Welterweight Championship (170)
[#1P4P][#1][#1UFC] Islam Makhachev (28-1-0, -357) vs. [#4][#4UFC] Ian Garry (17-1-0, +279)
Islam Makhachev is the All-Time #30 ranked Welterweight and #9 ranked Absolute fighter.
Ian Garry is the All-Time #40 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Islam Makhachev (3-0-0)
2025-11-15: W vs. [#7WW] Jack Della Maddalena (18-4-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2025-01-18: W vs. [#12LW] Renato Carneiro (21-7-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:05 of round 1
2024-06-01: W vs. [*] Dustin Poirier (30-10-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:42 of round 5
Last 3 Fights: Ian Garry (2-1-0)
2025-11-22: W vs. [#10WW] Belal Muhammad (24-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-04-26: W vs. [#3WW] Carlos Prates (24-7-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-12-07: L vs. [*] Shavkat Rakhmonov (19-0-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Islam Makhachev | -357 | 74.74% | |
| Elo K170 | Islam Makhachev | 2597.15 | +328.45 | 86.88% |
| Elo Modified | Islam Makhachev | 2519.16 | +315.48 | 86.01% |
| Glicko-1 | Islam Makhachev | 2649.55 | +393.66 | 90.60% |
| WHR | Islam Makhachev | 2442.81 | +350.33 | 88.25% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Islam Makhachev 34.8, Ian Garry 28.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Islam Makhachev 273, Ian Garry 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#5DD][#5P4P][#2][#2UFC] Mackenzie Dern (16-5-0, -263) vs. [#11P4P][#5][#5UFC] Gillian Robertson (17-8-0, +207)
Mackenzie Dern is the All-Time #50 ranked Women’s fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Mackenzie Dern (3-0-0)
2025-10-25: W vs. [#6DD][#9P4P][#3SW] Virna Jandiroba (23-4-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2025-01-11: W vs. [#18SW] Amanda Ribas (12-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:56 of round 3
2024-08-03: W vs. [#12SW] Lupita Godinez (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Gillian Robertson (3-0-0)
2026-03-14: W vs. [#10SW] Amanda Lemos (15-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-05-03: W vs. [*] Marina Rodriguez (17-6-2) via TKO (Punches) in 2:07 of round 2
2024-11-09: W vs. [#72SW] Luana Pinheiro (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Mackenzie Dern | -263 | 68.98% | |
| Elo K170 | Mackenzie Dern | 1840.66 | +80.73 | 61.41% |
| Elo Modified | Mackenzie Dern | 1809.16 | +46.00 | 56.58% |
| Glicko-1 | Mackenzie Dern | 1825.60 | +30.04 | 54.31% |
| WHR | Mackenzie Dern | 1688.65 | +29.06 | 54.17% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Mackenzie Dern 33.4, Gillian Robertson 31.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mackenzie Dern 294, Gillian Robertson 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Gillian Robertson leads 3-1
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Flyweight (125)
[#26][#19UFC] Charles Johnson (19-9-0, +280) vs. [#39][#24UFC] Jose Ochoa (9-2-0, -380)
Last 3 Fights: Charles Johnson (1-2-0)
2026-06-27: L vs. [#12FLY] Asu Almabayev (24-3-0) via NC in 3:33 of round 3
2026-03-14: W vs. [#44FLY] Bruno Silva (15-10-2) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 30-27)
2026-01-24: L vs. [#19FLY] Alex Perez (26-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:16 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Jose Ochoa (2-1-0)
2026-05-09: W vs. [#97FLY] Clayton Carpenter (8-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-07-26: L vs. [#12FLY] Asu Almabayev (24-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-06-14: W vs. [#132FLY] Cody Durden (18-11-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:11 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Jose Ochoa | -380 | 75.04% | |
| Elo K170 | Charles Johnson | 1678.72 | +123.75 | 67.09% |
| Elo Modified | Charles Johnson | 1643.52 | +61.20 | 58.72% |
| Glicko-1 | Charles Johnson | 1643.95 | +41.64 | 55.96% |
| WHR | Jose Ochoa | 1620.89 | +16.48 | 52.37% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Charles Johnson 35.6, Jose Ochoa 25.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Johnson 49, Jose Ochoa 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#56][#35UFC] Dustin Stoltzfus (16-8-0, +402) vs. [#94][#52UFC] Mansur Abdul-Malik (10-1-0, -562)
Last 3 Fights: Dustin Stoltzfus (1-2-0)
2025-09-13: L vs. [#28MW] Kelvin Gastelum (20-11-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2025-05-17: L vs. [#39MW] Nursulton Ruziboev (37-9-2) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#44MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (18-11-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:28 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Mansur Abdul-Malik (2-1-0)
2026-03-28: L vs. [#51MW] Yousri Belgaroui (10-3-0) via NC in 3:39 of round 3
2025-12-06: W vs. [#482MW] Antonio Trocoli (13-7-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:09 of round 1
2025-06-14: W vs. [#68MW] Cody Brundage (12-10-0) via TUD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Mansur Abdul-Malik | -562 | 80.99% | |
| Elo K170 | Mansur Abdul-Malik | 1559.85 | +38.19 | 55.47% |
| Elo Modified | Mansur Abdul-Malik | 1586.48 | +32.77 | 54.70% |
| Glicko-1 | Mansur Abdul-Malik | 1622.67 | +16.92 | 52.43% |
| WHR | Dustin Stoltzfus | 1569.72 | +30.96 | 54.44% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Dustin Stoltzfus 34.7, Mansur Abdul-Malik 28.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dustin Stoltzfus 336, Mansur Abdul-Malik 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#68][#37UFC] Esteban Ribovics (15-3-0, -446) vs. [#143][#63UFC] Edson Barboza (24-14-0, +335)
Edson Barboza is the All-Time #33 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Esteban Ribovics (1-2-0)
2026-04-11: L vs. [#13LW] Mateusz Gamrot (26-5-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:19 of round 2
2025-08-02: W vs. [#193LW] Elves Brener (16-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-03-01: L vs. [#67LW] Nasrat Haqparast (18-6-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
Last 3 Fights: Edson Barboza (0-3-0)
2025-12-06: L vs. [#27LW] Jalin Turner (15-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 1
2025-08-16: L vs. [#47LW] Drakkar Klose (16-3-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-05-18: L vs. [#7FW] Lerone Murphy (17-1-1) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Esteban Ribovics | -446 | 78.03% | |
| Elo K170 | Esteban Ribovics | 1768.24 | +117.44 | 66.29% |
| Elo Modified | Esteban Ribovics | 1775.59 | +99.74 | 63.97% |
| Glicko-1 | Esteban Ribovics | 1810.17 | +112.88 | 65.69% |
| WHR | Esteban Ribovics | 1675.36 | +72.25 | 60.25% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Esteban Ribovics 30.3, Edson Barboza 40.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Esteban Ribovics 126, Edson Barboza 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#27][#23UFC] Joel Alvarez (23-4-0, -253) vs. [#55][#39UFC] Chidi Njokuani (25-12-0, +193)
Last 3 Fights: Joel Alvarez (2-1-0)
2026-05-09: L vs. [#15WW] Yaroslav Amosov (30-1-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:13 of round 2
2025-10-11: W vs. [#18MW] Vicente Luque (24-12-1) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#47LW] Drakkar Klose (16-3-1) via KO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 2:48 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Chidi Njokuani (1-2-0)
2026-02-21: L vs. [#28WW] Carlos Leal (23-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-07-12: L vs. [#37WW] Jake Matthews (23-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:09 of round 1
2025-03-15: W vs. [#65WW] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (26-10-1) via TKO (Knee and Elbows) in 2:19 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Joel Alvarez | -253 | 67.74% | |
| Elo K170 | Joel Alvarez | 1963.71 | +298.37 | 84.78% |
| Elo Modified | Joel Alvarez | 1953.02 | +272.12 | 82.73% |
| Glicko-1 | Joel Alvarez | 2019.66 | +293.83 | 84.44% |
| WHR | Joel Alvarez | 1953.47 | +326.14 | 86.73% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Joel Alvarez 33.4, Chidi Njokuani 37.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joel Alvarez 98, Chidi Njokuani 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#27][#18UFC] Jalin Turner (15-9-0, -171) vs. [#71][#39UFC] Kaue Fernandes (11-2-0, +140)
Last 3 Fights: Jalin Turner (1-2-0)
2025-12-06: W vs. [#143LW] Edson Barboza (24-14-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 1
2025-03-08: L vs. [#39LW] Ignacio Bahamondes (18-7-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:29 of round 1
2024-04-13: L vs. [#12LW] Renato Carneiro (21-7-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:11 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Kaue Fernandes (3-0-0)
2025-09-06: W vs. [#171FW] Harry Hardwick (13-5-1) via TKO (Leg Kicks) in 3:21 of round 1
2025-03-22: W vs. [#109LW] Guram Kutateladze (14-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-08-03: W vs. [#707FW] Mohammad Yahya (12-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Jalin Turner | -171 | 60.22% | |
| Elo K170 | Jalin Turner | 1802.89 | +20.70 | 52.98% |
| Elo Modified | Jalin Turner | 1829.75 | +9.34 | 51.34% |
| Glicko-1 | Jalin Turner | 1898.33 | +34.32 | 54.92% |
| WHR | Kaue Fernandes | 1811.86 | +31.58 | 54.53% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jalin Turner 31.2, Kaue Fernandes 31.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jalin Turner 252, Kaue Fernandes 343
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#70][#43UFC] Eric McConico (11-4-1, +182) vs. [#79][#46UFC] Donte Johnson (8-0-0, -228)
Last 3 Fights: Eric McConico (2-1-0)
2026-04-25: W vs. [#75MW] Rodolfo Vieira (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-11-15: L vs. [#69MW] Baisangur Susurkaev (12-0-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:38 of round 3
2025-08-09: W vs. [#68MW] Cody Brundage (12-10-0) via SD (29-28, 27-30, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Donte Johnson (3-0-0)
2026-03-07: W vs. [#68MW] Cody Brundage (12-10-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-11-01: W vs. [#190MW] Sedriques Dumas (11-5-0) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 1:25 of round 2
2025-08-26: W vs. [#183HW+] Darion Abbey (9-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:04 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Donte Johnson | -228 | 66.21% | |
| Elo K170 | Eric McConico | 1552.72 | +4.40 | 50.63% |
| Elo Modified | Eric McConico | 1533.91 | +26.07 | 53.74% |
| Glicko-1 | Donte Johnson | 1528.94 | +2.83 | 50.41% |
| WHR | Eric McConico | 1487.90 | +48.63 | 56.95% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Eric McConico 36.2, Donte Johnson 27.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Eric McConico 112, Donte Johnson 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#18][#14UFC] Vicente Luque (24-12-1, +121) vs. [#93][#51UFC] Tresean Gore (6-4-0, -146)
Last 3 Fights: Vicente Luque (1-2-0)
2026-04-11: W vs. [#28MW] Kelvin Gastelum (20-11-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 4:08 of round 1
2025-10-11: L vs. [#27WW] Joel Alvarez (23-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2025-06-07: L vs. [#21WW] Kevin Holland (29-15-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:03 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Tresean Gore (1-2-0)
2026-04-04: W vs. [#109MW] Azamat Bekoev (20-5-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:27 of round 3
2025-08-02: L vs. [#75MW] Rodolfo Vieira (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-04-12: L vs. [#82MW] Marco Tulio (14-3-0) via TKO (Punch) in 3:16 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Tresean Gore | -146 | 56.73% | |
| Elo K170 | Vicente Luque | 1888.71 | +345.82 | 87.98% |
| Elo Modified | Vicente Luque | 1887.67 | +311.41 | 85.73% |
| Glicko-1 | Vicente Luque | 1954.77 | +353.05 | 88.42% |
| WHR | Vicente Luque | 1769.00 | +245.03 | 80.39% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Vicente Luque 34.7, Tresean Gore 32.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vicente Luque 126, Tresean Gore 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#79] Lucas Fernando (13-3-0, -292) vs. [#132][#45UFC] Rafael Tobias (15-2-0, +228)
Last 3 Fights: Lucas Fernando (3-0-0)
2026-05-29: W vs. [#228LHW] Leon Soares (10-4-0) via TKO (Leg Kick and Punches) in 1:28 of round 1
2025-08-15: W vs. [#205LHW] Phillip Latu (7-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:03 of round 1
2024-08-30: W vs. [#117LHW] Pedro Oliveira (11-4-1) via UD ()
Last 3 Fights: Rafael Tobias (2-1-0)
2026-03-07: L vs. [#69LHW] Diyar Nurgozhay (12-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-09-23: W vs. [#234HW+] Jair de Oliveira (7-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:46 of round 1
2025-04-12: W vs. [*] Wellington Silva Lopes (12-5-0) via TKO (Leg Kicks) in 0:00 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Lucas Fernando | -292 | 70.95% | |
| Elo K170 | Lucas Fernando | 1610.75 | +168.33 | 72.49% |
| Elo Modified | Lucas Fernando | 1639.40 | +162.24 | 71.79% |
| Glicko-1 | Lucas Fernando | 1658.31 | +140.58 | 69.19% |
| WHR | Lucas Fernando | 1640.21 | +182.67 | 74.11% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Lucas Fernando 29.6, Rafael Tobias 23.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lucas Fernando 78, Rafael Tobias 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#26][#22UFC] Neil Magny (31-14-0, -111) vs. [#100][#53UFC] Ramiz Brahimaj (13-6-0, -109)
Neil Magny is the All-Time #44 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Neil Magny (2-1-0)
2025-12-13: L vs. [#15WW] Yaroslav Amosov (30-1-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 3:14 of round 1
2025-09-27: W vs. [#37WW] Jake Matthews (23-8-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 3:08 of round 3
2025-08-02: W vs. [#65WW] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (26-10-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:39 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Ramiz Brahimaj (2-1-0)
2026-02-21: L vs. [#44WW] Punahele Soriano (13-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-10-04: W vs. [#166WW] Austin Vanderford (13-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:24 of round 2
2025-05-31: W vs. [#502WW] Billy Goff (9-5-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:16 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Neil Magny | -111 | 50.21% | |
| Elo K170 | Neil Magny | 1882.78 | +309.89 | 85.62% |
| Elo Modified | Neil Magny | 1854.14 | +256.97 | 81.45% |
| Glicko-1 | Neil Magny | 1890.66 | +221.41 | 78.15% |
| WHR | Neil Magny | 1845.43 | +267.20 | 82.32% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Neil Magny 39.0, Ramiz Brahimaj 33.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Neil Magny 245, Ramiz Brahimaj 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Neil Magny leads 2-1
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Welterweight (170)
[#22][#18UFC] Myktybek Orolbai (16-2-2, -653) vs. [#48][#35UFC] Jeremiah Wells (13-4-1, +453)
Last 3 Fights: Myktybek Orolbai (3-0-0)
2026-03-14: W vs. [#32WW] Chris Curtis (32-13-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-11-22: W vs. [#108WW] Jack Hermansson (24-10-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:46 of round 1
2025-06-21: W vs. [#22LW] Tofiq Musayev (24-6-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 4:35 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Jeremiah Wells (1-2-0)
2025-11-01: W vs. [#78WW] Themba Gorimbo (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-02-10: L vs. [#53WW] Max Griffin (20-13-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#130WW] Carlston Harris (19-8-0) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:50 of round 3
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Myktybek Orolbai | -653 | 82.74% | |
| Elo K170 | Myktybek Orolbai | 1971.18 | +248.25 | 80.68% |
| Elo Modified | Myktybek Orolbai | 1985.14 | +223.12 | 78.32% |
| Glicko-1 | Myktybek Orolbai | 2075.44 | +284.52 | 83.72% |
| WHR | Myktybek Orolbai | 1956.52 | +326.12 | 86.73% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Myktybek Orolbai 28.5, Jeremiah Wells 39.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Myktybek Orolbai 154, Jeremiah Wells 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
Fight Card Statistics
Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Islam Makhachev
Highest Stored DD Rating: Islam Makhachev
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Garry
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Garry
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Good [***]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Moderate [***]
Run Date: 2026-8-9