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Fight Matrix
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang (08-23-2025)

Posted on August 18, 2025 by Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#15][#12UFC] Johnny Walker (21-9-0, +297) vs. [#16][#13UFC] Mingyang Zhang (19-6-0, -398)

Last 3 Fights: Johnny Walker (0-2-0, 1 NC)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#12LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (20-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:28 of round 1
2024-01-13: L vs. [#10DD][#6P4P][#1LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (21-1-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:42 of round 2
2023-10-21: NC vs. [#10DD][#6P4P][#1LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (21-1-1)

Last 3 Fights: Mingyang Zhang (3-0-0)
2025-04-26: W vs. [*] Anthony Smith (38-22-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:03 of round 1
2024-11-23: W vs. [#102MW] Osman Diaz (10-3-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 2:25 of round 1
2024-02-17: W vs. [#57LHW] Brendson Ribeiro (17-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:41 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mingyang Zhang -398 76.03%
Elo K170 Johnny Walker 1791.23 +52.03 57.43%
Elo Modified Johnny Walker 1802.87 +67.03 59.53%
Glicko-1 Johnny Walker 1856.33 +37.60 55.39%
WHR Mingyang Zhang 1777.98 +58.76 58.38%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Johnny Walker 33.4, Mingyang Zhang 27.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Johnny Walker 427, Mingyang Zhang 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#4][#4UFC] Aljamain Sterling (24-5-0, -310) vs. [#7][#7UFC] Brian Ortega (16-4-0, +243)
Aljamain Sterling is the All-Time #47 ranked Absolute fighter.
Brian Ortega is the All-Time #12 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Aljamain Sterling (1-2-0)
2024-12-07: L vs. [#2FW] Movsar Evloev (19-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#48FW] Calvin Kattar (23-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-08-19: L vs. [#2BW] Sean OMalley (18-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:51 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Brian Ortega (1-2-0)
2024-09-14: L vs. [#5FW] Diego Lopes (26-7-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#3FW] Yair Rodriguez (20-5-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 0:58 of round 3
2022-07-16: L vs. [#3FW] Yair Rodriguez (20-5-0) via TKO (Shoulder Injury) in 4:11 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Aljamain Sterling -310 72.17%
Elo K170 Aljamain Sterling 2161.58 +181.21 73.95%
Elo Modified Aljamain Sterling 2045.40 +103.34 64.45%
Glicko-1 Aljamain Sterling 2073.64 +44.65 56.39%
WHR Aljamain Sterling 1936.22 +69.73 59.90%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Aljamain Sterling 36.0, Brian Ortega 34.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Aljamain Sterling 259, Brian Ortega 343
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#5][#4UFC] Sergei Pavlovich (19-3-0, -263) vs. [#10][#7UFC] Waldo Cortes-Acosta (14-1-0, +210)
Sergei Pavlovich is the All-Time #35 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Sergei Pavlovich (1-2-0)
2025-02-01: W vs. [#12HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (15-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#4HW+] Alexander Volkov (38-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-11-11: L vs. [#2HW+] Tom Aspinall (15-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Waldo Cortes-Acosta (3-0-0)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#13HW+] Serghei Spivac (17-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-03-15: W vs. [#38HW+] Ryan Spann (23-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:48 of round 2
2024-05-11: W vs. [#208HW+] Robelis Despaigne (5-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sergei Pavlovich -263 69.19%
Elo K170 Sergei Pavlovich 1997.75 +109.86 65.30%
Elo Modified Sergei Pavlovich 1987.45 +84.49 61.92%
Glicko-1 Sergei Pavlovich 2065.40 +133.36 68.30%
WHR Sergei Pavlovich 1965.29 +152.62 70.65%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Sergei Pavlovich 33.3, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 33.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergei Pavlovich 203, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on August 14, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Vincent Juico interviews Oleg

Posted on August 13, 2025 by Oleg

An interview with yours truly, courtesy of Vincent Juico’s Sports for All podcast.  Discussing MMA rankings, upcoming fights, and more – give it a listen!

Chimaev, du Plessis and 49ers

Posted on August 12, 2025 by Vincent Juico

This content originally appeared on https://businessmirror.com.ph/2025/08/11/chimaev-du-plessis-and-49ers/

[#1 MW](C)  Dricus Du Plessis (DDP) and [#4 MW] Khamzat Chimaev, two of the most dynamic athletes in the UFC middleweight division, will exchange strikes, takedowns and submission attempts at UFC 319 at the United Center in Chicago on Friday.

Many questions heading into what many think and feel will be an absolute banger and barnburner of a fight.

Can Chimaev neutralize DDP’s rhythm?

Chimaev’s takedown-heavy offense could suffocate DDP if he maintains relentless pressure.

Will DDP bait mistakes and finish?

DDP’s offensive creativity and endurance could frustrate Chimaev, opening paths to strikes or submissions.

This fight is a classic clash of relentless aggression vs unconventional adaptability.

Keep Reading

Vincent Juico

Vincent Juicio is a sports journalist covering basketball, mixed martial arts, boxing, American football-especially the San Francisco 49ers-and global sports issues. Known for his insightful analysis and a keen eye on both game strategy and broader sports trends, his work offers fans in-depth perspectives across multiple disciplines.

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev (08-16-2025)

Posted on August 11, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight Championship (185)
[#1P4P][#4DD][#1][#1UFC] Dricus Du Plessis (23-2-0, +174) vs. [#4][#4UFC] Khamzat Chimaev (14-0-0, -210)
Dricus Du Plessis is the All-Time #4 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Khamzat Chimaev is the All-Time #31 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Dricus Du Plessis (3-0-0)
2025-02-08: W vs. [#2MW] Sean Strickland (29-7-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#5MW] Israel Adesanya (24-5-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:38 of round 4
2024-01-20: W vs. [#2MW] Sean Strickland (29-7-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Khamzat Chimaev (3-0-0)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#10MW] Robert Whittaker (26-9-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:34 of round 1
2023-10-21: W vs. [#4WW] Kamaru Usman (21-4-0) via MD (29-27, 29-27, 28-28)
2022-09-10: W vs. [#21WW] Kevin Holland (28-14-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:13 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Khamzat Chimaev -210 64.98%
Elo K170 Dricus Du Plessis 2382.91 +88.41 62.46%
Elo Modified Dricus Du Plessis 2309.13 +50.66 57.24%
Glicko-1 Dricus Du Plessis 2396.54 +42.21 56.04%
WHR Dricus Du Plessis 2200.82 +45.60 56.53%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Dricus Du Plessis 31.6, Khamzat Chimaev 31.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dricus Du Plessis 189, Khamzat Chimaev 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#8][#8UFC] Lerone Murphy (16-0-1, +116) vs. [*] Aaron Pico (13-4-0, -140)

Last 3 Fights: Lerone Murphy (3-0-0)
2025-04-05: W vs. [#12FW] Josh Emmett (19-5-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#19FW] Dan Ige (19-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-05-18: W vs. [#47FW] Edson Barboza (24-12-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Aaron Pico (3-0-0)
2024-02-24: W vs. [*] Henry Corrales (21-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:53 of round 1
2023-09-23: W vs. [#65FW] Pedro Carvalho (13-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:05 of round 1
2023-04-22: W vs. [#311MW] James Gonzalez (11-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Aaron Pico -140 55.74%
Elo K170 Lerone Murphy 2107.74 +240.04 79.93%
Elo Modified Lerone Murphy 2049.17 +165.04 72.11%
Glicko-1 Lerone Murphy 2082.95 +156.57 71.12%
WHR Lerone Murphy 1941.92 +177.74 73.56%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Lerone Murphy 34.0, Aaron Pico 28.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lerone Murphy 133, Aaron Pico 539
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#10][#10UFC] Geoff Neal (16-6-0, +212) vs. [#26][#22UFC] Carlos Prates (21-7-0, -260)
Geoff Neal is the All-Time #50 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Geoff Neal (1-2-0)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#35WW] Rafael dos Anjos (32-17-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 1:30 of round 1
2024-02-17: L vs. [#8WW] Ian Garry (16-1-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 30-27)
2023-03-04: L vs. [#6WW] Shavkat Rakhmonov (19-0-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Prates (2-1-0)
2025-04-26: L vs. [#8WW] Ian Garry (16-1-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-11-09: W vs. [#34WW] Neil Magny (30-13-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:50 of round 1
2024-08-17: W vs. [#66WW] Jingliang Li (19-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:02 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Carlos Prates -260 69.26%
Elo K170 Geoff Neal 1973.64 +62.62 58.91%
Elo Modified Geoff Neal 1977.26 +74.60 60.57%
Glicko-1 Geoff Neal 2045.31 +55.97 57.98%
WHR Carlos Prates 1934.25 +34.28 54.92%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Geoff Neal 34.9, Carlos Prates 32.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Geoff Neal 294, Carlos Prates 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Carlos Prates leads 1-0
.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on August 7, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Exclusive Interview with Professional Boxer and eSports Competitor, Stanley Johnson

Posted on August 6, 2025 by Heather

Stanley ‘Kid Muscle’ Johnson (7-1, 5 KOs) is a professional boxer and Esports competitor from Houston, who grew up in New Orleans. He is ranked #12 in U.S. Cruiserweight and #108 globally. Prior to his boxing career, Johnson has served in the US Navy. Stanley also participates in eSports, and serves as brand ambassador for 4ESPORTS/4EGAMES, in partnership with Eruption Boxing Management. His manager, Gwen Legge of Orange, California, owns Eruption Boxing Management and brings an innovative management style.

Keep Reading

Heather

MMA & Boxing Author | Business Development Consultant
I have been a fan and avid viewer of all combat sports for decades. I was once a Judoka, which is what eventually piqued my interest in Mixed Martial Arts. I have been a spectator of the UFC since 2001. For 25 years I’ve worked in healthcare, and now am trying to make something that was a hobby, into a full-time endeavor.

www.fightmatrix.com

Four Rematches Boxing Fans Could See in the Second Half of 2025

Posted on August 6, 2025 by A. J. Riot

A boxer on his way to the ring

Unsplash

As we stride into the latter half of 2025, boxing is primed to deliver spectacle after spectacle. Already, the calendar boasts seismic encounters: Canelo Alvarez versus Terence Crawford in Las Vegas on September 13th in a contest between two of the greatest fighters of their generation, with streaming giant Netflix broadcasting worldwide. Two months later, KO artist extraordinaire David Benavidez puts his reputation and WBC light heavyweight title on the line against Britain’s Anthony Yarde in Riyadh. But that’s not all.

But boxing’s heartbeat doesn’t just pulse with fresh matchups; it throbs on the echo of unfinished business. Four blockbuster rematches could also take place before the year is out, each heavy with legacy and possibility. The potential clashes have drifted to the top of every pundit’s wishlist. The stakes? Pride, closure, and a rewrite of the record books.

So, which fighters could be meeting familiar foes in the coming months? Let’s find out.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez (08-09-2025)

Posted on August 4, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#10][#9UFC] Roman Dolidze (15-3-0, +258) vs. [#16][#13UFC] Anthony Hernandez (14-2-0, -323)

Last 3 Fights: Roman Dolidze (3-0-0)
2025-03-15: W vs. [#18MW] Marvin Vettori (19-9-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#21WW] Kevin Holland (28-14-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2024-06-29: W vs. [*] Anthony Smith (38-22-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Hernandez (3-0-0)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#14MW] Brendan Allen (25-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#48MW] Michel Pereira (32-13-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:22 of round 5
2024-02-17: W vs. [#23MW] Roman Kopylov (14-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:23 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Anthony Hernandez -323 73.21%
Elo K170 Anthony Hernandez 2085.29 +34.75 54.98%
Elo Modified Anthony Hernandez 2072.54 +25.70 53.69%
Glicko-1 Anthony Hernandez 2141.02 +11.40 51.64%
WHR Anthony Hernandez 2024.77 +89.16 62.55%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Roman Dolidze 37.0, Anthony Hernandez 31.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roman Dolidze 147, Anthony Hernandez 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Roman Dolidze leads 1-0
.

Flyweight (125)
[#11][#9UFC] Steve Erceg (12-4-0, -400) vs. [#51][#23UFC] Ode Osbourne (13-8-0, +300)

Last 3 Fights: Steve Erceg (0-3-0)
2025-03-29: L vs. [#6DD][#7P4P][#2FLY] Brandon Moreno (23-8-2) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2024-08-17: L vs. [#6FLY] Kai Kara-France (25-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:04 of round 1
2024-05-04: L vs. [#4DD][#5P4P][#1FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (30-5-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Ode Osbourne (1-2-0)
2025-04-05: W vs. [#99FLY] Luis Gurule (10-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:54 of round 2
2024-09-14: L vs. [#91FLY] Ronaldo Rodriguez (18-3-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-27)
2024-03-16: L vs. [#83FLY] Jafel Filho (16-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:27 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Steve Erceg -400 76.19%
Elo K170 Steve Erceg 1640.75 +109.70 65.28%
Elo Modified Steve Erceg 1645.13 +130.71 67.97%
Glicko-1 Steve Erceg 1676.92 +174.36 73.18%
WHR Steve Erceg 1663.23 +209.59 76.97%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Steve Erceg 30.0, Ode Osbourne 33.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Steve Erceg 133, Ode Osbourne 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#12][#11UFC] Angela Hill (18-14-0, +153) vs. [#13][#12UFC] Iasmin Lucindo (17-6-0, -184)

Last 3 Fights: Angela Hill (2-1-0)
2025-02-15: W vs. [#25SW] Ketlen Souza (15-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-08-24: L vs. [#7SW] Tabatha Ricci (12-3-0) via UD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-05-18: W vs. [#38SW] Luana Pinheiro (11-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:12 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Iasmin Lucindo (2-1-0)
2025-03-08: L vs. [#4SW] Amanda Lemos (15-4-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-10-05: W vs. [*] Marina Rodriguez (17-6-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#49SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (16-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Iasmin Lucindo -184 62.10%
Elo K170 Angela Hill 1635.09 +40.21 55.76%
Elo Modified Angela Hill 1606.47 +46.65 56.67%
Glicko-1 Angela Hill 1596.50 +54.19 57.74%
WHR Angela Hill 1541.10 +65.28 59.29%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Angela Hill 40.6, Iasmin Lucindo 23.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Angela Hill 175, Iasmin Lucindo 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on July 31, 2025 by Jason

We hit a huge parlay last week!  Let’s try again..

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Albazi vs. Taira (08-02-2025)

Posted on July 28, 2025 by Jason

Flyweight (125)
[#7][#6UFC] Tatsuro Taira (16-1-0, -279) vs. [#10][#8UFC] Amir Albazi (17-2-0, +224)
Tatsuro Taira is the All-Time #28 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Amir Albazi is the All-Time #43 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tatsuro Taira (2-1-0)
2024-10-12: L vs. [#4FLY] Brandon Royval (17-8-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)
2024-06-15: W vs. [#21FLY] Alex Perez (25-9-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 2:59 of round 2
2023-12-09: W vs. [#144FLY] Carlos Hernandez (10-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Amir Albazi (2-1-0)
2024-11-02: L vs. [#6DD][#7P4P][#2FLY] Brandon Moreno (23-8-2) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-06-03: W vs. [#6FLY] Kai Kara-France (25-12-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#69FLY] Alessandro Costa (14-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:13 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tatsuro Taira -279 70.46%
Elo K170 Tatsuro Taira 1836.07 +27.22 53.91%
Elo Modified Tatsuro Taira 1857.25 +85.05 62.00%
Glicko-1 Tatsuro Taira 1932.01 +105.32 64.71%
WHR Tatsuro Taira 1833.89 +95.11 63.36%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Tatsuro Taira 25.5, Amir Albazi 31.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tatsuro Taira 294, Amir Albazi 273
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#40][#22UFC] Mateusz Rebecki (21-2-0, -216) vs. [#106][#50UFC] Chris Duncan (13-2-0, +176)

Last 3 Fights: Mateusz Rebecki (2-1-0)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#41LW] Myktybek Orolbai (14-2-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-05-11: L vs. [#25LW] Diego Ferreira (19-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 3
2023-11-11: W vs. [#164LW] Roosevelt Roberts (12-6-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:08 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Chris Duncan (2-1-0)
2025-03-22: W vs. [#251LW] Jordan Vucenic (13-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:42 of round 2
2024-09-28: W vs. [#190LW] Bolaji Oki (10-2-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:34 of round 1
2024-02-24: L vs. [#57LW] Manuel Torres (16-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:46 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mateusz Rebecki -216 65.35%
Elo K170 Mateusz Rebecki 1916.24 +202.63 76.25%
Elo Modified Mateusz Rebecki 1888.01 +187.60 74.65%
Glicko-1 Mateusz Rebecki 1936.54 +209.46 76.95%
WHR Mateusz Rebecki 1863.63 +193.59 75.30%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Mateusz Rebecki 32.8, Chris Duncan 32.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mateusz Rebecki 280, Chris Duncan 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#69][#35UFC] Esteban Ribovics (14-2-0, -273) vs. [#95][#46UFC] Elves Brener (16-5-0, +220)

Last 3 Fights: Esteban Ribovics (2-1-0)
2025-03-01: L vs. [#42LW] Nasrat Haqparast (18-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2024-09-14: W vs. [#90LW] Daniel Zellhuber (15-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-05-11: W vs. [#128LW] Terrance McKinney (17-7-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:37 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Elves Brener (1-2-0)
2024-08-03: L vs. [#17LW] Joel Alvarez (22-3-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 3:36 of round 3
2024-05-04: L vs. [#41LW] Myktybek Orolbai (14-2-2) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2023-11-04: W vs. [#203LW] Kaynan Kruschewsky (15-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:01 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Esteban Ribovics -273 70.07%
Elo K170 Esteban Ribovics 1753.16 +158.92 71.40%
Elo Modified Esteban Ribovics 1762.46 +164.19 72.02%
Glicko-1 Esteban Ribovics 1811.97 +149.62 70.29%
WHR Esteban Ribovics 1707.32 +56.46 58.06%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Esteban Ribovics 29.2, Elves Brener 27.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Esteban Ribovics 154, Elves Brener 364
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. de Ridder (07-26-2025)

Posted on July 21, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#6][#6UFC] Robert Whittaker (26-8-0, -162) vs. [#18][#15UFC] Reinier de Ridder (20-2-0, +133)
Robert Whittaker is the All-Time #4 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Robert Whittaker (2-1-0)
2024-10-26: L vs. [#4MW] Khamzat Chimaev (14-0-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:34 of round 1
2024-06-22: W vs. [#30MW] Ikram Aliskerov (16-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:49 of round 1
2024-02-17: W vs. [#10MW] Paulo Costa (15-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Reinier de Ridder (3-0-0)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#34MW] Bo Nickal (7-1-0) via TKO (Knees) in 1:53 of round 2
2025-01-18: W vs. [#21WW] Kevin Holland (28-14-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:31 of round 1
2024-11-09: W vs. [#48MW] Gerald Meerschaert (37-19-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:44 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Robert Whittaker -162 59.02%
Elo K170 Robert Whittaker 2124.73 +148.96 70.21%
Elo Modified Robert Whittaker 2110.57 +109.07 65.20%
Glicko-1 Robert Whittaker 2173.56 +98.11 63.76%
WHR Robert Whittaker 2000.64 +34.83 55.00%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Robert Whittaker 34.6, Reinier de Ridder 34.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Robert Whittaker 273, Reinier de Ridder 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#3][#3UFC] Petr Yan (18-5-0, -375) vs. [#19][#17UFC] Marcus McGhee (10-1-0, +289)
Petr Yan is the All-Time #10 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Petr Yan (2-1-0)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#9BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-5-1) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#7BW] Yadong Song (22-9-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-11: L vs. [#1P4P][#2DD][#1BW] Merab Dvalishvili (20-4-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Marcus McGhee (3-0-0)
2024-11-16: W vs. [#24BW] Jonathan Martinez (19-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-01-13: W vs. [#365BW] Gaston Bolanos (8-5-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 3:29 of round 3
2023-08-12: W vs. [*] J.P. Buys (9-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:19 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Petr Yan -375 75.43%
Elo K170 Petr Yan 2126.82 +441.67 92.70%
Elo Modified Petr Yan 2157.81 +467.66 93.66%
Glicko-1 Petr Yan 2214.70 +451.07 93.07%
WHR Petr Yan 2073.60 +465.75 93.59%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Petr Yan 32.4, Marcus McGhee 35.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Petr Yan 245, Marcus McGhee 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#29][#22UFC] Sharabutdin Magomedov (15-1-0, -555) vs. [#42][#30UFC] Marc-Andre Barriault (18-9-0, +400)

Last 3 Fights: Sharabutdin Magomedov (2-1-0)
2025-02-01: L vs. [#16MW] Michael Page (23-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#100MW] Armen Petrosyan (9-5-0) via KO (Spinning Backfists) in 4:52 of round 1
2024-08-03: W vs. [#47MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (21-9-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Marc-Andre Barriault (1-2-0)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#66MW] Bruno Silva (23-13-0) via KO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:27 of round 1
2024-11-02: L vs. [#59MW] Dustin Stoltzfus (16-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:28 of round 1
2024-06-29: L vs. [#19MW] Joe Pyfer (14-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:25 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sharabutdin Magomedov -555 80.90%
Elo K170 Sharabutdin Magomedov 1853.64 +291.74 84.28%
Elo Modified Sharabutdin Magomedov 1865.19 +242.12 80.12%
Glicko-1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 1926.51 +242.50 80.15%
WHR Sharabutdin Magomedov 1855.07 +261.83 81.87%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Sharabutdin Magomedov 31.2, Marc-Andre Barriault 35.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sharabutdin Magomedov 175, Marc-Andre Barriault 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.
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🔥 RFP 100 – A Milestone Grand Prix Set for July 31 in Ukraine

Posted on July 20, 2025 by Vitaliy Vovk

Real Fight Promotion (RFP), the leading MMA organization in Ukraine, is set to celebrate a major milestone with its 100th professional event — RFP 100 – Grand Prix: Series 5, taking place on July 31, 2025, at the Lokomotyv Arena in Kolomyia.

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Vitaliy Vovk

MMA Promoter | Event Organizer | Coach | Analyst

I am the Founder and President of Real Fight Promotion (RFP), one of the most established MMA organizations in Ukraine. With over 40 years of experience in combat sports and a background in law enforcement special forces, I’ve organized more than 100 MMA events, coached high-level fighters, and contributed to the development of MMA at the national level. I actively collaborate with leading MMA platforms and, as a published author, remain committed to advancing the sport of MMA in Ukraine.

https://rfpromo.com/

rfpromo.com/

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on July 17, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays are back in the green!  Woohoo!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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I’m Fighting History – Holloway Gets Personal Ahead of UFC 318 Trilogy Finale

Posted on July 16, 2025 by A. J. Riot

UFC legend and Stake Ambassador, Max Holloway, isn’t just chasing a win ahead of UFC 318, he’s chasing the kind of redemption that a true fighter will always take, given the chance. As the highly anticipated UFC 318 trilogy clash with Dustin Poirier approaches, the former featherweight king and current BMF titleholder is eyeing much more than sporting success over an old rival. In the exclusive interview Holloway gave to Stake, the fighter made his position abundantly clear: “I’m not just fighting Poirier,” he said, “I’m fighting history.”

From unfinished business with another UFC all-time great to Holloway’s undoubted championship aspirations, this bout is likely to define the next chapter in the fighter’s already legendary career. And that’s what makes it so compelling, of course, not only for avid followers of UFC bouts but for those who simply like a sporting spectacle when everything is laid on the line. In this regard, Holloway’s take on the fight leaves nothing to the imagination. He’s very honest – brutal, you might even say – about what he expects of himself in this match-up and why it is so important to him. Here’s what we know so far.

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