Current MMA Rankings Updated (07-17-2014)
Notable Info
- Lightweight rankings expanded from 500 fighters to 600 — the most in any division.
- Bantamweight rankings expanded from 250 fighters to 300.
- Women’s Strawweight rankings expanded from 20 fighters to 25.
MMA Rankings Updated (06-05-2014)
Notable Info
- This is a fairly large update, as we have used retroactive predictive analysis to determine the most ‘accurate’ rates at which to penalize inactivity and quality performance decay. These types of penalties have always been guesswork and we were close, but now they are more accurate than they’ve ever been. With the latest rankings, these new rates are now in place. Note: When making these types of changes, predictive rates aren’t the primary driver — more like the secondary, but they are most definitely used when large amounts of useful data is available.
- Essentially, inactivity was being over-penalized by about 25%. On the other hand, fighters in “quality performance decay” were being under-penalized by about 35%. This sounds like a lot, but there have always been self-correction methods in place that will remain in place (though this has been modified too) to handle outliers. All in all, the fluctuations in the top part of the rankings are slight. However, beyond the Top 100s, there will be a lot of movement.
Current MMA Rankings Updated (05-22-2014)
Notable Info
- Intermediate update to resolve bug found in P4P ratings. Rin Nakai was the only ranked fighter of either gender that was affected. As a result of the fix, she is no longer ranked.
Fight Odds: Brown vs Silva
Let me start off by saying that I don’t bet on MMA fights. Mixed Martial Arts is often an unpredictable sport. With so many different ways to win, a fight can be over in a blink of an eye, and a fighter who was dominating early might find himself on the canvass staring at the arena lights and wondering what happened. The unpredictability is a big part of what makes MMA fun to watch… but not so much to bet on. Even when you’re absolutely certain that your guy (or girl) will win, fights often happen to go the distance. At which point you might as well flip a coin, at least that what is seems like the judges do sometimes, judging by how many bizarre decisions and inconsistent scorecards they turn in. On top of that, the bookies who set the betting odds do this stuff for a living and don’t like losing money, so you have to assume that the odds-makers kind of know what they’re doing. Taking all that into consideration, it ‘s not easy to make money betting on fights. In fact you may just be better off trying your luck at GameVillage Bingo, or spending some time here.
That said, every now and then a fight comes along where the betting odds just don’t seem to mesh with the reality. And I believe that the welterweight match up between Matt Brown and Erick Silva, coming up this Saturday at UFC Fight Night in Cincinnati, is one of those fights. [#11] Matt Brown holds a significant rating advantage over [#26] Erick Silva. The official UFC rankings concur (with Brown at #7 and Silva #14). Brown is on a six-win streak, five of those T/KO stoppages inside of two rounds. Silva on the other hand has been alternating wins and losses in his UFC fights, and suffered a brutal KO courtesy of Dong Hyun Kim prior to his most recent win over Takenori Sato. While losses to Kim and Jon Fitch are nothing to be ashamed of, the list of opponents that Brown defeated is more impressive than Silva’s. And Brown is far more experienced in the UFC Octagon. And yet, all major sports betting sites have Erick Silva as a 2-1 favorite over Brown, with odds as high as (-250) Silva and (+206) Brown.