When gambling on an MMA fight, it is essential to keep tabs on the betting odds for MMA. Anything can happen in such a volatile sport, but knowing who the consistent fighters are, as well as when the available odds understate their chance of winning will maximize your chances of earning money.
We’ve had a bit of a break from these gambling articles, but all four previous posts were 100% accurate in predicting the victor and extremely close in the type of victory. Taking a look at the upcoming main event on Friday, Jim Miller vs. Melvin Guillard, in this author’s opinion, is a moderately good bet.
Jim Miller is one of the most consistent fighters in the UFC Lightweight division. In all three fights he’s lost, he’s lost by decision, and in two of those losses, he’s lost to elite fighters within the division — with the jury still being out on Ben Henderson. Not only this, but he’s fought nearly his entire career in the same division, another mark of consistency. Guillard, has not been the mark of consistency, which can also make him a risky play. The current betting line on Miller is -213, which means you get a return of $100 for every $213 you bet on Miller. Without compensating for “the juice”, this line suggests Miller has a 68% chance of winning. I’d put Miller’s odds of winning closer to 75% and therefore, I think he is a good play for a moderate bet to win. I’ll take him by 2nd round submission.