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Fight Matrix
Predict UFC & MMA Fights on WahooPredict!
Predict UFC & MMA Fights on WahooPredict!

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira (02-07-2026)

Posted on February 2, 2026 by Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#6][#6UFC] Mario Bautista (16-3-0, -206) vs. [#17][#16UFC] Vinicius Oliveira (24-3-0, +164)

Last 3 Fights: Mario Bautista (2-1-0)
2025-10-25: L vs. [#4BW] Umar Nurmagomedov (20-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#14BW] Patrick Mix (19-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2024-10-05: W vs. [*] Jose Aldo (32-10-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Vinicius Oliveira (3-0-0)
2025-07-19: W vs. [#24BW] Kyler Phillips (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-02-01: W vs. [#40BW] Said Nurmagomedov (18-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#39BW] Ricky Simon (23-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mario Bautista -206 63.99%
Elo K170 Mario Bautista 2061.44 +81.52 61.52%
Elo Modified Mario Bautista 2010.55 +32.43 54.65%
Glicko-1 Mario Bautista 2046.24 +20.44 52.94%
WHR Mario Bautista 1894.27 +15.45 52.22%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Mario Bautista 32.6, Vinicius Oliveira 30.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mario Bautista 105, Vinicius Oliveira 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#4][#4UFC] Kyoji Horiguchi (35-5-0, -351) vs. [*] Amir Albazi (17-2-0, +265)
Kyoji Horiguchi is the All-Time #18 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Amir Albazi is the All-Time #44 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kyoji Horiguchi (3-0-0)
2025-11-22: W vs. [#14FLY] Tagir Ulanbekov (18-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:18 of round 3
2024-12-31: W vs. [#112FLY] Nkazimulo Zulu (16-8-1) via UD ()
2024-06-09: W vs. [#11BW] Sergio Pettis (25-7-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Amir Albazi (2-1-0)
2024-11-02: L vs. [#5FLY] Brandon Moreno (23-9-2) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-06-03: W vs. [#8FLY] Kai Kara-France (25-12-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#133FLY] Alessandro Costa (14-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:13 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kyoji Horiguchi -351 73.96%
Elo K170 Kyoji Horiguchi 2131.83 +322.80 86.51%
Elo Modified Kyoji Horiguchi 2091.75 +319.43 86.28%
Glicko-1 Kyoji Horiguchi 2153.80 +327.02 86.79%
WHR Kyoji Horiguchi 2063.39 +361.86 88.92%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kyoji Horiguchi 35.3, Amir Albazi 32.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kyoji Horiguchi 77, Amir Albazi 462
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#6][#5UFC] Jailton Almeida (22-4-0, -149) vs. [#23][#15UFC] Rizvan Kuniev (12-3-1, +122)
Jailton Almeida is the All-Time #48 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jailton Almeida (2-1-0)
2025-10-25: L vs. [#3HW+] Alexander Volkov (39-11-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-01-18: W vs. [#9HW+] Serghei Spivac (17-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:53 of round 1
2024-06-01: W vs. [#18HW+] Alexander Romanov (20-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:27 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Rizvan Kuniev (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2025-06-21: L vs. [#7HW+] Curtis Blaydes (19-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-08-20: W vs. [#195HW+] Hugo Cunha (8-3-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
2023-04-07: NC vs. [#12HW+] Renan Ferreira (13-5-0)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jailton Almeida -149 57.05%
Elo K170 Jailton Almeida 1950.94 +324.74 86.64%
Elo Modified Jailton Almeida 2021.91 +316.10 86.05%
Glicko-1 Jailton Almeida 2131.64 +331.45 87.08%
WHR Jailton Almeida 1989.07 +170.11 72.70%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jailton Almeida 34.6, Rizvan Kuniev 33.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jailton Almeida 105, Rizvan Kuniev 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#36][#26UFC] Michal Oleksiejczuk (22-9-0, -294) vs. [#43][#30UFC] Marc-Andre Barriault (18-10-0, +227)

Last 3 Fights: Michal Oleksiejczuk (2-1-0)
2025-08-16: W vs. [#60MW] Gerald Meerschaert (37-21-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:03 of round 1
2025-04-12: W vs. [#152MW] Sedriques Dumas (11-4-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 2:49 of round 1
2024-08-03: L vs. [#26MW] Sharabutdin Magomedov (16-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Marc-Andre Barriault (1-2-0)
2025-07-26: L vs. [#26MW] Sharabutdin Magomedov (16-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#67MW] Bruno Silva (23-13-0) via KO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:27 of round 1
2024-11-02: L vs. [#59MW] Dustin Stoltzfus (16-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:28 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Michal Oleksiejczuk -294 70.93%
Elo K170 Michal Oleksiejczuk 1742.68 +207.51 76.75%
Elo Modified Michal Oleksiejczuk 1767.55 +160.31 71.56%
Glicko-1 Michal Oleksiejczuk 1817.16 +162.35 71.80%
WHR Michal Oleksiejczuk 1692.04 +125.57 67.32%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Michal Oleksiejczuk 30.9, Marc-Andre Barriault 35.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michal Oleksiejczuk 175, Marc-Andre Barriault 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Michal Oleksiejczuk leads 1-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#22][#20UFC] Farid Basharat (14-0-0, -262) vs. [#33][#26UFC] Jean Matsumoto (17-1-0, +205)

Last 3 Fights: Farid Basharat (3-0-0)
2025-10-04: W vs. [#36BW] Chris Gutierrez (22-7-2) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#267LW] Victor Hugo (25-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-01-13: W vs. [#28BW] Taylor Lapilus (23-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jean Matsumoto (2-1-0)
2025-08-09: W vs. [#49BW] Miles Johns (16-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-02-22: L vs. [#16BW] Rob Font (22-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#90BW] Brad Katona (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Farid Basharat -262 68.82%
Elo K170 Farid Basharat 1948.57 +78.86 61.16%
Elo Modified Farid Basharat 1925.76 +69.91 59.93%
Glicko-1 Farid Basharat 1954.72 +80.38 61.36%
WHR Farid Basharat 1833.26 +111.91 65.57%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Farid Basharat 28.5, Jean Matsumoto 26.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Farid Basharat 126, Jean Matsumoto 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#20][#14UFC] Dustin Jacoby (21-9-1, -147) vs. [#70][#31UFC] Julius Walker (7-1-0, +121)

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Jacoby (2-1-0)
2025-05-31: W vs. [#63LHW] Bruno Lopes (14-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:50 of round 1
2024-12-14: W vs. [#34HW+] Vitor Petrino (13-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:44 of round 3
2024-06-08: L vs. [#10LHW] Dominick Reyes (15-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:00 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Julius Walker (2-1-0)
2025-08-09: W vs. [#171LHW] Raffael Cerqueira (11-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-02-22: L vs. [#25LHW] Alonzo Menifield (17-6-1) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-12-07: W vs. [#238HW+] Myron Dennis (20-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:58 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dustin Jacoby -147 56.80%
Elo K170 Dustin Jacoby 1786.35 +324.43 86.62%
Elo Modified Dustin Jacoby 1794.30 +265.57 82.18%
Glicko-1 Dustin Jacoby 1872.06 +309.87 85.62%
WHR Dustin Jacoby 1817.49 +313.85 85.90%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Dustin Jacoby 37.8, Julius Walker 26.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dustin Jacoby 252, Julius Walker 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#62][#44UFC] Alex Morono (24-12-0, +357) vs. [#85][#54UFC] Daniil Donchenko (12-2-0, -484)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Morono (0-3-0)
2025-03-08: L vs. [#39WW] Carlos Leal (22-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:16 of round 1
2024-10-12: L vs. [#16WW] Daniel Rodriguez (20-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2024-06-01: L vs. [#83WW] Niko Price (16-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Daniil Donchenko (3-0-0)
2025-09-13: W vs. [#179WW] Rodrigo Sezinando (9-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:27 of round 1
2024-11-23: W vs. [#590LW] Rustem Kudaibergenov (9-7-0) via UD ()
2024-07-06: W vs. [#428LW] Kanybek Janybekov Uulu (15-13-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:31 of round 4

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Daniil Donchenko -484 79.11%
Elo K170 Daniil Donchenko 1781.59 +254.87 81.26%
Elo Modified Daniil Donchenko 1786.60 +169.70 72.65%
Glicko-1 Daniil Donchenko 1833.97 +184.65 74.33%
WHR Daniil Donchenko 1701.75 +145.46 69.79%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Alex Morono 35.5, Daniil Donchenko 24.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Morono 336, Daniil Donchenko 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#27][#21UFC] Bruna Brasil (11-5-1, +103) vs. [#28][#22UFC] Ketlen Souza (15-6-0, -125)

Last 3 Fights: Bruna Brasil (2-1-0)
2025-08-22: W vs. [#49SW] Ming Shi (17-6-0) via UD ()
2025-02-08: L vs. [#18FLY] Cong Wang (8-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-07-27: W vs. [*] Molly McCann (14-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Ketlen Souza (1-2-0)
2025-08-02: L vs. [#18SW] Piera Rodriguez (11-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-02-15: L vs. [#20SW] Angela Hill (18-16-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-09-14: W vs. [*] Yazmin Jauregui (11-2-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:02 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ketlen Souza -125 53.00%
Elo K170 Bruna Brasil 1480.69 +84.96 61.99%
Elo Modified Ketlen Souza 1536.62 +29.44 54.23%
Glicko-1 Ketlen Souza 1551.86 +77.07 60.91%
WHR Ketlen Souza 1488.40 +51.66 57.38%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Bruna Brasil 32.4, Ketlen Souza 31.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bruna Brasil 169, Ketlen Souza 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#40][#30UFC] Said Nurmagomedov (18-5-0, +122) vs. [#207][#61UFC] Javid Basharat (14-2-0, -151)

Last 3 Fights: Said Nurmagomedov (1-2-0)
2025-07-26: L vs. [#18BW] Bryce Mitchell (18-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-02-01: L vs. [#17BW] Vinicius Oliveira (24-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-10-21: W vs. [#46BW] Muin Gafurov (21-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:13 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Javid Basharat (0-2-0, 1 NC)
2025-02-22: L vs. [#39BW] Ricky Simon (23-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:58 of round 1
2024-03-02: L vs. [#8BW] Aiemann Zahabi (14-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-10-21: NC vs. [#50BW] Victor Henry (25-7-0)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Javid Basharat -151 57.18%
Elo K170 Said Nurmagomedov 1688.00 +96.48 63.54%
Elo Modified Said Nurmagomedov 1707.13 +94.99 63.34%
Glicko-1 Said Nurmagomedov 1762.32 +138.43 68.93%
WHR Said Nurmagomedov 1744.91 +148.95 70.21%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Said Nurmagomedov 33.8, Javid Basharat 30.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Said Nurmagomedov 196, Javid Basharat 350
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#17][#13UFC] Eduarda Moura (12-1-0, +236) vs. [#18][#14UFC] Cong Wang (8-1-0, -301)

Last 3 Fights: Eduarda Moura (2-1-0)
2025-07-12: W vs. [*] Lauren Murphy (16-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-11-16: W vs. [#26FLY] Veronica Hardy (10-5-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-08: L vs. [#8SW] Denise Gomes (12-3-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)

Last 3 Fights: Cong Wang (2-1-0)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#36BW] Ariane Lipski da Silva (17-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-02-08: W vs. [#27SW] Bruna Brasil (11-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-11-23: L vs. [#25FLY] Gabriella Fernandes (11-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:49 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Cong Wang -301 71.60%
Elo K170 Eduarda Moura 1639.55 +113.77 65.81%
Elo Modified Eduarda Moura 1657.31 +99.54 63.95%
Glicko-1 Eduarda Moura 1663.60 +157.13 71.19%
WHR Eduarda Moura 1496.76 +20.70 52.98%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Eduarda Moura 31.9, Cong Wang 33.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Eduarda Moura 210, Cong Wang 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#13][#12UFC] Jakub Wiklacz (17-3-2, -115) vs. [#46][#33UFC] Muin Gafurov (21-6-0, -108)

Last 3 Fights: Jakub Wiklacz (3-0-0)
2025-10-04: W vs. [#14BW] Patrick Mix (19-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-06-07: W vs. [#93BW] Sebastian Przybysz (14-4-1) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:15 of round 2
2024-03-16: W vs. [#193BW] Zuriko Jojua (11-2-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Muin Gafurov (2-1-0)
2025-01-18: W vs. [#68BW] Rinya Nakamura (10-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-06-22: W vs. [*] Kyung Ho Kang (19-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-10-21: L vs. [#40BW] Said Nurmagomedov (18-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:13 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jakub Wiklacz -115 50.74%
Elo K170 Jakub Wiklacz 1960.97 +219.44 77.95%
Elo Modified Jakub Wiklacz 1865.33 +106.74 64.89%
Glicko-1 Jakub Wiklacz 1901.32 +100.65 64.09%
WHR Jakub Wiklacz 1829.64 +108.06 65.07%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jakub Wiklacz 29.4, Muin Gafurov 29.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jakub Wiklacz 126, Muin Gafurov 385
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#41][#22UFC] Priscila Cachoeira (13-7-0, -102) vs. [#45][#24UFC] Klaudia Sygula (7-2-0, -122)

Last 3 Fights: Priscila Cachoeira (1-2-0)
2025-08-09: L vs. [#12BW] Joselyne Edwards (16-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 1
2025-03-15: W vs. [#55BW] Josiane Nunes (10-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:46 of round 1
2024-01-20: L vs. [#10FLY] Jasmine Jasudavicius (14-4-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 4:21 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Klaudia Sygula (2-1-0)
2025-06-21: W vs. [#75BW] Irina Alekseeva (5-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-11-09: L vs. [#26BW] Melissa Mullins (7-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:20 of round 2
2023-09-16: W vs. [*] Yulia Kutsenko (6-10-0) via TKO in 0:00 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Klaudia Sygula -122 52.11%
Elo K170 Klaudia Sygula 1338.38 +24.33 53.50%
Elo Modified Klaudia Sygula 1419.28 +51.14 57.31%
Glicko-1 Klaudia Sygula 1368.84 +18.36 52.64%
WHR Priscila Cachoeira 1334.53 +47.78 56.83%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Priscila Cachoeira 37.5, Klaudia Sygula 27.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Priscila Cachoeira 182, Klaudia Sygula 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Jailton Almeida
Highest Stored DD Rating: Kyoji Horiguchi
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Jailton Almeida vs. Rizvan Kuniev
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Amir Albazi
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Moderate [***]
Run Date: 2026-2-1

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Current MMA Rankings

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