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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 260: Miocic vs Ngannou 2 (2021-03-27)

Posted on March 22, 2021 by Jason

Heavyweight Championship (265)
[#1/#2DD/#2P4P] Stipe Miocic (20-3-0, +107) vs. [#2] Francis Ngannou (15-3-0, -131)
Stipe Miocic is the All-Time #3 ranked Heavyweight and #14 ranked Absolute fighter.
Francis Ngannou is the All-Time #25 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Stipe Miocic (2-1-0)
2020-08-15: W vs. [*] Daniel Cormier (22-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2019-08-17: W vs. [*] Daniel Cormier (22-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:09 of round 4
2018-07-07: L vs. [*] Daniel Cormier (22-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:33 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Francis Ngannou (3-0-0)
2020-05-09: W vs. [#7HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (11-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:20 of round 1
2019-06-29: W vs. [#9HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:11 of round 1
2019-02-17: W vs. [*] Cain Velasquez (14-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Francis Ngannou -131 53.99%
Elo K170 Stipe Miocic 2402.41 +231.63 74.23%
Elo Modified Stipe Miocic 2381.36 +226.19 72.91%
Glicko-1 Stipe Miocic 2494.16 +203.54 76.35%
WHR Stipe Miocic 2270.90 +224.05 73.57%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Stipe Miocic 224, Francis Ngannou 322
Previous Match-up Record: Stipe Miocic leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 3 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#8] Tyron Woodley (19-6-1, +212) vs. [#12] Vicente Luque (19-7-1, -267)
Tyron Woodley is the All-Time #3 ranked Welterweight and #27 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tyron Woodley (0-3-0)
2020-09-19: L vs. [#2WW] Colby Covington (16-2-0) via TKO (Rib Injury) in 1:19 of round 5
2020-05-30: L vs. [#4WW] Gilbert Burns (19-4-0) via UD (50-45, 50-44, 50-44)
2019-03-02: L vs. [#1WW/#1DD/#1P4P] Kamaru Usman (18-1-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-44)

Last 3 Fights: Vicente Luque (2-1-0)
2020-08-01: W vs. [#45WW] Randy Brown (12-4-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 4:56 of round 2
2020-05-09: W vs. [#44WW] Niko Price (14-4-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage in 3:37 of round 3
2019-11-02: L vs. [#6WW] Stephen Thompson (16-4-1) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Vicente Luque -267 69.41%
Elo K170 Tyron Woodley 2060.55 +92.96 60.46%
Elo Modified Tyron Woodley 2024.03 +75.56 58.19%
Glicko-1 Tyron Woodley 2067.76 +33.10 54.75%
WHR Vicente Luque 1892.32 +55.58 56.32%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tyron Woodley 189, Vicente Luque 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tyron Woodley leads 1-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#35] Sean OMalley (12-1-0, -311) vs. [#282] Thomas Almeida (22-4-0, +243)

Last 3 Fights: Sean OMalley (2-1-0)
2020-08-15: L vs. [#16BW] Marlon Vera (17-7-1) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:40 of round 1
2020-06-06: W vs. [#75BW] Eddie Wineland (24-15-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:54 of round 1
2020-03-07: W vs. [#117BW] Jose Alberto Quinonez (8-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:02 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Thomas Almeida (0-3-0)
2020-10-17: L vs. [#79BW] Jonathan Martinez (13-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-01-20: L vs. [#5BW] Rob Font (18-4-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 2:24 of round 2
2017-07-22: L vs. [#14BW] Jimmie Rivera (23-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sean OMalley -311 72.19%
Elo K170 Sean OMalley 1664.20 +175.96 69.08%
Elo Modified Sean OMalley 1697.20 +155.50 66.39%
Glicko-1 Sean OMalley 1736.05 +152.94 70.69%
WHR Sean OMalley 1586.30 +168.33 68.33%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sean OMalley 224, Thomas Almeida 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#72] Khama Worthy (16-7-0, -149) vs. [#392] Jamie Mullarkey (13-4-0, +122)

Last 3 Fights: Khama Worthy (2-1-0)
2020-09-12: L vs. [#44LW] Ottman Azaitar (13-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:33 of round 1
2020-06-27: W vs. [#119LW] Luis Pena (8-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:53 of round 3
2019-08-17: W vs. [#76LW] Devonte Smith (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:15 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jamie Mullarkey (1-2-0)
2020-10-17: L vs. [#163LW] Fares Ziam (11-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-10-05: L vs. [#74LW] Brad Riddell (9-1-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-27)
2019-05-03: W vs. [*] Edimar Teixeira (3-4-0) via TKO in of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Khama Worthy -149 57.05%
Elo K170 Khama Worthy 1620.29 +326.48 81.63%
Elo Modified Khama Worthy 1645.73 +284.90 77.68%
Glicko-1 Khama Worthy 1664.12 +298.82 84.82%
WHR Khama Worthy 1562.10 +176.27 69.11%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Khama Worthy 196, Jamie Mullarkey 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#58] Alonzo Menifield (9-2-0, -112) vs. [#67] William Knight (9-1-0, -112)

Last 3 Fights: Alonzo Menifield (1-2-0)
2020-09-05: L vs. [#26LHW] Ovince St. Preux (25-15-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:07 of round 2
2020-06-06: L vs. [#42LHW] Devin Clark (12-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-06-29: W vs. [#25LHW] Paul Craig (14-4-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:19 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: William Knight (3-0-0)
2020-09-26: W vs. [#101LHW] Aleksa Camur (6-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-09-01: W vs. [#197MW] Cody Brundage (6-1-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:23 of round 1
2020-01-24: W vs. [#187LHW] Rocky Edwards (12-10-1) via TKO in 2:56 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alonzo Menifield -112 50.00%
Elo K170 William Knight 1541.69 +54.90 56.24%
Elo Modified William Knight 1602.03 +52.31 55.70%
Glicko-1 William Knight 1582.46 +14.81 52.13%
WHR William Knight 1522.13 +36.25 54.13%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alonzo Menifield 203, William Knight 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[*] Hannah Goldy (5-1-0, -120) vs. [*] Jessica Penne (12-5-0, -104)
Jessica Penne is the All-Time #43 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Hannah Goldy (2-1-0)
2019-08-03: L vs. [#63SW] Miranda Granger (7-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-06-18: W vs. [*] Kali Robbins (7-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2018-09-29: W vs. [#158SW] Shannon Goughary (4-5-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Jessica Penne (0-3-0)
2017-04-22: L vs. [#29SW] Danielle Taylor (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2016-06-04: L vs. [#2FLY/#9DD/#7P4P] Jessica Andrade (21-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:56 of round 2
2015-06-20: L vs. [#3SW/#9P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (16-4-0) via TKO (Punches and Knee) in 4:22 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Hannah Goldy -120 51.69%
Elo K170 Hannah Goldy 1295.61 +18.67 52.13%
Elo Modified Hannah Goldy 1371.67 +83.32 59.02%
Glicko-1 Hannah Goldy 1297.48 +58.85 58.39%
WHR Jessica Penne 1266.15 +47.26 55.38%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Hannah Goldy 602, Jessica Penne 1435
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[*] Abubakar Nurmagomedov (15-3-1) vs. [#194] Jared Gooden (17-5-0)

Last 3 Fights: Abubakar Nurmagomedov (1-1-1)
2019-11-09: L vs. [#77WW] David Zawada (17-6-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:50 of round 1
2018-10-20: D vs. [#98WW] Bojan Velickovic (18-10-2) via Draw (Unanimous) in 5:00 of round 2
2018-08-16: W vs. [*] Jonatan Westin (11-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jared Gooden (2-1-0)
2020-11-21: L vs. [#69WW] Alan Jouban (17-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-07-23: W vs. [#570WW] Trent McCown (8-5-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 2:31 of round 2
2020-02-29: W vs. [#646MW] Jay Jackson (3-14-0) via SUB in of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Abubakar Nurmagomedov 1480.92 +92.39 60.40%
Elo Modified Abubakar Nurmagomedov 1543.54 +89.46 59.67%
Glicko-1 Abubakar Nurmagomedov 1548.49 +78.99 61.18%
WHR Abubakar Nurmagomedov 1507.24 +121.06 63.48%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Abubakar Nurmagomedov 504, Jared Gooden 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#49] Michal Oleksiejczuk (16-4-0, -154) vs. [#59] Modestas Bukauskas (11-3-0, +127)

Last 3 Fights: Michal Oleksiejczuk (1-2-0)
2020-02-22: L vs. [#23LHW] Jimmy Crute (12-1-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 3:29 of round 1
2019-09-28: L vs. [#26LHW] Ovince St. Preux (25-15-0) via Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 2:14 of round 2
2019-04-20: W vs. [#122LHW] Gadzhimurad Antigulov (20-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:44 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Modestas Bukauskas (2-1-0)
2020-10-17: L vs. [#23LHW] Jimmy Crute (12-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 1
2020-07-15: W vs. [#116MW] Andreas Michailidis (12-4-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 5:00 of round 1
2019-11-22: W vs. [*] Riccardo Nosiglia (8-2-0) via KO (Elbows) in 3:51 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Michal Oleksiejczuk -154 57.91%
Elo K170 Michal Oleksiejczuk 1551.78 +19.48 52.22%
Elo Modified Michal Oleksiejczuk 1585.79 +27.36 52.99%
Glicko-1 Michal Oleksiejczuk 1602.15 +15.11 52.17%
WHR Modestas Bukauskas 1563.72 +23.61 52.70%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michal Oleksiejczuk 399, Modestas Bukauskas 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Modestas Bukauskas leads 2-1
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#19] Miranda Maverick (8-2-0, -169) vs. [#20] Gillian Robertson (9-5-0, +139)

Last 3 Fights: Miranda Maverick (3-0-0)
2020-10-24: W vs. [#72FLY] Liana Jojua (8-4-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2020-02-07: W vs. [#37FLY] Pearl Gonzalez (10-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2019-09-06: W vs. [#48BW] DeAnna Bennett (10-7-1) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 3:38 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Gillian Robertson (2-1-0)
2020-12-19: L vs. [#11FLY] Taila Santos (17-1-0) via UD (30-26, 29-28, 30-26)
2020-10-17: W vs. [#45FLY] Poliana Botelho (8-3-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-28)
2020-06-20: W vs. [#31FLY] Cortney Casey (9-9-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:36 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Miranda Maverick -169 60.02%
Elo K170 Miranda Maverick 1485.13 +23.93 52.73%
Elo Modified Miranda Maverick 1525.57 +37.27 54.07%
Glicko-1 Miranda Maverick 1504.68 +1.98 50.28%
WHR Miranda Maverick 1441.41 +36.52 54.16%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Miranda Maverick 154, Gillian Robertson 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#63] Marc-Andre Barriault (12-4-0, -124) vs. [*] Abu Azaitar (14-1-1, -100)

Last 3 Fights: Marc-Andre Barriault (1-2-0)
2020-06-20: W vs. [#235MW] Oskar Piechota (11-4-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:50 of round 2
2019-12-21: L vs. [#59MW] Jun Yong Park (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-07-27: L vs. [#19MW] Krzysztof Jotko (22-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Abu Azaitar (3-0-0)
2018-07-22: W vs. [*] Vitor Miranda (12-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2016-10-07: W vs. [*] Michael Arrant (15-12-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2016-04-02: W vs. [*] Danny Davis Jr. (13-13-1) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Marc-Andre Barriault -124 52.54%
Elo K170 Abu Azaitar 1681.46 +188.87 70.33%
Elo Modified Abu Azaitar 1713.62 +150.89 65.94%
Glicko-1 Abu Azaitar 1744.29 +163.92 71.98%
WHR Abu Azaitar 1713.74 +184.86 69.94%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marc-Andre Barriault 280, Abu Azaitar 979
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Stipe Miocic
Highest Stored DD Rating: Stipe Miocic
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Stipe Miocic vs. Francis Ngannou
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Stipe Miocic vs. Francis Ngannou
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2021-3-21

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