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Fight Matrix
Writer's Game PR, LLC - Public Relations Agency
Writer's Game PR, LLC - Public Relations Agency

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer (03-28-2026)

Posted on March 23, 2026 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#5][#5UFC] Israel Adesanya (24-5-0, -133) vs. [#19][#16UFC] Joe Pyfer (15-3-0, +108)
Israel Adesanya is the All-Time #2 ranked Middleweight and #15 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Israel Adesanya (0-3-0)
2025-02-01: L vs. [#3MW] Nassourdine Imavov (17-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:30 of round 2
2024-08-17: L vs. [#9DD][#9P4P][#2MW] Dricus Du Plessis (23-3-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:38 of round 4
2023-09-09: L vs. [#4MW] Sean Strickland (30-7-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Joe Pyfer (3-0-0)
2025-10-04: W vs. [#33MW] Abusupiyan Magomedov (28-7-1) via Submission (Face Crank) in 1:46 of round 2
2025-06-07: W vs. [#21MW] Kelvin Gastelum (20-10-0) via UD (29-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#43MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (18-11-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:25 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Israel Adesanya -133 54.27%
Elo K170 Israel Adesanya 2002.08 +46.55 56.66%
Elo Modified Israel Adesanya 1983.42 +13.55 51.95%
Glicko-1 Joe Pyfer 2053.57 +36.79 55.28%
WHR Israel Adesanya 1923.19 +22.17 53.19%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Israel Adesanya 36.7, Joe Pyfer 29.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Israel Adesanya 420, Joe Pyfer 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#5][#5UFC] Alexa Grasso (16-5-1, +114) vs. [#7][#7UFC] Maycee Barber (15-2-0, -156)
Alexa Grasso is the All-Time #20 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexa Grasso (0-2-1)
2025-05-10: L vs. [#7P4P][#9DD][#3FLY] Natalia Silva (20-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-09-14: L vs. [#1P4P][#2DD][#1FLY] Valentina Shevchenko (26-4-1) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-09-16: D vs. [#1P4P][#2DD][#1FLY] Valentina Shevchenko (26-4-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Maycee Barber (3-0-0)
2025-12-06: W vs. [#13FLY] Karine Silva (19-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-03-09: W vs. [*] Katlyn Cerminara (18-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-06-24: W vs. [#18SW] Amanda Ribas (12-7-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:42 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Maycee Barber -156 56.59%
Elo K170 Maycee Barber 1882.70 +157.07 71.18%
Elo Modified Maycee Barber 1836.92 +126.69 67.46%
Glicko-1 Maycee Barber 1833.34 +99.61 63.96%
WHR Maycee Barber 1733.45 +16.17 52.33%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Alexa Grasso 32.6, Maycee Barber 27.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexa Grasso 322, Maycee Barber 112
Previous Match-up Record: Alexa Grasso leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#67][#42UFC] Yousri Belgaroui (9-3-0, +110) vs. [#77][#47UFC] Mansur Abdul-Malik (10-0-0, -156)

Last 3 Fights: Yousri Belgaroui (3-0-0)
2025-10-18: W vs. [#79MW] Azamat Bekoev (20-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 3
2024-09-10: W vs. [#482MW] Taiga Iwasaki (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:34 of round 3
2024-02-18: W vs. [#143LHW] Ahmed Sami (12-5-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Mansur Abdul-Malik (3-0-0)
2025-12-06: W vs. [#483MW] Antonio Trocoli (13-7-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:09 of round 1
2025-06-14: W vs. [#142MW] Cody Brundage (11-10-0) via TUD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#235MW] Nick Klein (6-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:24 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mansur Abdul-Malik -156 56.13%
Elo K170 Mansur Abdul-Malik 1650.12 +23.13 53.32%
Elo Modified Mansur Abdul-Malik 1686.63 +35.04 55.02%
Glicko-1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 1718.78 +22.77 53.27%
WHR Yousri Belgaroui 1630.92 +33.55 54.81%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Yousri Belgaroui 33.8, Mansur Abdul-Malik 28.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yousri Belgaroui 161, Mansur Abdul-Malik 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#59][#31UFC] Julian Erosa (31-12-0, +215) vs. [#84] Lerryan Douglas (13-5-0, -313)

Last 3 Fights: Julian Erosa (2-1-0)
2025-05-17: L vs. [#17FW] Melquizael Costa (26-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-04-12: W vs. [#112FW] Darren Elkins (29-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:15 of round 1
2024-07-13: W vs. [#108FW] Christian Rodriguez (12-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:49 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Lerryan Douglas (3-0-0)
2025-09-09: W vs. [#553FW] Cam Teague (9-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:36 of round 1
2025-01-25: W vs. [#308FW] Elijah Johns (10-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:35 of round 2
2024-08-23: W vs. [#66FW] Javier Reyes (24-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:56 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Lerryan Douglas -313 70.47%
Elo K170 Julian Erosa 1742.07 +67.17 59.55%
Elo Modified Julian Erosa 1736.45 +34.53 54.95%
Glicko-1 Julian Erosa 1760.52 +5.10 50.73%
WHR Julian Erosa 1710.33 +34.08 54.89%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Julian Erosa 36.6, Lerryan Douglas 30.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julian Erosa 315, Lerryan Douglas 200
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#55][#32UFC] Kyle Nelson (17-6-1, +117) vs. [#149][#62UFC] Terrance McKinney (17-8-0, -154)

Last 3 Fights: Kyle Nelson (2-1-0)
2025-10-18: W vs. [#84LW] Matt Frevola (11-6-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2024-09-07: L vs. [#14FW] Steve Garcia (19-5-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:59 of round 1
2024-03-30: W vs. [*] Bill Algeo (18-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:00 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Terrance McKinney (2-1-0)
2025-12-06: L vs. [#37LW] Chris Duncan (15-2-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 2:30 of round 1
2025-06-28: W vs. [#290LW] Viacheslav Borshchev (8-7-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:55 of round 1
2025-02-01: W vs. [#559LW] Damir Hadzovic (14-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Terrance McKinney -154 56.81%
Elo K170 Kyle Nelson 1772.65 +161.45 71.69%
Elo Modified Kyle Nelson 1757.84 +150.33 70.38%
Glicko-1 Kyle Nelson 1781.90 +141.49 69.30%
WHR Kyle Nelson 1712.17 +137.97 68.88%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kyle Nelson 34.9, Terrance McKinney 31.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kyle Nelson 161, Terrance McKinney 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[*] Casey ONeill (10-2-0, -119) vs. [#25][#17UFC] Gabriella Fernandes (11-3-0, -107)

Last 3 Fights: Casey ONeill (1-2-0)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#13BW] Luana Santos (10-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-12-16: L vs. [#32FLY] Ariane Lipski da Silva (17-11-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:18 of round 2
2023-03-18: L vs. [*] Jennifer Maia (23-10-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Gabriella Fernandes (3-0-0)
2025-08-09: W vs. [#64FLY] Julija Stoliarenko (11-9-2) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#15FLY] Cong Wang (9-1-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:49 of round 2
2024-06-15: W vs. [#26FLY] Carli Judice (6-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Casey ONeill -119 51.24%
Elo K170 Casey ONeill 1529.83 +24.91 53.58%
Elo Modified Casey ONeill 1539.09 +3.91 50.56%
Glicko-1 Casey ONeill 1515.63 +24.84 53.57%
WHR Gabriella Fernandes 1492.00 +21.73 53.12%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Casey ONeill 28.4, Gabriella Fernandes 32.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Casey ONeill 588, Gabriella Fernandes 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#71][#39UFC] Chase Hooper (16-4-1, -286) vs. [#205][#71UFC] Lance Gibson Jr. (9-2-0, +201)

Last 3 Fights: Chase Hooper (2-1-0)
2025-08-16: L vs. [#21LW] Alexander Hernandez (18-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:58 of round 1
2025-04-12: W vs. [#81LW] Jim Miller (38-19-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-12-07: W vs. [*] Clay Guida (38-25-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:41 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Lance Gibson Jr. (2-1-0)
2025-12-13: L vs. [#42LW] Bobby Green (34-17-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-11-23: W vs. [NA] R.J. Hoyt (5-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:30 of round 1
2024-05-25: W vs. [#1715LW] Charon Spain (22-53-0) via TKO in 0:51 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Chase Hooper -286 69.04%
Elo K170 Chase Hooper 1713.23 +338.72 87.54%
Elo Modified Chase Hooper 1713.14 +239.10 79.84%
Glicko-1 Chase Hooper 1763.78 +262.52 81.93%
WHR Chase Hooper 1706.15 +154.55 70.88%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Chase Hooper 26.5, Lance Gibson Jr. 31.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chase Hooper 224, Lance Gibson Jr. 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#38][#22UFC] Navajo Stirling (8-0-0, -475) vs. [#72][#31UFC] Bruno Lopes (14-2-0, +312)

Last 3 Fights: Navajo Stirling (3-0-0)
2025-09-27: W vs. [#49LHW] Rodolfo Bellato (13-3-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#66LHW] Ivan Erslan (14-6-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#91LHW] George Tokkos (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Bruno Lopes (2-1-0)
2025-05-31: L vs. [#20LHW] Dustin Jacoby (22-9-1) via KO (Punches) in 1:50 of round 1
2025-01-11: W vs. [#123LHW] Magomed Gadzhiyasulov (9-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-08-13: W vs. [*] Mikheil Sazhiniani (13-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:14 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Navajo Stirling -475 77.29%
Elo K170 Navajo Stirling 1672.40 +80.31 61.36%
Elo Modified Navajo Stirling 1706.27 +92.69 63.03%
Glicko-1 Navajo Stirling 1726.47 +82.06 61.60%
WHR Navajo Stirling 1627.02 +43.01 56.16%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Navajo Stirling 28.4, Bruno Lopes 32.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Navajo Stirling 182, Bruno Lopes 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#17][#16UFC] Alexia Thainara (13-1-0, -559) vs. [#32][#25UFC] Bruna Brasil (11-6-1, +337)

Last 3 Fights: Alexia Thainara (3-0-0)
2025-09-27: W vs. [#36SW] Konklak Suphisara (10-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-03-22: W vs. [*] Molly McCann (14-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:32 of round 1
2024-09-24: W vs. [#77SW] Rose Conceicao (8-3-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Bruna Brasil (1-2-0)
2026-02-07: L vs. [#19SW] Ketlen Souza (16-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-08-22: W vs. [#49SW] Ming Shi (17-6-0) via UD ()
2025-02-08: L vs. [#15FLY] Cong Wang (9-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexia Thainara -559 78.75%
Elo K170 Alexia Thainara 1648.61 +273.26 82.82%
Elo Modified Alexia Thainara 1637.33 +201.38 76.12%
Glicko-1 Alexia Thainara 1667.66 +254.67 81.25%
WHR Alexia Thainara 1593.25 +179.24 73.72%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Alexia Thainara 28.3, Bruna Brasil 32.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexia Thainara 182, Bruna Brasil 49
Previous Match-up Record: Bruna Brasil leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alexia Thainara leads 2-1
.

Lightweight (155)
[#26][#18UFC] Ignacio Bahamondes (18-6-0, -293) vs. [#82][#45UFC] Tofiq Musayev (22-6-0, +228)

Last 3 Fights: Ignacio Bahamondes (2-1-0)
2025-06-21: L vs. [#15LW] Rafael Fiziev (13-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-03-08: W vs. [#27LW] Jalin Turner (15-9-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:29 of round 1
2024-09-14: W vs. [#19LW] Manuel Torres (17-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:02 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tofiq Musayev (2-1-0)
2025-06-21: L vs. [#24WW] Myktybek Orolbai (16-2-2) via Submission (Kimura) in 4:35 of round 1
2023-11-04: W vs. [#77FW] Koji Takeda (19-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:03 of round 3
2023-07-30: W vs. [*] Akira Okada (19-11-4) via KO (Punches) in 1:11 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ignacio Bahamondes -293 70.97%
Elo K170 Ignacio Bahamondes 1806.80 +2.80 50.40%
Elo Modified Ignacio Bahamondes 1821.42 +14.80 52.13%
Glicko-1 Ignacio Bahamondes 1893.50 +30.59 54.39%
WHR Ignacio Bahamondes 1814.05 +70.64 60.03%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Ignacio Bahamondes 28.6, Tofiq Musayev 36.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ignacio Bahamondes 280, Tofiq Musayev 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#38][#28UFC] Ricky Simon (23-7-0, -168) vs. [*] Adrian Yanez (17-6-0, +136)

Last 3 Fights: Ricky Simon (2-1-0)
2025-11-08: L vs. [#25BW] Raoni Barcelos (21-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-06-14: W vs. [#173BW] Cameron Smotherman (12-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#100BW] Javid Basharat (15-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:58 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Adrian Yanez (1-2-0)
2024-12-14: L vs. [#29BW] Daniel Marcos (18-1-0) via SD (30-27, 29-28, 28-29)
2024-05-18: W vs. [#707BW] Vinicius Salvador (14-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:47 of round 1
2023-10-14: L vs. [*] Jonathan Martinez (19-6-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 2:26 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ricky Simon -168 59.67%
Elo K170 Ricky Simon 1724.62 +79.97 61.31%
Elo Modified Ricky Simon 1713.77 +53.44 57.63%
Glicko-1 Ricky Simon 1771.13 +49.11 57.02%
WHR Ricky Simon 1712.03 +118.59 66.43%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Ricky Simon 33.5, Adrian Yanez 32.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ricky Simon 140, Adrian Yanez 469
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#19][#13UFC] Marcin Tybura (27-10-0, -103) vs. [#40] Tyrell Fortune (17-3-0, -120)

Last 3 Fights: Marcin Tybura (2-1-0)
2025-09-06: L vs. [#18HW+] Ante Delija (26-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:03 of round 1
2025-03-22: W vs. [#49HW+] Mick Parkin (10-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-11-16: W vs. [#62HW+] Jhonata Diniz (9-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Tyrell Fortune (3-0-0)
2025-09-20: W vs. [#231HW+] Demoreo Dennis (9-7-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 3:56 of round 3
2025-08-16: W vs. [#363HW+] Tony Lopez (65-35-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:27 of round 1
2025-05-10: W vs. [#206HW+] Myron Dennis (21-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:29 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tyrell Fortune -120 51.80%
Elo K170 Marcin Tybura 1783.96 +74.54 60.57%
Elo Modified Marcin Tybura 1811.74 +67.57 59.60%
Glicko-1 Marcin Tybura 1830.48 +29.98 54.30%
WHR Marcin Tybura 1690.87 +2.27 50.33%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Marcin Tybura 40.4, Tyrell Fortune 35.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marcin Tybura 203, Tyrell Fortune 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Israel Adesanya
Highest Stored DD Rating: Israel Adesanya
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2026-3-22

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