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Fight Matrix
Writer's Game Public Relations Agency
Writer's Game Public Relations Agency

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Hernandes vs Rodriguez (08-22-2026)

Posted on August 17, 2026 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#10][#8UFC] Anthony Hernandez (15-3-0, -176) vs. [#13][#11UFC] Gregory Rodrigues (19-6-0, +148)

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Hernandez (2-1-0)
2026-02-21: L vs. [#3P4P][#7DD][#1MW] Sean Strickland (31-7-0) via NC in 2:33 of round 3
2025-08-09: W vs. [#13LHW] Roman Dolidze (15-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:45 of round 4
2025-02-22: W vs. [#7MW] Brendan Allen (27-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Gregory Rodrigues (3-0-0)
2026-03-07: W vs. [#23MW] Brunno Ferreira (15-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:47 of round 1
2025-11-15: W vs. [#24MW] Roman Kopylov (15-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-06-28: W vs. [#108WW] Jack Hermansson (24-10-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:21 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Anthony Hernandez -176 61.26%
Elo K170 Anthony Hernandez 2061.77 +47.85 56.84%
Elo Modified Anthony Hernandez 2051.56 +27.58 53.96%
Glicko-1 Anthony Hernandez 2111.38 +11.89 51.71%
WHR Anthony Hernandez 1991.33 +60.71 58.65%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Anthony Hernandez 32.8, Gregory Rodrigues 34.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Anthony Hernandez 182, Gregory Rodrigues 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 3 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#12][#10UFC] Serghei Spivac (18-6-0, +143) vs. [#44][#23UFC] Vitor Petrino (14-2-0, -171)

Last 3 Fights: Serghei Spivac (1-2-0)
2026-02-21: W vs. [#19HW+] Ante Delija (26-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-06-07: L vs. [#9HW+] Waldo Cortes-Acosta (17-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-01-18: L vs. [#10HW+] Jailton Almeida (22-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:53 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Vitor Petrino (3-0-0)
2026-03-14: W vs. [#108HW+] Steven Asplund (8-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-10-11: W vs. [#84HW+] Thomas Petersen (12-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 3
2025-07-12: W vs. [#167LHW] Austen Lane (13-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:16 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Vitor Petrino -171 60.52%
Elo K170 Serghei Spivac 1842.58 +128.17 67.65%
Elo Modified Serghei Spivac 1859.96 +109.49 65.26%
Glicko-1 Serghei Spivac 1894.51 +133.75 68.35%
WHR Serghei Spivac 1776.70 +110.89 65.44%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Serghei Spivac 31.6, Vitor Petrino 29.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Serghei Spivac 182, Vitor Petrino 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#13][#12UFC] Roman Dolidze (15-5-0, +287) vs. [#21][#16UFC] Reinier de Ridder (21-4-0, -367)

Last 3 Fights: Roman Dolidze (1-2-0)
2026-03-21: L vs. [#11MW] Christian Leroy Duncan (15-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-08-09: L vs. [#10MW] Anthony Hernandez (15-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:45 of round 4
2025-03-15: W vs. [#29MW] Marvin Vettori (19-10-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Reinier de Ridder (1-2-0)
2026-03-07: L vs. [#8MW] Caio Borralho (18-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-10-18: L vs. [#7MW] Brendan Allen (27-7-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2025-07-26: W vs. [#8LHW] Robert Whittaker (27-9-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Reinier de Ridder -367 75.25%
Elo K170 Reinier de Ridder 1915.96 +60.77 58.66%
Elo Modified Reinier de Ridder 1894.31 +18.84 52.71%
Glicko-1 Roman Dolidze 1949.19 +4.39 50.63%
WHR Reinier de Ridder 1860.39 +38.22 55.48%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Roman Dolidze 38.1, Reinier de Ridder 35.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roman Dolidze 154, Reinier de Ridder 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#53][#32UFC] Mason Jones (18-2-0, -269) vs. [#93][#50UFC] Marquel Mederos (11-1-1, +217)

Last 3 Fights: Mason Jones (3-0-0)
2026-03-21: W vs. [#83LW] Axel Sola (12-1-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-09-06: W vs. [#215LW] Bolaji Oki (10-4-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 3:18 of round 2
2025-05-03: W vs. [#1732LW] Jeremy Stephens (29-23-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Marquel Mederos (2-0-1)
2026-04-11: D vs. [#69LW] Chris Padilla (17-6-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2025-06-07: W vs. [#315LW] Mark Choinski (8-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-03-29: W vs. [#366WW] Austin Hubbard (16-11-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mason Jones -269 69.79%
Elo K170 Mason Jones 1882.54 +147.19 70.00%
Elo Modified Mason Jones 1900.12 +179.49 73.75%
Glicko-1 Mason Jones 1932.17 +201.85 76.17%
WHR Mason Jones 1861.24 +301.01 84.98%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Mason Jones 31.3, Marquel Mederos 29.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mason Jones 154, Marquel Mederos 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#33][#19UFC] Carli Judice (6-2-0, -503) vs. [#78][#27UFC] Jeisla Chaves (8-0-0, +379)

Last 3 Fights: Carli Judice (3-0-0)
2026-02-21: W vs. [#60FLY] Juliana Miller (5-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-07-19: W vs. [#47SW] Nicolle Caliari (9-4-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 1:30 of round 3
2025-03-15: W vs. [#117FLY] Yuneisy Duben (6-2-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:40 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jeisla Chaves (3-0-0)
2026-06-06: W vs. [#117FLY] Yuneisy Duben (6-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-09-23: W vs. [#96FLY] Sofia Montenegro (6-2-0) via SD ()
2025-04-06: W vs. [NA] Rebeca Maria Sousa (1-3-0) via TKO (Elbow) in 4:31 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Carli Judice -503 79.98%
Elo K170 Jeisla Chaves 1401.15 +15.10 52.17%
Elo Modified Carli Judice 1480.84 +130.23 67.91%
Glicko-1 Carli Judice 1504.14 +198.04 75.77%
WHR Carli Judice 1461.01 +165.60 72.18%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Carli Judice 27.4, Jeisla Chaves 29.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carli Judice 182, Jeisla Chaves 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#138] Anthony Wint (7-0-0, -992) vs. [#233] Terrance Chatman (5-1-0, +597)

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Wint (3-0-0)
2026-08-11: W vs. [#312HW+] Matthew Adams (6-3-0) via NC in 0:34 of round 1
2026-03-15: W vs. [#294HW+] Jamahl Tatum (6-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:37 of round 1
2025-11-21: W vs. [#220HW+] Miles Banks (5-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:31 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Terrance Chatman (2-1-0)
2026-07-19: W vs. [#670HW+] Juan Torres (8-17-0) via TKO (Leg Kicks) in 3:32 of round 1
2026-04-12: L vs. [#280HW+] Myron Dennis (22-14-0) via SD ()
2026-01-18: W vs. [#646HW+] Omar El-Sahlah (2-3-0) via NC in 0:21 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Anthony Wint -992 86.35%
Elo K170 Anthony Wint 1413.67 +201.97 76.18%
Elo Modified Anthony Wint 1432.03 +66.61 59.47%
Glicko-1 Anthony Wint 1449.72 +127.02 67.51%
WHR Anthony Wint 1369.21 +127.91 67.62%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Anthony Wint 11, Terrance Chatman 34
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#52][#29UFC] Lerryan Douglas (14-5-0, -383) vs. [#74][#38UFC] Jamall Emmers (22-8-0, +295)

Last 3 Fights: Lerryan Douglas (3-0-0)
2026-03-28: W vs. [#114FW] Julian Erosa (31-13-0) via NC in 3:33 of round 1
2025-09-09: W vs. [#565LW] Cam Teague (11-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:36 of round 1
2025-01-25: W vs. [#292LW] Elijah Johns (11-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:35 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jamall Emmers (2-1-0)
2025-11-08: W vs. [#124FW] Hyder Amil (11-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-27, 30-27)
2025-03-29: W vs. [#793WW] Gabriel Miranda (17-10-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 4:06 of round 1
2024-03-30: L vs. [#101FW] Nate Landwehr (18-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:43 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Lerryan Douglas -383 75.79%
Elo K170 Lerryan Douglas 1775.97 +78.01 61.04%
Elo Modified Lerryan Douglas 1786.92 +68.98 59.80%
Glicko-1 Lerryan Douglas 1852.14 +100.09 64.02%
WHR Lerryan Douglas 1761.87 +101.03 64.14%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Lerryan Douglas 31.3, Jamall Emmers 37.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lerryan Douglas 147, Jamall Emmers 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Lerryan Douglas leads 1-0
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#47][#24UFC] Shamil Gaziev (14-3-0, -133) vs. [#63][#27UFC] Kennedy Nzechukwu (14-6-1, +112)

Last 3 Fights: Shamil Gaziev (1-2-0)
2026-05-02: L vs. [#41HW+] Brando Pericic (7-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:44 of round 2
2025-11-22: L vs. [#9HW+] Waldo Cortes-Acosta (17-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:22 of round 1
2025-02-01: W vs. [#84HW+] Thomas Petersen (12-5-0) via TKO (Punch) in 3:12 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Kennedy Nzechukwu (1-1-1)
2025-12-13: D vs. [#76HW+] Marcus Almeida (5-3-1) via Draw (Unanimous) in 5:00 of round 3
2025-07-12: L vs. [#34HW+] Valter Walker (16-1-0) via Submission (Inverted Heel Hook) in 0:54 of round 1
2024-12-07: W vs. [#146HW+] Lukasz Brzeski (9-7-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Shamil Gaziev -133 54.75%
Elo K170 Shamil Gaziev 1559.68 +43.92 56.29%
Elo Modified Kennedy Nzechukwu 1597.11 +22.08 53.17%
Glicko-1 Kennedy Nzechukwu 1626.00 +35.21 55.05%
WHR Kennedy Nzechukwu 1541.49 +7.76 51.12%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Shamil Gaziev 36.5, Kennedy Nzechukwu 34.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Shamil Gaziev 112, Kennedy Nzechukwu 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#66][#36UFC] Nasrat Haqparast (18-6-0, -113) vs. [#69][#38UFC] Chris Padilla (17-6-1, -107)

Last 3 Fights: Nasrat Haqparast (2-1-0)
2025-10-25: L vs. [#8LW] Quillan Salkilld (13-1-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:30 of round 1
2025-03-01: W vs. [#67LW] Esteban Ribovics (16-3-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#73LW] Jared Gordon (21-9-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)

Last 3 Fights: Chris Padilla (2-0-1)
2026-04-11: D vs. [#93LW] Marquel Mederos (11-1-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2025-11-08: W vs. [#186LW] Ismael Bonfim (20-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:30 of round 2
2025-03-22: W vs. [#71LW] Jai Herbert (14-6-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Nasrat Haqparast -113 50.64%
Elo K170 Nasrat Haqparast 1825.39 +35.42 55.08%
Elo Modified Chris Padilla 1765.46 +38.30 55.49%
Glicko-1 Chris Padilla 1811.30 +97.58 63.69%
WHR Chris Padilla 1692.20 +16.43 52.36%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Nasrat Haqparast 31.0, Chris Padilla 30.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nasrat Haqparast 301, Chris Padilla 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#81][#42UFC] Marcio Barbosa (18-3-0, -917) vs. [#479] Ryan Kuse (10-2-0, +590)

Last 3 Fights: Marcio Barbosa (3-0-0)
2026-04-18: W vs. [#461FW] Dennis Buzukja (12-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:20 of round 1
2025-08-26: W vs. [#688FW] Damon Wilson (9-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:14 of round 1
2024-11-22: W vs. [#459LW] Luis Felipe de Oliveira (12-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:54 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ryan Kuse (2-1-0)
2026-04-05: W vs. [#1406LW] Leandro Camargo (7-9-0) via KO in 4:39 of round 2
2025-10-25: W vs. [#765BW] Kevin Natividad (10-5-0) via UD ()
2024-04-21: L vs. [#214BW] Cameron Smotherman (12-8-0) via SD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Marcio Barbosa -917 86.15%
Elo K170 Marcio Barbosa 1726.50 +346.56 88.03%
Elo Modified Marcio Barbosa 1733.42 +268.70 82.45%
Glicko-1 Marcio Barbosa 1816.91 +348.56 88.14%
WHR Marcio Barbosa 1704.79 +315.63 86.02%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Marcio Barbosa 28.2, Ryan Kuse 32.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marcio Barbosa 126, Ryan Kuse 139
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#81][#42UFC] Gauge Young (11-3-0, -158) vs. [#494] Stanley Dorsainvil (5-0-0, +127)

Last 3 Fights: Gauge Young (2-1-0)
2026-04-18: W vs. [#87LW] Thiago Moises (19-10-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-08-23: W vs. [#423LW] Maheshate Hayisaer (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-04-26: L vs. [*] Evan Elder (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Stanley Dorsainvil (3-0-0)
2026-05-22: W vs. [#1278LW] Daniel Holt (4-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 3
2024-11-16: W vs. [#806WW] Johnny Smith (6-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:34 of round 1
2024-07-12: W vs. [#1395LW] Cedric Katambwa (4-2-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gauge Young -158 58.16%
Elo K170 Gauge Young 1576.70 +211.02 77.11%
Elo Modified Gauge Young 1537.13 +82.01 61.59%
Glicko-1 Gauge Young 1528.83 +134.70 68.47%
WHR Gauge Young 1456.96 +121.31 66.78%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Gauge Young 26.1, Stanley Dorsainvil 26.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gauge Young 126, Stanley Dorsainvil 92
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#153][#60UFC] Jackson Mcvey (7-2-0, -183) vs. [#211][#66UFC] Wesley Schultz (9-3-0, +152)

Last 3 Fights: Jackson Mcvey (1-2-0)
2026-04-25: W vs. [#193MW] Sedriques Dumas (11-5-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:14 of round 1
2025-11-08: L vs. [#136MW] Zachary Reese (10-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:38 of round 2
2025-07-19: L vs. [#23MW] Brunno Ferreira (15-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:35 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Wesley Schultz (2-1-0)
2026-05-02: W vs. [#517MW] Ben Johnston (5-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:50 of round 3
2026-02-28: L vs. [#63MW] Damian Pinas (10-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:30 of round 1
2025-10-14: W vs. [#547MW] Mario Mingaj (7-2-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 1:51 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jackson Mcvey -183 61.97%
Elo K170 Wesley Schultz 1432.09 +69.11 59.82%
Elo Modified Wesley Schultz 1483.88 +80.11 61.33%
Glicko-1 Wesley Schultz 1499.62 +116.15 66.12%
WHR Wesley Schultz 1418.62 +93.93 63.20%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jackson Mcvey 27.4, Wesley Schultz 30.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jackson Mcvey 119, Wesley Schultz 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#55][#35UFC] Shanelle Dyer (7-1-0, -642) vs. [*] Elise Reed (8-5-0, +434)

Last 3 Fights: Shanelle Dyer (2-1-0)
2026-03-21: W vs. [#157FLY] Ravena Oliveira (7-5-1) via NC in 1:17 of round 2
2025-09-09: L vs. [#23SW] Carol Foro (10-1-0) via UD ()
2024-09-28: W vs. [*] Valentina Scatizzi (3-4-0) via SD ()

Last 3 Fights: Elise Reed (1-2-0)
2025-05-17: L vs. [#8SW] Denise Gomes (12-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:30 of round 2
2024-10-19: W vs. [*] Jessica Penne (14-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-09-16: L vs. [#12SW] Lupita Godinez (14-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:30 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Shanelle Dyer -642 82.20%
Elo K170 Shanelle Dyer 1386.42 +22.34 53.21%
Elo Modified Shanelle Dyer 1408.87 +29.08 54.17%
Glicko-1 Shanelle Dyer 1403.14 +112.09 65.60%
WHR Shanelle Dyer 1296.54 +63.95 59.10%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Shanelle Dyer 25.3, Elise Reed 33.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Shanelle Dyer 154, Elise Reed 462
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Anthony Hernandez
Highest Stored DD Rating: Anthony Hernandez
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Very Low [*½]
Run Date: 2026-8-16

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