Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night 150: Jacare vs. Hermansson (04-27-2018)
Middleweight (185)
[#5] Ronaldo Souza (26-6-0, -190) vs. [#11] Jack Hermansson (19-4-0, +158)
Ronaldo Souza is the All-Time #8 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Ronaldo Souza (2-1-0)
2018-11-03: W vs. [#8MW] Chris Weidman (14-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:46 of round 3
2018-05-12: L vs. [#6MW] Kelvin Gastelum (15-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-01-27: W vs. [#12MW] Derek Brunson (18-7-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:50 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Jack Hermansson (3-0-0)
2019-03-30: W vs. [#19MW] David Branch (22-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:49 of round 1
2018-12-15: W vs. [#46MW] Gerald Meerschaert (28-11-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:25 of round 1
2018-05-12: W vs. [*] Thales Leites (28-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:10 of round 3
Odds Favorite (Implied): Ronaldo Souza – Win%: 62.83
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ronaldo Souza (2117.41) [+136.14] – Win%: 65.07
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ronaldo Souza (2171.74) [+190.72] – Win%: 69.74
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ronaldo Souza 175, Jack Hermansson 28
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#213] Greg Hardy (3-1-0, -271) vs. [#238] Dmitry Smoliakov (9-2-0, +220)
Last 3 Fights: Greg Hardy (2-1-0)
2019-01-19: L vs. [#128HW+] Allen Crowder (10-3-0) via DQ (Illegal Knee to Grounded Fighter) in 2:28 of round 2
2018-09-29: W vs. [NA] Ray Jones (0-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:53 of round 1
2018-08-07: W vs. [#373HW+] Tebaris Gordon (3-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:17 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Dmitry Smoliakov (1-2-0)
2019-01-25: W vs. [#324HW+] Evgeniy Bova (7-9-1) via SUB in of round 1
2017-01-15: L vs. [#193HW+] Cyril Asker (9-4-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 2:41 of round 1
2016-07-23: L vs. [#147HW+] Luis Henrique Barbosa de (11-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:58 of round 2
Odds Favorite (Implied): Greg Hardy – Win%: 70.03
Elo Favorite (Standard): Dmitry Smoliakov (1280.55) [+78.74] – Win%: 58.90
Elo Favorite (Modified): Greg Hardy (1470.17) [+145.40] – Win%: 65.40
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Greg Hardy 98, Dmitry Smoliakov 92
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#23] Alex Oliveira (20-6-1, -193) vs. [#30] Mike Perry (12-4-0, +161)
Last 3 Fights: Alex Oliveira (2-1-0)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#19WW] Gunnar Nelson (17-4-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 2
2018-09-22: W vs. [#153WW] Carlo Pedersoli Jr. (11-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:39 of round 1
2018-04-14: W vs. [#61WW] Carlos Condit (30-13-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:17 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Mike Perry (1-2-0)
2018-11-10: L vs. [#4LW] Donald Cerrone (35-11-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:46 of round 1
2018-07-07: W vs. [#11LW] Paul Felder (16-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-02-24: L vs. [#55WW] Max Griffin (15-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-27, 29-27)
Odds Favorite (Implied): Alex Oliveira – Win%: 63.22
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alex Oliveira (1865.71) [+147.13] – Win%: 66.20
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alex Oliveira (1869.89) [+167.53] – Win%: 67.55
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Oliveira 140, Mike Perry 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featured Upcoming Bouts (Outside of UFC)
| Friday, March 6th 2026: RIZIN 52 | |||
 [#5 W105] Saori Oshima | [#11 W105] Keito Oyama | ||
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| Last Fight Date: 11/02/2025 [Rizin Fighting Federation] Last Opponent: [#1 W105] Seika Izawa Last 5: W L L W L | Last Fight Date: 11/02/2025 [Rizin Fighting Federation] Last Opponent: [NR] Bo Mi Lee Last 5: L W W W W | ||
| Sunday, March 8th 2026: Deep Osaka Impact 2026 1st Round | |||
| [#7 W105] Moeri Suda | [#10 W105] Namiko Kawabata | ||
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| |||
| Last Fight Date: 9/15/2025 [DEEP] Last Opponent: [#5 W105] Saori Oshima Last 5: W W W W L | Last Fight Date: 5/25/2025 [DEEP] Last Opponent: [#36 W105] Honoka Shigeta Last 5: L L L W W | ||
| Friday, March 20th 2026: Professional Fighters League PFL Madrid - Van Steenis vs. Edwards 2 | |||
 [#8 MW] Costello Van Steenis |  [#13 MW] Fabian Edwards | ||
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| |||
| Last Fight Date: 7/19/2025 [PFL] Last Opponent: [#14 MW] Johnny Eblen Last 5: W L W W W | Last Fight Date: 8/21/2025 [PFL] Last Opponent: [#29 MW] Dalton Rosta Last 5: W L W W W | ||
Featured Fighters
| [#5 LW] |  Justin Gaethje | [#11 LW] | Paddy Pimblett | |
| [#1 LW] |  Ilia Topuria | [#1 WW] |  Islam Makhachev | |
| [#2 LW] |  Arman Tsarukyan | [NR] |  Conor McGregor | |
| [NR] | Khabib Nurmagomedov | [#174 MW] | Andrey Pulyaev | |
| [#7 BW] |  Yadong Song | [#3 BW] | Sean OMalley |
Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN+ 7: Overeem vs. Oleinik (04-20-2018)
Heavyweight (265)
[#8] Alistair Overeem (44-17-0, -244) vs. [#10] Alexey Oleynik (59-11-1, +198)
Alistair Overeem is the All-Time #14 ranked Heavyweight and #44 ranked Absolute fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Alistair Overeem (1-2-0)
2018-11-24: W vs. [#38HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (12-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 1
2018-06-09: L vs. [#7HW+] Curtis Blaydes (11-2-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:56 of round 3
2017-12-02: L vs. [#3HW+] Francis Ngannou (13-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:42 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Alexey Oleynik (2-1-0)
2018-09-15: W vs. [#15HW+] Mark Hunt (13-14-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:26 of round 1
2018-05-12: W vs. [#59HW+] Junior Albini (14-5-0) via Submission (Ezekiel Choke) in 1:45 of round 1
2017-11-04: L vs. [#7HW+] Curtis Blaydes (11-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 1:56 of round 2
Odds Favorite (Implied): Alistair Overeem – Win%: 67.88
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alistair Overeem (1922.87) [+106.87] – Win%: 61.97
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alistair Overeem (1933.03) [+84.88] – Win%: 59.19
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alistair Overeem 147, Alexey Oleynik 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#19] Islam Makhachev (16-1-0, -490) vs. [#104] Arman Tsarukyan (13-1-0, +373)
Last 3 Fights: Islam Makhachev (3-0-0)
2018-07-28: W vs. [#51LW] Kajan Johnson (23-13-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:43 of round 1
2018-01-20: W vs. [#69LW] Gleison Tibau (33-13-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:57 of round 1
2017-02-11: W vs. [#21LW] Nik Lentz (30-9-2) via UD (30-25, 30-27, 30-25)
Last 3 Fights: Arman Tsarukyan (3-0-0)
2018-08-22: W vs. [#774LW] Felipe Olivieri (15-7-0) via KO (Head kick) in 1:25 of round 3
2018-05-26: W vs. [#504LW] Junior Assuncao (16-7-0) via UD ()
2018-03-24: W vs. [#428LW] Haotian Wu (24-14-2) via TKO (Spinning Back Kick to the Body and Punches) in 0:31 of round 3
Odds Favorite (Implied): Islam Makhachev – Win%: 79.71
Elo Favorite (Standard): Islam Makhachev (1969.92) [+269.04] – Win%: 77.37
Elo Favorite (Modified): Islam Makhachev (1926.07) [+209.02] – Win%: 71.40
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Islam Makhachev 266, Arman Tsarukyan 241
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#38] Sergei Pavlovich (12-1-0, -306) vs. [#182] Marcelo Golm (6-2-0, +242)
Last 3 Fights: Sergei Pavlovich (2-1-0)
2018-11-24: L vs. [#8HW+] Alistair Overeem (44-17-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 1
2017-11-19: W vs. [#145HW+] Kirill Sidelnikov (11-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:45 of round 1
2017-06-02: W vs. [#60HW+] Mikhail Mokhnatkin (11-3-2) via UD ()
Last 3 Fights: Marcelo Golm (1-2-0)
2018-10-27: L vs. [#96HW+] Arjan Singh Bhullar (8-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-27, 29-28)
2018-02-03: L vs. [#48HW+] Timothy Johnson (12-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2017-10-28: W vs. [#262HW+] Christian Colombo (8-4-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:08 of round 1
Odds Favorite (Implied): Sergei Pavlovich – Win%: 72.04
Elo Favorite (Standard): Sergei Pavlovich (1703.30) [+432.44] – Win%: 87.82
Elo Favorite (Modified): Sergei Pavlovich (1739.34) [+414.34] – Win%: 85.98
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergei Pavlovich 147, Marcelo Golm 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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A Look at the UFC Welterweight Division
There ARE an increasing number of fighters lining up for a shot of the welterweight belt
Photo by Andrius Petrucenia / CC BY 2.0
There are several weights in both the women’s and men’s divisions that can be described as being on fire at the moment. The one that has been turned on its head the most in recent weeks though is the men’s 170lb division. If you had asked fans and so called experts 12 months ago to sketch the likely top 10, very few, if any would have come up with anything resembling the current rankings.
The biggest Losers
Without doubt, the two fighters who have gone backwards the most in recent months are Darren Till and Stephen Wonderboy Thompson. Just 8 months ago, it looked like Till was going to be a genuine contender for the Welterweight belt and becoming the next star of the UFC. That is where the problem lay. The UFC and, crucially, WME-IMG and ESPN are desperate for a star name. Ronda Rousey was that name for a while, Conor McGregor stepped up at the perfect time to take on the mantle. The heads in their respective boardrooms are looking around desperately for the next person to step up. The mouthy Scouser looked like a perfect fit. Two back to back defeats have derailed his and their plans, however.
Fight Matrix Program – UFC on 236: Holloway vs Poirier 2 (04-13-2019)
Lightweight Championship (155)
[#1FW/#2DD/#4P4P] Max Holloway (20-3-0, -220) vs. [#3/#10DD] Dustin Poirier (24-5-0, +177)
Max Holloway is the All-Time #27 ranked Absolute fighter.
Dustin Poirier is the All-Time #18 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (3-0-0)
2018-12-08: W vs. [#3FW] Brian Ortega (14-1-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2017-12-02: W vs. [#2FW/#8DD] Jose Aldo (28-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 3
2017-06-03: W vs. [#2FW/#8DD] Jose Aldo (28-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:13 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Dustin Poirier (3-0-0)
2018-07-28: W vs. [#27WW] Eddie Alvarez (29-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 2
2018-04-14: W vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (20-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 4
2017-11-11: W vs. [#5WW] Anthony Pettis (22-8-0) via Submission (Body Triangle) in 2:08 of round 3
Odds Favorite (Implied): Max Holloway – Win%: 65.56
Elo Favorite (Standard): Max Holloway (2365.53) [+141.35] – Win%: 65.61
Elo Favorite (Modified): Max Holloway (2317.61) [+172.34] – Win%: 68.01
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Max Holloway 126, Dustin Poirier 259
Previous Match-up Record: Dustin Poirier leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Max Holloway leads 3-2
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Middleweight Championship (185)
[#4] Kelvin Gastelum (15-3-0, +142) vs. [#7] Israel Adesanya (16-0-0, -170)
Israel Adesanya is the All-Time #50 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Kelvin Gastelum (2-1-0)
2018-05-12: W vs. [#5MW] Ronaldo Souza (26-6-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-11-25: W vs. [*] Michael Bisping (30-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:30 of round 1
2017-07-22: L vs. [#8MW] Chris Weidman (14-4-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:45 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Israel Adesanya (3-0-0)
2019-02-09: W vs. [#15MW] Anderson Silva (34-9-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-11-03: W vs. [#12MW] Derek Brunson (18-7-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 4:51 of round 1
2018-07-06: W vs. [#16MW] Brad Tavares (17-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
Odds Favorite (Implied): Israel Adesanya – Win%: 60.37
Elo Favorite (Standard): Kelvin Gastelum (2165.77) [+90.64] – Win%: 60.21
Elo Favorite (Modified): Kelvin Gastelum (2135.94) [+77.95] – Win%: 58.45
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kelvin Gastelum 336, Israel Adesanya 63
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#47] Eryk Anders (11-3-0, -194) vs. [#79] Khalil Rountree (7-4-0, +160)
Last 3 Fights: Eryk Anders (1-2-0)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#18MW] Elias Theodorou (16-2-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2018-09-22: L vs. [#7LHW] Thiago Santos (21-6-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 5:00 of round 3
2018-08-25: W vs. [#108MW] Tim Williams (15-5-0) via KO (Soccer Kick) in 4:42 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Khalil Rountree (1-2-0)
2018-11-17: L vs. [#20LHW] Johnny Walker (17-3-0) via KO (Elbow) in 1:57 of round 1
2018-07-07: W vs. [#114LHW] Gokhan Saki (1-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:36 of round 1
2017-12-30: L vs. [#33LHW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (15-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Odds Favorite (Implied): Eryk Anders – Win%: 63.17
Elo Favorite (Standard): Eryk Anders (1612.03) [+228.58] – Win%: 73.97
Elo Favorite (Modified): Eryk Anders (1708.15) [+271.94] – Win%: 76.68
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Eryk Anders 126, Khalil Rountree 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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One FC – A Reminder on Weight Divisions
Since this has came up again recently, here’s a link back to our original post on this issue:
14 Questions with Sabina Mazo: 6-0 Flyweight Prospect makes her UFC Debut vs. Maryna Moroz
Sabina Mazo is a Colombian fighter with a 6-0 record making her UFC debut vs. Maryna Moroz on April 30th, 2019. She has already fought the full 25 minutes twice in her career and her opponents have a combined record of 29-10. That is an unusually strong strength of competition for the still developing regional women’s MMA scene.
She first made headlines with back to back headkick knockouts:https://youtu.be/Vor6987oBO0 and has since become LFA Champion.
Quick stats:
Fight Matrix Ranking Points for ONE Championship Flyweight Tournament
On Sunday former UFC flyweight champion Demetrious Johnson will fight outside the Octagon for the first time since 2010 as he makes his debut for ONE Championship. The card, dubbed “A New Era” will feature the first round of a flyweight tournament. Johnson is a heavy favorite in the field, and he is the only fighter in the bracket who is currently ranked inside the top 10. It will be interesting to see how ONE progresses as a promotion with a few high level signings and a new U.S. television deal. In the past, high profile fighters, such as Ben Askren, have struggled to maintain their Fight Matrix ranking due to lack of competition. How will it effect Johnson’s legacy? Given the lack of depth of the flyweight and bantamweight divisions outside of the UFC, it will be hard to see how ONE will provide strong opponents for Johnson without co-promoting with another promotion like Bellator or Rizin. Even those two companies had to join forces to make a super fight for champions Kyoji Horiguchi and Darrion Caldwell.
The following chart shows the career ranking points for all competitors in the upcoming ONE Championship flyweight tournament. An interactive version is available via Tableau Public.
Richard Mann is a regular contributor to @espnmma, @FightMetric, @RotoWireMMA and @InterMat. You can follow him on Twitter at @richardamann.
[Grappling] All-female Quintet show April 7! Mcmann, Carmouche, King Reina, world champs Karppinen and Yuasa
Date: APRIL 7 2019
10th Planet
- Elvira Karppinen (World Champ grappling)
- Liz Carmouche (UFC title challenger)
- Lila Smadja-Cruz (10th planet brown belt)
- Fabiana Jorge
- Grace Gundrum
BJJ Kunoichi / TEAM YUASA
Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN 2: Barboza vs Gaethje (03-30-2019)
Lightweight (155)
[#9] Edson Barboza (20-6-0, -153) vs. [#11] Justin Gaethje (19-2-0, +128)
Edson Barboza is the All-Time #27 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Justin Gaethje is the All-Time #36 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Edson Barboza (1-2-0)
2018-12-15: W vs. [#23LW] Dan Hooker (17-8-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 2:19 of round 3
2018-04-21: L vs. [#8LW] Kevin Lee (17-4-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 2:18 of round 5
2017-12-30: L vs. [#1LW/#7DD/#7P4P] Khabib Nurmagomedov (27-0-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-24)
Last 3 Fights: Justin Gaethje (1-2-0)
2018-08-25: W vs. [#24LW] James Vick (13-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:27 of round 1
2018-04-14: L vs. [#3LW] Dustin Poirier (24-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 4
2017-12-02: L vs. [#5LW] Eddie Alvarez (29-6-0) via KO (Knee) in 3:59 of round 3
Odds Favorite (Implied): Edson Barboza – Win%: 57.96
Elo Favorite (Standard): Justin Gaethje (2027.70) [+21.44] – Win%: 52.45
Elo Favorite (Modified): Justin Gaethje (1994.91) [+9.36] – Win%: 51.03
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Edson Barboza 105, Justin Gaethje 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Justin Gaethje leads 1-0
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Middleweight (185)
[#14] David Branch (22-5-0, +100) vs. [#19] Jack Hermansson (18-4-0, -124)
David Branch is the All-Time #50 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: David Branch (1-2-0)
2018-11-03: L vs. [#10MW] Jared Cannonier (11-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:29 of round 2
2018-04-21: W vs. [#7LHW] Thiago Santos (21-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:30 of round 1
2017-09-16: L vs. [#6MW] Luke Rockhold (16-4-0) via TKO (Submission to Punches) in 4:05 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Jack Hermansson (2-1-0)
2018-12-15: W vs. [#39MW] Gerald Meerschaert (28-10-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:25 of round 1
2018-05-12: W vs. [*] Thales Leites (28-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:10 of round 3
2017-10-28: L vs. [#7LHW] Thiago Santos (21-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
Odds Favorite (Implied): Jack Hermansson – Win%: 52.54
Elo Favorite (Standard): David Branch (1932.02) [+47.25] – Win%: 55.38
Elo Favorite (Modified): David Branch (1910.58) [+9.07] – Win%: 50.99
Days Since Last Pro Fight: David Branch 147, Jack Hermansson 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: David Branch leads 1-0
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Featherweight (145)
[#15] Josh Emmett (13-2-0, -106) vs. [#16] Michael Johnson (19-13-0, -118)
Last 3 Fights: Josh Emmett (2-1-0)
2018-02-24: L vs. [#9FW] Jeremy Stephens (28-16-0) via KO (Elbows) in 1:35 of round 2
2017-12-16: W vs. [#8FW] Ricardo Lamas (19-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:33 of round 1
2017-10-21: W vs. [*] Felipe Arantes (18-10-1) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-25)
Last 3 Fights: Michael Johnson (2-1-0)
2018-10-27: W vs. [#95FW] Artem Lobov (14-15-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-08-25: W vs. [#19FW] Andre Fili (19-6-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2018-01-14: L vs. [#18FW] Darren Elkins (24-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:22 of round 2
Odds Favorite (Implied): Michael Johnson – Win%: 51.26
Elo Favorite (Standard): Michael Johnson (1862.82) [+100.30] – Win%: 61.26
Elo Favorite (Modified): Michael Johnson (1792.41) [+8.33] – Win%: 50.91
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josh Emmett 399, Michael Johnson 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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