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Fight Matrix
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FightMatrix Program – UFC Fight Night 130: Thompson/Till (05-27-2018)

Posted on May 23, 2018 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#3] Stephen Thompson (14-2-1) vs. [#14] Darren Till (16-0-1)
Stephen Thompson is the All-Time #16 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Stephen Thompson (1-1-1)
2017-11-04: W vs. [#8WW] Jorge Masvidal (32-13-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2017-03-04: L vs. [#1WW/#6DD/#5P4P] Tyron Woodley (18-3-1) via MD (48-47, 47-47, 48-47)
2016-11-12: D vs. [#1WW/#6DD/#5P4P] Tyron Woodley (18-3-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Darren Till (3-0-0)
2017-10-21: W vs. [#11WW] Donald Cerrone (33-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:20 of round 1
2017-09-02: W vs. [#125WW] Bojan Velickovic (15-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-05-28: W vs. [#154WW] Jessin Ayari (16-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-27, 30-27)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Stephen Thompson 204, Darren Till 218
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#10] Neil Magny (20-6-0) vs. [#137] Craig White (14-7-0)
Neil Magny is the All-Time #47 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Neil Magny (2-1-0)
2017-12-30: W vs. [#35WW] Carlos Condit (30-12-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2017-09-09: L vs. [#2WW/#10P4P] Rafael dos Anjos (28-9-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:43 of round 1
2016-12-30: W vs. [#26MW] Johny Hendricks (18-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Craig White (3-0-0)
2018-03-24: W vs. [#609WW] Alex Montagnani (9-3-1) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:42 of round 2
2017-10-14: W vs. [#267WW] Matt Inman (20-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:40 of round 1
2017-06-02: W vs. [#410WW] Hakon Foss (9-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:18 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Neil Magny 148, Craig White 64
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#85] Arnold Allen (12-1-0) vs. [#125] Mads Burnell (9-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Arnold Allen (3-0-0)
2017-03-18: W vs. [#105FW] Makwan Amirkhani (13-3-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 30-27)
2016-02-27: W vs. [*] Yaotzin Meza (21-12-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2015-06-20: W vs. [#109LW] Alan Omer (21-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:41 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Mads Burnell (2-1-0)
2018-01-14: W vs. [#146FW] Mike Santiago (21-11-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-09-02: L vs. [#33WW] Michel Prazeres (26-2-0) via Submission (North South Choke) in 1:26 of round 3
2016-11-11: W vs. [#508FW] Fernando Duarte Bagordach (23-5-0) via Submission (Japanese Necktie) in 1:21 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Arnold Allen 435, Mads Burnell 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

Current MMA Rankings Updated (05-20-2018)

Posted on May 20, 2018 by Jason

Notable Info

  • Rating alteration for divisional movement has been slightly strengthened for female fighters.

Current MMA Rankings Updated (05-13-2018)

Posted on May 13, 2018 by Jason

Current MMA Rankings Updated (05-06-2018)

Posted on May 6, 2018 by Jason

Current MMA Rankings Updated (04-30-2018)

Posted on April 30, 2018 by Jason

Notable Info

  • The quality performance decay has been significantly weakened in this release.  This penalty reduction (by about 1/2) was supported by improved prediction rates and the new variables (strength and decay acceleration) were decided upon after analyzing the results of several thousand simulations on the past 12 years of fight data.  If time allows, I may run additional simulations and further alter this value in the coming days/weeks.

FightMatrix Program – Bellator 198: Fedor/Mir (04-28-2018)

Posted on April 23, 2018 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[*] Frank Mir (18-11-0, -153) vs. [#53] Fedor Emelianenko (36-5-0, +125)
Frank Mir is the All-Time #21 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Fedor Emelianenko is the All-Time #1 ranked Heavyweight and #4 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Frank Mir (1-2-0)
2016-03-19: L vs. [#8HW+] Mark Hunt (13-12-1) via KO (Punch) in 3:01 of round 1
2015-09-05: L vs. [#16HW+] Andrei Arlovski (27-15-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2015-07-15: W vs. [*] Todd Duffee (9-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:13 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Fedor Emelianenko (2-1-0)
2017-06-24: L vs. [#10HW+] Matt Mitrione (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:14 of round 1
2016-06-17: W vs. [#26LHW] Fabio Maldonado (25-11-0) via MD (29-28, 29-28, 28-28)
2015-12-31: W vs. [#284HW+] Jaideep Singh (2-3-0) via TKO (Submission to Punches) in 3:02 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Frank Mir 770, Fedor Emelianenko 308
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Fedor Emelianenko leads 6-5
.

Featherweight (145)
[#11] Emmanuel Sanchez (16-3-0) vs. [#68] Sam Sicilia (16-8-0)

Last 3 Fights: Emmanuel Sanchez (3-0-0)
2017-10-06: W vs. [#25FW] Daniel Straus (24-8-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 1:36 of round 3
2017-03-31: W vs. [#174FW] Marcos Galvao (18-9-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-01-21: W vs. [#34FW] Georgi Karakhanyan (27-8-1) via MD (28-28, 28-27, 28-27)

Last 3 Fights: Sam Sicilia (1-2-0)
2017-12-01: W vs. [#174FW] Marcos Galvao (18-9-1) via UD ()
2017-02-19: L vs. [#158FW] Gavin Tucker (10-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2016-09-17: L vs. [#20FW] Gabriel Benitez (20-6-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:20 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Emmanuel Sanchez 204, Sam Sicilia 148
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#108] Neiman Gracie (7-0-0) vs. [*] Javier Torres (10-3-0)

Last 3 Fights: Neiman Gracie (3-0-0)
2017-10-20: W vs. [#191WW] Zak Bucia (18-10-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 2:27 of round 2
2017-06-24: W vs. [#1329WW] Dave Marfone (5-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:27 of round 2
2016-11-04: W vs. [*] Rudy Bears (16-15-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:39 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Javier Torres (3-0-0)
2016-05-14: W vs. [#893WW] Julio Cesar Cruz (10-11-0) via UD ()
2015-09-19: W vs. [#672WW] Julian Lane (11-8-1) via SD ()
2015-08-01: W vs. [#512MW] Juan Ramon Grano (5-3-0) via UD ()

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Neiman Gracie 190, Javier Torres 714
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

Current MMA Rankings Updated (04-22-2018)

Posted on April 22, 2018 by Jason

FightMatrix Program – UFC Fight Night 128: Barboza/Lee (04-21-2018)

Posted on April 17, 2018 by Jason

Lightweight (157)
[#5] Edson Barboza (19-5-0, 155.6lb, +131) vs. [#7] Kevin Lee (16-3-0, 157.0lb, -156)
Edson Barboza is the All-Time #27 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Kevin Lee is the All-Time #44 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Edson Barboza (2-1-0)
2017-12-30: L vs. [#3LW/#10DD] Khabib Nurmagomedov (26-0-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-24)
2017-03-11: W vs. [#21LW] Beneil Dariush (14-4-1) via TKO in 4:35 of round 2
2016-07-23: W vs. [#43FW] Gilbert Melendez (22-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Lee (2-1-0)
2017-10-07: L vs. [#2LW/#8DD] Tony Ferguson (23-3-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:02 of round 3
2017-06-25: W vs. [#26LW] Michael Chiesa (14-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:37 of round 1
2017-03-11: W vs. [#20LW] Francisco Trinaldo (22-6-0) via SUB in 3:12 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Edson Barboza 112, Kevin Lee 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#4] Frankie Edgar (22-6-1, 145.6lb, -234) vs. [#13] Cub Swanson (25-8-0, 145.0lb, +190)
Frankie Edgar is the All-Time #9 ranked Featherweight and #12 ranked Absolute fighter.
Cub Swanson is the All-Time #14 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Frankie Edgar (2-1-0)
2018-03-03: L vs. [#2FW/#9DD/#9P4P] Brian Ortega (14-0-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:44 of round 1
2017-05-13: W vs. [#37FW] Yair Rodriguez (10-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2016-11-12: W vs. [#5FW] Jeremy Stephens (28-14-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Cub Swanson (2-1-0)
2017-12-09: L vs. [#2FW/#9DD/#9P4P] Brian Ortega (14-0-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:22 of round 2
2017-04-22: W vs. [#99FW] Artem Lobov (13-14-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 50-45)
2016-12-10: W vs. [#36FW] Doo Ho Choi (14-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Frankie Edgar 49, Cub Swanson 133
Previous Match-up Record: Frankie Edgar leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Frankie Edgar leads 3-2
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#47] Justin Willis (6-1-0, 265.4lb, -325) vs. [#96] Chase Sherman (11-4-0, 247.0lb, +257)

Last 3 Fights: Justin Willis (3-0-0)
2017-12-02: W vs. [#147HW+] Allen Crowder (9-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:33 of round 1
2017-07-16: W vs. [#80HW+] James Mulheron (11-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2016-06-17: W vs. [#89HW+] Juliano Coutinho (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:30 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Chase Sherman (2-1-0)
2017-11-25: L vs. [#34HW+] Shamil Abdurakhimov (18-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:24 of round 1
2017-07-22: W vs. [#142HW+] Damian Grabowski (20-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2017-05-13: W vs. [#314HW+] Rashad Coulter (8-3-0) via KO (Elbow) in 3:36 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Justin Willis 140, Chase Sherman 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

Current MMA Rankings Updated (04-15-2018)

Posted on April 15, 2018 by Jason

Current MMA Rankings Updated (04-08-2018)

Posted on April 8, 2018 by Jason

FightMatrix Program – UFC 223: Nurmagomedov/Iaquinta (04-07-2018)

Posted on April 6, 2018 by Jason

Lightweight Championship (155)
[#3] Khabib Nurmagomedov (25-0-0, 154.5lb) vs. [#13] Al Iaquinta (14-3-1, 155.2lb)
Khabib Nurmagomedov is the All-Time #20 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Khabib Nurmagomedov (3-0-0)
2017-12-30: W vs. [#4LW] Edson Barboza (19-5-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-24)
2016-11-12: W vs. [#39FW] Michael Johnson (17-13-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 2:31 of round 3
2016-04-16: W vs. [#164LW] Darrell Horcher (13-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:38 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Al Iaquinta (3-0-0)
2017-04-22: W vs. [#93WW] Diego Sanchez (27-11-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:38 of round 1
2015-04-04: W vs. [#7WW] Jorge Masvidal (32-13-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)
2015-01-31: W vs. [#51LW] Joe Lauzon (27-14-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:34 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Khabib Nurmagomedov 98, Al Iaquinta 350
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#1/#3DD/#3P4P] Rose Namajunas (7-3-0, 114.2lb, -102) vs. [#3/#6DD/#5P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (14-1-0, 114.0lb, -121)
Rose Namajunas is the All-Time #23 ranked Women’s fighter.
Joanna Jedrzejczyk is the All-Time #4 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rose Namajunas (2-1-0)
2017-11-04: W vs. [#3SW/#6DD/#5P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (14-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:03 of round 1
2017-04-15: W vs. [#28SW] Michelle Waterson (14-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:47 of round 2
2016-07-30: L vs. [#8SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (11-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Joanna Jedrzejczyk (2-1-0)
2017-11-04: L vs. [#1SW/#3DD/#3P4P] Rose Namajunas (7-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:03 of round 1
2017-05-13: W vs. [#2SW/#5DD/#4P4P] Jessica Andrade (18-6-0) via UD (50-45, 50-44, 50-45)
2016-11-12: W vs. [#8SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (11-2-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rose Namajunas 154, Joanna Jedrzejczyk 154
Previous Match-up Record: Rose Namajunas leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Joanna Jedrzejczyk leads 2-0
.

Featherweight (145)
[#17] Renato Carneiro (11-1-1, 145.6lb, +112) vs. [#23] Calvin Kattar (18-2-0, 145.4lb, -137)

Last 3 Fights: Renato Carneiro (2-1-0)
2017-07-29: L vs. [#2FW/#9DD/#9P4P] Brian Ortega (14-0-0) via SUB in 2:59 of round 3
2017-04-15: W vs. [#5FW] Jeremy Stephens (28-14-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2016-05-14: W vs. [*] Zubaira Tukhugov (18-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Calvin Kattar (3-0-0)
2018-01-20: W vs. [#51FW] Shane Burgos (10-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:32 of round 3
2017-07-29: W vs. [#26FW] Andre Fili (18-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2016-09-23: W vs. [#249FW] Chris Foster (11-5-0) via UD ()

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Renato Carneiro 252, Calvin Kattar 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

One Championship – Weight Division Confusion

Posted on April 3, 2018 by Jason

Due to a weight cutting death, One Championship rolled out changes to their weigh-ins and divisional ranges at the start of 2016.

Although online literature suggests they still do weigh-ins, I can’t find any legitimate pre-event weigh-in results since they rolled out this new program.  As far as I can tell, they come up with a fight-ready, perhaps slightly dehydrated weight for each fighter and put them in whatever division they fit.

What makes it more confusing is how they structure their ranges:

Division  OneFC Limit   Standard Limit 
Heavyweight 265 265
Light Heavyweight 225 205
Middleweight 205 185
Welterweight 185 170
Lightweight 170 155
Featherweight 155 145
Bantamweight 145 135
Flyweight 135 125
Strawweight 125 115
Atomweight 115 105

The upper-limit of Heavyweight remains unchanged, while all of the other divisions are staggered by one, with the exception of Light Heavyweight, which basically equates to a “Light” Heavyweight.  So, they tried to make the common naming convention “work” with their altered methods.

To incorporate a real-world example, Bibiano Fernandes is the promotion’s 145-pound champion.  In a fight-ready, perhaps slightly dehydrated state, he probably is about 145 pounds and as far as I can tell, this is where he is expected to weigh under their strange conditions — so this is pretty clear so far.

To OneFC, he is a “Bantamweight”, but at where he’s expected to weigh, he’d be considered a “Featherweight” to the rest of the MMA world.  However, in the rest of MMA, he would not be exempt from cutting an additional 10 or so pounds of water weight, so in all likelihood, he’d weigh-in at 135 prior to the event — a “true” Bantamweight.

As you may have noticed, our divisional limits are slightly higher than the standard limits, to accommodate for slight variances historically in organizations shifting things a bit, deciding to use the metric system and with another pound or two on top of that to allow for small weigh-in misses.  However, they aren’t so much higher to allow for OneFC fighters to be slotted in their “true” MMA divisions without breaking our own rules and ignoring actual weigh-in results.

Hopefully this clears things up.

Current MMA Rankings Updated (04-01-2018)

Posted on April 1, 2018 by Jason

Notable Info

  • Women’s Strawweight expanded to Top 60 (from 50).

Current MMA Rankings Updated (03-25-2018)

Posted on March 25, 2018 by Jason

Current MMA Rankings Updated (03-18-2018)

Posted on March 18, 2018 by Jason

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