Lightweight (155)
[#12][#11UFC] Renato Carneiro (21-7-1, +106) vs. [#39][#25UFC] Tom Nolan (11-1-0, -127)
Last 3 Fights: Renato Carneiro (1-2-0)
2026-04-04: W vs. [#46LW] Chris Duncan (15-3-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:14 of round 2
2025-06-28: L vs. [#17LW] Beneil Dariush (23-8-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-01-18: L vs. [#1P4P][#3DD][#1WW] Islam Makhachev (29-1-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:05 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Tom Nolan (3-0-0)
2026-06-06: W vs. [#66LW] Fares Ziam (18-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-09-27: W vs. [#391LW] Charlie Campbell (9-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:08 of round 1
2025-02-08: W vs. [#327WW] Viacheslav Borshchev (9-8-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Tom Nolan | -127 | 53.54% | |
| Elo K170 | Renato Carneiro | 2042.59 | +174.18 | 73.16% |
| Elo Modified | Renato Carneiro | 2021.05 | +178.57 | 73.65% |
| Glicko-1 | Renato Carneiro | 2088.40 | +201.70 | 76.16% |
| WHR | Renato Carneiro | 1942.47 | +265.41 | 82.17% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Renato Carneiro 37.4, Tom Nolan 26.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Renato Carneiro 210, Tom Nolan 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#35][#27UFC] Randy Brown (20-8-0, +222) vs. [#52][#36UFC] Jacobe Smith (13-0-0, -343)
Last 3 Fights: Randy Brown (1-2-0)
2026-04-11: L vs. [#19WW] Kevin Holland (29-15-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-11-08: L vs. [#8WW] Gabriel Bonfim (20-1-0) via TKO (Knee) in 1:40 of round 2
2025-04-26: W vs. [#45WW] Nicolas Dalby (24-7-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:39 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Jacobe Smith (3-0-0)
2026-10-03: W vs. [#447WW] Bruce Whitehead (8-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:32 of round 1
2026-02-21: W vs. [#389LW] Josiah Harrell (11-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:01 of round 1
2025-06-28: W vs. [#142WW] Niko Price (17-11-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:03 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Jacobe Smith | -343 | 71.37% | |
| Elo K170 | Randy Brown | 1765.16 | +4.71 | 50.68% |
| Elo Modified | Jacobe Smith | 1784.74 | +10.27 | 51.48% |
| Glicko-1 | Randy Brown | 1853.08 | +15.06 | 52.16% |
| WHR | Jacobe Smith | 1731.99 | +19.11 | 52.75% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Randy Brown 36.3, Jacobe Smith 30.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Randy Brown 203, Jacobe Smith 28
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jacobe Smith leads 1-0
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Women Bantamweight (135)
[#4][#4UFC] Yana Santos (17-8-0, +205) vs. [#5][#5UFC] Luana Santos (11-2-0, -253)
Last 3 Fights: Yana Santos (3-0-0)
2025-10-04: W vs. [#13BW] Macy Chiasson (10-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-05-03: W vs. [*] Miesha Tate (20-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-08-10: W vs. [#14BW] Chelsea Chandler (8-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Luana Santos (3-0-0)
2026-06-20: W vs. [#10BW] Karol Rosa (19-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-12-13: W vs. [#26BW] Melissa Croden (8-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-05-17: W vs. [#76BW] Tainara Lisboa (7-4-0) via Submission (Keylock) in 4:59 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Luana Santos | -253 | 68.60% | |
| Elo K170 | Yana Santos | 1662.54 | +39.60 | 55.67% |
| Elo Modified | Yana Santos | 1703.64 | +56.36 | 58.04% |
| Glicko-1 | Yana Santos | 1674.28 | +28.27 | 54.06% |
| WHR | Luana Santos | 1580.22 | +13.83 | 51.99% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Yana Santos 36.9, Luana Santos 26.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yana Santos 392, Luana Santos 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Luana Santos leads 1-0
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Flyweight (125)
[#70][#34UFC] Ode Osbourne (13-10-0, -124) vs. [#137][#48UFC] Cody Durden (18-11-1, +102)
Last 3 Fights: Ode Osbourne (1-2-0)
2026-02-21: L vs. [#48FLY] Alibi Idiris (11-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-08-09: L vs. [#11FLY] Steve Erceg (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-04-05: W vs. [#128FLY] Luis Gurule (11-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:54 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Cody Durden (1-2-0)
2026-07-11: L vs. [#32FLY] Alessandro Costa (17-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:19 of round 2
2026-04-25: W vs. [#66FLY] Jafel Filho (17-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2026-03-07: L vs. [#50FLY] Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (10-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Ode Osbourne | -124 | 52.79% | |
| Elo K170 | Cody Durden | 1430.96 | +1.88 | 50.27% |
| Elo Modified | Cody Durden | 1437.10 | +24.47 | 53.52% |
| Glicko-1 | Cody Durden | 1464.21 | +37.31 | 55.35% |
| WHR | Cody Durden | 1457.51 | +39.78 | 55.70% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Ode Osbourne 34.8, Cody Durden 35.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ode Osbourne 252, Cody Durden 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cody Durden leads 2-1
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Middleweight (185)
[#141][#60UFC] Zachary Reese (10-4-0) vs. [*] Mickey Gall (7-7-0)
Last 3 Fights: Zachary Reese (1-2-0)
2026-07-11: L vs. [#78MW] Ryan Gandra (11-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:15 of round 1
2026-02-21: L vs. [#72MW] Michel Pereira (33-15-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-11-08: W vs. [#126MW] Jackson Mcvey (8-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:38 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Mickey Gall (0-3-0)
2024-11-16: L vs. [#103WW] Ramiz Brahimaj (13-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:55 of round 1
2024-06-01: L vs. [*] Bassil Hafez (9-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-04-09: L vs. [#11WW] Mike Malott (15-2-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:41 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Elo K170 | Zachary Reese | 1433.04 | +180.06 | 73.82% |
| Elo Modified | Zachary Reese | 1498.10 | +187.45 | 74.63% |
| Glicko-1 | Zachary Reese | 1525.84 | +211.34 | 77.15% |
| WHR | Zachary Reese | 1472.80 | +178.50 | 73.64% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Zachary Reese 32.6, Mickey Gall 34.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Zachary Reese 112, Mickey Gall 714
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#47][#34UFC] Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (11-2-0, -261) vs. [#253][#68UFC] Farman Hasanov (6-0-0, +211)
Last 3 Fights: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (3-0-0)
2026-07-18: W vs. [#57WW] Seok Hyeon Ko (13-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2026-02-21: W vs. [#69WW] Philip Rowe (12-7-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-09-02: W vs. [#444WW] Jack Congdon (7-2-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punch) in 1:08 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Farman Hasanov (3-0-0)
2026-06-27: W vs. [#63WW] Eric Nolan (9-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-11-21: W vs. [#1352WW] Abdurakhmon Fazilov (6-1-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 4:58 of round 1
2025-06-20: W vs. [#1686WW] Marc-Ari William Lewis (3-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:28 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani | -261 | 69.21% | |
| Elo K170 | Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani | 1722.67 | +223.91 | 78.39% |
| Elo Modified | Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani | 1696.94 | +102.49 | 64.34% |
| Glicko-1 | Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani | 1713.14 | +172.79 | 73.00% |
| WHR | Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani | 1622.62 | +89.16 | 62.55% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 27.7, Farman Hasanov 31.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 105, Farman Hasanov 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#119][#56UFC] Dakota Hope (11-2-0, +200) vs. [#158][#62UFC] Francis Marshall (10-3-0, -248)
Last 3 Fights: Dakota Hope (2-1-0)
2026-04-04: L vs. [#98FW] Kai Kamaka III (18-9-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2026-02-20: W vs. [#446FW] Mauricio Gomez (6-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:59 of round 1
2025-11-21: W vs. [#323FW] Damion Nelson (10-6-0) via UD ()
Last 3 Fights: Francis Marshall (2-1-0)
2026-04-25: W vs. [#406FW] Lucas Brennan (11-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2026-02-28: W vs. [#858FW] Erik Silva (9-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:29 of round 1
2025-03-08: L vs. [#40FW] Mairon Santos (17-1-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Francis Marshall | -248 | 68.13% | |
| Elo K170 | Francis Marshall | 1540.29 | +27.19 | 53.91% |
| Elo Modified | Dakota Hope | 1603.26 | +22.45 | 53.23% |
| Glicko-1 | Francis Marshall | 1609.26 | +2.72 | 50.39% |
| WHR | Francis Marshall | 1595.92 | +41.13 | 55.89% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Dakota Hope 29.7, Francis Marshall 27.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dakota Hope 210, Francis Marshall 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#207][#64UFC] Rodrigo Sezinando (9-2-0, -178) vs. [#415][#72UFC] Theodor Berggren (8-4-0, +144)
Last 3 Fights: Rodrigo Sezinando (2-1-0)
2025-09-13: L vs. [#40WW] Daniil Donchenko (15-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:27 of round 1
2024-11-15: W vs. [#857WW] Jonathan Ramsay (7-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:06 of round 1
2024-05-09: W vs. [*] Dario Sinagoga (7-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:03 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Theodor Berggren (2-1-0)
2026-06-27: L vs. [#40WW] Daniil Donchenko (15-2-0) via NC in 1:35 of round 2
2026-02-07: W vs. [#952WW] Abdulatip Samedov (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:20 of round 3
2025-10-04: W vs. [#1903WW] Daniele Battaglia (3-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:44 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Rodrigo Sezinando | -178 | 60.97% | |
| Elo K170 | Rodrigo Sezinando | 1610.56 | +291.94 | 84.30% |
| Elo Modified | Rodrigo Sezinando | 1646.72 | +296.00 | 84.60% |
| Glicko-1 | Rodrigo Sezinando | 1629.36 | +249.98 | 80.83% |
| WHR | Rodrigo Sezinando | 1552.95 | +189.61 | 74.87% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rodrigo Sezinando 413, Theodor Berggren 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#117][#55UFC] Julian Erosa (31-13-0, +152) vs. [*] Jeong Yeong Lee (11-3-0, -187)
Last 3 Fights: Julian Erosa (1-2-0)
2026-03-28: L vs. [#81FW] Lerryan Douglas (14-6-0) via NC in 3:33 of round 1
2025-05-17: L vs. [#21FW] Melquizael Costa (26-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-04-12: W vs. [#198FW] Darren Elkins (29-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:15 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Jeong Yeong Lee (1-2-0)
2025-05-10: L vs. [#78FW] Daniel Santos (16-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-07-20: L vs. [#131FW] Hyder Amil (11-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:05 of round 1
2024-02-03: W vs. [*] Blake Bilder (8-2-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Jeong Yeong Lee | -187 | 62.15% | |
| Elo K170 | Julian Erosa | 1640.42 | +94.97 | 63.34% |
| Elo Modified | Julian Erosa | 1650.35 | +131.95 | 68.12% |
| Glicko-1 | Julian Erosa | 1663.00 | +131.60 | 68.08% |
| WHR | Julian Erosa | 1595.46 | +99.55 | 63.95% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Julian Erosa 37.2, Jeong Yeong Lee 30.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julian Erosa 217, Jeong Yeong Lee 539
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#170] Joseph Kropschot (9-3-0, -316) vs. [#252][#70UFC] Nick Klein (6-3-0, +244)
Last 3 Fights: Joseph Kropschot (3-0-0)
2026-08-11: W vs. [#393MW] Jonathan Kunneman (10-1-0) via UD ()
2026-02-06: W vs. [#386MW] David Allakhverdiev (7-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:24 of round 2
2025-05-09: W vs. [#744MW] Adland Benson (6-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:58 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Nick Klein (1-2-0)
2025-08-02: L vs. [#186MW] Andrey Pulyaev (10-6-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:31 of round 2
2025-02-22: L vs. [#110MW] Mansur Abdul-Malik (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:24 of round 2
2024-10-15: W vs. [*] Heraldo Souza (10-2-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 0:37 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Joseph Kropschot | -316 | 72.32% | |
| Elo K170 | Joseph Kropschot | 1493.53 | +216.80 | 77.69% |
| Elo Modified | Joseph Kropschot | 1518.80 | +189.39 | 74.84% |
| Glicko-1 | Joseph Kropschot | 1535.83 | +208.07 | 76.81% |
| WHR | Joseph Kropschot | 1506.56 | +232.61 | 79.23% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Joseph Kropschot 31.3, Nick Klein 31.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joseph Kropschot 81, Nick Klein 455
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#16][#16UFC] Piera Rodriguez (12-2-0, -262) vs. [#22][#21UFC] Talita Alencar (8-1-1, +211)
Last 3 Fights: Piera Rodriguez (3-0-0)
2026-03-14: W vs. [#31SW] Sam Hughes (11-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-08-02: W vs. [#21SW] Ketlen Souza (17-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#84SW] Josefine Lindgren Knutsso (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Talita Alencar (3-0-0)
2026-04-25: W vs. [#20SW] Julia Polastri (15-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-11-01: W vs. [#88SW] Ariane Carnelossi (15-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:36 of round 3
2025-04-05: W vs. [#95SW] Vanessa Demopoulos (11-9-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Piera Rodriguez | -262 | 69.24% | |
| Elo K170 | Piera Rodriguez | 1674.71 | +80.18 | 61.34% |
| Elo Modified | Piera Rodriguez | 1689.94 | +133.21 | 68.28% |
| Glicko-1 | Piera Rodriguez | 1640.67 | +92.57 | 63.02% |
| WHR | Piera Rodriguez | 1579.72 | +147.31 | 70.01% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Piera Rodriguez 33.9, Talita Alencar 36.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Piera Rodriguez 231, Talita Alencar 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Talita Alencar leads 1-0
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Women Bantamweight (135)
[#9] Lucia Szabova (12-0-0, -571) vs. [#76][#24UFC] Tainara Lisboa (7-4-0, +405)
Last 3 Fights: Lucia Szabova (3-0-0)
2026-08-01: W vs. [#43BW] Lucie Pudilova (17-12-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 50-45)
2026-04-25: W vs. [#39FLY] Leidiane Fernandes (7-3-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:12 of round 3
2025-08-09: W vs. [#82BW] Cecilie Maria Bolander (4-2-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:11 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Tainara Lisboa (1-2-0)
2025-10-18: L vs. [#26BW] Melissa Croden (8-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 3
2025-05-17: L vs. [#5BW] Luana Santos (11-2-0) via Submission (Keylock) in 4:59 of round 2
2023-10-14: W vs. [#165FLY] Ravena Oliveira (7-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Lucia Szabova | -571 | 81.12% | |
| Elo K170 | Lucia Szabova | 1596.98 | +384.86 | 90.16% |
| Elo Modified | Lucia Szabova | 1624.81 | +371.53 | 89.46% |
| Glicko-1 | Lucia Szabova | 1658.35 | +423.02 | 91.95% |
| WHR | Lucia Szabova | 1649.56 | +437.53 | 92.54% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Lucia Szabova 28.8, Tainara Lisboa 35.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lucia Szabova 91, Tainara Lisboa 378
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
Fight Card Statistics
Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Renato Carneiro
Highest Stored DD Rating: Renato Carneiro
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Renato Carneiro vs. Tom Nolan
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Very Low [*½]
Run Date: 2026-10-25