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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfin (06-06-2026)

Posted on June 1, 2026 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#7][#7UFC] Belal Muhammad (24-5-0, -128) vs. [#16][#13UFC] Gabriel Bonfim (19-1-0, +107)
Belal Muhammad is the All-Time #8 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Belal Muhammad (1-2-0)
2025-11-22: L vs. [#5WW] Ian Garry (17-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-05-10: L vs. [#8WW] Jack Della Maddalena (18-4-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2024-07-27: W vs. [#9WW] Leon Edwards (22-6-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Gabriel Bonfim (3-0-0)
2025-11-08: W vs. [#35WW] Randy Brown (20-8-0) via TKO (Knee) in 1:40 of round 2
2025-07-12: W vs. [#25WW] Stephen Thompson (17-9-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-02-15: W vs. [#61WW] Kalinn Williams (16-5-0) via Technical Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:58 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Belal Muhammad -128 53.74%
Elo K170 Belal Muhammad 2208.12 +150.81 70.44%
Elo Modified Belal Muhammad 2168.06 +169.49 72.63%
Glicko-1 Belal Muhammad 2195.70 +123.41 67.05%
WHR Belal Muhammad 1940.31 +50.05 57.15%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Belal Muhammad 37.9, Gabriel Bonfim 28.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Belal Muhammad 196, Gabriel Bonfim 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#7][#6UFC] Brendan Allen (26-7-0, -228) vs. [#29][#22UFC] Edmen Shahbazyan (16-5-0, +187)

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (2-1-0)
2025-10-18: W vs. [#15MW] Reinier de Ridder (21-4-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2025-07-19: W vs. [#35MW] Marvin Vettori (19-10-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-02-22: L vs. [#9MW] Anthony Hernandez (15-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Edmen Shahbazyan (3-0-0)
2025-10-04: W vs. [#53MW] Andre Muniz (24-8-0) via KO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:58 of round 1
2025-06-14: W vs. [#95MW] Andre Petroski (13-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2025-02-15: W vs. [#224WW] Dylan Budka (9-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:35 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Brendan Allen -228 66.61%
Elo K170 Brendan Allen 2114.41 +311.72 85.75%
Elo Modified Brendan Allen 2062.96 +256.87 81.44%
Glicko-1 Brendan Allen 2148.49 +307.96 85.48%
WHR Brendan Allen 1966.67 +270.29 82.58%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Brendan Allen 30.4, Edmen Shahbazyan 28.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brendan Allen 231, Edmen Shahbazyan 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#27][#19UFC] Fares Ziam (18-4-0, -303) vs. [#119][#56UFC] Tom Nolan (10-1-0, +243)

Last 3 Fights: Fares Ziam (3-0-0)
2025-12-06: W vs. [#79LW] Nazim Sadykhov (11-2-1) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:59 of round 2
2025-02-01: W vs. [#120LW] Mike Davis (12-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-09-28: W vs. [#148LW] Matt Frevola (11-6-1) via KO (Knee) in 2:59 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Tom Nolan (3-0-0)
2025-09-27: W vs. [#362LW] Charlie Campbell (9-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:08 of round 1
2025-02-08: W vs. [#349LW] Viacheslav Borshchev (8-8-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-08-17: W vs. [*] Alex Reyes (13-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Fares Ziam -303 72.06%
Elo K170 Fares Ziam 1971.32 +238.57 79.79%
Elo Modified Fares Ziam 1929.39 +205.58 76.56%
Glicko-1 Fares Ziam 1971.67 +213.61 77.38%
WHR Fares Ziam 1877.43 +276.04 83.05%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Fares Ziam 29.2, Tom Nolan 26.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Fares Ziam 182, Tom Nolan 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#17][#15UFC] Bryce Mitchell (18-3-0, -142) vs. [#157][#62UFC] Santiago Luna (8-0-0, +115)

Last 3 Fights: Bryce Mitchell (2-1-0)
2025-07-26: W vs. [#43BW] Said Nurmagomedov (18-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-04-12: L vs. [#12FW] Jean Silva (17-3-0) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 3:52 of round 2
2024-12-07: W vs. [*] Kron Gracie (5-3-0) via KO (Slam and Elbows) in 0:39 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Santiago Luna (3-0-0)
2026-02-28: W vs. [#1037BW] Angel Pacheco (8-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-09-13: W vs. [#290BW] Quang Le (9-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:48 of round 1
2025-05-22: W vs. [#2092FW] Desmond Manabat (4-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:45 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Bryce Mitchell -142 55.78%
Elo K170 Bryce Mitchell 1858.34 +308.20 85.50%
Elo Modified Bryce Mitchell 1851.44 +251.45 80.96%
Glicko-1 Bryce Mitchell 1875.76 +294.67 84.50%
WHR Bryce Mitchell 1765.78 +248.25 80.68%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Bryce Mitchell 31.6, Santiago Luna 21.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bryce Mitchell 315, Santiago Luna 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#84][#39UFC] Matt Schnell (17-11-0, +508) vs. [#110][#45UFC] Alessandro Costa (15-5-0, -763)

Last 3 Fights: Matt Schnell (1-2-0)
2025-11-08: L vs. [#21FLY] Joseph Morales (14-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:54 of round 1
2025-04-26: W vs. [#158FLY] Jimmy Flick (17-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-07: L vs. [#38FLY] Cody Durden (18-10-1) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 0:29 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Alessandro Costa (2-1-0)
2026-04-04: W vs. [#445FLY] Stewart Nicoll (8-3-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 4:56 of round 2
2025-09-13: L vs. [#44FLY] Alden Coria (12-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:47 of round 3
2024-05-04: W vs. [#120FLY] Kevin Borjas (10-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:35 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alessandro Costa -763 84.31%
Elo K170 Alessandro Costa 1541.12 +30.29 54.35%
Elo Modified Alessandro Costa 1558.92 +58.32 58.32%
Glicko-1 Alessandro Costa 1585.77 +106.25 64.83%
WHR Alessandro Costa 1537.93 +155.38 70.98%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Matt Schnell 36.4, Alessandro Costa 30.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Matt Schnell 210, Alessandro Costa 63
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#51][#26UFC] Iwo Baraniewski (9-0-0, -293) vs. [#114][#38UFC] Junior Tafa (7-5-0, +235)

Last 3 Fights: Iwo Baraniewski (3-0-0)
2026-03-21: W vs. [#154LHW] Austen Lane (13-8-0) via NC in 0:28 of round 1
2025-12-06: W vs. [#125LHW] Ibo Aslan (14-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:29 of round 1
2025-09-16: W vs. [#97LHW] Mahamed Aly (5-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:20 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Junior Tafa (1-2-0)
2026-05-02: W vs. [#233LHW] Kevin Christian (9-4-0) via KO (Punches and Elbows) in 2:42 of round 1
2026-01-31: L vs. [#61LHW] Billy Elekana (10-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:18 of round 2
2025-07-12: L vs. [#105LHW] George Tokkos (11-6-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:25 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Iwo Baraniewski -293 71.40%
Elo K170 Iwo Baraniewski 1578.97 +199.83 75.96%
Elo Modified Iwo Baraniewski 1636.34 +220.68 78.08%
Glicko-1 Iwo Baraniewski 1665.99 +260.68 81.77%
WHR Iwo Baraniewski 1595.54 +247.19 80.58%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Iwo Baraniewski 27.5, Junior Tafa 29.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Iwo Baraniewski 77, Junior Tafa 35
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#24][#21UFC] Marcus McGhee (10-2-0, -525) vs. [#145][#55UFC] John Yannis (10-4-0, +379)

Last 3 Fights: Marcus McGhee (2-1-0)
2025-07-26: L vs. [#2DD][#4P4P][#1BW] Petr Yan (20-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-11-16: W vs. [*] Jonathan Martinez (19-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-01-13: W vs. [#443BW] Gaston Bolanos (8-5-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 3:29 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: John Yannis (2-1-0)
2026-04-18: W vs. [#413BW] Jamie Siraj (14-4-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 2:43 of round 1
2025-08-02: L vs. [#154FW] Austin Bashi (14-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:39 of round 1
2025-05-25: W vs. [#672FW] Nick Aguirre (10-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:08 of round 4

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Marcus McGhee -525 80.09%
Elo K170 Marcus McGhee 1671.79 +183.47 74.20%
Elo Modified Marcus McGhee 1679.89 +193.73 75.31%
Glicko-1 Marcus McGhee 1758.58 +266.34 82.25%
WHR Marcus McGhee 1644.74 +221.00 78.11%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Marcus McGhee 36.1, John Yannis 31.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marcus McGhee 315, John Yannis 49
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#28][#19UFC] Bruno Silva (15-9-2, -133) vs. [#56][#31UFC] Edgar Chairez (13-6-0, +110)

Last 3 Fights: Bruno Silva (1-2-0)
2026-03-14: L vs. [#24FLY] Charles Johnson (19-8-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-10-18: W vs. [#70FLY] Hyun Sung Park (10-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:15 of round 3
2025-06-07: L vs. [#1DD][#3P4P][#1FLY] Joshua Van (17-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:01 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Edgar Chairez (2-1-0)
2026-02-28: W vs. [#66FLY] Felipe Bunes (14-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-03-29: W vs. [#259FLY] C.J. Vergara (12-7-1) via Submission (Face Crank) in 2:30 of round 1
2024-09-14: L vs. [#1DD][#3P4P][#1FLY] Joshua Van (17-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Bruno Silva -133 54.51%
Elo K170 Bruno Silva 1579.03 +5.13 50.74%
Elo Modified Bruno Silva 1638.47 +118.37 66.41%
Glicko-1 Bruno Silva 1700.37 +155.54 71.00%
WHR Bruno Silva 1644.05 +108.41 65.11%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Bruno Silva 36.2, Edgar Chairez 30.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bruno Silva 84, Edgar Chairez 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#44][#23UFC] Chelsea Chandler (6-4-0, -120) vs. [#46][#24UFC] Priscila Cachoeira (13-8-0, -102)

Last 3 Fights: Chelsea Chandler (1-2-0)
2025-04-26: L vs. [#10DD][#3BW] Joselyne Edwards (18-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:31 of round 1
2024-08-10: L vs. [#7BW] Yana Santos (17-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-03-16: W vs. [#57BW] Josiane Nunes (10-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Priscila Cachoeira (1-2-0)
2026-02-07: L vs. [#22BW] Klaudia Sygula (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-08-09: L vs. [#10DD][#3BW] Joselyne Edwards (18-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 1
2025-03-15: W vs. [#57BW] Josiane Nunes (10-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:46 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Chelsea Chandler -120 51.92%
Elo K170 Chelsea Chandler 1292.71 +57.72 58.23%
Elo Modified Chelsea Chandler 1364.98 +63.01 58.97%
Glicko-1 Chelsea Chandler 1306.01 +30.00 54.31%
WHR Chelsea Chandler 1303.55 +19.83 52.85%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Chelsea Chandler 32.3, Priscila Cachoeira 37.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chelsea Chandler 406, Priscila Cachoeira 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#51][#29UFC] Joanderson Brito (18-5-1, -183) vs. [#57][#33UFC] Jordan Leavitt (13-3-0, +149)

Last 3 Fights: Joanderson Brito (1-2-0)
2025-12-13: W vs. [#189FW] Isaac Thomson (9-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-04-05: L vs. [#17FW] Pat Sabatini (22-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2024-09-28: L vs. [#40FW] William Gomis (15-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jordan Leavitt (2-1-0)
2026-02-21: W vs. [#98FW] Yadier Del Valle (10-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-05-31: W vs. [#177LW] Kurt Holobaugh (22-10-0) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:39 of round 1
2023-11-18: L vs. [#102LW] Chase Hooper (16-5-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:58 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joanderson Brito -183 61.68%
Elo K170 Joanderson Brito 1752.25 +7.32 51.05%
Elo Modified Joanderson Brito 1789.65 +28.81 54.14%
Glicko-1 Joanderson Brito 1852.68 +99.35 63.92%
WHR Joanderson Brito 1734.65 +20.96 53.01%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Joanderson Brito 31.3, Jordan Leavitt 31.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joanderson Brito 175, Jordan Leavitt 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#89] Jeisla Chaves (7-0-0, -405) vs. [#108][#26UFC] Yuneisy Duben (6-1-0, +305)

Last 3 Fights: Jeisla Chaves (3-0-0)
2025-09-23: W vs. [#92FLY] Sofia Montenegro (6-2-0) via SD ()
2025-04-06: W vs. [NA] Rebeca Maria Sousa (1-3-0) via TKO (Elbow) in 4:31 of round 3
2024-07-06: W vs. [*] Marcela Silva (2-4-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Yuneisy Duben (2-1-0)
2025-03-15: L vs. [#30FLY] Carli Judice (6-2-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:40 of round 1
2024-09-03: W vs. [#42FLY] Shannon Clark (7-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:13 of round 1
2024-04-18: W vs. [NA] Ingrid Garcia (0-1-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 3:58 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jeisla Chaves -405 76.46%
Elo K170 Jeisla Chaves 1341.05 +104.84 64.65%
Elo Modified Jeisla Chaves 1326.77 +8.99 51.29%
Glicko-1 Jeisla Chaves 1298.44 +8.62 51.24%
WHR Yuneisy Duben 1316.18 +37.29 55.35%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jeisla Chaves 29.3, Yuneisy Duben 29.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jeisla Chaves 256, Yuneisy Duben 448
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#20][#19UFC] Ketlen Souza (16-6-0, -269) vs. [#90][#43UFC] Ariane Carnelossi (15-4-0, +214)

Last 3 Fights: Ketlen Souza (1-2-0)
2026-02-07: W vs. [#35SW] Bruna Brasil (11-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-08-02: L vs. [#15SW] Piera Rodriguez (12-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-02-15: L vs. [#13SW] Angela Hill (19-16-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Ariane Carnelossi (1-2-0)
2025-11-01: L vs. [#21SW] Talita Alencar (8-1-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:36 of round 3
2024-05-18: W vs. [#15SW] Piera Rodriguez (12-2-0) via Disqualification (Headbutts) in 3:16 of round 2
2022-05-07: L vs. [#11SW] Lupita Godinez (14-6-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ketlen Souza -269 69.59%
Elo K170 Ketlen Souza 1501.13 +107.60 65.01%
Elo Modified Ketlen Souza 1607.49 +266.71 82.28%
Glicko-1 Ketlen Souza 1612.22 +288.34 84.02%
WHR Ketlen Souza 1527.70 +276.30 83.07%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Ketlen Souza 31.8, Ariane Carnelossi 33.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ketlen Souza 119, Ariane Carnelossi 217
Previous Match-up Record: Ariane Carnelossi leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ariane Carnelossi leads 2-1
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Belal Muhammad
Highest Stored DD Rating: Belal Muhammad
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Good [***]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2026-5-31

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