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Fight Matrix

Fightmatrix Focus: Analyzing the Canadian Contenders at UFC Vancouver, Including Jasudavicius’s Title Shot Aspirations

Posted on October 27, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Image source: AI

With the UFC returning to Vancouver, British Columbia, the focus is on Canadian athletes aiming to advance in the global rankings. The Fightmatrix MMA Rankings, which are based on objective data from the CIRRS engine, show that these fights on home soil are very important. They are a crucial period where performance metrics, especially the strength of the opponent and the kind of victory, can change a fighter’s path in a big way. Both Canadian fans and experts want to know which member of the “Maple Leaf Militia” is most likely to make the biggest leap in the weight classes. The rankings method gives us the solution by looking at the forthcoming encounters in a strict way.

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UFC 321: Aspinall vs Gane Preview

Posted on October 24, 2025 by Jack Latham

Tom Aspinall (C) vs Ciryl Gane

Background

A blockbuster encounter headlines UFC 321 at the Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi as the heavyweight champion, Tom Aspinall, defends his belt for the first time against Ciryl Gane.

This will be Aspinall’s first defence after claiming the title in June, following Jon Jones’ retirement. He had previously won eight of his nine fights in the UFC, with each victory coming via either submission or KO.

Aspinall’s only loss was also in contentious fashion, as he injured his medial collateral ligament after just 15 seconds of his first fight with Curtis Blaydes.

As for Gane, this will be his second shot at UFC gold after his submission loss to Jon Jones in March 2023. A controversial victory over Aleksandar Volkov last year has given him another opportunity, one that ‘Bon Gamin’ will be desperate to take.

Gane has showcased his knockout power in the past with victories over Tai Tuivasa and Serghei Spivac but is also very efficient in the clinch, something that may put the champion on notice…

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Jack Latham

My name is Jack Latham.

I am 20 years old and am currently studying Sports Journalism at the University of Chester.

I became interested in combat sports, particularly MMA, in the lockdown period and have followed it closely ever since.

I have previously created my own website titled ‘Combat Corner,’ where I produce MMA content.

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on October 23, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Upcoming Events: Real Fight Promotion (RFP) Continues Its 2025 Season with Two Shows in Western Ukraine

Posted on October 21, 2025 by Vitaliy Vovk

Real Fight Promotion (RFP) — Ukraine’s leading MMA organization — is set to close out the 2025 season with two events this November. Both cards promise high-level competition, regional pride, and a mix of professional MMA and combat sambo action.

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Vitaliy Vovk

MMA Promoter | Event Organizer | Analyst

Founder & President of Real Fight Promotion (RFP) – one of the longest-running and most recognized MMA organizations in Ukraine. Organizer of 100+ MMA events. Contributor, analyst, and Trusted Promoter collaborating with leading global MMA platforms.

https://rfpromo.com/

rfpromo.com/

Brief Fight Analysis: Volkov vs. Almeida (UFC 321 – Aspinall vs. Gane)

Posted on October 21, 2025 by Vitaliy Vovk

Oct 25, 2025 / Etihad Arena, Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Current Fighter Status

Alexander Volkov (#4 HW per FightMatrix / #2 UFC):

  • Record: 38–11–0
  • Experience: 49 professional bouts; moderate activity level; last fight in 2024
  • Strengths: Powerful striking, height (201 cm), 203 cm reach, extensive top-10 UFC experience
  • Weaknesses: Occasional takedown defense issues; reduced footwork speed compared to younger opponents

Jailton “Malhadinho” Almeida (#6 HW per FightMatrix / #5 UFC):

  • Record: 22–3–0
  • Experience: 25 professional bouts; highly active; recent fights in 2024–2025
  • Strengths: Elite grappling (BJJ black belt), high takedown accuracy, excellent cardio
  • Weaknesses: Less experience against elite-tier opposition; striking less destructive than Volkov’s

Keep Reading

Vitaliy Vovk

MMA Promoter | Event Organizer | Analyst

Founder & President of Real Fight Promotion (RFP) – one of the longest-running and most recognized MMA organizations in Ukraine. Organizer of 100+ MMA events. Contributor, analyst, and Trusted Promoter collaborating with leading global MMA platforms.

https://rfpromo.com/

rfpromo.com/

Della Maddalena vs Makhachev: Who’s more likely to come out on top?

Posted on October 16, 2025 by A. J. Riot

All eyes are turning towards the much-anticipated fight for the UFC Welterweight title that will take place between Jack Della Maddalena and Islam Makhachev. We wait with bated breath for the bout on November 15th when the Aussie and Russian will face off in Madison Square Garden.

It’s sure to be a close one between Della Maddalena, the current UFC Welterweight Champion, and Makhachev, the former Lightweight Champion. Both have the skills needed to take the title, but Makhachev will enter the contest as many people’s favorite, especially given his current all-round form. There’s more to look forward to with the Women’s Flyweight title between Shevchenko and Weili also on the cards!

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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on October 16, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

WBU World Championship Title in Master Boxing – Event Preview

Posted on October 15, 2025 by Heather

Master Boxing: Germany vs. England – November 15, 2025, in Markt Erlbach, Germany

VENUE:
Rangauhalle
Zennhäuser Weg 6
91459 Markt Erlbach, Germany
Rafał Kwiatkowski (Saarbrücken, Germany) and Loris Baldacci (Italy) are competing for the WBU Masters Boxing World Title

The main event consists of two exceptional technical boxers. Therefore, this will make for a competitive matchup and what is likely to be an interesting fight. The boxers will be competing for a WBU World Championship title in Master Boxing.

Keep Reading

Heather

Combat Sports & Martial Arts Writer| Partnership Marketing and Digital Strategy Lead (Combat Sports)
I have been an avid viewer of Boxing and MMA for almost three decades. Since 2001, I have enjoyed watching the UFC. I hold an academic background in Gerontology from Madonna University, and spent 25 years working across both clinical and non-clinical healthcare settings. But a lifelong passion for writing and martial arts eventually pulled me toward a new chapter. Today, I write for FightMatrix.com. Additionally, I interview professionals in the Combat Sports sector.

www.fightmatrix.com

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen (10-18-2025)

Posted on October 13, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#8][#7UFC] Reinier de Ridder (21-2-0, -196) vs. [#14][#12UFC] Brendan Allen (25-7-0, +162)

Last 3 Fights: Reinier de Ridder (3-0-0)
2025-07-26: W vs. [#9MW] Robert Whittaker (26-9-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#33MW] Bo Nickal (7-1-0) via TKO (Knees) in 1:53 of round 2
2025-01-18: W vs. [#23WW] Kevin Holland (28-14-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:31 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (1-2-0)
2025-07-19: W vs. [#19MW] Marvin Vettori (19-9-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-02-22: L vs. [#6MW] Anthony Hernandez (15-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-28: L vs. [#9P4P][#3MW] Nassourdine Imavov (17-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Reinier de Ridder -196 63.43%
Elo K170 Reinier de Ridder 2095.33 +86.75 62.23%
Elo Modified Reinier de Ridder 2051.28 +65.22 59.28%
Glicko-1 Reinier de Ridder 2107.48 +66.11 59.40%
WHR Reinier de Ridder 1974.39 +54.36 57.76%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Reinier de Ridder 35.1, Brendan Allen 29.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Reinier de Ridder 84, Brendan Allen 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#23][#20UFC] Kevin Holland (28-14-0, +110) vs. [#60][#41UFC] Mike Malott (12-2-1, -132)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (2-1-0)
2025-07-19: L vs. [#16WW] Daniel Rodriguez (20-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#34WW] Vicente Luque (23-12-1) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:03 of round 2
2025-03-22: W vs. [#48WW] Gunnar Nelson (19-6-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Mike Malott (2-1-0)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#118WW] Charlie Radtke (10-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 2
2024-11-02: W vs. [#168WW] Trevin Giles (16-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-01-20: L vs. [#20WW] Neil Magny (31-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mike Malott -132 54.43%
Elo K170 Kevin Holland 1859.21 +96.31 63.52%
Elo Modified Kevin Holland 1855.48 +96.96 63.60%
Glicko-1 Kevin Holland 1948.80 +158.52 71.35%
WHR Kevin Holland 1815.83 +55.68 57.94%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kevin Holland 32.9, Mike Malott 33.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Holland 91, Mike Malott 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#7P4P][#8DD][#2][#2UFC] Manon Fiorot (12-2-0, -237) vs. [#14P4P][#9][#7UFC] Jasmine Jasudavicius (14-3-0, +192)
Manon Fiorot is the All-Time #23 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Manon Fiorot (2-1-0)
2025-05-10: L vs. [#2P4P][#4DD][#1FLY] Valentina Shevchenko (25-4-1) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-03-30: W vs. [#10P4P][#4FLY] Erin Blanchfield (13-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#9P4P][#5FLY] Rose Namajunas (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jasmine Jasudavicius (3-0-0)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#13SW] Jessica Andrade (26-15-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:40 of round 1
2025-02-01: W vs. [#20BW] Mayra Bueno Silva (10-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#32BW] Ariane Lipski da Silva (17-11-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:28 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Manon Fiorot -237 67.24%
Elo K170 Manon Fiorot 1894.95 +109.13 65.21%
Elo Modified Manon Fiorot 1876.91 +80.52 61.38%
Glicko-1 Manon Fiorot 1880.81 +81.29 61.49%
WHR Manon Fiorot 1833.98 +106.55 64.87%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Manon Fiorot 35.6, Jasmine Jasudavicius 36.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manon Fiorot 161, Jasmine Jasudavicius 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot (10-11-2025)

Posted on October 7, 2025 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#4][#4UFC] Charles Oliveira (35-11-0, +103) vs. [#8][#7UFC] Mateusz Gamrot (25-3-0, -125)
Charles Oliveira is the All-Time #7 ranked Lightweight and #33 ranked Absolute fighter.
Mateusz Gamrot is the All-Time #40 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Charles Oliveira (1-2-0)
2025-06-28: L vs. [#3P4P][#2LW] Ilia Topuria (17-0-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:27 of round 1
2024-11-16: W vs. [#25LW] Michael Chandler (23-10-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
2024-04-13: L vs. [*] Arman Tsarukyan (22-3-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Mateusz Gamrot (2-1-0)
2025-05-31: W vs. [#43LW] Ludovit Klein (23-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-08-17: L vs. [#7LW] Dan Hooker (24-12-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#34WW] Rafael dos Anjos (32-17-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mateusz Gamrot -125 53.00%
Elo K170 Charles Oliveira 2227.10 +126.49 67.44%
Elo Modified Charles Oliveira 2236.28 +133.72 68.35%
Glicko-1 Charles Oliveira 2306.84 +142.21 69.40%
WHR Charles Oliveira 2123.44 +85.57 62.07%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Charles Oliveira 36.0, Mateusz Gamrot 34.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Oliveira 105, Mateusz Gamrot 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#9][#9UFC] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-5-1, +227) vs. [#19][#18UFC] Montel Jackson (15-2-0, -283)

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (1-2-0)
2025-05-03: L vs. [#5BW] Cory Sandhagen (18-6-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 4:08 of round 2
2024-11-23: L vs. [#3BW] Petr Yan (19-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2024-08-03: W vs. [#11BW] Marlon Vera (24-10-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Montel Jackson (3-0-0)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#44BW] Daniel Marcos (17-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-07-13: W vs. [#45BW] DaMon Blackshear (17-8-1) via KO (Punch) in 0:18 of round 1
2023-04-22: W vs. [*] Rani Yahya (28-12-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:42 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Montel Jackson -283 70.72%
Elo K170 Montel Jackson 1969.71 +15.47 52.22%
Elo Modified Deiveson Figueiredo 1965.31 +33.55 54.81%
Glicko-1 Montel Jackson 2002.60 +5.10 50.73%
WHR Montel Jackson 1963.94 +109.03 65.19%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Deiveson Figueiredo 37.8, Montel Jackson 33.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Deiveson Figueiredo 161, Montel Jackson 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#24][#21UFC] Vicente Luque (23-11-1, +375) vs. [#21LW][#14LWUFC] Joel Alvarez (22-3-0, -526)
Vicente Luque is the All-Time #42 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Vicente Luque (1-2-0)
2025-06-07: L vs. [#22WW] Kevin Holland (28-14-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:03 of round 2
2024-12-07: W vs. [#59WW] Themba Gorimbo (14-5-0) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 0:52 of round 1
2024-03-30: L vs. [#7WW] Joaquin Buckley (21-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Joel Alvarez (3-0-0)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#45LW] Drakkar Klose (16-3-1) via KO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 2:48 of round 1
2024-08-03: W vs. [#105LW] Elves Brener (16-6-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 3:36 of round 3
2023-07-22: W vs. [#81LW] Marc Diakiese (18-8-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:26 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joel Alvarez -526 79.96%
Elo K170 Joel Alvarez 1973.41 +122.34 66.91%
Elo Modified Joel Alvarez 1963.34 +94.48 63.27%
Glicko-1 Joel Alvarez 2060.11 +167.67 72.42%
WHR Joel Alvarez 2000.06 +261.11 81.81%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Vicente Luque 33.9, Joel Alvarez 32.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vicente Luque 126, Joel Alvarez 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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