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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 262: Oliveira vs Chandler (05-15-2021)

Posted on May 10, 2021 by Jason

Lightweight Championship (155)
[#3] Charles Oliveira (30-8-0, -135) vs. [#6] Michael Chandler (22-5-0, +110)
Charles Oliveira is the All-Time #28 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Michael Chandler is the All-Time #17 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Charles Oliveira (3-0-0)
2020-12-12: W vs. [#4LW] Tony Ferguson (25-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2020-03-14: W vs. [#12LW] Kevin Lee (18-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:28 of round 3
2019-11-16: W vs. [#74LW] Jared Gordon (17-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:26 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Michael Chandler (3-0-0)
2021-01-23: W vs. [#8LW] Dan Hooker (20-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:30 of round 1
2020-08-07: W vs. [#89WW] Ben Henderson (28-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:09 of round 1
2019-12-29: W vs. [#50LW] Sidney Outlaw (15-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:59 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Charles Oliveira -135 54.67%
Elo K170 Charles Oliveira 2239.04 +94.08 60.58%
Elo Modified Charles Oliveira 2198.89 +95.72 60.32%
Glicko-1 Charles Oliveira 2303.34 +134.68 68.47%
WHR Charles Oliveira 2092.74 +66.46 57.53%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Oliveira 154, Michael Chandler 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Charles Oliveira leads 1-0
.

Lightweight (155)
[#4] Tony Ferguson (25-5-0, +122) vs. [#7] Beneil Dariush (20-4-1, -150)
Tony Ferguson is the All-Time #8 ranked Lightweight and #44 ranked Absolute fighter.
Beneil Dariush is the All-Time #48 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tony Ferguson (1-2-0)
2020-12-12: L vs. [#3LW] Charles Oliveira (30-8-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2020-05-09: L vs. [#2LW/#9DD] Justin Gaethje (22-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:39 of round 5
2019-06-08: W vs. [#25WW] Donald Cerrone (36-16-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Beneil Dariush (3-0-0)
2021-02-06: W vs. [#14LW] Diego Ferreira (17-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-08-08: W vs. [#38LW] Scott Holtzman (14-5-0) via KO (Spinning Backfist) in 4:38 of round 1
2020-03-07: W vs. [#51LW] Drakkar Klose (11-2-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:00 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Beneil Dariush -150 57.11%
Elo K170 Beneil Dariush 2120.50 +14.65 51.67%
Elo Modified Tony Ferguson 2065.73 +35.67 53.90%
Glicko-1 Tony Ferguson 2158.68 +80.36 61.36%
WHR Tony Ferguson 1922.00 +2.59 50.30%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tony Ferguson 154, Beneil Dariush 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tony Ferguson leads 2-1
.

Middleweight (185)
[#10] Jack Hermansson (21-6-0, -173) vs. [#26] Edmen Shahbazyan (11-1-0, +141)
Jack Hermansson is the All-Time #43 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jack Hermansson (1-2-0)
2020-12-05: L vs. [#4MW] Marvin Vettori (16-4-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
2020-07-18: W vs. [#11MW] Kelvin Gastelum (16-7-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 1:18 of round 1
2019-09-28: L vs. [#9MW] Jared Cannonier (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:27 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Edmen Shahbazyan (2-1-0)
2020-08-01: L vs. [#8MW] Derek Brunson (22-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 3
2019-11-02: W vs. [#22MW] Brad Tavares (18-6-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:27 of round 1
2019-07-06: W vs. [#126MW] Jack Marshman (23-10-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:12 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jack Hermansson -173 60.43%
Elo K170 Jack Hermansson 1907.99 +137.64 65.22%
Elo Modified Jack Hermansson 1931.70 +183.35 69.05%
Glicko-1 Jack Hermansson 2013.52 +249.44 80.78%
WHR Jack Hermansson 1874.77 +237.93 74.78%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Hermansson 161, Edmen Shahbazyan 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#3] Katlyn Chookagian (15-4-0, -145) vs. [#6] Viviane Araujo (10-2-0, +118)
Katlyn Chookagian is the All-Time #50 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Katlyn Chookagian (2-1-0)
2020-11-21: W vs. [#9FLY] Cynthia Calvillo (9-2-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-10-17: L vs. [#2FLY/#9DD/#8P4P] Jessica Andrade (21-9-0) via KO (Punches to the Body) in 4:55 of round 1
2020-05-30: W vs. [#14FLY] Antonina Shevchenko (9-2-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-25)

Last 3 Fights: Viviane Araujo (2-1-0)
2021-01-20: W vs. [#18FLY] Roxanne Modafferi (25-18-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2020-09-05: W vs. [#35FLY] Montana De La Rosa (10-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-12-14: L vs. [#16FLY] Jessica Eye (15-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Katlyn Chookagian -145 56.33%
Elo K170 Katlyn Chookagian 1720.55 +96.24 60.82%
Elo Modified Katlyn Chookagian 1752.07 +124.22 63.27%
Glicko-1 Katlyn Chookagian 1716.12 +105.51 64.73%
WHR Katlyn Chookagian 1652.52 +90.87 60.23%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Katlyn Chookagian 175, Viviane Araujo 115
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#9] Edson Barboza (21-9-0, +102) vs. [#18] Shane Burgos (13-2-0, -126)

Last 3 Fights: Edson Barboza (1-2-0)
2020-10-10: W vs. [#40FW] Makwan Amirkhani (16-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 29-28)
2020-05-16: L vs. [#10FW] Dan Ige (15-3-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2019-09-07: L vs. [#10LW] Paul Felder (17-6-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Shane Burgos (2-1-0)
2020-06-20: L vs. [#5FW] Josh Emmett (16-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)
2019-11-02: W vs. [#40FW] Makwan Amirkhani (16-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 3
2019-05-04: W vs. [#20FW] Cub Swanson (27-12-0) via SD (30-27, 27-30, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Shane Burgos -126 52.96%
Elo K170 Edson Barboza 1849.50 +35.65 54.06%
Elo Modified Edson Barboza 1909.38 +130.35 63.89%
Glicko-1 Edson Barboza 1961.91 +158.39 71.34%
WHR Edson Barboza 1828.06 +102.74 61.52%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Edson Barboza 217, Shane Burgos 329
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#13] Ronaldo Souza (26-9-0, -128) vs. [#38] Andre Muniz (20-4-0, +104)
Ronaldo Souza is the All-Time #10 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ronaldo Souza (0-3-0)
2020-12-12: L vs. [#14MW] Kevin Holland (21-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:45 of round 1
2019-11-16: L vs. [#1LHW/#4P4P] Jan Blachowicz (28-8-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-04-27: L vs. [#10MW] Jack Hermansson (21-6-0) via UD (49-45, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Andre Muniz (3-0-0)
2020-09-05: W vs. [#58MW] Bartosz Fabinski (15-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:42 of round 1
2019-11-16: W vs. [#171MW] Antonio Arroyo (9-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-08-06: W vs. [#105MW] Taylor Johnson (6-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:46 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ronaldo Souza -128 53.38%
Elo K170 Ronaldo Souza 1801.37 +8.26 50.95%
Elo Modified Ronaldo Souza 1883.51 +85.29 59.23%
Glicko-1 Ronaldo Souza 1963.44 +139.49 69.06%
WHR Ronaldo Souza 1809.13 +27.42 53.13%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ronaldo Souza 154, Andre Muniz 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#16] Matt Schnell (15-5-0, -168) vs. [#44] Rogerio Bontorin (16-3-0, +138)

Last 3 Fights: Matt Schnell (2-1-0)
2021-01-20: W vs. [#37FLY] Tyson Nam (20-12-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-12-21: L vs. [#4FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (23-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:17 of round 1
2019-08-03: W vs. [#41FLY] Jordan Espinosa (15-9-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 1:23 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Rogerio Bontorin (1-2-0)
2021-03-06: L vs. [#14FLY] Kai Kara France (22-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:55 of round 1
2020-02-15: L vs. [#39BW] Ray Borg (13-5-0) via UD (30-25, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-08-10: W vs. [#15FLY] Raulian Paiva (20-3-0) via TKO (Cut) in 2:56 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Matt Schnell -168 59.87%
Elo K170 Matt Schnell 1710.28 +159.55 67.46%
Elo Modified Matt Schnell 1632.33 +82.84 58.97%
Glicko-1 Matt Schnell 1622.36 +37.23 55.34%
WHR Matt Schnell 1551.35 +15.96 51.82%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Matt Schnell 115, Rogerio Bontorin 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#48LW] Lando Vannata (11-5-2, -102) vs. [#93] Mike Grundy (12-2-0, -122)

Last 3 Fights: Lando Vannata (1-2-0)
2020-08-01: L vs. [#31LW] Bobby Green (27-11-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2020-02-15: W vs. [#101LW] Yancy Medeiros (15-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-09-28: L vs. [#105LW] Marc Diakiese (14-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Mike Grundy (2-1-0)
2020-07-25: L vs. [#19FW] Movsar Evloev (14-0-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-03-16: W vs. [#131FW] Nad Narimani (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:42 of round 2
2017-11-04: W vs. [*] Fernando Bruno (16-5-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mike Grundy -122 52.11%
Elo K170 Mike Grundy 1703.13 +213.14 72.58%
Elo Modified Mike Grundy 1724.95 +198.94 70.49%
Glicko-1 Mike Grundy 1725.49 +177.48 73.53%
WHR Mike Grundy 1639.67 +145.29 66.01%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lando Vannata 287, Mike Grundy 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#14] Antonina Shevchenko (9-2-0, -180) vs. [#26] Andrea Lee (11-5-0, +147)

Last 3 Fights: Antonina Shevchenko (2-1-0)
2020-11-21: W vs. [#36FLY] Ariane Lipski (13-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:33 of round 2
2020-05-30: L vs. [#3FLY] Katlyn Chookagian (15-4-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-25)
2019-08-03: W vs. [#12FW] Lucie Pudilova (11-6-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:20 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Andrea Lee (0-3-0)
2020-09-12: L vs. [#18FLY] Roxanne Modafferi (25-18-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-02-08: L vs. [#7FLY] Lauren Murphy (14-4-0) via SD (30-27, 29-28, 28-29)
2019-09-07: L vs. [#10FLY] Joanne Calderwood (15-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Antonina Shevchenko -180 61.35%
Elo K170 Antonina Shevchenko 1500.88 +228.45 73.96%
Elo Modified Antonina Shevchenko 1548.53 +167.13 67.52%
Glicko-1 Antonina Shevchenko 1573.92 +181.48 73.98%
WHR Antonina Shevchenko 1538.51 +147.16 66.20%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Antonina Shevchenko 175, Andrea Lee 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#142] Jordan Wright (11-1-0, -111) vs. [#199] Jamie Pickett (11-5-0, -112)

Last 3 Fights: Jordan Wright (2-1-0)
2020-11-21: L vs. [#94MW] Joaquin Buckley (12-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:18 of round 2
2020-08-22: W vs. [#107LHW] Isaac Villanueva (18-11-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 1:31 of round 1
2020-01-17: W vs. [*] Gabriel Checco (11-5-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 0:48 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jamie Pickett (2-1-0)
2020-12-19: L vs. [#96MW] Tafon Nchukwi (5-1-0) via UD (30-26, 30-25, 30-26)
2020-08-25: W vs. [#281MW] Jhonoven Pati (6-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 2
2019-09-28: W vs. [*] Jaquis Williams (7-11-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jamie Pickett -112 50.10%
Elo K170 Jordan Wright 1450.29 +162.43 67.75%
Elo Modified Jordan Wright 1474.81 +121.64 63.01%
Glicko-1 Jordan Wright 1527.25 +170.66 72.76%
WHR Jordan Wright 1486.69 +131.66 64.60%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jordan Wright 175, Jamie Pickett 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#46] Gina Mazany (7-4-0, -203) vs. [#57] Priscila Cachoeira (9-3-0, +165)

Last 3 Fights: Gina Mazany (2-1-0)
2020-11-28: W vs. [#113FLY] Rachael Ostovich (4-6-0) via KO (Kick to the Body) in 4:10 of round 3
2020-06-13: L vs. [#16BW] Julia Avila (8-2-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 0:22 of round 1
2020-01-25: W vs. [NA] Valerie Barney (4-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:22 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Priscila Cachoeira (1-2-0)
2020-02-22: W vs. [#48FLY] Shana Dobson (4-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:40 of round 1
2019-05-11: L vs. [#47FLY] Luana Carolina (7-2-0) via UD ()
2019-03-16: L vs. [#45FLY] Molly McCann (10-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gina Mazany -203 63.96%
Elo K170 Priscila Cachoeira 1256.19 +13.06 51.49%
Elo Modified Gina Mazany 1312.93 +9.79 51.07%
Glicko-1 Priscila Cachoeira 1278.15 +24.16 53.47%
WHR Priscila Cachoeira 1290.51 +49.74 55.66%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gina Mazany 168, Priscila Cachoeira 448
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#123] Kevin Aguilar (17-4-0, +100) vs. [#188] Tucker Lutz (11-1-0, -124)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Aguilar (0-3-0)
2020-06-13: L vs. [#83FW] Charles Rosa (13-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-02-22: L vs. [#122LW] Zubaira Tukhugov (19-5-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:21 of round 1
2019-06-22: L vs. [#10FW] Dan Ige (15-3-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Tucker Lutz (3-0-0)
2020-11-17: W vs. [#484LW] Sherrard Blackledge (5-1-0) via UD ()
2020-09-01: W vs. [#384FW] Chase Gibson (11-5-0) via UD ()
2019-11-02: W vs. [NA] Trevor Thompson (2-3-0) via TKO (Strikes) in 4:55 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tucker Lutz -124 52.54%
Elo K170 Tucker Lutz 1532.13 +1.55 50.18%
Elo Modified Kevin Aguilar 1593.39 +28.14 53.08%
Glicko-1 Kevin Aguilar 1606.73 +35.19 55.05%
WHR Kevin Aguilar 1588.77 +88.95 60.02%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Aguilar 336, Tucker Lutz 179
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#70] Christos Giagos (18-8-0) vs. [#136] Sean Soriano (14-6-0)

Last 3 Fights: Christos Giagos (2-1-0)
2020-12-19: W vs. [#400LW] Carlton Minus (10-3-0) via UD (30-26, 29-27, 29-28)
2019-08-17: L vs. [#51LW] Drakkar Klose (11-2-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-06-01: W vs. [#98LW] Damir Hadzovic (13-6-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Sean Soriano (3-0-0)
2021-03-20: W vs. [#396LW] Noad Lahat (13-5-0) via TKO in 2:01 of round 1
2020-09-18: W vs. [#231FW] Jose Mariscal (10-6-0) via UD ()
2019-07-26: W vs. [*] Saul Almeida (20-12-0) via TKO in 1:22 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Christos Giagos 1701.54 +126.19 64.03%
Elo Modified Christos Giagos 1717.43 +130.61 63.92%
Glicko-1 Christos Giagos 1721.29 +125.52 67.32%
WHR Christos Giagos 1658.12 +135.36 64.99%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Christos Giagos 147, Sean Soriano 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Charles Oliveira
Highest Stored DD Rating: Charles Oliveira
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Charles Oliveira vs. Michael Chandler
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Charles Oliveira vs. Michael Chandler
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Large [***½]
Run Date: 2021-5-9

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