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Fight Matrix

The fight history of Makhmudov – The man standing between Fury and his comeback

Posted on March 17, 2026 by A. J. Riot

Tyson Fury is back once again. After a year away from the sport following back-to-back losses to Oleksandr Usyk, the Gypsy King returns to the ring to fight Arslanbek Makhmudov on 11 April at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, live on Netflix.

With plenty of interest in the Tyson Fury vs Makhmudov odds already building, one question keeps coming up more than any other. Who exactly is Arslanbek Makhmudov, and does he have what it takes to face the Gypsy King?

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy (03-21-2026)

Posted on March 16, 2026 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[*] Movsar Evloev (19-0-0, -226) vs. [#6][#5UFC] Lerone Murphy (17-0-1, +184)
Movsar Evloev is the All-Time #38 ranked Featherweight fighter.
Lerone Murphy is the All-Time #50 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Movsar Evloev (3-0-0)
2024-12-07: W vs. [#4FW] Aljamain Sterling (25-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-01-20: W vs. [#14FW] Arnold Allen (20-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-05-06: W vs. [#2FW] Diego Lopes (27-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Lerone Murphy (3-0-0)
2025-08-16: W vs. [#48FW] Aaron Pico (13-5-0) via KO (Spinning Back Elbow) in 3:21 of round 1
2025-04-05: W vs. [#22FW] Josh Emmett (19-7-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#24FW] Dan Ige (19-11-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Movsar Evloev -226 66.31%
Elo K170 Movsar Evloev 2253.99 +112.10 65.60%
Elo Modified Movsar Evloev 2171.90 +79.38 61.23%
Glicko-1 Movsar Evloev 2192.27 +45.21 56.47%
WHR Movsar Evloev 2063.98 +122.97 66.99%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Movsar Evloev 32.1, Lerone Murphy 34.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Movsar Evloev 469, Lerone Murphy 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#79][#39UFC] Luke Riley (12-0-0, -277) vs. [#104][#46UFC] Michael Aswell (11-3-0, +219)

Last 3 Fights: Luke Riley (3-0-0)
2025-11-22: W vs. [#165FW] Bogdan Grad (15-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:30 of round 2
2025-03-15: W vs. [#801FW] Tariel Abbasov (9-4-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 3:09 of round 2
2024-09-21: W vs. [#882FW] Alexandre dos Santos Juni (7-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:05 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Michael Aswell (2-1-0)
2025-10-11: W vs. [#209FW] Lucas Almeida (15-5-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbow) in 1:42 of round 1
2025-05-31: L vs. [#180LW] Bolaji Oki (10-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-12-15: W vs. [#396FW] Dorian Ramos (9-4-0) via SD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Luke Riley -277 70.09%
Elo K170 Luke Riley 1698.55 +188.28 74.72%
Elo Modified Luke Riley 1737.25 +196.21 75.57%
Glicko-1 Luke Riley 1739.29 +180.86 73.90%
WHR Luke Riley 1650.12 +159.94 71.52%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Luke Riley 26.7, Michael Aswell 25.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Luke Riley 119, Michael Aswell 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Luke Riley leads 1-0
.

Welterweight (170)
[#11][#11UFC] Michael Page (24-3-0, -202) vs. [#79][#50UFC] Sam Patterson (14-2-1, +166)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Page (2-1-0)
2025-08-16: W vs. [#14MW] Jared Cannonier (18-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-02-01: W vs. [#24MW] Sharabutdin Magomedov (16-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2024-06-29: L vs. [#5WW] Ian Garry (17-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Sam Patterson (3-0-0)
2025-09-06: W vs. [#204WW] Trey Waters (9-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:01 of round 1
2025-03-01: W vs. [#286MW] Danny Barlow (9-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:10 of round 1
2024-07-27: W vs. [#404WW] Kiefer Crosbie (10-6-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 2:50 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Michael Page -202 64.02%
Elo K170 Michael Page 2126.40 +352.98 88.41%
Elo Modified Michael Page 2104.47 +321.54 86.42%
Glicko-1 Michael Page 2172.13 +330.42 87.01%
WHR Michael Page 2027.46 +268.12 82.39%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Michael Page 38.9, Sam Patterson 29.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Page 217, Sam Patterson 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos (03-14-2026)

Posted on March 9, 2026 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#16][#13UFC] Josh Emmett (19-6-0, +393) vs. [#25][#16UFC] Kevin Vallejos (17-1-0, -546)
Josh Emmett is the All-Time #23 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Josh Emmett (1-2-0)
2025-10-04: L vs. [#7FW] Youssef Zalal (18-5-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:38 of round 1
2025-04-05: L vs. [#6FW] Lerone Murphy (17-0-1) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#15BW] Bryce Mitchell (18-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:57 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Vallejos (3-0-0)
2025-12-13: W vs. [#33FW] Giga Chikadze (15-6-0) via KO (Spinning Backfist and Elbows) in 1:29 of round 2
2025-08-02: W vs. [#144FW] Danny Silva (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-03-15: W vs. [#194FW] Seung Woo Choi (11-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:09 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kevin Vallejos -546 80.64%
Elo K170 Josh Emmett 1839.12 +29.38 54.22%
Elo Modified Josh Emmett 1818.75 +13.81 51.99%
Glicko-1 Kevin Vallejos 1870.17 +23.17 53.33%
WHR Kevin Vallejos 1771.78 +37.35 55.36%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Josh Emmett 41.0, Kevin Vallejos 24.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josh Emmett 161, Kevin Vallejos 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#6][#6UFC] Amanda Lemos (15-5-1, +159) vs. [#9][#9UFC] Gillian Robertson (16-8-0, -196)

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Lemos (1-2-0)
2025-09-13: L vs. [#4SW] Tatiana Suarez (11-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-03-08: W vs. [#10SW] Iasmin Lucindo (18-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-07-20: L vs. [#6DD][#3SW] Virna Jandiroba (22-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:48 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Gillian Robertson (3-0-0)
2025-05-03: W vs. [*] Marina Rodriguez (17-6-2) via TKO (Punches) in 2:07 of round 2
2024-11-09: W vs. [#46SW] Luana Pinheiro (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)
2024-06-29: W vs. [*] Michelle Waterson-Gomez (18-13-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gillian Robertson -196 63.16%
Elo K170 Amanda Lemos 1703.91 +38.32 55.49%
Elo Modified Gillian Robertson 1702.56 +8.54 51.23%
Glicko-1 Gillian Robertson 1727.06 +45.33 56.49%
WHR Gillian Robertson 1623.98 +14.74 52.12%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Amanda Lemos 38.8, Gillian Robertson 30.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Amanda Lemos 182, Gillian Robertson 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#32][#21UFC] Ion Cutelaba (19-11-1, +169) vs. [#34][#22UFC] Oumar Sy (12-1-0, -208)

Last 3 Fights: Ion Cutelaba (2-1-0)
2025-05-10: L vs. [#27LHW] Modestas Bukauskas (19-7-0) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 27-30)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#117LHW] Ibo Aslan (14-4-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 2:51 of round 1
2024-09-28: W vs. [#66LHW] Ivan Erslan (14-6-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Oumar Sy (2-1-0)
2025-09-06: W vs. [#75LHW] Brendson Ribeiro (17-9-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:42 of round 1
2025-06-14: L vs. [#26LHW] Alonzo Menifield (17-6-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-28: W vs. [*] Da Woon Jung (15-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Oumar Sy -208 64.49%
Elo K170 Oumar Sy 1678.00 +62.25 58.86%
Elo Modified Oumar Sy 1694.99 +17.82 52.56%
Glicko-1 Oumar Sy 1746.16 +13.20 51.90%
WHR Oumar Sy 1703.42 +74.17 60.51%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Ion Cutelaba 32.2, Oumar Sy 30.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ion Cutelaba 308, Oumar Sy 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.
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UFC White House Card: Top Fights Fans Want to See at This UFC Card

Posted on March 6, 2026 by A. J. Riot

The upcoming UFC event on the White House South Lawn has generated enormous buzz. Announced by President Trump in 2025 as part of America’s 250th anniversary celebration, the fight card is set for June 14, 2026, Trump’s 80th birthday. UFC CEO Dana White has vowed to make it “one-of-one” and the “best card we’ve ever done”. The contest will be broadcasted on CBS and Paramount+, with a live audience of roughly 5,000 on the lawn and up to 85,000 watching on big screens at the nearby Ellipse Park. Every major UFC star has been eager to volunteer for the event, and with no official fight lineup announced yet, fan speculation is at a fever pitch. In the sections below we break down the biggest matchups fans are clamoring to see, from title fights to dream super-fights.

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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on March 5, 2026 by Jason

2026 WHR Post #4

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 7 fights in the prior 7 years, including 1+ loss.  If the loss was in their debut, then 2+ losses are required.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Upcoming UFC Action in March and April

Posted on March 4, 2026 by A. J. Riot

Figure 1 The top fighters in UFC will be preparing for title fights in the months ahead – Source: Unsplash

Two months into 2026, and we have already witnessed some incredible bouts in UFC. Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett headlined the first big show of the year, with the American fighter claiming the interim lightweight title thanks to a unanimous decision after five rounds of the headline bout of UFC 324.

That event was swiftly followed by UFC’s eighth visit to Australia, where local favorite Alexander Volkanovski retained his featherweight belt thanks to another unanimous decision against Diego Lopes. More recently, there have been some high-octane Fight Nights in Las Vegas and Houston to round off February’s UFC schedule.

Now, our attention turns to yet another star-studded event at the home of UFC, the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. All the best UFC betting online sites will already be doing brisk business as fans back their favorites ahead of the big show. The next few months promise to be some of the most explosive yet in mixed martial arts. Here’s what’s coming up in the world of UFC.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 (03-07-2026)

Posted on March 2, 2026 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#3][#3UFC] Charles Oliveira (36-11-0, +179) vs. [#4][#4UFC] Max Holloway (27-8-0, -220)
Charles Oliveira is the All-Time #6 ranked Lightweight and #32 ranked Absolute fighter.
Max Holloway is the All-Time #46 ranked Lightweight and #8 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Charles Oliveira (2-1-0)
2025-10-11: W vs. [#8LW] Mateusz Gamrot (25-4-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 2:48 of round 2
2025-06-28: L vs. [#2P4P][#9DD][#1LW] Ilia Topuria (17-0-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:27 of round 1
2024-11-16: W vs. [#25LW] Michael Chandler (23-10-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)

Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (2-1-0)
2025-07-19: W vs. [*] Dustin Poirier (30-10-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2024-10-26: L vs. [#2P4P][#9DD][#1LW] Ilia Topuria (17-0-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 3
2024-04-13: W vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (27-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:59 of round 5

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Max Holloway -220 65.73%
Elo K170 Max Holloway 2341.64 +59.15 58.43%
Elo Modified Max Holloway 2303.24 +32.80 54.71%
Glicko-1 Charles Oliveira 2371.32 +1.74 50.25%
WHR Charles Oliveira 2180.40 +24.97 53.59%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Charles Oliveira 36.4, Max Holloway 34.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Oliveira 147, Max Holloway 231
Previous Match-up Record: Max Holloway leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Max Holloway leads 7-3
.

Middleweight (185)
[#11][#10UFC] Caio Borralho (17-2-0, -263) vs. [#15][#12UFC] Reinier de Ridder (21-3-0, +212)

Last 3 Fights: Caio Borralho (2-1-0)
2025-09-06: L vs. [#3MW] Nassourdine Imavov (17-4-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2024-08-24: W vs. [#14MW] Jared Cannonier (18-9-0) via UD (49-46, 48-46, 49-45)
2024-05-04: W vs. [*] Paul Craig (17-10-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:10 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Reinier de Ridder (2-1-0)
2025-10-18: L vs. [#6MW] Brendan Allen (26-7-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2025-07-26: W vs. [#10MW] Robert Whittaker (26-9-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#32MW] Bo Nickal (8-1-0) via TKO (Knees) in 1:53 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Caio Borralho -263 69.33%
Elo K170 Caio Borralho 2036.09 +46.58 56.66%
Elo Modified Caio Borralho 2015.27 +55.88 57.97%
Glicko-1 Caio Borralho 2060.69 +47.23 56.76%
WHR Caio Borralho 1954.98 +56.84 58.11%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Caio Borralho 33.1, Reinier de Ridder 35.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Caio Borralho 182, Reinier de Ridder 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#16][#15UFC] Rob Font (22-9-0, +177) vs. [#84][#44UFC] Raul Rosas Jr. (11-1-0, -217)
Rob Font is the All-Time #35 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rob Font (2-1-0)
2025-09-13: L vs. [#12BW] David Martinez (14-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#33BW] Jean Matsumoto (17-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#24BW] Kyler Phillips (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Raul Rosas Jr. (3-0-0)
2025-03-29: W vs. [#128BW] Vince Morales (16-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-14: W vs. [#103BW] Qileng Aori (28-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#749BW] Ricky Turcios (12-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:22 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Raul Rosas Jr. -217 65.47%
Elo K170 Rob Font 1848.51 +158.70 71.37%
Elo Modified Rob Font 1792.99 +113.68 65.80%
Glicko-1 Rob Font 1840.19 +138.91 68.99%
WHR Rob Font 1727.18 +117.07 66.24%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Rob Font 38.7, Raul Rosas Jr. 21.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rob Font 175, Raul Rosas Jr. 343
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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UFC 326: Oliveira vs. Holloway for BMF Gold

Posted on February 26, 2026 by A. J. Riot

Charles Oliveira knows how to take a punch. He has taken a few. After all, the man has been in 47 professional bouts. Winning some, losing some. Never giving up in the process. That’s Do Bronx for you. If some other fighters were in his boots, he would have retired a while ago, but not Charles Oliveira. Instead, he will put his body on the line once again when he meets Max Holloway at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on March 7th. For a fighter of Oliveira’s past there couldn’t be a better opponent than Blessed, for a symbolic title of the Baddest Mother F**ker in the UFC. 

While symbolic in terms of UFC rankings, for two fighters of Holloway’s and Oliveira’s pedigree it means more than your average title. Max more than deserved to carry the BMF belt, after securing it in a memorable fashion at UFC 300. Oliveira, on the other hand, is trying to get another title shot through this bout, and despite his 36-11 record is entering the T-Mobile Arena as an underdog. You will need all the betting tips for UFC 326 you can get as this match is going to be a tricky one. 

While every bookmaker out there is pitting the odds against the Do Bronx, Charles is not one to be underestimated. In the past, he carved a career out of being a fighter and bookie underestimating him. He is prepared to go against the odds once again, and we’re more than eager to witness how he will do it. Oliveira can win, and we have more than a few ideas on how he could do it under the right circumstances. 

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Tactical Breakdown of UFC 326: Strengths and Weaknesses of the Fighters

Posted on February 25, 2026 by A. J. Riot

The UFC 326 location and UFC 326 date have been locked in, and people can’t wait to see what the outcome of the match between two of the most decorated fighters in the MMA will be. The first fight between the two, Max Holloway and Charles Oliveira happened in 2015 when the contestants were still finding their feet in the sport. But the situation is different now. They are returning now as established fighters.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh (02-28-2026)

Posted on February 23, 2026 by Jason

Flyweight (125)
[#5][#5UFC] Brandon Moreno (23-9-2, -257) vs. [#76][#33UFC] Loneer Kavanagh (9-1-0, +199)
Brandon Moreno is the All-Time #3 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Moreno (2-1-0)
2025-12-06: L vs. [#3FLY] Tatsuro Taira (18-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 2
2025-03-29: W vs. [#11FLY] Steve Erceg (13-4-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#13FLY] Amir Albazi (17-3-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Loneer Kavanagh (2-1-0)
2025-08-23: L vs. [#30FLY] Charles Johnson (18-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:35 of round 2
2025-03-22: W vs. [#128FLY] Felipe dos Santos (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#57FLY] Jose Ochoa (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Brandon Moreno -257 68.28%
Elo K170 Brandon Moreno 1892.17 +333.88 87.24%
Elo Modified Brandon Moreno 1924.87 +341.08 87.69%
Glicko-1 Brandon Moreno 2001.24 +427.21 92.12%
WHR Brandon Moreno 1871.79 +327.67 86.84%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Brandon Moreno 32.2, Loneer Kavanagh 26.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Moreno 84, Loneer Kavanagh 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#12][#11UFC] Marlon Vera (24-11-1, +212) vs. [#15][#14UFC] David Martinez (13-1-0, -268)
Marlon Vera is the All-Time #32 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Marlon Vera (0-3-0)
2025-10-18: L vs. [#8BW] Aiemann Zahabi (14-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-08-03: L vs. [#9BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (25-6-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#10DD][#3BW] Sean OMalley (19-3-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-44)

Last 3 Fights: David Martinez (3-0-0)
2025-09-13: W vs. [#16BW] Rob Font (22-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-03-29: W vs. [#1024FW] Saimon Oliveira (18-7-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 4:38 of round 1
2024-10-01: W vs. [#357FW] Xavier Franklin (6-1-1) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds David Martinez -268 69.44%
Elo K170 Marlon Vera 1853.42 +34.81 54.99%
Elo Modified Marlon Vera 1910.59 +64.77 59.21%
Glicko-1 Marlon Vera 1995.32 +110.11 65.34%
WHR Marlon Vera 1808.38 +32.47 54.66%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Marlon Vera 33.2, David Martinez 27.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marlon Vera 133, David Martinez 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#47][#27UFC] Bobby Green (33-17-1, +364) vs. [#95][#48UFC] Daniel Zellhuber (15-3-0, -510)

Last 3 Fights: Bobby Green (1-2-0)
2025-12-13: W vs. [#202LW] Lance Gibson Jr. (9-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-03-08: L vs. [#10LW] Mauricio Ruffy (13-2-0) via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick) in 2:07 of round 1
2024-07-27: L vs. [#9LW] Paddy Pimblett (23-4-0) via Technical Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:22 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Zellhuber (1-2-0)
2025-07-19: L vs. [#55LW] Michael Johnson (24-19-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-14: L vs. [#60LW] Esteban Ribovics (15-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#249WW] Francisco Prado (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Daniel Zellhuber -510 79.50%
Elo K170 Bobby Green 1738.10 +131.40 68.06%
Elo Modified Bobby Green 1693.35 +21.12 53.04%
Glicko-1 Daniel Zellhuber 1741.20 +30.64 54.40%
WHR Bobby Green 1671.12 +30.43 54.37%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Bobby Green 39.5, Daniel Zellhuber 26.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bobby Green 77, Daniel Zellhuber 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.
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Prediction for the UFC 326 Main Event: Holloway or Oliveira?

Posted on February 23, 2026 by A. J. Riot

UFC 326 is expected to be an intriguing fight night in 2026, especially with Max Holloway and Charles Oliveira making headlines in a long-awaited rematch for the prestigious BMF (Baddest Mother F*er) title. This 2026 bout is a clash between two veteran MMA stars with different paths to the top. Let’s break down tactics, physicality, psychology, and fight scenarios.

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March 2026 MMA Showdowns: Title Stakes, Betting Movement and the Fights That Matter Most

Posted on February 20, 2026 by A. J. Riot

March does not ease you into the year. It throws you straight into rematches with history attached, former champions fighting to stay relevant and contenders trying to force the rankings to move. From Las Vegas to London and Seattle, this month carries consequences.

The headline belongs to a fight ten years in the making. But the real story runs deeper than one rematch. It runs through divisional crossroads, market signals and the subtle tension between legacy and momentum.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez (02-21-2026)

Posted on February 16, 2026 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#4][#4UFC] Sean Strickland (29-7-0, +228) vs. [#7][#7UFC] Anthony Hernandez (15-2-0, -283)
Sean Strickland is the All-Time #18 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Sean Strickland (1-2-0)
2025-02-08: L vs. [#7DD][#9P4P][#2MW] Dricus Du Plessis (23-3-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#9MW] Paulo Costa (15-4-0) via SD (49-46, 50-45, 46-49)
2024-01-20: L vs. [#7DD][#9P4P][#2MW] Dricus Du Plessis (23-3-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Hernandez (3-0-0)
2025-08-09: W vs. [#16MW] Roman Dolidze (15-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:45 of round 4
2025-02-22: W vs. [#6MW] Brendan Allen (26-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#70MW] Michel Pereira (32-14-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:22 of round 5

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Anthony Hernandez -283 70.78%
Elo K170 Anthony Hernandez 2161.82 +62.50 58.90%
Elo Modified Anthony Hernandez 2129.30 +69.39 59.86%
Glicko-1 Anthony Hernandez 2228.09 +90.54 62.74%
WHR Anthony Hernandez 2085.11 +102.92 64.39%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Sean Strickland 35.0, Anthony Hernandez 32.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sean Strickland 378, Anthony Hernandez 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Anthony Hernandez leads 2-1
.

Welterweight (170)
[#22][#19UFC] Geoff Neal (16-7-0, -195) vs. [#30][#25UFC] Uros Medic (12-3-0, +161)

Last 3 Fights: Geoff Neal (1-2-0)
2025-08-16: L vs. [#8WW] Carlos Prates (23-7-0) via KO (Spinning Back Elbow) in 4:59 of round 1
2024-10-26: W vs. [*] Rafael dos Anjos (32-17-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 1:30 of round 1
2024-02-17: L vs. [#5WW] Ian Garry (17-1-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Uros Medic (2-1-0)
2025-11-08: W vs. [#39WW] Muslim Salikhov (22-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:03 of round 1
2025-08-09: W vs. [#584WW] Gilbert Urbina (7-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:03 of round 1
2025-01-11: L vs. [#51WW] Punahele Soriano (12-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:31 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Geoff Neal -195 63.30%
Elo K170 Geoff Neal 1873.48 +153.37 70.74%
Elo Modified Geoff Neal 1868.41 +133.14 68.27%
Glicko-1 Geoff Neal 1946.47 +154.43 70.87%
WHR Geoff Neal 1835.79 +125.33 67.29%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Geoff Neal 35.5, Uros Medic 32.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Geoff Neal 189, Uros Medic 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#19][#14UFC] Dan Ige (19-10-0, +172) vs. [#24][#16UFC] Melquizael Costa (25-7-0, -212)

Last 3 Fights: Dan Ige (1-2-0)
2025-07-19: L vs. [#10FW] Patricio Freire (37-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-04-12: W vs. [#41FW] Sean Woodson (13-2-1) via TKO (Punches) in 1:12 of round 3
2024-10-26: L vs. [#7FW] Lerone Murphy (17-0-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Melquizael Costa (3-0-0)
2025-12-13: W vs. [#67FW] Morgan Charriere (21-12-1) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:14 of round 1
2025-05-17: W vs. [#59FW] Julian Erosa (31-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-03-29: W vs. [#113FW] Christian Rodriguez (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Melquizael Costa -212 64.89%
Elo K170 Melquizael Costa 1945.24 +142.84 69.47%
Elo Modified Melquizael Costa 1925.28 +140.47 69.18%
Glicko-1 Melquizael Costa 1965.58 +132.86 68.24%
WHR Melquizael Costa 1789.59 +15.43 52.22%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Dan Ige 34.5, Melquizael Costa 29.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dan Ige 217, Melquizael Costa 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on February 12, 2026 by Jason

Small tweaks on the “safe” bet amounts.  I didn’t really think that one through.

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 7 fights in the prior 7 years, including 1+ loss.  If the loss was in their debut, then 2+ losses are required.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira (02-07-2026)

Posted on February 2, 2026 by Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#6][#6UFC] Mario Bautista (16-3-0, -206) vs. [#17][#16UFC] Vinicius Oliveira (24-3-0, +164)

Last 3 Fights: Mario Bautista (2-1-0)
2025-10-25: L vs. [#4BW] Umar Nurmagomedov (20-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#14BW] Patrick Mix (19-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2024-10-05: W vs. [*] Jose Aldo (32-10-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Vinicius Oliveira (3-0-0)
2025-07-19: W vs. [#24BW] Kyler Phillips (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-02-01: W vs. [#40BW] Said Nurmagomedov (18-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#39BW] Ricky Simon (23-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mario Bautista -206 63.99%
Elo K170 Mario Bautista 2061.44 +81.52 61.52%
Elo Modified Mario Bautista 2010.55 +32.43 54.65%
Glicko-1 Mario Bautista 2046.24 +20.44 52.94%
WHR Mario Bautista 1894.27 +15.45 52.22%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Mario Bautista 32.6, Vinicius Oliveira 30.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mario Bautista 105, Vinicius Oliveira 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#4][#4UFC] Kyoji Horiguchi (35-5-0, -351) vs. [*] Amir Albazi (17-2-0, +265)
Kyoji Horiguchi is the All-Time #18 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Amir Albazi is the All-Time #44 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kyoji Horiguchi (3-0-0)
2025-11-22: W vs. [#14FLY] Tagir Ulanbekov (18-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:18 of round 3
2024-12-31: W vs. [#112FLY] Nkazimulo Zulu (16-8-1) via UD ()
2024-06-09: W vs. [#11BW] Sergio Pettis (25-7-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Amir Albazi (2-1-0)
2024-11-02: L vs. [#5FLY] Brandon Moreno (23-9-2) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-06-03: W vs. [#8FLY] Kai Kara-France (25-12-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#133FLY] Alessandro Costa (14-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:13 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kyoji Horiguchi -351 73.96%
Elo K170 Kyoji Horiguchi 2131.83 +322.80 86.51%
Elo Modified Kyoji Horiguchi 2091.75 +319.43 86.28%
Glicko-1 Kyoji Horiguchi 2153.80 +327.02 86.79%
WHR Kyoji Horiguchi 2063.39 +361.86 88.92%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kyoji Horiguchi 35.3, Amir Albazi 32.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kyoji Horiguchi 77, Amir Albazi 462
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#6][#5UFC] Jailton Almeida (22-4-0, -149) vs. [#23][#15UFC] Rizvan Kuniev (12-3-1, +122)
Jailton Almeida is the All-Time #48 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jailton Almeida (2-1-0)
2025-10-25: L vs. [#3HW+] Alexander Volkov (39-11-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-01-18: W vs. [#9HW+] Serghei Spivac (17-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:53 of round 1
2024-06-01: W vs. [#18HW+] Alexander Romanov (20-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:27 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Rizvan Kuniev (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2025-06-21: L vs. [#7HW+] Curtis Blaydes (19-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-08-20: W vs. [#195HW+] Hugo Cunha (8-3-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
2023-04-07: NC vs. [#12HW+] Renan Ferreira (13-5-0)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jailton Almeida -149 57.05%
Elo K170 Jailton Almeida 1950.94 +324.74 86.64%
Elo Modified Jailton Almeida 2021.91 +316.10 86.05%
Glicko-1 Jailton Almeida 2131.64 +331.45 87.08%
WHR Jailton Almeida 1989.07 +170.11 72.70%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jailton Almeida 34.6, Rizvan Kuniev 33.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jailton Almeida 105, Rizvan Kuniev 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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