Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1][#8DD][#5P4P][#1UFC] Alex Pereira (12-2-0, -119) vs. [#3][#3UFC] Magomed Ankalaev (20-1-1, -102)
Alex Pereira is the All-Time #14 ranked Light Heavyweight and #49 ranked Absolute fighter.
Magomed Ankalaev is the All-Time #27 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Alex Pereira (3-0-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#8LHW] Khalil Rountree (13-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 4
2024-06-29: W vs. [#2LHW][#10P4P] Jiri Prochazka (31-5-1) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:13 of round 2
2024-04-13: W vs. [#4LHW] Jamahal Hill (13-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:14 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Magomed Ankalaev (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#23LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-01-13: W vs. [#13LHW] Johnny Walker (21-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:42 of round 2
2023-10-21: NC vs. [#13LHW] Johnny Walker (21-9-0)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Alex Pereira | -119 | 51.83% | |
| Elo K170 | Alex Pereira | 2301.88 | +82.59 | 61.67% |
| Elo Modified | Alex Pereira | 2263.89 | +54.04 | 57.71% |
| Glicko-1 | Alex Pereira | 2399.12 | +80.63 | 61.40% |
| WHR | Alex Pereira | 2171.55 | +123.01 | 67.00% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Pereira 154, Magomed Ankalaev 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alex Pereira leads 1-0
.
Lightweight (155)
[#5][#5UFC] Justin Gaethje (25-5-0, +108) vs. [*] Rafael Fiziev (12-3-0, -128)
Justin Gaethje is the All-Time #13 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Rafael Fiziev is the All-Time #50 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Justin Gaethje (2-1-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#4LW] Max Holloway (26-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:59 of round 5
2023-07-29: W vs. [#6LW] Dustin Poirier (30-9-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:00 of round 2
2023-03-18: W vs. [*] Rafael Fiziev (12-3-0) via MD (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Rafael Fiziev (1-2-0)
2023-09-23: L vs. [#8LW] Mateusz Gamrot (24-3-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 2:03 of round 2
2023-03-18: L vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (25-5-0) via MD (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)
2022-07-09: W vs. [#21WW] Rafael dos Anjos (32-17-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:18 of round 5
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Rafael Fiziev | -128 | 53.86% | |
| Elo K170 | Justin Gaethje | 2266.79 | +349.47 | 88.20% |
| Elo Modified | Justin Gaethje | 2211.91 | +306.89 | 85.40% |
| Glicko-1 | Justin Gaethje | 2261.68 | +296.39 | 84.63% |
| WHR | Justin Gaethje | 1976.06 | +103.38 | 64.45% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Justin Gaethje 329, Rafael Fiziev 532
Previous Match-up Record: Justin Gaethje leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Women Strawweight (115)
[#5][#5UFC] Amanda Lemos (14-4-1, +106) vs. [#10][#10UFC] Iasmin Lucindo (17-5-0, -128)
Last 3 Fights: Amanda Lemos (1-2-0)
2024-07-20: L vs. [#2SW][#4DD][#5P4P] Virna Jandiroba (21-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:48 of round 2
2024-02-17: W vs. [#6SW] Mackenzie Dern (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-08-19: L vs. [#1SW][#1DD][#1P4P] Weili Zhang (26-3-0) via UD (50-43, 50-44, 49-45)
Last 3 Fights: Iasmin Lucindo (3-0-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#11SW] Marina Rodriguez (17-5-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#44SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (16-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-08-12: W vs. [#79SW] Polyana Viana (13-7-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:42 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Iasmin Lucindo | -128 | 53.63% | |
| Elo K170 | Amanda Lemos | 1706.38 | +34.71 | 54.98% |
| Elo Modified | Amanda Lemos | 1696.13 | +75.21 | 60.66% |
| Glicko-1 | Amanda Lemos | 1693.03 | +90.69 | 62.76% |
| WHR | Amanda Lemos | 1605.17 | +90.53 | 62.74% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Amanda Lemos 231, Iasmin Lucindo 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.
Lightweight (155)
[#28][#17UFC] Bobby Green (32-16-1, +383) vs. [#79][#38UFC] Mauricio Ruffy (11-1-0, -532)
Last 3 Fights: Bobby Green (1-2-0)
2024-07-27: L vs. [#16LW] Paddy Pimblett (22-3-0) via Technical Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:22 of round 1
2024-04-13: W vs. [#50LW] Jim Miller (38-18-0) via UD (29-27, 30-25, 29-26)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#17LW] Jalin Turner (14-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:49 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Mauricio Ruffy (3-0-0)
2024-11-16: W vs. [#285WW] James Llontop (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#159LW] Jamie Mullarkey (17-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:42 of round 1
2023-10-03: W vs. [*] Raimond Magomedaliev (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 3
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Mauricio Ruffy | -532 | 80.26% | |
| Elo K170 | Bobby Green | 1828.77 | +126.85 | 67.49% |
| Elo Modified | Bobby Green | 1838.55 | +135.54 | 68.57% |
| Glicko-1 | Bobby Green | 1872.94 | +107.02 | 64.93% |
| WHR | Bobby Green | 1794.10 | +68.52 | 59.73% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bobby Green 224, Mauricio Ruffy 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Lightweight (155)
[#17][#13UFC] Jalin Turner (14-8-0, -106) vs. [#47][#24UFC] Ignacio Bahamondes (17-5-0, -114)
Last 3 Fights: Jalin Turner (1-2-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#9LW] Renato Carneiro (20-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:11 of round 2
2023-12-02: W vs. [#28LW] Bobby Green (32-16-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:49 of round 1
2023-07-08: L vs. [#7LW] Dan Hooker (24-12-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Ignacio Bahamondes (2-1-0)
2024-09-14: W vs. [#124LW] Manuel Torres (15-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:02 of round 1
2024-04-06: W vs. [#136LW] Christos Giagos (20-12-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 3:34 of round 1
2023-08-05: L vs. [#38LW] Ludovit Klein (23-4-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Ignacio Bahamondes | -114 | 50.86% | |
| Elo K170 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 1809.80 | +22.81 | 53.28% |
| Elo Modified | Jalin Turner | 1816.75 | +19.29 | 52.77% |
| Glicko-1 | Jalin Turner | 1907.29 | +31.31 | 54.49% |
| WHR | Jalin Turner | 1823.69 | +29.97 | 54.30% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jalin Turner 329, Ignacio Bahamondes 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Middleweight (185)
[#57][#41UFC] Brunno Ferreira (12-2-0, +127) vs. [#85][#48UFC] Armen Petrosyan (9-4-0, -154)
Last 3 Fights: Brunno Ferreira (2-1-0)
2024-10-26: L vs. [#34MW] Abusupiyan Magomedov (27-6-1) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:14 of round 3
2024-06-08: W vs. [#45MW] Dustin Stoltzfus (16-6-0) via KO (Spinning Back Elbow) in 4:51 of round 1
2024-01-13: W vs. [#120MW] Phil Hawes (12-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:55 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Armen Petrosyan (1-2-0)
2024-10-26: L vs. [#26MW] Sharabutdin Magomedov (15-1-0) via KO (Spinning Backfists) in 4:52 of round 1
2024-02-10: L vs. [#62MW] Rodolfo Vieira (10-3-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:48 of round 1
2023-06-17: W vs. [#69MW] Christian Leroy Duncan (10-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Armen Petrosyan | -154 | 57.91% | |
| Elo K170 | Brunno Ferreira | 1646.96 | +85.32 | 62.04% |
| Elo Modified | Brunno Ferreira | 1682.00 | +79.16 | 61.20% |
| Glicko-1 | Brunno Ferreira | 1732.61 | +178.07 | 73.59% |
| WHR | Brunno Ferreira | 1706.54 | +176.08 | 73.37% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brunno Ferreira 133, Armen Petrosyan 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.
Middleweight (185)
[#128][#59UFC] Osman Diaz (9-3-0, +159) vs. [#135] Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos (10-1-0, -192)
Last 3 Fights: Osman Diaz (2-1-0)
2024-11-23: L vs. [#46LHW] Mingyang Zhang (18-6-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 2:25 of round 1
2024-05-17: W vs. [#249LHW] Bevon Lewis (7-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:24 of round 2
2024-03-08: W vs. [#56LHW] Chuck Campbell (9-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos (3-0-0)
2024-09-03: W vs. [#174MW] Will Currie (12-4-0) via UD ()
2022-11-24: W vs. [*] Filipe Moitinho (8-3-0) via UD ()
2021-12-19: W vs. [#239HW+] Miguel Firmino (9-7-0) via SD ()
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | -192 | 63.00% | |
| Elo K170 | Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 1509.01 | +88.17 | 62.42% |
| Elo Modified | Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 1517.65 | +55.95 | 57.98% |
| Glicko-1 | Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 1489.77 | +11.20 | 51.61% |
| WHR | Osman Diaz | 1531.32 | +18.58 | 52.67% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Osman Diaz 105, Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 186
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Welterweight (170)
[#28][#21UFC] Carlos Leal Miranda (21-6-0, -699) vs. [#52][#35UFC] Alex Morono (24-11-0, +474)
Last 3 Fights: Carlos Leal Miranda (2-1-0)
2024-10-26: L vs. [#18WW] Rinat Fakhretdinov (25-2-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-07-06: W vs. [#606WW] Manuel Mena (15-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:09 of round 1
2024-03-03: W vs. [#198MW] Marcio Breno Rodrigues Br (23-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Alex Morono (1-2-0)
2024-10-12: L vs. [#36WW] Daniel Rodriguez (18-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2024-06-01: L vs. [#68WW] Niko Price (16-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-04-06: W vs. [#49WW] Court McGee (22-13-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Carlos Leal Miranda | -699 | 83.39% | |
| Elo K170 | Carlos Leal Miranda | 1814.95 | +256.64 | 81.42% |
| Elo Modified | Carlos Leal Miranda | 1814.41 | +151.96 | 70.57% |
| Glicko-1 | Carlos Leal Miranda | 1918.79 | +221.73 | 78.19% |
| WHR | Carlos Leal Miranda | 1794.95 | +196.04 | 75.56% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carlos Leal Miranda 133, Alex Morono 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.
Featherweight (145)
[#113][#53UFC] Mairon Santos (14-1-0, -379) vs. [#243][#70UFC] Francis Marshall (8-2-0, +288)
Last 3 Fights: Mairon Santos (2-1-0)
2024-08-24: W vs. [#271FW] Kaan Ofli (11-4-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:30 of round 2
2023-03-24: W vs. [*] Rafael Barbosa (14-5-0) via UD ()
2022-02-04: L vs. [#207BW] Dan Argueta (9-4-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 2:40 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Francis Marshall (1-2-0)
2024-08-24: W vs. [#512LW] Dennis Buzukja (12-5-0) via SD (28-29, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-08-12: L vs. [#218FW] Isaac Dulgarian (7-1-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:48 of round 1
2023-04-22: L vs. [#37FW] William Gomis (14-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Mairon Santos | -379 | 75.43% | |
| Elo K170 | Mairon Santos | 1721.17 | +302.25 | 85.07% |
| Elo Modified | Mairon Santos | 1708.98 | +265.44 | 82.17% |
| Glicko-1 | Mairon Santos | 1676.32 | +268.65 | 82.44% |
| WHR | Mairon Santos | 1594.91 | +152.59 | 70.65% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mairon Santos 196, Francis Marshall 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Heavyweight (265)
[#7][#6UFC] Curtis Blaydes (18-5-0, -309) vs. [#75] Rizvan Kuniev (12-2-1, +244)
Curtis Blaydes is the All-Time #24 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Curtis Blaydes (1-2-0)
2024-07-27: L vs. [#2HW+][#9P4P] Tom Aspinall (15-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:00 of round 1
2024-03-09: W vs. [#8HW+] Jailton Almeida (22-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:36 of round 2
2023-04-22: L vs. [#6HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (19-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:08 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Rizvan Kuniev (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2024-08-20: W vs. [#149HW+] Hugo Cunha (8-2-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
2023-04-07: NC vs. [#12HW+] Renan Ferreira (13-4-0)
2022-03-11: W vs. [#314HW+] Anthony Hamilton (21-12-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:17 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Curtis Blaydes | -309 | 72.21% | |
| Elo K170 | Curtis Blaydes | 2008.21 | +363.42 | 89.02% |
| Elo Modified | Curtis Blaydes | 2018.37 | +344.14 | 87.88% |
| Glicko-1 | Curtis Blaydes | 2077.95 | +336.05 | 87.37% |
| WHR | Curtis Blaydes | 1977.52 | +188.94 | 74.79% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Curtis Blaydes 224, Rizvan Kuniev 200
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Curtis Blaydes leads 1-0
.
Flyweight (125)
[#20][#14UFC] Joshua Van (12-2-0, -194) vs. [#29][#19UFC] Rei Tsuruya (10-0-0, +161)
Last 3 Fights: Joshua Van (2-1-0)
2024-12-07: W vs. [#41FLY] Cody Durden (17-7-1) via UD (29-28, 30-26, 30-27)
2024-09-14: W vs. [#139FLY] Edgar Chairez (11-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-07-13: L vs. [#23FLY] Charles Johnson (17-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:20 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Rei Tsuruya (3-0-0)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#108FLY] Carlos Hernandez (10-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-02-03: W vs. [#140FLY] Niushiyue Ji (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
2023-08-27: W vs. [#62FLY] Mark Climaco (11-2-0) via UD ()
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Joshua Van | -194 | 63.26% | |
| Elo K170 | Rei Tsuruya | 1769.27 | +57.86 | 58.25% |
| Elo Modified | Rei Tsuruya | 1769.19 | +69.77 | 59.91% |
| Glicko-1 | Rei Tsuruya | 1760.51 | +30.45 | 54.37% |
| WHR | Rei Tsuruya | 1625.22 | +63.36 | 59.02% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joshua Van 91, Rei Tsuruya 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
Fight Card Statistics
Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Alex Pereira
Highest Stored DD Rating: Alex Pereira
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Alex Pereira vs. Magomed Ankalaev
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Alex Pereira vs. Magomed Ankalaev
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Good [***]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Moderate [***]
Run Date: 2025-3-2