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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis (11-04-2023)

Posted on October 30, 2023 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#10] Jailton Almeida (19-2-0, -488) vs. [#11] Derrick Lewis (27-11-0, +352)
Derrick Lewis is the All-Time #26 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jailton Almeida (3-0-0)
2023-05-13: W vs. [#13HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (13-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:43 of round 1
2023-01-21: W vs. [#108HW+] Shamil Abdurakhimov (20-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:56 of round 2
2022-09-10: W vs. [#138LHW] Anton Turkalj (8-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:27 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Derrick Lewis (1-2-0)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#23HW+] Marcos Rogerio de Lima (21-9-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 1
2023-02-04: L vs. [#8HW+] Sergey Spivak (16-4-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:05 of round 1
2022-07-30: L vs. [#3HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (18-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jailton Almeida -488 78.95%
Elo K170 Jailton Almeida 1914.35 +85.22 59.61%
Elo Modified Jailton Almeida 1933.26 +103.81 61.17%
Glicko-1 Jailton Almeida 2020.43 +144.43 69.67%
WHR Jailton Almeida 1888.44 +133.23 64.76%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jailton Almeida 175, Derrick Lewis 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#31] Nicolas Dalby (22-5-1, +384) vs. [#68] Gabriel Bonfim (15-0-0, -537)

Last 3 Fights: Nicolas Dalby (3-0-0)
2023-06-17: W vs. [#43WW] Muslim Salikhov (19-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-01-21: W vs. [#143MW] Warlley Alves (14-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-07-23: W vs. [*] Claudio Silva (14-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)

Last 3 Fights: Gabriel Bonfim (3-0-0)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#117WW] Trevin Giles (16-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:13 of round 1
2023-01-21: W vs. [#159WW] Mounir Lazzez (11-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:49 of round 1
2022-09-06: W vs. [#172WW] Trey Waters (8-1-0) via Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 4:13 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gabriel Bonfim -537 80.31%
Elo K170 Nicolas Dalby 1902.94 +112.85 62.61%
Elo Modified Nicolas Dalby 1860.66 +53.02 55.78%
Glicko-1 Nicolas Dalby 1883.37 +20.32 52.92%
WHR Gabriel Bonfim 1883.13 +147.29 66.22%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nicolas Dalby 140, Gabriel Bonfim 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#21] Rodrigo Nascimento (11-1-0, -192) vs. [#53] Dontale Mayes (10-6-0, +155)

Last 3 Fights: Rodrigo Nascimento (3-0-0)
2023-05-20: W vs. [#22HW+] Ilir Latifi (16-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-09-17: W vs. [#62LHW] Tanner Boser (21-10-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2021-07-17: W vs. [*] Alan Baudot (7-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:29 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Dontale Mayes (1-2-0)
2023-06-03: W vs. [#71HW+] Andrei Arlovski (34-22-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 2
2023-02-25: L vs. [#31HW+] Augusto Sakai (16-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-07-30: L vs. [*] Hamdy Abdelwahab (6-0-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rodrigo Nascimento -192 62.63%
Elo K170 Rodrigo Nascimento 1708.31 +236.40 74.65%
Elo Modified Rodrigo Nascimento 1667.58 +124.89 63.34%
Glicko-1 Rodrigo Nascimento 1652.43 +79.00 61.18%
WHR Rodrigo Nascimento 1629.37 +140.72 65.54%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rodrigo Nascimento 168, Dontale Mayes 154
Previous Match-up Record: Rodrigo Nascimento leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#30] Caio Borralho (14-1-0, -273) vs. [#61] Abusupiyan Magomedov (25-5-1, +214)

Last 3 Fights: Caio Borralho (3-0-0)
2023-04-29: W vs. [#40MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (20-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:49 of round 2
2022-10-22: W vs. [#46MW] Makhmud Muradov (26-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-07-09: W vs. [#62MW] Armen Petrosyan (9-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Abusupiyan Magomedov (2-1-0)
2023-07-01: L vs. [#1MW/#8DD/#8P4P] Sean Strickland (28-5-0) via TKO in 4:20 of round 2
2022-09-03: W vs. [#140MW] Dustin Stoltzfus (14-5-0) via TKO (Front Kick and Punches) in 0:19 of round 1
2020-12-19: W vs. [#175MW] Cezariusz Kesik (13-4-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:53 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Caio Borralho -273 69.67%
Elo K170 Caio Borralho 1901.00 +173.31 68.82%
Elo Modified Caio Borralho 1923.10 +170.90 67.88%
Glicko-1 Caio Borralho 1933.78 +131.12 68.02%
WHR Caio Borralho 1891.88 +156.53 67.15%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Caio Borralho 189, Abusupiyan Magomedov 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#62] Armen Petrosyan (9-2-0, -110) vs. [#69] Rodolfo Vieira (9-2-0, -112)

Last 3 Fights: Armen Petrosyan (2-1-0)
2023-06-17: W vs. [#96MW] Christian Leroy Duncan (8-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-10-22: W vs. [#167MW] A.J. Dobson (7-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-07-09: L vs. [#30MW] Caio Borralho (14-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Rodolfo Vieira (2-1-0)
2023-04-29: W vs. [#95MW] Cody Brundage (9-5-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:28 of round 2
2022-06-25: L vs. [#21MW] Chris Curtis (30-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-07-17: W vs. [#140MW] Dustin Stoltzfus (14-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:54 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rodolfo Vieira -112 50.21%
Elo K170 Armen Petrosyan 1688.92 +71.49 58.09%
Elo Modified Armen Petrosyan 1719.40 +32.37 53.54%
Glicko-1 Rodolfo Vieira 1690.77 +13.26 51.91%
WHR Rodolfo Vieira 1643.12 +10.77 51.23%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Armen Petrosyan 140, Rodolfo Vieira 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#82] Ismael Bonfim (19-4-0, -469) vs. [*] Vinc Pichel (14-3-0, +337)

Last 3 Fights: Ismael Bonfim (2-1-0)
2023-07-01: L vs. [#27LW] Benoit St. Denis (12-1-0) via SUB in 4:48 of round 1
2023-01-21: W vs. [#147LW] Terrance McKinney (15-6-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 2:17 of round 2
2022-09-06: W vs. [#95LW] Nariman Abbasov (29-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Vinc Pichel (2-1-0)
2022-04-09: L vs. [#54LW] Mark O. Madsen (12-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-08-21: W vs. [#153LW] Austin Hubbard (15-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-08-15: W vs. [#47LW] Jim Miller (36-17-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ismael Bonfim -469 78.27%
Elo K170 Ismael Bonfim 1779.32 +24.08 52.75%
Elo Modified Ismael Bonfim 1800.63 +60.92 56.63%
Glicko-1 Ismael Bonfim 1835.65 +91.38 62.86%
WHR Ismael Bonfim 1810.91 +139.36 65.40%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ismael Bonfim 126, Vinc Pichel 574
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#60] Elves Brener (15-3-0, -151) vs. [#130] Esteban Ribovics (12-1-0, +123)

Last 3 Fights: Elves Brener (3-0-0)
2023-07-01: W vs. [#98LW] Guram Kutateladze (12-4-0) via TKO in 3:17 of round 3
2023-02-11: W vs. [#134LW] Zubaira Tukhugov (20-6-1) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 28-29)
2022-03-19: W vs. [#2419FW] Victor Nunez (5-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:46 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Esteban Ribovics (2-1-0)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#227LW] Kamuela Kirk (12-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-04: L vs. [#53LW] Loik Radzhabov (18-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-08-16: W vs. [#585FW] Thomas Paull (11-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:30 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Elves Brener -151 57.29%
Elo K170 Elves Brener 1655.20 +15.84 51.81%
Elo Modified Esteban Ribovics 1673.38 +39.85 54.35%
Glicko-1 Esteban Ribovics 1715.38 +19.89 52.86%
WHR Elves Brener 1645.65 +3.97 50.45%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Elves Brener 126, Esteban Ribovics 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#36] Daniel Marcos (15-0-0, -243) vs. [#66] Victor Hugo Silva (24-4-0, +191)

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Marcos (3-0-0)
2023-07-22: W vs. [#37BW] Davey Grant (15-7-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-01-21: W vs. [#367BW] Saimon Oliveira (18-5-0) via KO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 2:18 of round 2
2022-09-13: W vs. [#788FW] Brandon Lewis (6-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Victor Hugo Silva (3-0-0)
2023-10-03: W vs. [#303BW] Eduardo Torres (16-2-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 2:16 of round 2
2023-05-20: W vs. [#938LW] Cristiano Cruz (15-10-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 0:23 of round 1
2022-08-23: W vs. [#616LW] Sanzhar Azhibaev (26-12-0) via TKO (Leg Injury) in 4:41 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Daniel Marcos -243 67.34%
Elo K170 Daniel Marcos 1772.76 +57.10 56.48%
Elo Modified Daniel Marcos 1731.22 +15.33 51.68%
Glicko-1 Victor Hugo Silva 1790.15 +46.73 56.69%
WHR Victor Hugo Silva 1770.00 +96.24 60.82%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Daniel Marcos 105, Victor Hugo Silva 32
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#47] Rinat Fakhretdinov (23-2-0, -332) vs. [#49] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (24-7-0, +251)

Last 3 Fights: Rinat Fakhretdinov (3-0-0)
2023-07-01: W vs. [*] Kevin Lee (19-8-0) via SUB in 0:55 of round 1
2022-12-17: W vs. [#89WW] Bryan Battle (10-2-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-27)
2022-06-04: W vs. [#66WW] Andreas Michailidis (16-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (2-1-0)
2023-06-03: W vs. [#97WW] Abubakar Nurmagomedov (17-4-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-10-30: W vs. [#27LW] Benoit St. Denis (12-1-0) via UD (29-26, 29-26, 29-26)
2020-07-11: L vs. [#43WW] Muslim Salikhov (19-4-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rinat Fakhretdinov -332 72.95%
Elo K170 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1918.55 +43.93 55.00%
Elo Modified Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1921.52 +51.32 55.59%
Glicko-1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 1938.24 +4.09 50.59%
WHR Rinat Fakhretdinov 1961.87 +114.90 62.83%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rinat Fakhretdinov 126, Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#42] Vitor Petrino (9-0-0, -249) vs. [#43] Modestas Bukauskas (15-5-0, +196)

Last 3 Fights: Vitor Petrino (3-0-0)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#57LHW] Marcin Prachnio (16-7-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:42 of round 3
2023-03-11: W vs. [#138LHW] Anton Turkalj (8-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2022-09-06: W vs. [#90LHW] Rodolfo Bellato (11-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:36 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Modestas Bukauskas (3-0-0)
2023-06-17: W vs. [#92LHW] Zac Pauga (6-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-02-11: W vs. [#63LHW] Tyson Pedro (10-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-12-31: W vs. [#93HW+] Chuck Campbell (6-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:22 of round 4

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Vitor Petrino -249 67.86%
Elo K170 Modestas Bukauskas 1677.20 +27.51 53.14%
Elo Modified Modestas Bukauskas 1721.58 +27.85 53.04%
Glicko-1 Modestas Bukauskas 1726.60 +28.90 54.15%
WHR Vitor Petrino 1725.15 +42.80 54.87%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vitor Petrino 119, Modestas Bukauskas 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#12] Angela Hill (15-13-0, +111) vs. [#14] Denise Gomes (8-2-0, -134)

Last 3 Fights: Angela Hill (2-1-0)
2023-05-20: L vs. [#6SW] Mackenzie Dern (13-3-0) via UD (49-44, 49-44, 49-43)
2022-12-03: W vs. [#20SW] Emily Ducote (13-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-08-13: W vs. [#10SW] Lupita Godinez (11-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Denise Gomes (2-1-0)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#40SW] Yazmin Jauregui (10-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:20 of round 1
2023-04-15: W vs. [#38SW] Bruna Brasil (9-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:42 of round 2
2022-09-17: L vs. [#24SW] Konklak Suphisara (8-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Denise Gomes -134 54.71%
Elo K170 Denise Gomes 1547.72 +63.29 57.18%
Elo Modified Denise Gomes 1600.03 +72.18 57.83%
Glicko-1 Denise Gomes 1594.04 +45.64 56.53%
WHR Denise Gomes 1545.19 +73.71 58.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Angela Hill 168, Denise Gomes 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Angela Hill leads 1-0
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#34] Eduarda Moura (9-0-0, -479) vs. [#131] Montserrat Ruiz (10-3-0, +344)

Last 3 Fights: Eduarda Moura (3-0-0)
2023-08-15: W vs. [#129SW] Janaina Silva (5-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:00 of round 1
2023-03-25: W vs. [#171SW] Claudiene Ferreira Alves (6-5-1) via TKO (Punch) in 3:20 of round 2
2022-11-24: W vs. [#244SW] Maria Eduarda Santana (2-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:30 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Montserrat Ruiz (1-2-0)
2023-08-12: L vs. [#52SW] Jaqueline Amorim (7-1-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:41 of round 3
2021-07-17: L vs. [#5SW] Amanda Lemos (13-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:35 of round 1
2021-03-20: W vs. [#75SW] Cheyanne Vlismas (7-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Eduarda Moura -479 78.60%
Elo K170 Eduarda Moura 1490.96 +219.85 73.19%
Elo Modified Eduarda Moura 1510.92 +202.88 70.85%
Glicko-1 Eduarda Moura 1491.36 +220.06 78.02%
WHR Eduarda Moura 1343.80 +142.15 65.69%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Eduarda Moura 81, Montserrat Ruiz 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#117] Marc Diakiese (16-7-0, -146) vs. [#169] Kaue Fernandes (8-1-0, +120)

Last 3 Fights: Marc Diakiese (1-2-0)
2023-07-22: L vs. [#35LW] Joel Alvarez (20-3-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:26 of round 2
2022-12-03: L vs. [#78LW] Michael Johnson (21-19-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-07-23: W vs. [*] Damir Hadzovic (14-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Kaue Fernandes (2-1-0)
2023-03-10: W vs. [#212LW] Felipe Douglas (19-6-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:45 of round 1
2022-09-30: W vs. [#1219LW] Jose Arly Carvalho (6-1-0) via KO (Body Kick) in 1:28 of round 1
2021-07-16: L vs. [*] Luan Andre Souza Sardinha (7-0-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Marc Diakiese -146 56.63%
Elo K170 Kaue Fernandes 1613.62 +114.09 62.74%
Elo Modified Kaue Fernandes 1684.89 +142.94 65.15%
Glicko-1 Kaue Fernandes 1667.70 +110.91 65.44%
WHR Kaue Fernandes 1675.83 +122.29 63.62%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marc Diakiese 105, Kaue Fernandes 239
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Jailton Almeida
Highest Stored DD Rating: Jailton Almeida
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Jailton Almeida vs. Derrick Lewis
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Jailton Almeida vs. Derrick Lewis
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Outstanding [****½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2023-10-29

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