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Fight Matrix
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen (10-18-2025)

Posted on October 13, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#8][#7UFC] Reinier de Ridder (21-2-0, -196) vs. [#14][#12UFC] Brendan Allen (25-7-0, +162)

Last 3 Fights: Reinier de Ridder (3-0-0)
2025-07-26: W vs. [#9MW] Robert Whittaker (26-9-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#33MW] Bo Nickal (7-1-0) via TKO (Knees) in 1:53 of round 2
2025-01-18: W vs. [#23WW] Kevin Holland (28-14-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:31 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (1-2-0)
2025-07-19: W vs. [#19MW] Marvin Vettori (19-9-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-02-22: L vs. [#6MW] Anthony Hernandez (15-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-28: L vs. [#9P4P][#3MW] Nassourdine Imavov (17-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Reinier de Ridder -196 63.43%
Elo K170 Reinier de Ridder 2095.33 +86.75 62.23%
Elo Modified Reinier de Ridder 2051.28 +65.22 59.28%
Glicko-1 Reinier de Ridder 2107.48 +66.11 59.40%
WHR Reinier de Ridder 1974.39 +54.36 57.76%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Reinier de Ridder 35.1, Brendan Allen 29.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Reinier de Ridder 84, Brendan Allen 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#23][#20UFC] Kevin Holland (28-14-0, +110) vs. [#60][#41UFC] Mike Malott (12-2-1, -132)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (2-1-0)
2025-07-19: L vs. [#16WW] Daniel Rodriguez (20-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#34WW] Vicente Luque (23-12-1) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:03 of round 2
2025-03-22: W vs. [#48WW] Gunnar Nelson (19-6-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Mike Malott (2-1-0)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#118WW] Charlie Radtke (10-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 2
2024-11-02: W vs. [#168WW] Trevin Giles (16-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-01-20: L vs. [#20WW] Neil Magny (31-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mike Malott -132 54.43%
Elo K170 Kevin Holland 1859.21 +96.31 63.52%
Elo Modified Kevin Holland 1855.48 +96.96 63.60%
Glicko-1 Kevin Holland 1948.80 +158.52 71.35%
WHR Kevin Holland 1815.83 +55.68 57.94%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kevin Holland 32.9, Mike Malott 33.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Holland 91, Mike Malott 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#7P4P][#8DD][#2][#2UFC] Manon Fiorot (12-2-0, -237) vs. [#14P4P][#9][#7UFC] Jasmine Jasudavicius (14-3-0, +192)
Manon Fiorot is the All-Time #23 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Manon Fiorot (2-1-0)
2025-05-10: L vs. [#2P4P][#4DD][#1FLY] Valentina Shevchenko (25-4-1) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-03-30: W vs. [#10P4P][#4FLY] Erin Blanchfield (13-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#9P4P][#5FLY] Rose Namajunas (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jasmine Jasudavicius (3-0-0)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#13SW] Jessica Andrade (26-15-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:40 of round 1
2025-02-01: W vs. [#20BW] Mayra Bueno Silva (10-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#32BW] Ariane Lipski da Silva (17-11-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:28 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Manon Fiorot -237 67.24%
Elo K170 Manon Fiorot 1894.95 +109.13 65.21%
Elo Modified Manon Fiorot 1876.91 +80.52 61.38%
Glicko-1 Manon Fiorot 1880.81 +81.29 61.49%
WHR Manon Fiorot 1833.98 +106.55 64.87%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Manon Fiorot 35.6, Jasmine Jasudavicius 36.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manon Fiorot 161, Jasmine Jasudavicius 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#11][#10UFC] Marlon Vera (24-10-1, +114) vs. [#12][#11UFC] Aiemann Zahabi (13-2-0, -138)
Marlon Vera is the All-Time #33 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Marlon Vera (1-2-0)
2024-08-03: L vs. [#9BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (25-5-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#2BW] Sean OMalley (18-3-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-44)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#23BW] Pedro Munhoz (20-10-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Aiemann Zahabi (3-0-0)
2025-05-10: W vs. [*] Jose Aldo (32-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#23BW] Pedro Munhoz (20-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-03-02: W vs. [#106BW] Javid Basharat (14-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Aiemann Zahabi -138 55.37%
Elo K170 Aiemann Zahabi 1942.77 +5.89 50.85%
Elo Modified Aiemann Zahabi 1936.61 +0.50 50.07%
Glicko-1 Marlon Vera 2009.60 +23.87 53.43%
WHR Aiemann Zahabi 1846.20 +36.01 55.16%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Marlon Vera 32.9, Aiemann Zahabi 37.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marlon Vera 441, Aiemann Zahabi 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Aiemann Zahabi leads 2-1
.

Lightweight (155)
[#72][#37UFC] Matt Frevola (11-5-1, -131) vs. [#51FW][#30FWUFC] Kyle Nelson (16-6-1, +109)

Last 3 Fights: Matt Frevola (1-2-0)
2024-09-28: L vs. [#35LW] Fares Ziam (17-4-0) via KO (Knee) in 2:59 of round 3
2023-11-11: L vs. [#18LW] Benoit St. Denis (15-3-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:31 of round 1
2023-05-06: W vs. [#76LW] Drew Dober (27-15-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:08 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Kyle Nelson (2-1-0)
2024-09-07: L vs. [#16FW] Steve Garcia (18-5-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:59 of round 1
2024-03-30: W vs. [*] Bill Algeo (18-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:00 of round 1
2023-09-16: W vs. [#103FW] Fernando Padilla (16-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Matt Frevola -131 54.23%
Elo K170 Matt Frevola 1687.86 +0.28 50.04%
Elo Modified Kyle Nelson 1684.08 +16.11 52.32%
Glicko-1 Kyle Nelson 1706.68 +14.18 52.04%
WHR Kyle Nelson 1657.76 +75.30 60.67%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Matt Frevola 35.3, Kyle Nelson 34.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Matt Frevola 385, Kyle Nelson 406
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Kyle Nelson leads 1-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#77][#45UFC] Cody Gibson (21-11-0, -122) vs. [#274][#70UFC] Qileng Aori (27-12-0, -101)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Gibson (2-1-0)
2025-03-15: L vs. [#45BW] DaMon Blackshear (17-8-1) via Submission (Kimura) in 4:09 of round 2
2024-11-02: W vs. [#192BW] Chad Anheliger (13-8-0) via UD ()
2024-07-20: W vs. [#437BW] Brian Kelleher (24-16-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:58 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Qileng Aori (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2024-09-14: L vs. [#85BW] Raul Rosas Jr. (11-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-02-10: NC vs. [#44BW] Daniel Marcos (17-1-0)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#307FW] Johnny Munoz Jr. (14-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Cody Gibson -122 52.23%
Elo K170 Cody Gibson 1611.60 +178.53 73.65%
Elo Modified Cody Gibson 1629.54 +176.67 73.44%
Glicko-1 Cody Gibson 1655.55 +198.99 75.87%
WHR Cody Gibson 1577.17 +135.74 68.60%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Cody Gibson 38.1, Qileng Aori 32.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cody Gibson 217, Qileng Aori 399
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#44][#28UFC] Stephanie Luciano (6-2-1, -339) vs. [*] Ravena Oliveira (7-2-1, +265)

Last 3 Fights: Stephanie Luciano (1-1-1)
2025-03-15: L vs. [#20SW] Sam Hughes (11-6-0) via SD (29-28, 29-27, 28-29)
2024-08-10: W vs. [#39SW] Talita Alencar (6-1-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-09-19: D vs. [#39SW] Talita Alencar (6-1-1) via Draw (Unanimous) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Ravena Oliveira (2-1-0)
2023-10-14: L vs. [#80BW] Tainara Lisboa (7-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-08-12: W vs. [NA] Simone da Silva (8-8-0) via TKO (Punch) in 4:16 of round 3
2023-07-15: W vs. [NA] Sara Raquel Braga de Andr (0-4-0) via TKO (Punch) in 0:27 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Stephanie Luciano -339 73.80%
Elo K170 Stephanie Luciano 1336.00 +119.45 66.54%
Elo Modified Stephanie Luciano 1408.50 +180.74 73.89%
Glicko-1 Stephanie Luciano 1371.58 +86.14 62.15%
WHR Stephanie Luciano 1316.95 +60.73 58.65%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Stephanie Luciano 25.8, Ravena Oliveira 28.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Stephanie Luciano 217, Ravena Oliveira 735
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#204WW][#73WWUFC] Danny Barlow (9-1-0) vs. [#170][#60UFC] Djorden Santos (10-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Danny Barlow (2-1-0)
2025-03-01: L vs. [#84WW] Sam Patterson (14-2-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:10 of round 1
2024-08-10: W vs. [#205WW] Nikolay Veretennikov (13-7-0) via SD (29-28, 27-30, 29-28)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#501WW] Josh Quinlan (6-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:18 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Djorden Santos (2-1-0)
2025-03-08: L vs. [#106MW] Osman Diaz (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-03: W vs. [#171MW] Will Currie (13-4-0) via UD ()
2022-11-24: W vs. [*] Filipe Moitinho (8-3-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Danny Barlow 1529.79 +127.04 67.51%
Elo Modified Danny Barlow 1522.27 +94.56 63.28%
Glicko-1 Danny Barlow 1501.90 +88.53 62.47%
WHR Djorden Santos 1474.01 +79.34 61.23%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Danny Barlow 30.2, Djorden Santos 28.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Danny Barlow 231, Djorden Santos 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#51][#33UFC] Azamat Bekoev (20-3-0, -275) vs. [#188] Yousri Belgaroui (8-3-0, +217)

Last 3 Fights: Azamat Bekoev (3-0-0)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#123MW] Ryan Loder (7-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:44 of round 1
2025-01-18: W vs. [#121MW] Zachary Reese (9-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:04 of round 1
2024-06-22: W vs. [#161MW] Chauncey Foxworth (21-10-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:32 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Yousri Belgaroui (3-0-0)
2024-09-10: W vs. [#487MW] Taiga Iwasaki (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:34 of round 3
2024-02-18: W vs. [#126LHW] Ahmed Sami (12-4-0) via UD ()
2023-10-29: W vs. [NA] Giorgi Kvelidze (11-8-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 4:59 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Azamat Bekoev -275 69.91%
Elo K170 Azamat Bekoev 1817.37 +339.52 87.60%
Elo Modified Azamat Bekoev 1817.01 +297.05 84.68%
Glicko-1 Azamat Bekoev 1850.26 +312.96 85.84%
WHR Azamat Bekoev 1790.38 +305.69 85.32%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Azamat Bekoev 29.8, Yousri Belgaroui 33.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Azamat Bekoev 168, Yousri Belgaroui 403
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#42][#22UFC] Bruno Silva (14-8-2, +198) vs. [#44][#23UFC] Hyun Sung Park (10-1-0, -246)

Last 3 Fights: Bruno Silva (1-2-0)
2025-06-07: L vs. [#3FLY] Joshua Van (15-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:01 of round 3
2024-12-14: L vs. [#9FLY] Manel Kape (21-7-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:57 of round 3
2024-07-20: W vs. [#61FLY] Cody Durden (17-8-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:58 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Hyun Sung Park (2-1-0)
2025-08-02: L vs. [#7FLY] Tatsuro Taira (17-1-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 1:06 of round 2
2025-05-17: W vs. [#140FLY] Carlos Hernandez (10-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:26 of round 1
2023-12-09: W vs. [*] Shannon Ross (12-9-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 3:59 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Hyun Sung Park -246 67.93%
Elo K170 Hyun Sung Park 1625.84 +48.60 56.95%
Elo Modified Hyun Sung Park 1633.23 +54.11 57.72%
Glicko-1 Hyun Sung Park 1650.51 +37.91 55.44%
WHR Hyun Sung Park 1605.28 +40.24 55.77%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Bruno Silva 35.6, Hyun Sung Park 29.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bruno Silva 133, Hyun Sung Park 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#28] Melissa Croden (6-2-0, +134) vs. [#80][#32UFC] Tainara Lisboa (7-3-0, -169)

Last 3 Fights: Melissa Croden (2-1-0)
2024-10-25: W vs. [#97BW] Ashley Deen (8-7-0) via TKO (Knees and Elbows) in 0:22 of round 2
2023-10-06: W vs. [#90BW] Katharina Lehner (9-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:20 of round 3
2023-04-21: L vs. [#12BW] Jacqueline Cavalcanti (9-1-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Tainara Lisboa (2-1-0)
2025-05-17: L vs. [#22BW] Luana Santos (9-2-0) via Submission (Keylock) in 4:59 of round 2
2023-10-14: W vs. [*] Ravena Oliveira (7-2-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-05-13: W vs. [*] Jessica-Rose Clark (11-9-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:20 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tainara Lisboa -169 59.51%
Elo K170 Melissa Croden 1302.11 +0.97 50.14%
Elo Modified Melissa Croden 1364.88 +38.84 55.57%
Glicko-1 Melissa Croden 1390.34 +67.73 59.63%
WHR Melissa Croden 1407.48 +120.70 66.70%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Melissa Croden 358, Tainara Lisboa 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#76][#39UFC] Drew Dober (27-15-0, -477) vs. [#321][#89UFC] Kyle Prepolec (18-9-0, +352)

Last 3 Fights: Drew Dober (0-3-0)
2025-03-29: L vs. [#61LW] Manuel Torres (16-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:45 of round 1
2024-07-13: L vs. [#19FW] Jean Silva (16-3-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 1:28 of round 3
2024-02-03: L vs. [#13LW] Renato Carneiro (20-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Kyle Prepolec (2-1-0)
2025-05-10: L vs. [#18LW] Benoit St. Denis (15-3-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 2:35 of round 2
2024-06-08: W vs. [#1472LW] Gustavo Wurlitzer (27-31-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:04 of round 1
2023-04-23: W vs. [#2210LW] Josh Henry (12-9-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 2:14 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Drew Dober -477 78.89%
Elo K170 Drew Dober 1576.80 +43.05 56.16%
Elo Modified Drew Dober 1582.79 +57.30 58.17%
Glicko-1 Drew Dober 1616.15 +59.06 58.42%
WHR Drew Dober 1626.50 +104.31 64.57%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Drew Dober 37.0, Kyle Prepolec 36.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Drew Dober 203, Kyle Prepolec 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#31][#27UFC] Charles Jourdain (16-8-1, -143) vs. [#33][#28UFC] Davey Grant (17-7-0, +121)

Last 3 Fights: Charles Jourdain (1-2-0)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#52BW] Victor Henry (25-7-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:43 of round 2
2024-06-29: L vs. [#19FW] Jean Silva (16-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:22 of round 2
2024-01-20: L vs. [#37FW] Sean Woodson (13-2-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Davey Grant (2-1-0)
2025-07-26: W vs. [#45BW] DaMon Blackshear (17-8-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#325FW] Ramon Taveras (10-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-07-22: L vs. [#44BW] Daniel Marcos (17-1-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Charles Jourdain -143 56.53%
Elo K170 Davey Grant 1793.61 +116.63 66.18%
Elo Modified Davey Grant 1822.01 +85.64 62.08%
Glicko-1 Davey Grant 1878.56 +79.28 61.21%
WHR Davey Grant 1794.00 +83.93 61.85%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Charles Jourdain 29.9, Davey Grant 39.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Jourdain 350, Davey Grant 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Reinier de Ridder
Highest Stored DD Rating: Marlon Vera
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Reinier de Ridder vs. Brendan Allen
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Marlon Vera vs. Aiemann Zahabi
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2025-10-12

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