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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC: Dana White’s Contender Series (08-09-2018)

Posted on August 8, 2018 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#55] Augusto Sakai (10-1-1) vs. [#106LHW] Marcos Conrado Jr. (5-0-0)

Last 3 Fights: Augusto Sakai (1-1-1)
2017-11-11: W vs. [#434HW+] Tiago Cardoso (7-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in of round 1
2017-05-19: L vs. [#14HW+] Cheick Kongo (28-10-2) via SD ()
2016-05-20: D vs. [#91HW+] Dan Charles (11-7-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Marcos Conrado Jr. (3-0-0)
2018-03-03: W vs. [NA] Sumit Rangi (0-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in of round 0
2018-02-23: W vs. [#352LHW] Sandeep Kumar Dahiya (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 1:07 of round 1
2017-10-27: W vs. [#331HW+] Vinicius Lima (9-6-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:40 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Augusto Sakai (1528.22) [+166.49] – Win%: 68.15
Elo Favorite (Modified): Augusto Sakai (1608.65) [+177.65] – Win%: 68.52
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Augusto Sakai 271, Marcos Conrado Jr. 159
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#26] Marina Alcalde Rodriguez (9-0-0) vs. [#22AW] Maria de Oliveira Neta (10-3-0)

Last 3 Fights: Marina Alcalde Rodriguez (3-0-0)
2017-12-22: W vs. [#97FLY] Natalia Cristina Miranda (8-5-1) via UD ()
2017-12-10: W vs. [#86SW] Amanda Torres Sardinha (8-5-0) via UD ()
2017-04-28: W vs. [#112SW] Samara Santos Cunha (11-5-1) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Maria de Oliveira Neta (2-1-0)
2017-12-31: L vs. [#3AW] Kanna Asakura (13-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:40 of round 2
2017-10-15: W vs. [#36AW] Alyssa Garcia (3-5-0) via UD ()
2017-07-01: W vs. [NA] Laisa Coimbra (0-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:15 of round 2

Elo Favorite (Standard): Marina Alcalde Rodriguez (1488.90) [+215.88] – Win%: 72.83
Elo Favorite (Modified): Marina Alcalde Rodriguez (1503.32) [+266.93] – Win%: 76.29
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marina Alcalde Rodriguez 230, Maria de Oliveira Neta 221
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#132] Marcio Alexandre Jr. (16-4-0) vs. [#130LHW] Leonardo Silva de Oliveira (12-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Marcio Alexandre Jr. (2-1-0)
2018-04-21: W vs. [#301MW] Arymarcel Santos (40-35-0) via TKO in 2:49 of round 1
2017-08-12: L vs. [#146MW] Fabio Aguiar (11-1-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 3:03 of round 3
2017-03-18: W vs. [#322MW] Marcus Vinicius Fialho da (8-2-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Leonardo Silva de Oliveira (2-1-0)
2018-03-24: W vs. [NA] Luan Gabani (3-1-0) via TKO in 2:28 of round 2
2018-03-17: W vs. [#267MW] Cemey dos Santos (3-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:57 of round 1
2017-12-16: L vs. [#98LHW] Shamil Akhmedov (6-0-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:14 of round 3

Elo Favorite (Standard): Marcio Alexandre Jr. (1483.03) [+57.34] – Win%: 56.51
Elo Favorite (Modified): Marcio Alexandre Jr. (1506.07) [+6.45] – Win%: 50.70
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marcio Alexandre Jr. 110, Leonardo Silva de Oliveira 138
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

All-Time MMA Rankings Updated (08-05-2018)

Posted on August 5, 2018 by Jason

Notable Info

  • Demetrious Johnson‘s #12 Absolute and #1 Flyweight rankings remain after his loss to Henry Cejudo.  Meanwhile, Cejudo nearly doubled his All-Time Flyweight point total, moving him from #8 to #7 on the list, but remains a fair distance outside of the Top 100 Absolute.
  • T.J. Dillashaw strengthens his #2 Bantamweight position and is on the cusp of entering the Top 35 Absolute list, at #36.  Cody Garbrandt wards off inactivity and gets a very small temporary boost in his All-Time ratings, but this acts simply as treading water.  He still remains #7 at Bantamweight and just outside of the Top 100 Absolute.

Current MMA Rankings Updated (08-05-2018)

Posted on August 5, 2018 by Jason

Elo Rating Updates

Posted on July 30, 2018 by Jason

We detailed our intentions to add some alternate rating systems for comparison in a previous post.

We got several comments and questions about this, with two common questions being:

1 – I thought the system in use was a version of Elo?

2 – What’s the point of adding alternate rating systems?

Addressing #1, the current rating system does share a few things with Elo, most notably, the core formula that manages the movement.  However, it has also borrowed elements from the Glicko rating system and has tons and tons of additional code in place to make it better equipped for MMA, which is still a very disorganized and unpredictable sport, in terms of not only the matches but the matchmaking as well.  Systems like Elo and Glicko were made for chess, a sport (game?) where competitors can play dozens of matches in a month where none of them get kicked in the head by their opponent.

Keep Reading

Current MMA Rankings Updated (07-29-2018)

Posted on July 29, 2018 by Jason

Fight Matrix Program – UFC on FOX 30: Alvarez vs. Poirier

Posted on July 22, 2018 by Jason

Lightweight (156)
[#1/#7DD] Eddie Alvarez (29-5-0, 155.0lb, +140) vs. [#5] Dustin Poirier (23-5-0, 156.0lb, -167)
Eddie Alvarez is the All-Time #2 ranked Lightweight and #21 ranked Absolute fighter.
Dustin Poirier is the All-Time #38 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Eddie Alvarez (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2017-12-02: W vs. [#14LW] Justin Gaethje (18-2-0) via KO (Knee) in 3:59 of round 3
2017-05-13: NC vs. [#5LW] Dustin Poirier (23-5-0)
2016-11-12: L vs. [*] Conor McGregor (21-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:04 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Poirier (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2018-04-14: W vs. [#14LW] Justin Gaethje (18-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 4
2017-11-11: W vs. [#6LW] Anthony Pettis (21-7-0) via Submission (Body Triangle) in 2:08 of round 3
2017-05-13: NC vs. [#1LW/#7DD] Eddie Alvarez (29-5-0)

Elo Favorite (Standard): Eddie Alvarez (2216.03) [+100.95] – Win%: 64.13
Elo Favorite (Modified): Eddie Alvarez (2110.13) [+54.37] – Win%: 57.76
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Eddie Alvarez 238, Dustin Poirier 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (146)
[#3] Jose Aldo (26-4-0, 146.0lb, +102) vs. [#5] Jeremy Stephens (28-14-0, 144.0lb, -125)
Jose Aldo is the All-Time #1 ranked Featherweight and #3 ranked Absolute fighter.
Jeremy Stephens is the All-Time #16 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jose Aldo (1-2-0)
2017-12-02: L vs. [#1FW/#1DD/#4P4P] Max Holloway (19-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 3
2017-06-03: L vs. [#1FW/#1DD/#4P4P] Max Holloway (19-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:13 of round 3
2016-07-09: W vs. [#4FW] Frankie Edgar (23-6-1) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Jeremy Stephens (3-0-0)
2018-02-24: W vs. [#9FW] Josh Emmett (13-2-0) via KO (Elbows) in 1:35 of round 2
2018-01-14: W vs. [#29FW] Doo Ho Choi (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 2:36 of round 2
2017-09-09: W vs. [#30FW] Gilbert Melendez (22-7-0) via UD (30-26, 30-25, 30-26)

Elo Favorite (Standard): Jose Aldo (2068.88) [+89.41] – Win%: 62.59
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jose Aldo (2056.90) [+59.46] – Win%: 58.48
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jose Aldo 238, Jeremy Stephens 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jose Aldo leads 4-2
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#3/#7DD/#7P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (14-2-0, 115.0lb, -297) vs. [#10] Tecia Torres (10-2-0, 115.0lb, +238)
Joanna Jedrzejczyk is the All-Time #4 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Joanna Jedrzejczyk (1-2-0)
2018-04-07: L vs. [#1SW/#3DD/#2P4P] Rose Namajunas (8-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2017-11-04: L vs. [#1SW/#3DD/#2P4P] Rose Namajunas (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:03 of round 1
2017-05-13: W vs. [#2SW/#6DD/#4P4P] Jessica Andrade (18-6-0) via UD (50-45, 50-44, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Tecia Torres (2-1-0)
2018-02-24: L vs. [#2SW/#6DD/#4P4P] Jessica Andrade (18-6-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-82)
2017-12-02: W vs. [#18SW] Michelle Waterson (15-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2017-07-07: W vs. [#37SW] Juliana Lima (9-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:53 of round 2

Elo Favorite (Standard): Joanna Jedrzejczyk (1681.00) [+153.27] – Win%: 70.73
Elo Favorite (Modified): Joanna Jedrzejczyk (1685.25) [+130.62] – Win%: 67.96
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joanna Jedrzejczyk 112, Tecia Torres 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

Current MMA Rankings Updated (07-22-2018)

Posted on July 22, 2018 by Jason

UFC Fight Night 134: Shogun vs. Smith (07-22-2018)

Posted on July 20, 2018 by Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[*] Mauricio Rua (25-10-0, +183) vs. [#11] Anthony Smith (29-13-0, -230)
Mauricio Rua is the All-Time #8 ranked Light Heavyweight and #34 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Mauricio Rua (3-0-0)
2017-03-11: W vs. [#26LHW] Gian Villante (16-10-0) via TKO in 0:59 of round 3
2016-05-14: W vs. [#15LHW] Corey Anderson (10-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2015-08-01: W vs. [*] Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (22-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Smith (2-1-0)
2018-06-09: W vs. [*] Rashad Evans (21-8-1) via KO (Knee) in 0:53 of round 1
2018-02-03: L vs. [#19MW] Thiago Santos (17-6-0) via TKO (Kick to the Body and Punches) in 1:03 of round 2
2017-09-16: W vs. [#47MW] Hector Lombard (34-9-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:33 of round 3

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mauricio Rua 498, Anthony Smith 43
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#4] Glover Teixeira (27-6-0, -163) vs. [#15] Corey Anderson (10-4-0, +136)
Glover Teixeira is the All-Time #21 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Glover Teixeira (2-1-0)
2017-12-16: W vs. [#23LHW] Misha Cirkunov (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:45 of round 1
2017-05-28: L vs. [#3LHW] Alexander Gustafsson (18-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:07 of round 5
2017-02-11: W vs. [#64LHW] Jared Cannonier (10-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Corey Anderson (1-2-0)
2018-04-21: W vs. [#24LHW] Patrick Cummins (10-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)
2017-11-04: L vs. [#10LHW] Ovince St. Preux (23-11-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:25 of round 3
2017-03-18: L vs. [#12LHW] Jimi Manuwa (17-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:05 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Glover Teixeira 218, Corey Anderson 92
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Glover Teixeira leads 3-2
.

Middleweight (185)
[#104] Vitor Miranda (12-6-0, +164) vs. [*] Abu Azaitar (13-2-1, -199)

Last 3 Fights: Vitor Miranda (1-2-0)
2017-06-25: L vs. [#60MW] Marvin Vettori (12-4-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2016-05-29: L vs. [#55MW] Chris Camozzi (24-13-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2016-03-05: W vs. [*] Marcelo Guimaraes (9-2-1) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:09 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Abu Azaitar (3-0-0)
2016-10-07: W vs. [*] Michael Arrant (15-12-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2016-04-02: W vs. [#269WW] Danny Davis Jr. (13-12-1) via UD ()
2015-12-20: W vs. [#591WW] Ibragim Tibilov (11-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:53 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vitor Miranda 392, Abu Azaitar 653
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

ELO Sneak Peeks….

Posted on July 15, 2018 by Jason

Currently, I am working on two flavors for the divisional ranking pages:

Standard Elo

  • Starter rating is 1000.
  • K-Factor is 170.
  • Uses the standard “algorithm of 400” Elo equation.
  • Draws have a match impact of 0.5 for each fighter.  Wins have a match impact of 1.0 for the winner, 0.0 for the loser.

The standard Elo will remain as is — unless I find a better Starter Rating / K-Factor combination for the sport as a whole or need to fix a bug.

Modified Elo

Keep Reading

Current MMA Rankings Updated (07-15-2018)

Posted on July 15, 2018 by Jason

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