryant

15. Tom Hayden


The Unranked

Dan James, Rob Browning*

* – Added after the fact, not included in main point total.

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Ranking the TUF Season 9 Welterweights

Posted on April 6, 2009 by Jason

All fighters are ranked using their FightMatrix rating points as of 4/6/09. Some of the bout histories for these obscure fighters are incomplete, especially those from the UK, but we decided to use the information that we have to provide a ranking of said fighters. There is some “grouping” of closely rated fighters, so we are presenting them in tiers.

Total Points

235 – 172

The Best of the Bunch

1. Che Mills

2. Kevin Knabjian

3. Mark Miller

Worth Keeping an Eye On

4. Jason Pierce

5. Damarques Johnson

Rounding Out the Top 10

6. Tommy Maguire

7. Ray Elbe

8. James Wilks

9. Alex Reid

9B. Frank Lester*

10. Nicholas Osipczak

Here for the Ride

11. Dean Amasinger

12. Ryan Biglar

13. Christian Fulgium

The Unranked

Kiel Reid, David Falkner, James Bateman

* – Added after the fact, not included in main point total.

WEC 40 Review

Posted on April 6, 2009 by Oleg

WEC 40 took place in Chicago, IL – the hometown of the reigning WEC bantamweight champion Miguel Torres, who was set to defend his title against Brian Bowles in the main event.   When Bowles pulled out of the fight with an injury, he was replaced by one of Japan’s premier 135 lbs fighters – Takeya Mizugaki.

Raphael Assuncao vs. Jameel Massouh (145 lbs)

Round 1: Assuncao slips in an early exchange but Massouh fails to capitalize.  Assuncao takes the upper hand in standup, knocking down Massouh with a punch.  Assuncao follows Massouh to the ground and works strikes from the top.  Massouh has an active guard and attempts several submissions; Assuncao stays out of danger and eventually the fighters get back to their feet.  Assuncao lands a solid combination then grabs a guillotine as the round draws to a close.  Round 10-9 Assuncao

Round 2: Mostly standup action in this round, with Assuncao clearly dominating.  Massouh attempts a takedown but has no luck bringing the fight to the ground.  Massouh throws a high kick and slips, ending up on his back with Assuncao working from half-guard to finish the round.  Round 10-9 Assuncao

Round 3: Massouh comes out aggressively, likely knowing that he needs to finish his opponent to win this fight.  Massouh is once again losing the standup battle and pulls guard.  Assuncao passes Jameel’s guard and gains full mount, but Massouh reverses and ends up on top.  After a struggle Assuncao sweeps Massouh; Jameel attempts submissions but is unable to do much off his back.    Round 10-9 Assuncao

Raphael Assuncao takes a unanimous decision with scores of 30-27 from all three judges.

Fight Grade: 4/5

Keep Reading

MMA Rankings Updated: 4/6/09

Posted on April 6, 2009 by Jason

UFC Fight Night 18 Review

Posted on April 2, 2009 by Oleg

UFC Fight Night 18 took place in Nashville, Tenn. and kicked off the ninth season of ‘The Ultimate Fighter’ reality show.  The card was headlined by the UFC debut of the WEC welterweight champion Carlos Condit, taking on Martin Kampmann in the main event.

Cole Miller vs. Junie Browning  (155 lbs)

After a brief striking exchange, Browning shoots for a takedown.  The fighters end up back on their feet after a scramble, then Miller latches on to a guillotine and pulls guard.  Browning quickly taps out.

Fight Grade: 3/5

Aftermath: In the post-fight interview, Miller called out the winner of the upcoming bout between Spencer Fisher and Caol Uno.   This will be a big step-up in competition for Cole.  Junie Browning will likely be relegated to the untelevised undercard in his next outing.

Keep Reading

MMA Rankings Updated: 3/29/09

Posted on March 29, 2009 by Jason

We made USA Today!! Well.. sort of.

Posted on March 25, 2009 by Jason

As mentioned over at BloodyElbow.com, USA Today will now be featuring the monthly BloodyElbow Meta-Rankings in their online and print versions.  As you may or may not know, the meta-rankings are essentially an averaged list of the better MMA ranking sites out there, with us being one of them.

In addition, I assisted BloodyElbow by creating the normalization scheme that is necessary to properly weight the various rankings, in order to allow sites that only offer Top 10s and Top 15s.  This allowed them to expand the rankings and create a more accurate picture.

The first published release will be on Thursday.

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Shogun vs Chuck – 3+ years too late?

Posted on March 24, 2009 by Jason

I think most of us would agree that this fight is happening too late, and an approximate ranking history would agree.  Rua/Chuck looked like it would have been at its peak as 2005 came to a close.

The Excel trendlines (Poly.) suggest potential trending for each fighter.  These are not very scientific, and only suggest possible trends.  However, I will note that all similar trends suggested a decline for Liddell, while Rua’s trend was varied.  Since they will face each other in a few weeks, the trends presented are the only logical ones, with the exception being a draw.

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