Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs Murphy (05-18-2024)

Featherweight (145)
[#15] Edson Barboza (24-11-0, +132) vs. [#38] Lerone Murphy (13-0-1, -158)

Last 3 Fights: Edson Barboza (2-1-0)
2023-10-14: W vs. [#47FW] Sodiq Yusuff (13-4-0) via UD (48-46, 48-46, 49-46)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#44FW] Billy Quarantillo (18-6-0) via KO (Knee) in 2:37 of round 1
2022-03-05: L vs. [#16FW] Bryce Mitchell (16-2-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Lerone Murphy (3-0-0)
2023-07-22: W vs. [#108FW] Joshua Culibao (12-3-1) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)
2023-03-18: W vs. [#116FW] Gabriel Santos (10-2-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-10-30: W vs. [#394LW] Makwan Amirkhani (17-10-0) via KO (Knee) in 0:14 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Lerone Murphy	-158		58.69%
Elo K170	Edson Barboza	1917.98	+29.54	54.24%
Elo Modified	Edson Barboza	1926.08	+99.78	63.98%
Glicko-1	Edson Barboza	1973.01	+127.67	67.59%
WHR	Edson Barboza	1795.98	+1.44	50.21%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Edson Barboza 217, Lerone Murphy 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#39] Carlston Harris (19-5-0, +118) vs. [#53] Kalinn Williams (14-3-0, -142)

Last 3 Fights: Carlston Harris (2-1-0)
2023-08-05: W vs. [#59WW] Jeremiah Wells (12-4-1) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:50 of round 3
2023-03-11: W vs. [#62WW] Jared Gooden (23-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-02-05: L vs. [#5WW] Shavkat Rakhmonov (18-0-0) via KO (Spinning Hook Kick and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Kalinn Williams (2-1-0)
2023-05-06: W vs. [#168WW] Rolando Bedoya (14-3-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2022-05-07: L vs. [#23WW] Randy Brown (18-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2021-11-13: W vs. [*] Miguel Baeza (10-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:02 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Kalinn Williams	-142		56.12%
Elo K170	Carlston Harris	1886.25	+136.39	68.68%
Elo Modified	Carlston Harris	1884.04	+140.04	69.13%
Glicko-1	Carlston Harris	1937.50	+155.94	71.05%
WHR	Carlston Harris	1943.64	+305.55	85.31%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carlston Harris 287, Kalinn Williams 378
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Carlston Harris leads 1-0
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#9] Angela Hill (16-13-0, -157) vs. [#29] Luana Pinheiro (11-2-0, +130)

Last 3 Fights: Angela Hill (2-1-0)
2023-11-04: W vs. [#19SW] Denise Gomes (8-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-05-20: L vs. [#8SW] Mackenzie Dern (13-5-0) via UD (49-44, 49-44, 49-43)
2022-12-03: W vs. [#21SW] Emily Ducote (13-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Luana Pinheiro (2-1-0)
2023-11-18: L vs. [#14FLY] Amanda Ribas (12-5-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 3:53 of round 3
2023-04-08: W vs. [#54SW] Michelle Waterson-Gomez (18-12-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-11-20: W vs. [#49SW] Sam Hughes (8-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Angela Hill	-157		58.42%
Elo K170	Angela Hill	1585.39	+110.66	65.41%
Elo Modified	Angela Hill	1637.50	+192.11	75.14%
Glicko-1	Angela Hill	1633.90	+209.18	76.92%
WHR	Angela Hill	1519.59	+153.29	70.73%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Angela Hill 196, Luana Pinheiro 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Luana Pinheiro leads 2-0
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Bantamweight (135)
[#59] Adrian Yanez (16-5-0, -361) vs. [#235FLY] Vinicius Salvador (14-6-0, +278)

Last 3 Fights: Adrian Yanez (1-2-0)
2023-10-14: L vs. [#15BW] Jonathan Martinez (19-5-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 2:26 of round 2
2023-04-08: L vs. [#13BW] Rob Font (20-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:57 of round 1
2022-06-18: W vs. [*] Tony Kelley (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:49 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Vinicius Salvador (1-2-0)
2023-07-29: L vs. [#86FLY] C.J. Vergara (12-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-25: L vs. [#97FLY] Victor Altamirano (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-08-02: W vs. [#534FLY] Shannon Ross (12-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:22 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Adrian Yanez	-361		74.74%
Elo K170	Adrian Yanez	1667.61	+326.70	86.77%
Elo Modified	Adrian Yanez	1642.05	+281.41	83.48%
Glicko-1	Adrian Yanez	1651.37	+254.09	81.20%
WHR	Adrian Yanez	1556.66	+197.87	75.75%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Adrian Yanez 217, Vinicius Salvador 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#21] Emily Ducote (13-8-0, -305) vs. [#36] Vanessa Demopoulos (10-5-0, +239)

Last 3 Fights: Emily Ducote (1-2-0)
2023-10-14: W vs. [#80SW] Ashley Yoder (8-9-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-05-20: L vs. [#11SW] Lupita Godinez (12-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-12-03: L vs. [#9SW] Angela Hill (16-13-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Vanessa Demopoulos (2-1-0)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#82SW] Kanako Murata (12-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-05-20: L vs. [#33SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (16-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-11-19: W vs. [#133SW] Maria Oliveira (13-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Emily Ducote	-305		71.85%
Elo K170	Vanessa Demopoulos	1481.14	+52.58	57.51%
Elo Modified	Emily Ducote	1459.39	+3.73	50.54%
Glicko-1	Emily Ducote	1470.51	+34.58	54.96%
WHR	Emily Ducote	1376.32	+70.18	59.96%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Emily Ducote 217, Vanessa Demopoulos 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Vanessa Demopoulos leads 1-0
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Welterweight (170)
[#142] Themba Gorimbo (12-4-0, -200) vs. [*] Ramiz Brahimaj (10-4-0, +164)

Last 3 Fights: Themba Gorimbo (2-1-0)
2024-02-03: W vs. [#878WW] Pete Rodriguez (5-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:32 of round 1
2023-05-20: W vs. [#328WW] Takashi Sato (16-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-02-18: L vs. [#212WW] A.J. Fletcher (10-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:37 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Ramiz Brahimaj (2-1-0)
2022-02-26: W vs. [*] Micheal Gillmore (6-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:02 of round 1
2022-01-15: L vs. [#109WW] Court McGee (21-13-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-08-21: W vs. [#517WW] Sasha Palatnikov (8-6-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:33 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Themba Gorimbo	-200		63.76%
Elo K170	Themba Gorimbo	1527.08	+134.41	68.43%
Elo Modified	Themba Gorimbo	1568.90	+126.25	67.41%
Glicko-1	Themba Gorimbo	1559.38	+101.93	64.26%
WHR	Themba Gorimbo	1475.20	+103.77	64.50%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Themba Gorimbo 105, Ramiz Brahimaj 812
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#286] Tom Nolan (6-1-0, -468) vs. [#398] Victor Martinez (13-5-0, +346)

Last 3 Fights: Tom Nolan (2-1-0)
2024-01-13: L vs. [#156LW] Nikolas Motta (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:03 of round 1
2023-08-08: W vs. [#173FW] Bogdan Grad (13-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:23 of round 1
2023-03-18: W vs. [#734LW] Aidan Aguilera (9-7-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 2:22 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Victor Martinez (2-1-0)
2023-02-25: L vs. [#233LW] Jordan Leavitt (11-3-0) via TKO (Elbows and Knees) in 2:33 of round 1
2021-09-21: W vs. [#313FW] Jacob Rosales (15-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#573LW] Anselmo Luis Luna Jr. (21-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:39 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Tom Nolan	-468		78.60%
Elo K170	Victor Martinez	1540.04	+111.34	65.50%
Elo Modified	Victor Martinez	1521.98	+40.21	55.76%
Glicko-1	Victor Martinez	1487.86	+38.22	55.48%
WHR	Tom Nolan	1398.30	+15.43	52.22%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tom Nolan 126, Victor Martinez 448
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#68] Abusupiyan Magomedov (25-6-1, -262) vs. [#139] Warlley Alves (14-7-0, +209)

Last 3 Fights: Abusupiyan Magomedov (1-2-0)
2023-11-04: L vs. [#17MW] Caio Borralho (16-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-01: L vs. [#3MW] Sean Strickland (28-6-0) via TKO in 4:20 of round 2
2022-09-03: W vs. [#80MW] Dustin Stoltzfus (15-5-0) via TKO (Front Kick and Punches) in 0:19 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Warlley Alves (0-3-0)
2023-10-21: L vs. [#47MW] Ikram Aliskerov (15-1-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 2:07 of round 1
2023-01-21: L vs. [#27WW] Nicolas Dalby (23-5-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-06-26: L vs. [#59WW] Jeremiah Wells (12-4-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:30 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Abusupiyan Magomedov	-262		69.10%
Elo K170	Abusupiyan Magomedov	1682.17	+170.82	72.77%
Elo Modified	Abusupiyan Magomedov	1710.45	+127.48	67.56%
Glicko-1	Abusupiyan Magomedov	1751.61	+147.99	70.10%
WHR	Abusupiyan Magomedov	1729.31	+112.10	65.60%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Abusupiyan Magomedov 196, Warlley Alves 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#42] Piera Rodriguez (9-1-0, -175) vs. [*] Ariane Carnelossi (14-3-0, +144)

Last 3 Fights: Piera Rodriguez (2-1-0)
2023-04-15: L vs. [#14SW] Gillian Robertson (13-8-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:21 of round 2
2022-10-15: W vs. [#49SW] Sam Hughes (8-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-04-09: W vs. [*] Kay Hansen (7-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Ariane Carnelossi (2-1-0)
2022-05-07: L vs. [#11SW] Lupita Godinez (12-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)
2021-10-16: W vs. [#159SW] Istela Nunes (6-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:57 of round 3
2021-04-24: W vs. [#170FLY] Na Liang (19-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:28 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Piera Rodriguez	-175		60.82%
Elo K170	Piera Rodriguez	1473.35	+73.04	60.36%
Elo Modified	Piera Rodriguez	1514.23	+87.02	62.27%
Glicko-1	Piera Rodriguez	1474.38	+32.23	54.62%
WHR	Piera Rodriguez	1396.53	+4.52	50.65%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Piera Rodriguez 399, Ariane Carnelossi 742
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#76] Heili Alateng (16-9-2, +127) vs. [#422] Kleydson Rodrigues (8-3-0, -154)

Last 3 Fights: Heili Alateng (2-1-0)
2023-10-14: L vs. [#21BW] Chris Gutierrez (20-6-2) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-09-10: W vs. [#190BW] Chad Anheliger (13-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-04-16: W vs. [*] Kevin Croom (24-15-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:47 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Kleydson Rodrigues (1-2-0)
2023-09-02: L vs. [#42BW] Farid Basharat (12-0-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:15 of round 1
2023-02-11: W vs. [#534FLY] Shannon Ross (12-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:59 of round 1
2022-05-07: L vs. [#86FLY] C.J. Vergara (12-5-1) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Kleydson Rodrigues	-154		57.91%
Elo K170	Heili Alateng	1612.50	+228.76	78.86%
Elo Modified	Heili Alateng	1585.64	+121.37	66.79%
Glicko-1	Heili Alateng	1608.07	+141.28	69.28%
WHR	Kleydson Rodrigues	1482.25	+3.59	50.52%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Heili Alateng 217, Kleydson Rodrigues 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#34] Melissa Gatto (8-2-2, -430) vs. [#22BW] Tamires Vidal (7-2-0, +323)

Last 3 Fights: Melissa Gatto (1-2-0)
2023-07-01: L vs. [#18FLY] Ariane Lipski (17-9-0) via SD (28-29, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-05-07: L vs. [#15FLY] Tracy Cortez (11-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-12-18: W vs. [*] Sijara Eubanks (7-7-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 0:45 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Tamires Vidal (2-1-0)
2023-09-23: L vs. [#33BW] Montserrat Rendon (6-1-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-11-05: W vs. [#46FW] Ramona Pascual (6-6-0) via TKO (Flying Knee to the Body) in 3:06 of round 1
2022-03-11: W vs. [#30BW] Queila Pereira Americo Br (7-2-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 3:36 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Melissa Gatto	-430		77.43%
Elo K170	Melissa Gatto	1359.05	+8.89	51.28%
Elo Modified	Melissa Gatto	1443.84	+48.76	56.97%
Glicko-1	Melissa Gatto	1447.63	+75.43	60.69%
WHR	Melissa Gatto	1471.17	+130.42	67.93%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Melissa Gatto 322, Tamires Vidal 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Melissa Gatto leads 1-0
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#47] Oumar Sy (9-0-0, -267) vs. [*] Antonio Trocoli (13-3-0, +215)

Last 3 Fights: Oumar Sy (3-0-0)
2023-06-30: W vs. [#389HW+] Ildemar Alcantara (26-18-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:21 of round 1
2023-03-17: W vs. [#82LHW] Henrique da Silva (19-10-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:40 of round 1
2022-07-23: W vs. [#232LHW] Bartlomiej Gladkowicz (10-5-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Antonio Trocoli (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2021-11-21: W vs. [*] Reslley Menezes (7-3-0) via SUB in 2:10 of round 1
2021-08-28: W vs. [*] Reslley Menezes (7-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:10 of round 1
2019-07-09: NC vs. [*] Kenneth Bergh (9-1-0)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Oumar Sy	-267		69.61%
Elo K170	Oumar Sy	1586.98	+114.97	65.97%
Elo Modified	Oumar Sy	1641.52	+135.53	68.57%
Glicko-1	Oumar Sy	1649.28	+140.91	69.24%
WHR	Oumar Sy	1597.59	+115.28	66.01%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Oumar Sy 323, Antonio Trocoli 909
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Edson Barboza
Highest Stored DD Rating: Edson Barboza
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Edson Barboza vs. Lerone Murphy
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Edson Barboza vs. Lerone Murphy
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Very Low [*½]
Run Date: 2024-5-12