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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov (07-25-2026)

Posted on July 20, 2026 by Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#2][#2UFC] Magomed Ankalaev (21-2-1, -534) vs. [#11][#10UFC] Bogdan Guskov (18-3-1, +389)
Magomed Ankalaev is the All-Time #19 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Magomed Ankalaev (2-1-0)
2025-10-04: L vs. [#1LHW] Alex Pereira (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 1:20 of round 1
2025-03-08: W vs. [#1LHW] Alex Pereira (13-4-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#34LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Bogdan Guskov (2-0-1)
2025-12-06: D vs. [#9LHW] Jan Blachowicz (29-11-2) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2025-07-26: W vs. [#24LHW] Nikita Krylov (31-12-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:18 of round 1
2025-01-18: W vs. [#65LHW] Billy Elekana (10-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:33 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Magomed Ankalaev -534 80.46%
Elo K170 Magomed Ankalaev 2209.49 +335.13 87.31%
Elo Modified Magomed Ankalaev 2195.27 +286.65 83.89%
Glicko-1 Magomed Ankalaev 2293.96 +304.82 85.25%
WHR Magomed Ankalaev 1995.69 +128.49 67.69%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Magomed Ankalaev 34.1, Bogdan Guskov 33.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Magomed Ankalaev 294, Bogdan Guskov 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Magomed Ankalaev leads 2-1
.

Flyweight (125)
[#10][#10UFC] Steve Erceg (14-4-0, -122) vs. [*] Ramazonbek Temirov (19-3-0, +100)
Steve Erceg is the All-Time #50 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Steve Erceg (2-1-0)
2026-05-02: W vs. [#14FLY] Tim Elliott (21-14-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-08-09: W vs. [#65FLY] Ode Osbourne (13-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-03-29: L vs. [#7FLY] Brandon Moreno (23-10-2) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Ramazonbek Temirov (3-0-0)
2025-03-01: W vs. [#24FLY] Charles Johnson (19-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-10-12: W vs. [*] C.J. Vergara (12-7-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:50 of round 1
2023-09-24: W vs. [#224FLY] Takaki Soya (13-8-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Steve Erceg -122 52.35%
Elo K170 Steve Erceg 1819.41 +23.69 53.40%
Elo Modified Ramazonbek Temirov 1803.60 +8.34 51.20%
Glicko-1 Ramazonbek Temirov 1857.01 +24.71 53.55%
WHR Ramazonbek Temirov 1696.92 +4.01 50.58%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Steve Erceg 31.0, Ramazonbek Temirov 29.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Steve Erceg 84, Ramazonbek Temirov 511
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#117][#57UFC] Islam Dulatov (12-1-0, -734) vs. [*] Wellington Turman (18-8-0, +519)

Last 3 Fights: Islam Dulatov (3-0-0)
2025-07-19: W vs. [#459WW] Adam Fugitt (10-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 1
2024-10-08: W vs. [#339MW] Vanilton Antunes (16-9-0) via KO (Elbow) in 2:44 of round 1
2024-02-10: W vs. [#735MW] Ioannis Palaiologos (20-15-1) via TKO (Knee to the Body) in 4:59 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Wellington Turman (0-3-0)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#217MW] Jared Gooden (23-12-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:11 of round 2
2023-06-24: L vs. [#35WW] Randy Brown (20-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-11-12: L vs. [#93MW] Andre Petroski (13-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Islam Dulatov -734 84.48%
Elo K170 Islam Dulatov 1667.86 +228.68 78.86%
Elo Modified Islam Dulatov 1650.34 +187.98 74.69%
Glicko-1 Islam Dulatov 1745.79 +291.68 84.27%
WHR Islam Dulatov 1592.21 +239.28 79.86%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Islam Dulatov 28.0, Wellington Turman 30.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Islam Dulatov 371, Wellington Turman 966
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#130] Magomed Zaynukov (8-0-0, -372) vs. [#219] Damian Rzepecki (10-0-0, +293)

Last 3 Fights: Magomed Zaynukov (3-0-0)
2025-10-07: W vs. [#687LW] Lucas Caldas (6-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2025-02-22: W vs. [*] Shakhmar Sadygov (7-1-1) via UD ()
2024-07-27: W vs. [#616LW] Wilian Poles (8-4-1) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Damian Rzepecki (3-0-0)
2026-04-11: W vs. [#1018LW] Corneliu Lascar Rotaru (13-9-0) via UD ()
2025-06-21: W vs. [#740LW] Patryk Dunski (12-9-2) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 2:40 of round 2
2024-11-23: W vs. [#544WW] Marcin Jablonski (14-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:13 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Magomed Zaynukov -372 75.58%
Elo K170 Damian Rzepecki 1673.98 +108.13 65.08%
Elo Modified Damian Rzepecki 1706.09 +75.61 60.71%
Glicko-1 Damian Rzepecki 1730.53 +134.53 68.45%
WHR Damian Rzepecki 1604.92 +43.87 56.28%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Magomed Zaynukov 31.5, Damian Rzepecki 24.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Magomed Zaynukov 291, Damian Rzepecki 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#7][#5UFC] Rizvan Kuniev (13-3-1, -264) vs. [#22][#14UFC] Tyrell Fortune (18-3-0, +216)

Last 3 Fights: Rizvan Kuniev (2-1-0)
2026-02-07: W vs. [#10HW+] Jailton Almeida (22-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2025-06-21: L vs. [#11HW+] Curtis Blaydes (19-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-08-20: W vs. [*] Hugo Cunha (8-3-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 4:59 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tyrell Fortune (3-0-0)
2026-03-28: W vs. [#23HW+] Marcin Tybura (27-11-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-09-20: W vs. [#244HW+] Demoreo Dennis (9-7-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 3:56 of round 3
2025-08-16: W vs. [#367HW+] Tony Lopez (65-35-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:27 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rizvan Kuniev -264 69.61%
Elo K170 Tyrell Fortune 1812.42 +38.97 55.58%
Elo Modified Rizvan Kuniev 1839.08 +17.51 52.52%
Glicko-1 Rizvan Kuniev 1944.91 +59.20 58.44%
WHR Rizvan Kuniev 1927.23 +166.66 72.30%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Rizvan Kuniev 34.4, Tyrell Fortune 36.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rizvan Kuniev 168, Tyrell Fortune 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[*] Abubakar Vagaev (24-4-0, -425) vs. [#110WW][#54WWUFC] Saygid Izagakhmaev (22-3-0, -232)

Last 3 Fights: Abubakar Vagaev (3-0-0)
2025-02-08: W vs. [#41WW] Albert Tumenov (27-6-0) via UD ()
2024-03-09: W vs. [#30MW] Edil Esengulov (28-6-1) via UD ()
2023-09-02: W vs. [#370WW] Michel Prazeres (27-7-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Saygid Izagakhmaev (2-1-0)
2025-11-22: L vs. [#42WW] Nicolas Dalby (24-7-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-11-19: W vs. [#156WW] Shinya Aoki (49-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:26 of round 1
2022-09-29: W vs. [#151WW] Lipeng Zhang (35-14-2) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Abubakar Vagaev -425 53.66%
Elo K170 Abubakar Vagaev 2116.80 +319.92 86.31%
Elo Modified Abubakar Vagaev 2069.04 +197.50 75.71%
Glicko-1 Abubakar Vagaev 2118.01 +184.01 74.26%
WHR Abubakar Vagaev 1936.86 +132.54 68.20%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Abubakar Vagaev 33.3, Saygid Izagakhmaev 31.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Abubakar Vagaev 532, Saygid Izagakhmaev 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#38][#19UFC] Valter Walker (15-1-0, -196) vs. [#81][#28UFC] Thomas Petersen (12-4-0, +163)

Last 3 Fights: Valter Walker (3-0-0)
2025-10-25: W vs. [#24HW+] Louie Sutherland (11-5-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 1:24 of round 1
2025-07-12: W vs. [#60HW+] Kennedy Nzechukwu (14-6-1) via Submission (Inverted Heel Hook) in 0:54 of round 1
2025-02-15: W vs. [#102HW+] Dontale Mayes (11-10-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 1:17 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Thomas Petersen (2-1-0)
2026-04-04: W vs. [#148HW+] Guilherme Pat (6-1-0) via MD (29-27, 29-27, 28-28)
2025-10-11: L vs. [#42HW+] Vitor Petrino (14-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 3
2025-05-03: W vs. [#102HW+] Dontale Mayes (11-10-0) via UD (30-26, 30-25, 30-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Valter Walker -196 63.52%
Elo K170 Valter Walker 1713.49 +183.55 74.21%
Elo Modified Valter Walker 1749.24 +211.69 77.18%
Glicko-1 Valter Walker 1819.41 +342.85 87.80%
WHR Valter Walker 1654.16 +214.43 77.46%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Valter Walker 28.6, Thomas Petersen 31.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Valter Walker 273, Thomas Petersen 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#26][#19UFC] Dustin Jacoby (22-9-1, -192) vs. [#74] Muhammad Said (9-0-0, +162)

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Jacoby (3-0-0)
2026-02-07: W vs. [#82LHW] Julius Walker (7-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:42 of round 2
2025-05-31: W vs. [#92LHW] Bruno Lopes (14-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:50 of round 1
2024-12-14: W vs. [#42HW+] Vitor Petrino (14-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:44 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Muhammad Said (3-0-0)
2026-05-09: W vs. [#164LHW] Henrique da Silva (20-12-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:03 of round 1
2025-09-10: W vs. [#306MW] Valmir da Silva (11-6-0) via UD ()
2024-12-14: W vs. [#244LHW] Leonardo Guimaraes (15-14-1) via TKO (Retirement) in 1:07 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dustin Jacoby -192 63.26%
Elo K170 Dustin Jacoby 1809.06 +239.71 79.90%
Elo Modified Dustin Jacoby 1822.08 +173.32 73.06%
Glicko-1 Dustin Jacoby 1912.32 +273.23 82.82%
WHR Dustin Jacoby 1820.03 +226.51 78.65%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Dustin Jacoby 38.3, Muhammad Said 30.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dustin Jacoby 168, Muhammad Said 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#61][#42UFC] Santiago Ponzinibbio (30-9-0, +316) vs. [#75][#46UFC] Sam Patterson (14-3-1, -414)

Last 3 Fights: Santiago Ponzinibbio (1-2-0)
2025-05-03: L vs. [#17WW] Daniel Rodriguez (20-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:12 of round 3
2025-01-11: W vs. [#81WW] Carlston Harris (19-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:13 of round 3
2024-07-13: L vs. [#33WW] Muslim Salikhov (22-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Sam Patterson (2-1-0)
2026-03-21: L vs. [#12WW] Michael Page (25-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2025-09-06: W vs. [#221WW] Trey Waters (9-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:01 of round 1
2025-03-01: W vs. [#282MW] Danny Barlow (9-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:10 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sam Patterson -414 77.01%
Elo K170 Sam Patterson 1753.72 +51.25 57.32%
Elo Modified Santiago Ponzinibbio 1766.36 +4.46 50.64%
Glicko-1 Sam Patterson 1823.33 +27.19 53.91%
WHR Sam Patterson 1745.41 +61.56 58.77%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Santiago Ponzinibbio 39.8, Sam Patterson 30.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Santiago Ponzinibbio 448, Sam Patterson 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#104][#53UFC] Axel Sola (11-1-1, -191) vs. [#155][#64UFC] Ismael Bonfim (20-6-0, +160)

Last 3 Fights: Axel Sola (2-1-0)
2026-03-21: L vs. [#55LW] Mason Jones (18-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-09-06: W vs. [#105MW] Rhys McKee (15-7-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:02 of round 3
2025-06-14: W vs. [#421LW] Ghiles Oudelha (16-9-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Ismael Bonfim (1-2-0)
2025-11-08: L vs. [#69LW] Chris Padilla (17-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:30 of round 2
2025-02-15: L vs. [#105LW] Nazim Sadykhov (11-3-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2024-05-04: W vs. [*] Vinc Pichel (14-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Axel Sola -191 63.05%
Elo K170 Axel Sola 1672.97 +37.58 55.39%
Elo Modified Axel Sola 1719.47 +77.20 60.93%
Glicko-1 Axel Sola 1760.04 +115.47 66.03%
WHR Axel Sola 1718.03 +147.00 69.97%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Axel Sola 28.8, Ismael Bonfim 30.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Axel Sola 126, Ismael Bonfim 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#67] Magomed Tuchalov (6-0-0, -677) vs. [#98][#37UFC] Brendson Ribeiro (17-10-0, +485)

Last 3 Fights: Magomed Tuchalov (3-0-0)
2026-03-28: W vs. [#100LHW] Caio Machado (13-5-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:59 of round 1
2026-01-31: W vs. [#499MW] Siyaku Dumisa Nomvemve (6-5-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 0:43 of round 2
2025-09-10: W vs. [#724MW] Khabib Gaziev (3-3-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 3:46 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Brendson Ribeiro (0-3-0)
2026-04-04: L vs. [#45LHW] Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (10-0-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:52 of round 1
2025-09-06: L vs. [#48LHW] Oumar Sy (12-2-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:42 of round 1
2025-06-07: L vs. [#20LHW] Azamat Murzakanov (16-1-0) via TKO (Submission to Punches) in 3:25 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Magomed Tuchalov -677 83.60%
Elo K170 Magomed Tuchalov 1454.25 +36.17 55.19%
Elo Modified Magomed Tuchalov 1496.78 +56.67 58.09%
Glicko-1 Magomed Tuchalov 1518.54 +66.30 59.43%
WHR Magomed Tuchalov 1480.77 +39.94 55.72%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Magomed Tuchalov 26.5, Brendson Ribeiro 29.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Magomed Tuchalov 119, Brendson Ribeiro 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#79][#41UFC] Nurullo Aliev (11-0-0, -164) vs. [#118][#57UFC] Mike Davis (12-3-0, +136)

Last 3 Fights: Nurullo Aliev (3-0-0)
2025-11-22: W vs. [#280LW] Shaqueme Rock (12-3-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-01-11: W vs. [*] Joe Solecki (13-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-02-25: W vs. [#204LW] Rafael Alves (22-12-0) via MD (28-28, 29-27, 29-27)

Last 3 Fights: Mike Davis (2-1-0)
2025-07-12: W vs. [#459LW] Mitch Ramirez (8-4-0) via TKO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 4:08 of round 2
2025-02-01: L vs. [#45LW] Fares Ziam (18-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-03-16: W vs. [#580LW] Natan Levy (9-2-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:43 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Nurullo Aliev -164 59.45%
Elo K170 Nurullo Aliev 1822.58 +133.95 68.38%
Elo Modified Nurullo Aliev 1833.27 +137.74 68.85%
Glicko-1 Nurullo Aliev 1787.56 +41.09 55.88%
WHR Nurullo Aliev 1745.87 +85.01 62.00%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Nurullo Aliev 26.7, Mike Davis 33.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nurullo Aliev 245, Mike Davis 378
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#123] Abdul Hussein (15-2-0, -402) vs. [#138][#51UFC] Cody Gibson (21-12-0, +308)

Last 3 Fights: Abdul Hussein (3-0-0)
2025-12-26: W vs. [#526BW] Tyson Nam (23-16-1) via KO (Punch) in 4:22 of round 1
2025-10-22: W vs. [#514BW] Gift Walker (8-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:47 of round 1
2025-06-12: W vs. [#1075FW] Sami Yahia (14-6-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 3:44 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Cody Gibson (1-2-0)
2025-10-18: L vs. [#178BW] Qileng Aori (28-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 1
2025-03-15: L vs. [#42BW] DaMon Blackshear (17-8-1) via Submission (Kimura) in 4:09 of round 2
2024-11-02: W vs. [*] Chad Anheliger (13-8-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Abdul Hussein -402 76.56%
Elo K170 Abdul Hussein 1650.68 +164.40 72.04%
Elo Modified Abdul Hussein 1673.52 +172.78 73.00%
Glicko-1 Abdul Hussein 1765.07 +252.28 81.04%
WHR Abdul Hussein 1721.52 +259.04 81.63%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Abdul Hussein 211, Cody Gibson 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Magomed Ankalaev
Highest Stored DD Rating: Magomed Ankalaev
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Good [***]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2026-7-19

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