If you’ve been following recent updates, most notably those associated with the Upcoming Events page, you already know that we now display a meta-odds feature — average odds from about a dozen sports books.
I thought it would be interesting to compare results of UFC 152 and how we stacked up versus the gamblers. We ended up doing pretty good , though this is not an attempt to suggest the rating system is more accurate than gambling odds. Gamblers can analyze each fight individually, while the rating system uses a variety of mathematical routines to supply a primary rating that is primarily focused on ranking recent achievement, with a secondary priority of gauging future expectation. Either way, both systems have their place in determining who to expect to win the fight.
Back again, to see if we could repeat the success with UFC 153… and here we go.
Note: Moraes/Forte and Marcello/Madadi are excluded as at least one fighter in each was unranked/inactive.
Ratings vs. Gamblers Scoreboard
| Fight | Odds Favorite | Ratings Favorite | “Who won” |
| Silva vs. Bonnar | Silva (-1005 / Epic) | Silva (9.4x^ / Ungodly) | Tie |
| Nogueira vs. Herman | Nogueira (-241 / Moderate) | Nogueira (3.4x / Massive) | Ratings |
| Teixeiravs. Maldonado | Teixeira (-492 / Large) | Teixeira (3.1x / Very Large) | Tie |
| Fitch vs. Silva | Silva (-185 / Small) | Fitch (1.61x / Moderate) | Ratings |
| Davis vs. Prado | Davis (-383 / Large) | Davis (10.46x / Ungodly) | Ratings |
| Maia vs. Story | Maia (-124 / Pick’Em) | Maia (2.09x / Large) | Ratings |
| Bezerra vs. Sicilia | Bezerra (-234 / Moderate) | Bezerra (1.08x / Pick’Em) | Gamblers |
| Tibau vs. Trinaldo | Tibau (-135 / Very Small) | Tibau (1.83x / Moderate)^ | Tie |
| Brandao vs. Gambino | Brandao (-247 / Moderate) | Brandao (1.34x / Very Small) | Gamblers |
| Camozzi vs. Cane | Cane (-150 / Very Small) | Camozzi (1.17x^ / Pick’Em) | Ratings |
^ – Pre-fight divisional difference was not factored into rating difference.
[#1 W145] 
[#3 W145] 
[#2 SW] 
[#8 HW] 
