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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs Song (08-29-2026)

Posted on August 24, 2026 by Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#4][#4UFC] Umar Nurmagomedov (20-1-0, -496) vs. [#6][#6UFC] Yadong Song (23-10-1, +374)
Umar Nurmagomedov is the All-Time #31 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Yadong Song is the All-Time #45 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Umar Nurmagomedov (2-1-0)
2026-01-24: W vs. [#9BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (25-7-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-10-25: W vs. [#5BW] Mario Bautista (18-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-01-18: L vs. [#4DD][#9P4P][#2BW] Merab Dvalishvili (21-5-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Yadong Song (2-1-0)
2026-05-30: W vs. [#9BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (25-7-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:42 of round 2
2026-01-24: L vs. [#3BW] Sean OMalley (20-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-02-22: W vs. [*] Henry Cejudo (16-6-0) via TUD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Umar Nurmagomedov -496 79.77%
Elo K170 Umar Nurmagomedov 2243.88 +185.08 74.37%
Elo Modified Umar Nurmagomedov 2188.14 +147.57 70.05%
Glicko-1 Umar Nurmagomedov 2243.11 +146.48 69.92%
WHR Umar Nurmagomedov 2137.53 +193.37 75.27%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Umar Nurmagomedov 30.6, Yadong Song 28.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Umar Nurmagomedov 217, Yadong Song 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Umar Nurmagomedov leads 2-1
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[*] Xiaonan Yan (19-5-0, -160) vs. [#8][#8UFC] Denise Gomes (12-3-0, +135)

Last 3 Fights: Xiaonan Yan (1-2-0)
2025-04-12: L vs. [#6DD][#9P4P][#3SW] Virna Jandiroba (23-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#9SW] Tabatha Ricci (12-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#2P4P][#4DD][#1SW] Weili Zhang (26-4-0) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 49-45)

Last 3 Fights: Denise Gomes (3-0-0)
2025-11-08: W vs. [#13SW] Tecia Pennington (15-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-05-17: W vs. [#105SW] Elise Reed (8-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:30 of round 2
2024-11-09: W vs. [#66SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (16-10-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Xiaonan Yan -160 59.12%
Elo K170 Xiaonan Yan 1754.74 +22.29 53.20%
Elo Modified Xiaonan Yan 1752.89 +24.23 53.48%
Glicko-1 Denise Gomes 1734.21 +15.44 52.22%
WHR Denise Gomes 1629.58 +6.11 50.88%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Xiaonan Yan 37.2, Denise Gomes 26.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Xiaonan Yan 504, Denise Gomes 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Xiaonan Yan leads 2-1
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#46][#28UFC] Kai Asakura (22-6-0, -429) vs. [#173][#55UFC] Qileng Aori (28-13-0, +332)

Last 3 Fights: Kai Asakura (1-2-0)
2026-05-30: W vs. [#214BW] Cameron Smotherman (12-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:50 of round 1
2025-08-16: L vs. [#15FLY] Tim Elliott (21-14-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:39 of round 2
2024-12-07: L vs. [#2FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (30-6-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:05 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Qileng Aori (1-2-0)
2026-05-30: L vs. [#86BW] Cody Haddon (9-1-0) via TKO (Knees to the Body and Punches) in 2:11 of round 2
2025-10-18: W vs. [#175BW] Cody Gibson (21-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 1
2024-09-14: L vs. [#23BW] Raul Rosas Jr. (12-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kai Asakura -429 77.79%
Elo K170 Kai Asakura 1849.72 +373.73 89.58%
Elo Modified Kai Asakura 1809.05 +322.26 86.48%
Glicko-1 Kai Asakura 1835.42 +330.52 87.02%
WHR Kai Asakura 1681.93 +191.42 75.06%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kai Asakura 32.8, Qileng Aori 33.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kai Asakura 91, Qileng Aori 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#19][#15UFC] Alex Perez (26-10-0, +185) vs. [#36][#22UFC] Su Mudaerji (19-7-0, -225)
Alex Perez is the All-Time #38 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alex Perez (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2026-05-30: NC vs. [#36FLY] Su Mudaerji (19-7-0)
2026-01-24: W vs. [#22FLY] Charles Johnson (20-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:16 of round 1
2025-11-22: L vs. [#12FLY] Asu Almabayev (24-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:22 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Su Mudaerji (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2026-05-30: NC vs. [#19FLY] Alex Perez (26-10-0)
2026-03-07: W vs. [#80FLY] Jesus Santos Aguilar (12-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-08-23: W vs. [#52FLY] Kevin Borjas (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Su Mudaerji -225 66.36%
Elo K170 Alex Perez 1766.95 +107.56 65.00%
Elo Modified Alex Perez 1744.76 +108.59 65.14%
Glicko-1 Alex Perez 1786.84 +165.53 72.17%
WHR Alex Perez 1723.86 +129.39 67.81%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Alex Perez 34.4, Su Mudaerji 30.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Perez 91, Su Mudaerji 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alex Perez leads 1-0
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#213][#49UFC] Levi Rodrigues (5-1-0, +163) vs. [NA] Ce Liu (3-1-0, -197)

Last 3 Fights: Levi Rodrigues (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2026-07-18: L vs. [#120LHW] Felipe Franco (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:40 of round 2
2025-10-14: NC vs. [#227LHW] Freddy Vidal (4-0-0)
2025-09-05: W vs. [#214LHW] Alan Ribeiro (5-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:47 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ce Liu (2-1-0)
2026-05-23: W vs. [NA] Igor Barabanov (3-6-0) via TKO (Leg Kicks and Punches) in 4:56 of round 1
2024-10-12: L vs. [#164LHW] Ivan Gnizditskiy (7-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:55 of round 2
2023-06-28: W vs. [NA] Munkh-Erdene Batjargal (0-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:07 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ce Liu -197 63.56%
Elo K170 Levi Rodrigues 1265.47 +121.47 66.80%
Elo Modified Levi Rodrigues 1347.56 +159.09 71.42%
Glicko-1 Levi Rodrigues 1320.78 +148.69 70.18%
WHR Levi Rodrigues 1304.46 +121.23 66.77%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Levi Rodrigues 29.8, Ce Liu 30.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Levi Rodrigues 42, Ce Liu 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#85] Bilal Hasan (9-0-0, -632) vs. [#150] Nilson Rojas (10-0-0, +460)

Last 3 Fights: Bilal Hasan (3-0-0)
2026-08-11: W vs. [#386FLY] Mridul Saikia (9-2-0) via NC in 0:45 of round 1
2025-12-20: W vs. [#486FLY] Renaldy Manse (7-1-0) via TKO (Punch to the Body) in 2:47 of round 1
2025-06-06: W vs. [#574FLY] Jason Eastman (8-5-0) via TKO (Front Kick to the Body and Punches) in 1:46 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Nilson Rojas (3-0-0)
2026-07-22: W vs. [#593FLY] Gonzalo Hanampa (4-1-0) via UD ()
2025-08-21: W vs. [#630FLY] Wallafy de Paulo (9-11-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 4:30 of round 1
2024-07-21: W vs. [*] William Rocha (5-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:25 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Bilal Hasan -632 82.85%
Elo K170 Bilal Hasan 1606.19 +121.86 66.85%
Elo Modified Bilal Hasan 1651.15 +95.69 63.43%
Glicko-1 Bilal Hasan 1677.14 +164.91 72.10%
WHR Nilson Rojas 1543.87 +1.31 50.19%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Bilal Hasan 25.1, Nilson Rojas 27.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bilal Hasan 18, Nilson Rojas 38
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#54][#31UFC] Namsrai Batbayar (10-1-0, +202) vs. [#73][#36UFC] Andre Lima (11-1-0, -247)

Last 3 Fights: Namsrai Batbayar (3-0-0)
2026-05-29: W vs. [#239FLY] Shuai Yin (18-7-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 1:48 of round 1
2025-08-22: W vs. [#267FLY] Agulali (13-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:45 of round 1
2025-05-22: W vs. [#353FLY] Wataru Yamauchi (10-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:46 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Andre Lima (2-1-0)
2026-06-20: L vs. [#52FLY] Kevin Borjas (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-03-15: W vs. [#256FLY] Daniel Barez (17-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:05 of round 3
2024-09-07: W vs. [#67FLY] Felipe dos Santos (12-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Andre Lima -247 68.25%
Elo K170 Andre Lima 1607.49 +7.94 51.14%
Elo Modified Namsrai Batbayar 1629.40 +72.55 60.29%
Glicko-1 Namsrai Batbayar 1673.97 +119.84 66.60%
WHR Namsrai Batbayar 1587.48 +100.78 64.11%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Namsrai Batbayar 25.6, Andre Lima 27.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Namsrai Batbayar 92, Andre Lima 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#38][#23UFC] Rei Tsuruya (11-1-0, -636) vs. [#52][#30UFC] Kevin Borjas (11-5-0, +467)

Last 3 Fights: Rei Tsuruya (2-1-0)
2026-05-30: W vs. [#125FLY] Luis Gurule (11-4-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 3:19 of round 1
2025-03-08: L vs. [#1DD][#2P4P][#1FLY] Joshua Van (17-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-06-29: W vs. [*] Carlos Hernandez (10-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Borjas (1-2-0)
2026-06-20: W vs. [#73FLY] Andre Lima (11-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2026-02-28: L vs. [#42FLY] Imanol Rodriguez (7-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 2
2025-08-23: L vs. [#36FLY] Su Mudaerji (19-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rei Tsuruya -636 83.04%
Elo K170 Rei Tsuruya 1713.36 +193.33 75.27%
Elo Modified Rei Tsuruya 1725.32 +198.32 75.80%
Glicko-1 Rei Tsuruya 1733.44 +184.16 74.27%
WHR Rei Tsuruya 1642.38 +140.86 69.23%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Rei Tsuruya 24.2, Kevin Borjas 28.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rei Tsuruya 91, Kevin Borjas 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#149][#49UFC] Long Xiao (27-11-0, -181) vs. [#465] Francesco Nuzzi (11-2-0, +150)

Last 3 Fights: Long Xiao (1-2-0)
2026-03-07: L vs. [#65BW] Cody Garbrandt (15-8-0) via UD (28-27, 28-27, 28-27)
2025-08-23: L vs. [#100BW] Su Young You (17-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#295BW] Quang Le (9-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:28 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Francesco Nuzzi (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2026-04-11: NC vs. [#577BW] Manoel Costa (17-3-0)
2025-10-04: W vs. [#773FLY] Lucas Rodrigues (12-11-0) via TKO (Punches and Knee) in 3:52 of round 1
2025-04-11: L vs. [#536FW] Mando Gutierrez (11-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:13 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Long Xiao -181 61.68%
Elo K170 Long Xiao 1504.78 +24.17 53.47%
Elo Modified Long Xiao 1522.66 +65.29 59.29%
Glicko-1 Long Xiao 1535.31 +66.18 59.41%
WHR Long Xiao 1466.25 +113.47 65.77%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Long Xiao 28.4, Francesco Nuzzi 30.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Long Xiao 175, Francesco Nuzzi 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[*] Sean Woodson (13-2-1, -152) vs. [#143][#59UFC] Jack Jenkins (14-4-0, +128)

Last 3 Fights: Sean Woodson (2-1-0)
2025-04-12: L vs. [#27FW] Dan Ige (19-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:12 of round 3
2024-12-14: W vs. [*] Fernando Padilla (16-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:58 of round 1
2024-05-11: W vs. [*] Alex Caceres (21-15-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jack Jenkins (2-1-0)
2025-09-27: W vs. [#349FW] Ramon Taveras (10-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-02-08: L vs. [*] Gabriel Santos (12-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:06 of round 3
2024-08-17: W vs. [*] Herbert Burns (11-6-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 0:48 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sean Woodson -152 57.89%
Elo K170 Sean Woodson 1745.76 +126.79 67.48%
Elo Modified Sean Woodson 1712.29 +101.61 64.22%
Glicko-1 Sean Woodson 1744.35 +118.52 66.42%
WHR Sean Woodson 1653.66 +85.32 62.04%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Sean Woodson 34.2, Jack Jenkins 33.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sean Woodson 504, Jack Jenkins 336
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#137][#46UFC] Lawrence Lui (8-1-0, -305) vs. [#385] Hector Santiago (6-1-0, +245)

Last 3 Fights: Lawrence Lui (3-0-0)
2026-01-31: W vs. [#213BW] Rangbo Sulang (10-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-08-22: W vs. [#421BW] Van Y Nghiem (6-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:48 of round 2
2025-05-23: W vs. [#328BW] Qinghe Zhang (18-9-1) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Hector Santiago (2-1-0)
2026-05-23: W vs. [#1117BW] Paulo Nogueira (2-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:42 of round 1
2026-03-15: W vs. [#758BW] Fernando Henrique (7-6-0) via UD ()
2025-12-21: L vs. [#331BW] Maycon Alcino (17-8-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:01 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Lawrence Lui -305 72.20%
Elo K170 Lawrence Lui 1577.51 +221.33 78.14%
Elo Modified Lawrence Lui 1550.46 +126.67 67.46%
Glicko-1 Lawrence Lui 1535.97 +148.19 70.12%
WHR Lawrence Lui 1502.12 +172.78 73.00%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Lawrence Lui 30.0, Hector Santiago 33.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lawrence Lui 210, Hector Santiago 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#24][#22UFC] Jingnan Xiong (21-3-0, +195) vs. [#35][#28UFC] Julia Polastri (14-6-0, -240)

Last 3 Fights: Jingnan Xiong (2-1-0)
2026-05-30: L vs. [#14SW] Angela Hill (19-16-0) via UD ()
2025-03-14: W vs. [#28SW] Bo Meng (24-8-0) via UD ()
2022-09-30: W vs. [NA] Angela Lee (11-3-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Julia Polastri (1-2-0)
2026-04-25: L vs. [#20SW] Talita Alencar (8-1-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-10-11: W vs. [#66SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (16-10-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 2:56 of round 3
2025-03-29: L vs. [#12SW] Lupita Godinez (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Julia Polastri -240 67.55%
Elo K170 Jingnan Xiong 1603.40 +179.19 73.72%
Elo Modified Jingnan Xiong 1620.44 +208.16 76.82%
Glicko-1 Jingnan Xiong 1617.16 +208.06 76.81%
WHR Jingnan Xiong 1539.03 +155.10 70.95%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jingnan Xiong 38.6, Julia Polastri 28.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jingnan Xiong 91, Julia Polastri 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#224][#68UFC] Meng Ding (35-10-0, -122) vs. [#376] Cameron Nelson (7-1-0, +103)

Last 3 Fights: Meng Ding (1-2-0)
2026-05-30: L vs. [#221WW] Jose Henrique Souza (9-1-0) via SD ()
2025-10-04: W vs. [#501WW] Mirali Huseynov (10-5-0) via TKO (Leg Kicks and Punches) in 2:45 of round 2
2024-08-13: L vs. [#198WW] Rami Hamed (15-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-27, 29-27)

Last 3 Fights: Cameron Nelson (3-0-0)
2026-06-06: W vs. [#663WW] Luis Guerrero (14-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:47 of round 2
2026-02-07: W vs. [#1627WW] Joao Machado (4-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:15 of round 2
2025-09-20: W vs. [NA] Kenyon Moore (2-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:00 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Meng Ding -122 52.73%
Elo K170 Meng Ding 1444.85 +104.40 64.59%
Elo Modified Meng Ding 1531.20 +153.85 70.80%
Glicko-1 Meng Ding 1559.85 +157.52 71.24%
WHR Meng Ding 1506.83 +175.05 73.25%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Meng Ding 31.9, Cameron Nelson 28.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Meng Ding 91, Cameron Nelson 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Umar Nurmagomedov
Highest Stored DD Rating: Umar Nurmagomedov
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Umar Nurmagomedov vs. Yadong Song
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Umar Nurmagomedov vs. Yadong Song
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2026-8-23

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