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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ABC 5: Emmett vs. Topuria (06-24-2023)

Posted on June 19, 2023 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#5] Josh Emmett (18-3-0, +254) vs. [#9] Ilia Topuria (13-0-0, -334)
Josh Emmett is the All-Time #23 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Josh Emmett (2-1-0)
2023-02-11: L vs. [#3FW] Yair Rodriguez (15-3-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:19 of round 2
2022-06-18: W vs. [#7FW] Calvin Kattar (23-7-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2021-12-11: W vs. [#10FW] Dan Ige (17-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Ilia Topuria (3-0-0)
2022-12-10: W vs. [#24FW] Bryce Mitchell (15-1-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:10 of round 2
2022-03-19: W vs. [#103LW] Jai Herbert (12-4-1) via KO (Punches) in 1:07 of round 2
2021-07-10: W vs. [*] Ryan Hall (9-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:47 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ilia Topuria -334 73.14%
Elo K170 Josh Emmett 2034.13 +72.27 58.18%
Elo Modified Josh Emmett 1963.92 +2.44 50.27%
Glicko-1 Ilia Topuria 2034.56 +49.00 57.01%
WHR Ilia Topuria 1975.13 +157.25 67.23%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josh Emmett 133, Ilia Topuria 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#9] Amanda Ribas (11-3-0, -170) vs. [#12] Maycee Barber (12-2-0, +140)

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Ribas (2-1-0)
2023-03-04: W vs. [#15FLY] Viviane Araujo (11-5-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2022-05-14: L vs. [#6FLY] Katlyn Chookagian (18-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-10-30: W vs. [#8SW] Virna Jandiroba (19-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Maycee Barber (3-0-0)
2023-03-25: W vs. [#18FLY] Andrea Lee (13-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2022-07-02: W vs. [*] Jessica Eye (15-11-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-04-23: W vs. [#44FLY] Montana De La Rosa (11-8-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Amanda Ribas -170 60.17%
Elo K170 Maycee Barber 1678.15 +24.05 52.74%
Elo Modified Amanda Ribas 1715.56 +89.58 59.68%
Glicko-1 Amanda Ribas 1698.76 +111.34 65.50%
WHR Amanda Ribas 1693.28 +149.15 66.41%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Amanda Ribas 112, Maycee Barber 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#139] Cody Brundage (8-4-0) vs. [#216] Sedriques Dumas (7-1-0)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Brundage (1-2-0)
2023-04-29: L vs. [#74MW] Rodolfo Vieira (9-2-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:28 of round 2
2022-12-17: L vs. [#51MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (20-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:16 of round 1
2022-07-09: W vs. [#175MW] Tresean Gore (4-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:50 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Sedriques Dumas (2-1-0)
2023-03-11: L vs. [#141MW] Josh Fremd (10-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:00 of round 2
2022-08-30: W vs. [#197MW] Matej Penaz (7-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:47 of round 1
2022-03-18: W vs. [*] Aaron Highbaugh (11-6-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Cody Brundage 1377.47 +27.58 53.15%
Elo Modified Cody Brundage 1419.61 +21.32 52.33%
Glicko-1 Cody Brundage 1410.23 +34.76 54.98%
WHR Sedriques Dumas 1386.20 +26.02 52.97%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cody Brundage 56, Sedriques Dumas 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#85] Gabriel Santos (10-1-0, -215) vs. [#96] David Onama (10-2-0, +176)

Last 3 Fights: Gabriel Santos (2-1-0)
2023-03-18: L vs. [#45FW] Lerone Murphy (12-0-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-01-28: W vs. [#190FW] Jose Mauro do Amaral Dela (12-3-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 0:51 of round 3
2022-11-04: W vs. [#351FW] Marcio dos Santos Barbosa (13-3-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:09 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: David Onama (2-1-0)
2022-08-13: L vs. [#38FW] Nate Landwehr (17-5-0) via MD (28-28, 29-27, 29-27)
2022-07-09: W vs. [#497FW] Garrett Armfield (8-3-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:13 of round 2
2022-02-19: W vs. [#317LW] Gabriel Benitez (23-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:24 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gabriel Santos -215 65.32%
Elo K170 Gabriel Santos 1643.81 +127.32 64.15%
Elo Modified Gabriel Santos 1713.11 +137.99 64.66%
Glicko-1 Gabriel Santos 1757.03 +113.78 65.81%
WHR Gabriel Santos 1771.15 +229.74 74.07%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gabriel Santos 98, David Onama 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#15] Brendan Allen (21-5-0, -176) vs. [#26] Bruno Silva (23-8-0, +141)

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (3-0-0)
2023-02-25: W vs. [#18MW] Andre Muniz (23-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:25 of round 3
2022-10-01: W vs. [#45LHW] Krzysztof Jotko (24-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 1
2022-06-11: W vs. [#90MW] Jacob Malkoun (7-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Bruno Silva (1-2-0)
2023-04-22: W vs. [#41MW] Brad Tavares (19-8-0) via TKO (Knee and Punch) in 3:35 of round 1
2022-08-13: L vs. [#38MW] Gerald Meerschaert (35-16-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:39 of round 3
2022-03-12: L vs. [#2MW] Alex Pereira (7-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Brendan Allen -176 60.58%
Elo K170 Brendan Allen 2029.26 +263.06 76.89%
Elo Modified Brendan Allen 2036.87 +248.60 74.81%
Glicko-1 Brendan Allen 2095.33 +245.58 80.44%
WHR Brendan Allen 1898.25 +129.21 64.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brendan Allen 119, Bruno Silva 63
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#12] Neil Magny (27-10-0, -147) vs. [#59] Philip Rowe (10-3-0, +118)
Neil Magny is the All-Time #37 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Neil Magny (1-2-0)
2023-01-21: L vs. [#4WW] Gilbert Burns (22-6-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:15 of round 1
2022-11-05: W vs. [#35WW] Daniel Rodriguez (17-4-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 3:33 of round 3
2022-06-25: L vs. [#5WW] Shavkat Rakhmonov (17-0-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:58 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Philip Rowe (3-0-0)
2022-12-03: W vs. [#72WW] Niko Price (15-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:26 of round 3
2022-02-05: W vs. [#248MW] Jason Witt (19-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:15 of round 2
2021-07-31: W vs. [#417WW] Orion Cosce (8-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Neil Magny -147 56.47%
Elo K170 Neil Magny 2000.80 +354.78 83.49%
Elo Modified Neil Magny 1956.78 +337.32 81.41%
Glicko-1 Neil Magny 1986.72 +277.27 83.15%
WHR Neil Magny 1835.08 +252.33 76.01%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Neil Magny 154, Philip Rowe 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#55] Joshua Van (7-1-0) vs. [#57] Zhalgas Zhumagulov (14-8-0)

Last 3 Fights: Joshua Van (3-0-0)
2022-12-18: W vs. [#115FLY] Cleveland Mclean (17-10-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:49 of round 2
2022-08-14: W vs. [#171FLY] Paris Moran (8-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:36 of round 2
2022-05-15: W vs. [NA] Mario Suazo (2-2-0) via Submission (Calf Slicer) in 4:23 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Zhalgas Zhumagulov (0-3-0)
2022-11-19: L vs. [#56FLY] Charles Johnson (13-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-06-04: L vs. [#34FLY] Jeff Molina (11-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2021-12-04: L vs. [#8FLY] Manel Kape (18-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:02 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Joshua Van 1461.70 +101.93 61.44%
Elo Modified Zhalgas Zhumagulov 1475.95 +25.54 52.79%
Glicko-1 Zhalgas Zhumagulov 1521.92 +0.67 50.10%
WHR Zhalgas Zhumagulov 1492.19 +127.08 64.12%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joshua Van 188, Zhalgas Zhumagulov 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#86] Austen Lane (12-3-0, +142) vs. [#93] Justin Tafa (6-3-0, -172)

Last 3 Fights: Austen Lane (3-0-0)
2022-09-20: W vs. [#215HW+] Richard Jacobi (7-1-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:34 of round 1
2022-02-27: W vs. [*] Eric Lunsford (7-4-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 1:39 of round 1
2021-11-21: W vs. [#122HW+] Juan Adams (10-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:43 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Justin Tafa (2-1-0)
2023-02-11: W vs. [#96HW+] Parker Porter (13-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:06 of round 1
2021-12-18: W vs. [#252LHW] Harry Hunsucker (7-6-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:54 of round 1
2021-05-22: L vs. [#99HW+] Jared Vanderaa (13-10-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Justin Tafa -172 60.48%
Elo K170 Austen Lane 1518.51 +115.16 62.86%
Elo Modified Austen Lane 1577.12 +97.49 60.51%
Glicko-1 Austen Lane 1585.49 +73.88 60.47%
WHR Austen Lane 1474.78 +13.39 51.53%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Austen Lane 277, Justin Tafa 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#34] Randy Brown (16-5-0, -256) vs. [#55MW] Wellington Turman (18-6-0, +197)

Last 3 Fights: Randy Brown (2-1-0)
2023-02-11: L vs. [#20WW] Jack Della Maddalena (14-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:13 of round 1
2022-10-01: W vs. [#38WW] Francisco Trinaldo (28-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-05-07: W vs. [#48WW] Kalinn Williams (14-3-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)

Last 3 Fights: Wellington Turman (2-1-0)
2022-11-12: L vs. [#50MW] Andre Petroski (9-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-02-26: W vs. [#82LHW] Misha Cirkunov (15-9-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:29 of round 2
2021-08-28: W vs. [#123HW+] Sam Alvey (34-18-1) via SD (28-27, 27-28, 28-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Randy Brown -256 68.10%
Elo K170 Randy Brown 1854.45 +319.11 81.12%
Elo Modified Randy Brown 1817.47 +267.14 76.30%
Glicko-1 Randy Brown 1827.27 +278.55 83.25%
WHR Randy Brown 1711.54 +250.69 75.87%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Randy Brown 133, Wellington Turman 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#34] Loik Radzhabov (18-4-1, +107) vs. [#69] Mateusz Rebecki (18-1-0, -132)

Last 3 Fights: Loik Radzhabov (2-1-0)
2023-03-04: W vs. [#177LW] Esteban Ribovics (11-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-01-28: W vs. [#519LW] Zach Zane (15-14-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:23 of round 1
2021-10-27: L vs. [#14LW] Raush Manfio (17-4-0) via UD (49-46, 48-46, 48-46)

Last 3 Fights: Mateusz Rebecki (3-0-0)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#503LW] Nick Fiore (6-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2022-08-30: W vs. [#208LW] Rodrigo Lidio (12-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:05 of round 1
2021-11-27: W vs. [#223FW] Arkadiy Osipyan (9-4-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mateusz Rebecki -132 54.08%
Elo K170 Mateusz Rebecki 1874.82 +58.21 56.61%
Elo Modified Mateusz Rebecki 1888.07 +57.61 56.27%
Glicko-1 Mateusz Rebecki 1975.66 +101.31 64.18%
WHR Mateusz Rebecki 1942.70 +165.08 68.01%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Loik Radzhabov 112, Mateusz Rebecki 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#10] Gillian Robertson (12-7-0, +109) vs. [#28] Tabatha Ricci (8-1-0, -133)

Last 3 Fights: Gillian Robertson (2-1-0)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#26SW] Piera Rodriguez (9-1-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:21 of round 2
2022-09-17: W vs. [#72FLY] Mariya Agapova (10-4-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:19 of round 2
2022-03-12: L vs. [#47FLY] J.J. Aldrich (11-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Tabatha Ricci (3-0-0)
2023-03-04: W vs. [#58SW] Jessica Penne (14-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:14 of round 2
2022-05-21: W vs. [#27SW] Polyana Viana (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-10-23: W vs. [#115SW] Maria Oliveira (13-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tabatha Ricci -133 54.39%
Elo K170 Gillian Robertson 1572.37 +88.92 60.02%
Elo Modified Gillian Robertson 1602.20 +99.65 60.73%
Glicko-1 Gillian Robertson 1618.31 +128.59 67.70%
WHR Gillian Robertson 1506.84 +21.20 52.42%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gillian Robertson 70, Tabatha Ricci 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#125] Trevor Peek (8-0-0) vs. [#89FW] Jose Mariscal (13-6-0)

Last 3 Fights: Trevor Peek (3-0-0)
2023-02-25: W vs. [#395LW] Erick Gonzalez (14-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
2022-09-13: W vs. [#285LW] Malik Lewis (6-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:37 of round 2
2022-08-13: W vs. [#229LW] Khama Worthy (19-10-0) via KO in 4:44 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jose Mariscal (3-0-0)
2023-02-17: W vs. [#111FW] Guilherme Faria de Souza (19-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:02 of round 2
2022-07-22: W vs. [#549FW] Jordan Beltran (13-10-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:29 of round 2
2022-03-04: W vs. [*] Luke Faultersack (6-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:08 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Trevor Peek 1579.56 +42.70 54.86%
Elo Modified Trevor Peek 1621.58 +60.66 56.60%
Glicko-1 Trevor Peek 1654.51 +45.94 56.57%
WHR Jose Mariscal 1559.24 +10.64 51.22%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Trevor Peek 119, Jose Mariscal 127
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#128] Jack Jenkins (11-2-0, +144) vs. [#145] Jamall Emmers (19-6-0, -176)

Last 3 Fights: Jack Jenkins (3-0-0)
2023-02-11: W vs. [#268FW] Don Shainis (14-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-09-27: W vs. [#684FW] Freddy Emiliano Linares (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:30 of round 3
2022-03-19: W vs. [#517FW] Rod Costa (7-5-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Jamall Emmers (2-1-0)
2023-02-18: W vs. [#567FW] Khusein Askhabov (23-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-08-28: L vs. [#46FW] Pat Sabatini (18-4-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 1:53 of round 1
2020-08-01: W vs. [*] Vince Cachero (7-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jamall Emmers -176 60.87%
Elo K170 Jamall Emmers 1627.60 +61.24 56.95%
Elo Modified Jamall Emmers 1679.70 +105.43 61.34%
Glicko-1 Jamall Emmers 1713.52 +112.46 65.64%
WHR Jamall Emmers 1665.46 +105.84 61.86%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Jenkins 133, Jamall Emmers 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#20] Tatsuro Taira (13-0-0, -372) vs. [#92] Kleydson Rodrigues (8-2-0, +271)
Tatsuro Taira is the All-Time #49 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tatsuro Taira (3-0-0)
2023-02-04: W vs. [#114FLY] Jesus Santos Aguilar (8-2-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 4:20 of round 1
2022-10-15: W vs. [#85FLY] C.J. Vergara (11-4-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:19 of round 2
2022-05-14: W vs. [#336FLY] Carlos Candelario (8-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Kleydson Rodrigues (2-1-0)
2023-02-11: W vs. [#456FLY] Shannon Ross (12-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:59 of round 1
2022-05-07: L vs. [#85FLY] C.J. Vergara (11-4-1) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2021-09-21: W vs. [#492FLY] Santo Curatolo (6-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tatsuro Taira -372 74.51%
Elo K170 Tatsuro Taira 1767.75 +338.96 82.47%
Elo Modified Tatsuro Taira 1776.88 +263.78 76.03%
Glicko-1 Tatsuro Taira 1833.92 +291.26 84.25%
WHR Tatsuro Taira 1752.79 +210.92 72.39%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tatsuro Taira 140, Kleydson Rodrigues 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tatsuro Taira leads 1-0
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Neil Magny
Highest Stored DD Rating: Josh Emmett
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Josh Emmett vs. Ilia Topuria
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Josh Emmett vs. Ilia Topuria
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2023-6-18

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