This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
- Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
- Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
- Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
- Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.
“The Underdog” bet/parlay
Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira (10-12-2024)
Flyweight (125)
[#2/#7DD] Brandon Royval (16-7-0, +174) vs. [#7] Tatsuro Taira (16-0-0, -212)
Brandon Royval is the All-Time #18 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Tatsuro Taira is the All-Time #36 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Brandon Royval (2-1-0)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#3FLY] Brandon Moreno (21-8-2) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 46-49)
2023-12-16: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#2P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (28-5-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#19FLY] Matheus Nicolau (19-4-1) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 2:09 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Tatsuro Taira (3-0-0)
2024-06-15: W vs. [#17FLY] Alex Perez (25-9-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 2:59 of round 2
2023-12-09: W vs. [#161FLY] Carlos Hernandez (9-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 2
2023-07-08: W vs. [#146FLY] Edgar Chairez (11-6-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Tatsuro Taira | -212 | 65.05% | |
| Elo K170 | Brandon Royval | 1975.18 | +71.16 | 60.10% |
| Elo Modified | Tatsuro Taira | 1890.84 | +39.41 | 55.65% |
| Glicko-1 | Tatsuro Taira | 1954.71 | +56.53 | 58.07% |
| WHR | Tatsuro Taira | 1868.86 | +89.29 | 62.57% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Royval 231, Tatsuro Taira 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#29] Jun Yong Park (17-6-0, -173) vs. [#30] Brad Tavares (20-9-0, +142)
Last 3 Fights: Jun Yong Park (2-1-0)
2023-12-09: L vs. [#24MW] Andre Muniz (24-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-07-15: W vs. [#71MW] Albert Duraev (16-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:45 of round 2
2023-02-04: W vs. [#150MW] Denis Tiuliulin (10-10-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:05 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Brad Tavares (1-2-0)
2024-02-10: L vs. [#22MW] Gregory Rodrigues (16-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 3
2023-08-19: W vs. [#27MW] Chris Weidman (16-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-04-22: L vs. [#38MW] Bruno Silva (23-11-0) via TKO (Knee and Punch) in 3:35 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Jun Yong Park | -173 | 60.53% | |
| Elo K170 | Jun Yong Park | 1741.38 | +42.76 | 56.12% |
| Elo Modified | Jun Yong Park | 1787.40 | +70.69 | 60.03% |
| Glicko-1 | Jun Yong Park | 1831.45 | +104.68 | 64.62% |
| WHR | Jun Yong Park | 1741.93 | +79.86 | 61.29% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jun Yong Park 308, Brad Tavares 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#24] Grant Dawson (21-2-1, -403) vs. [*] Rafa Garcia (16-3-0, +305)
Last 3 Fights: Grant Dawson (2-1-0)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#121LW] Joe Solecki (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-10-07: L vs. [#25LW] Bobby Green (32-16-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 1
2023-07-01: W vs. [#68LW] Damir Ismagulov (26-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Rafa Garcia (2-1-0)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#119LW] Clay Guida (38-24-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#286LW] Maheshate Hayisaer (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#29LW] Drakkar Klose (15-2-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Grant Dawson | -403 | 76.44% | |
| Elo K170 | Grant Dawson | 1980.01 | +198.85 | 75.86% |
| Elo Modified | Grant Dawson | 1946.71 | +196.16 | 75.57% |
| Glicko-1 | Grant Dawson | 1987.73 | +199.54 | 75.92% |
| WHR | Grant Dawson | 1852.73 | +133.77 | 68.35% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Grant Dawson 133, Rafa Garcia 546
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree (10-05-2024)
Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1/#6P4P] Alex Pereira (11-2-0, -516) vs. [#8] Khalil Rountree (13-6-0, +370)
Alex Pereira is the All-Time #18 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Alex Pereira (3-0-0)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#4LHW] Jiri Prochazka (30-5-1) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:13 of round 2
2024-04-13: W vs. [#5LHW] Jamahal Hill (13-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:14 of round 1
2023-11-11: W vs. [#4LHW] Jiri Prochazka (30-5-1) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:08 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Khalil Rountree (3-0-0)
2023-12-09: W vs. [#16LHW] Anthony Smith (38-20-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:56 of round 3
2023-08-12: W vs. [#51HW+] Chris Daukaus (12-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:40 of round 1
2022-10-29: W vs. [#24LHW] Dustin Jacoby (19-9-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Alex Pereira | -516 | 79.74% | |
| Elo K170 | Alex Pereira | 2285.08 | +383.74 | 90.11% |
| Elo Modified | Alex Pereira | 2248.01 | +376.65 | 89.73% |
| Glicko-1 | Alex Pereira | 2376.35 | +462.46 | 93.48% |
| WHR | Alex Pereira | 2157.07 | +356.75 | 88.63% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Pereira 98, Khalil Rountree 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#2/#8P4P] Raquel Pennington (16-8-0, -183) vs. [*] Julianna Pena (11-5-0, +151)
Raquel Pennington is the All-Time #35 ranked Women’s fighter.
Julianna Pena is the All-Time #31 ranked Women’s fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Raquel Pennington (3-0-0)
2024-01-20: W vs. [#16BW] Mayra Bueno Silva (10-4-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#4BW] Ketlen Vieira (14-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-04-09: W vs. [#7FW] Aspen Ladd (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Julianna Pena (2-1-0)
2022-07-30: L vs. [*] Amanda Nunes (23-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-44, 50-43)
2021-12-11: W vs. [*] Amanda Nunes (23-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:26 of round 2
2021-01-23: W vs. [#9FW] Sara McMann (14-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:39 of round 3
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Raquel Pennington | -183 | 61.87% | |
| Elo K170 | Raquel Pennington | 1850.31 | +119.69 | 66.57% |
| Elo Modified | Raquel Pennington | 1788.98 | +61.43 | 58.75% |
| Glicko-1 | Julianna Pena | 1773.92 | +5.02 | 50.72% |
| WHR | Julianna Pena | 1759.76 | +89.61 | 62.62% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raquel Pennington 259, Julianna Pena 798
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Julianna Pena leads 2-1
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Bantamweight (135)
[#7] Jose Aldo (32-8-0, +143) vs. [#24] Mario Bautista (14-2-0, -174)
Jose Aldo is the All-Time #26 ranked Bantamweight and #3 ranked Absolute fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Jose Aldo (2-1-0)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#17BW] Jonathan Martinez (19-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-08-20: L vs. [#1BW/#5DD/#4P4P] Merab Dvalishvili (18-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-12-04: W vs. [#16BW] Rob Font (20-8-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
Last 3 Fights: Mario Bautista (3-0-0)
2024-01-13: W vs. [#42BW] Ricky Simon (21-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#82BW] DaMon Blackshear (14-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-03-11: W vs. [*] Guido Cannetti (10-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:18 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Mario Bautista | -174 | 60.67% | |
| Elo K170 | Jose Aldo | 2100.98 | +178.86 | 73.69% |
| Elo Modified | Jose Aldo | 2092.23 | +179.06 | 73.71% |
| Glicko-1 | Jose Aldo | 2145.13 | +205.35 | 76.53% |
| WHR | Jose Aldo | 2015.17 | +219.95 | 78.01% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jose Aldo 154, Mario Bautista 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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The Return of… This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays
We ran a series of these articles for about three months earlier in the year, changing the parameters and offerings as we went. Learned quite a bit along the way…
So I thought it’d be interesting to try again, running with the latest parameters and starting with a clean slate.
Without further delay…. here are the particulars and bets…
Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis (09-28-2024)
Lightweight (155)
[#10] Renato Carneiro (19-5-1, +218) vs. [#17] Benoit St. Denis (13-2-0, -272)
Last 3 Fights: Renato Carneiro (3-0-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#16LW] Jalin Turner (14-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:11 of round 2
2024-02-03: W vs. [#53LW] Drew Dober (27-14-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-11-12: W vs. [*] Brad Riddell (10-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:20 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Benoit St. Denis (2-1-0)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#5LW] Dustin Poirier (30-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:32 of round 2
2023-11-11: W vs. [#40LW] Matt Frevola (11-4-1) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:31 of round 1
2023-09-02: W vs. [#71LW] Thiago Moises (18-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:44 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Benoit St. Denis | -272 | 69.92% | |
| Elo K170 | Renato Carneiro | 1997.08 | +52.63 | 57.52% |
| Elo Modified | Renato Carneiro | 1984.31 | +38.77 | 55.56% |
| Glicko-1 | Renato Carneiro | 2046.80 | +33.15 | 54.76% |
| WHR | Renato Carneiro | 1911.47 | +47.84 | 56.84% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Renato Carneiro 168, Benoit St. Denis 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#6] Nassourdine Imavov (14-4-0, -225) vs. [#11] Brendan Allen (24-5-0, +181)
Last 3 Fights: Nassourdine Imavov (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#10MW] Jared Cannonier (17-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 4
2024-02-03: W vs. [#13MW] Roman Dolidze (13-3-0) via MD (49-44, 47-47, 48-46)
2023-06-10: NC vs. [#18MW] Chris Curtis (31-11-0)
Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (3-0-0)
2024-04-06: W vs. [#18MW] Chris Curtis (31-11-0) via SD (48-47, 49-46, 47-48)
2023-11-18: W vs. [#23MW] Paul Craig (17-8-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 0:38 of round 3
2023-06-24: W vs. [#38MW] Bruno Silva (23-11-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:39 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Nassourdine Imavov | -225 | 66.04% | |
| Elo K170 | Brendan Allen | 2130.54 | +113.17 | 65.73% |
| Elo Modified | Brendan Allen | 2063.38 | +74.49 | 60.56% |
| Glicko-1 | Brendan Allen | 2136.30 | +86.22 | 62.16% |
| WHR | Brendan Allen | 1948.37 | +29.73 | 54.27% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nassourdine Imavov 112, Brendan Allen 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#24] Joanderson Brito (17-3-1, -267) vs. [#97] William Gomis (13-2-0, +214)
Last 3 Fights: Joanderson Brito (3-0-0)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#66FW] Jack Shore (17-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 3:35 of round 2
2023-11-18: W vs. [#63FW] Jonathan Pearce (14-6-0) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 3:54 of round 2
2023-07-01: W vs. [#156FW] Westin Wilson (17-9-0) via TKO in 2:54 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: William Gomis (3-0-0)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#408BW] Yanis Ghemmouri (12-3-0) via TKO (Body Kick) in 2:20 of round 3
2023-04-22: W vs. [#332LW] Francis Marshall (8-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-09-03: W vs. [#173FW] Jarno Errens (14-6-1) via MD (29-29, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Joanderson Brito | -267 | 69.55% | |
| Elo K170 | Joanderson Brito | 1947.55 | +229.55 | 78.94% |
| Elo Modified | Joanderson Brito | 1930.17 | +268.04 | 82.39% |
| Glicko-1 | Joanderson Brito | 2009.15 | +351.54 | 88.32% |
| WHR | Joanderson Brito | 1887.20 | +292.73 | 84.36% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joanderson Brito 147, William Gomis 392
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (09-15-2024)
- Men’s Bantamweight expanded to Top 600 (from 550).
- Men’s Flyweight expanded to Top 400 (from 350).
Fight Matrix Program – UFC 306: O’Malley vs. Dvalishvili (09-07-2024)
Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1/#5DD/#8P4P] Sean OMalley (18-1-0, -119) vs. [#2/#9P4P] Merab Dvalishvili (17-4-0, -102)
Sean OMalley is the All-Time #8 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Merab Dvalishvili is the All-Time #14 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Sean OMalley (3-0-0)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#10BW] Marlon Vera (24-10-1) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-44)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#4FW] Aljamain Sterling (24-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:51 of round 2
2022-10-22: W vs. [#5BW] Petr Yan (17-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Merab Dvalishvili (3-0-0)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#6BW] Henry Cejudo (16-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-11: W vs. [#5BW] Petr Yan (17-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2022-08-20: W vs. [#7BW] Jose Aldo (32-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Sean OMalley | -119 | 51.83% | |
| Elo K170 | Merab Dvalishvili | 2264.39 | +68.02 | 59.67% |
| Elo Modified | Merab Dvalishvili | 2239.06 | +113.15 | 65.73% |
| Glicko-1 | Merab Dvalishvili | 2315.91 | +100.11 | 64.02% |
| WHR | Merab Dvalishvili | 2112.02 | +65.87 | 59.37% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sean OMalley 189, Merab Dvalishvili 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#2/#7DD/#4P4P] Alexa Grasso (16-3-1, -115) vs. [#3/#6P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (23-4-1, -106)
Alexa Grasso is the All-Time #23 ranked Women’s fighter.
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #3 ranked Women’s fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Alexa Grasso (2-0-1)
2023-09-16: D vs. [#3FLY/#6P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (23-4-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 5
2023-03-04: W vs. [#3FLY/#6P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (23-4-1) via Submission (Face Crank) in 4:34 of round 4
2022-10-15: W vs. [#12FLY] Viviane Araujo (12-6-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (1-1-1)
2023-09-16: D vs. [#2FLY/#7DD/#4P4P] Alexa Grasso (16-3-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 5
2023-03-04: L vs. [#2FLY/#7DD/#4P4P] Alexa Grasso (16-3-1) via Submission (Face Crank) in 4:34 of round 4
2022-06-11: W vs. [#6FLY] Taila Santos (22-3-0) via SD (49-46, 48-47, 47-48)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Alexa Grasso | -115 | 50.96% | |
| Elo K170 | Valentina Shevchenko | 1891.71 | +8.87 | 51.28% |
| Elo Modified | Alexa Grasso | 1869.75 | +7.59 | 51.09% |
| Glicko-1 | Alexa Grasso | 1884.97 | +20.41 | 52.94% |
| WHR | Alexa Grasso | 1828.75 | +22.24 | 53.19% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexa Grasso 364, Valentina Shevchenko 364
Previous Match-up Record: Alexa Grasso leads 1-0-1
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#5] Brian Ortega (16-3-0, +150) vs. [#14] Diego Lopes (25-6-0, -182)
Brian Ortega is the All-Time #11 ranked Featherweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Brian Ortega (1-2-0)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#6FW] Yair Rodriguez (19-5-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 0:58 of round 3
2022-07-16: L vs. [#6FW] Yair Rodriguez (19-5-0) via TKO (Shoulder Injury) in 4:11 of round 1
2021-09-25: L vs. [#3FW/#9DD] Alexander Volkanovski (26-4-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 49-46)
Last 3 Fights: Diego Lopes (3-0-0)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#20FW] Dan Ige (18-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#49FW] Sodiq Yusuff (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:29 of round 1
2023-11-11: W vs. [#77FW] Pat Sabatini (18-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:30 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Diego Lopes | -182 | 61.73% | |
| Elo K170 | Brian Ortega | 2101.94 | +159.82 | 71.51% |
| Elo Modified | Brian Ortega | 2058.56 | +111.04 | 65.46% |
| Glicko-1 | Brian Ortega | 2118.05 | +100.55 | 64.08% |
| WHR | Brian Ortega | 1969.36 | +100.17 | 64.03% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brian Ortega 203, Diego Lopes 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady (09-07-2024)
Welterweight (170)
[#8] Gilbert Burns (22-7-0, +155) vs. [#9] Sean Brady (16-1-0, -187)
Gilbert Burns is the All-Time #18 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Gilbert Burns (1-2-0)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#6WW] Jack Della Maddalena (17-2-0) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 3:43 of round 3
2023-05-06: L vs. [#1WW/#4P4P] Belal Muhammad (24-3-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-04-08: W vs. [*] Jorge Masvidal (35-17-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Sean Brady (2-1-0)
2023-12-02: W vs. [#25WW] Kelvin Gastelum (19-9-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 1:43 of round 3
2022-10-22: L vs. [#1WW/#4P4P] Belal Muhammad (24-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:47 of round 2
2021-11-20: W vs. [#28WW] Michael Chiesa (17-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Sean Brady | -187 | 62.42% | |
| Elo K170 | Sean Brady | 2075.64 | +21.15 | 53.04% |
| Elo Modified | Sean Brady | 2064.65 | +47.87 | 56.84% |
| Glicko-1 | Sean Brady | 2104.20 | +42.61 | 56.10% |
| WHR | Sean Brady | 1953.16 | +62.81 | 58.94% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gilbert Burns 182, Sean Brady 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#9] Jessica Andrade (26-12-0, +229) vs. [#10] Natalia Silva (17-5-1, -291)
Jessica Andrade is the All-Time #16 ranked Women’s fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Jessica Andrade (2-1-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#8SW] Marina Rodriguez (17-4-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-11-11: W vs. [#6SW] Mackenzie Dern (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 2
2023-08-05: L vs. [#4SW] Tatiana Suarez (10-0-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:31 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Natalia Silva (3-0-0)
2024-02-03: W vs. [#12FLY] Viviane Araujo (12-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#30FLY] Andrea Lee (13-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-05-20: W vs. [#97FLY] Victoria Leonardo (9-6-0) via TKO (Punches and Head Kick) in 2:58 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Natalia Silva | -291 | 70.99% | |
| Elo K170 | Jessica Andrade | 1780.94 | +30.15 | 54.33% |
| Elo Modified | Natalia Silva | 1778.14 | +45.95 | 56.57% |
| Glicko-1 | Natalia Silva | 1795.32 | +104.40 | 64.59% |
| WHR | Natalia Silva | 1725.25 | +62.80 | 58.94% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jessica Andrade 147, Natalia Silva 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jessica Andrade leads 1-0
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Featherweight (145)
[#31] Kyle Nelson (16-5-1, +165) vs. [#37] Steve Garcia (16-5-0, -201)
Last 3 Fights: Kyle Nelson (3-0-0)
2024-03-30: W vs. [#82FW] Bill Algeo (18-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:00 of round 1
2023-09-16: W vs. [#88FW] Fernando Padilla (16-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-06-10: W vs. [#237FW] Blake Bilder (8-2-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Steve Garcia (3-0-0)
2024-07-20: W vs. [#104FW] Seung Woo Choi (11-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:36 of round 1
2023-12-09: W vs. [#78FW] Melquizael Costa (21-7-0) via KO (Elbows) in 1:01 of round 2
2023-04-08: W vs. [#156FW] Nuerdanbieke Shayilan (42-12-0) via KO (Body Kick and Punches) in 0:36 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Steve Garcia | -201 | 63.89% | |
| Elo K170 | Kyle Nelson | 1776.20 | +14.56 | 52.09% |
| Elo Modified | Steve Garcia | 1766.76 | +6.67 | 50.96% |
| Glicko-1 | Steve Garcia | 1836.40 | +45.06 | 56.45% |
| WHR | Steve Garcia | 1731.04 | +14.89 | 52.14% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kyle Nelson 161, Steve Garcia 49
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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