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Fight Matrix
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 (03-07-2026)

Posted on March 2, 2026 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#3][#3UFC] Charles Oliveira (36-11-0, +179) vs. [#4][#4UFC] Max Holloway (27-8-0, -220)
Charles Oliveira is the All-Time #6 ranked Lightweight and #32 ranked Absolute fighter.
Max Holloway is the All-Time #46 ranked Lightweight and #8 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Charles Oliveira (2-1-0)
2025-10-11: W vs. [#8LW] Mateusz Gamrot (25-4-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 2:48 of round 2
2025-06-28: L vs. [#2P4P][#9DD][#1LW] Ilia Topuria (17-0-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:27 of round 1
2024-11-16: W vs. [#25LW] Michael Chandler (23-10-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)

Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (2-1-0)
2025-07-19: W vs. [*] Dustin Poirier (30-10-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2024-10-26: L vs. [#2P4P][#9DD][#1LW] Ilia Topuria (17-0-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 3
2024-04-13: W vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (27-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:59 of round 5

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Max Holloway -220 65.73%
Elo K170 Max Holloway 2341.64 +59.15 58.43%
Elo Modified Max Holloway 2303.24 +32.80 54.71%
Glicko-1 Charles Oliveira 2371.32 +1.74 50.25%
WHR Charles Oliveira 2180.40 +24.97 53.59%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Charles Oliveira 36.4, Max Holloway 34.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Oliveira 147, Max Holloway 231
Previous Match-up Record: Max Holloway leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Max Holloway leads 7-3
.

Middleweight (185)
[#11][#10UFC] Caio Borralho (17-2-0, -263) vs. [#15][#12UFC] Reinier de Ridder (21-3-0, +212)

Last 3 Fights: Caio Borralho (2-1-0)
2025-09-06: L vs. [#3MW] Nassourdine Imavov (17-4-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2024-08-24: W vs. [#14MW] Jared Cannonier (18-9-0) via UD (49-46, 48-46, 49-45)
2024-05-04: W vs. [*] Paul Craig (17-10-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:10 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Reinier de Ridder (2-1-0)
2025-10-18: L vs. [#6MW] Brendan Allen (26-7-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2025-07-26: W vs. [#10MW] Robert Whittaker (26-9-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#32MW] Bo Nickal (8-1-0) via TKO (Knees) in 1:53 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Caio Borralho -263 69.33%
Elo K170 Caio Borralho 2036.09 +46.58 56.66%
Elo Modified Caio Borralho 2015.27 +55.88 57.97%
Glicko-1 Caio Borralho 2060.69 +47.23 56.76%
WHR Caio Borralho 1954.98 +56.84 58.11%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Caio Borralho 33.1, Reinier de Ridder 35.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Caio Borralho 182, Reinier de Ridder 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#16][#15UFC] Rob Font (22-9-0, +177) vs. [#84][#44UFC] Raul Rosas Jr. (11-1-0, -217)
Rob Font is the All-Time #35 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rob Font (2-1-0)
2025-09-13: L vs. [#12BW] David Martinez (14-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#33BW] Jean Matsumoto (17-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#24BW] Kyler Phillips (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Raul Rosas Jr. (3-0-0)
2025-03-29: W vs. [#128BW] Vince Morales (16-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-14: W vs. [#103BW] Qileng Aori (28-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#749BW] Ricky Turcios (12-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:22 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Raul Rosas Jr. -217 65.47%
Elo K170 Rob Font 1848.51 +158.70 71.37%
Elo Modified Rob Font 1792.99 +113.68 65.80%
Glicko-1 Rob Font 1840.19 +138.91 68.99%
WHR Rob Font 1727.18 +117.07 66.24%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Rob Font 38.7, Raul Rosas Jr. 21.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rob Font 175, Raul Rosas Jr. 343
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#54][#31UFC] Michael Johnson (24-19-0, -148) vs. [#69][#38UFC] Drew Dober (28-15-0, +123)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Johnson (3-0-0)
2025-07-19: W vs. [#100LW] Daniel Zellhuber (15-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#571LW] Ottman Azaitar (13-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:03 of round 2
2024-02-10: W vs. [*] Darrius Flowers (12-8-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Drew Dober (1-2-0)
2025-10-18: W vs. [#335LW] Kyle Prepolec (18-10-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 1:16 of round 3
2025-03-29: L vs. [#19LW] Manuel Torres (17-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:45 of round 1
2024-07-13: L vs. [#12FW] Jean Silva (17-3-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 1:28 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Michael Johnson -148 57.09%
Elo K170 Michael Johnson 1773.25 +121.95 66.86%
Elo Modified Michael Johnson 1800.51 +152.89 70.69%
Glicko-1 Michael Johnson 1854.58 +155.73 71.02%
WHR Drew Dober 1700.97 +10.27 51.48%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Michael Johnson 39.7, Drew Dober 37.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Johnson 231, Drew Dober 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#18][#15UFC] Gregory Rodrigues (18-6-0, -199) vs. [#19][#16UFC] Brunno Ferreira (15-2-0, +163)

Last 3 Fights: Gregory Rodrigues (2-1-0)
2025-11-15: W vs. [#25MW] Roman Kopylov (14-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-06-28: W vs. [#107WW] Jack Hermansson (24-10-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:21 of round 1
2025-02-15: L vs. [#14MW] Jared Cannonier (18-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Brunno Ferreira (3-0-0)
2025-12-06: W vs. [#20MW] Marvin Vettori (19-10-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-07-19: W vs. [#414MW] Jackson Mcvey (6-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:35 of round 1
2025-03-08: W vs. [#104MW] Armen Petrosyan (11-6-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 4:27 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gregory Rodrigues -199 63.64%
Elo K170 Gregory Rodrigues 1957.67 +122.46 66.93%
Elo Modified Gregory Rodrigues 1972.46 +121.24 66.77%
Glicko-1 Gregory Rodrigues 2042.59 +143.34 69.53%
WHR Gregory Rodrigues 1878.80 +82.21 61.61%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Gregory Rodrigues 34.0, Brunno Ferreira 33.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gregory Rodrigues 112, Brunno Ferreira 91
Previous Match-up Record: Brunno Ferreira leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Brunno Ferreira leads 1-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#55][#36UFC] Cody Garbrandt (14-7-0, +133) vs. [#138][#55UFC] Long Xiao (27-10-0, -163)
Cody Garbrandt is the All-Time #13 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cody Garbrandt (1-2-0)
2025-06-14: L vs. [#25BW] Raoni Barcelos (21-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#9BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (25-6-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:02 of round 2
2023-12-16: W vs. [*] Brian Kelleher (24-16-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:42 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Long Xiao (1-2-0)
2025-08-23: L vs. [#59BW] Su Young You (17-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#273BW] Quang Le (9-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:28 of round 3
2024-06-22: L vs. [#142BW] Chang Ho Lee (11-2-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Long Xiao -163 59.08%
Elo K170 Cody Garbrandt 1679.82 +117.41 66.28%
Elo Modified Cody Garbrandt 1695.29 +139.22 69.03%
Glicko-1 Cody Garbrandt 1729.97 +146.36 69.90%
WHR Cody Garbrandt 1597.25 +73.45 60.42%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Cody Garbrandt 34.6, Long Xiao 27.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cody Garbrandt 266, Long Xiao 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#90][#51UFC] Donte Johnson (7-0-0, -538) vs. [#145][#62UFC] Cody Brundage (11-9-0, +386)

Last 3 Fights: Donte Johnson (3-0-0)
2025-11-01: W vs. [#153MW] Sedriques Dumas (11-4-0) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 1:25 of round 2
2025-08-26: W vs. [#159HW+] Darion Abbey (9-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:04 of round 1
2025-07-27: W vs. [#288LHW] James Ford (4-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:37 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Cody Brundage (0-3-0)
2026-01-31: L vs. [#53MW] Cameron Rowston (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:08 of round 2
2025-08-09: L vs. [#144MW] Eric McConico (10-4-1) via SD (29-28, 27-30, 29-28)
2025-06-14: L vs. [#77MW] Mansur Abdul-Malik (10-0-0) via TUD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Donte Johnson -538 80.38%
Elo K170 Donte Johnson 1511.67 +217.22 77.74%
Elo Modified Donte Johnson 1515.28 +152.62 70.65%
Glicko-1 Donte Johnson 1554.83 +176.18 73.38%
WHR Donte Johnson 1444.33 +67.86 59.64%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Donte Johnson 27.1, Cody Brundage 31.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Donte Johnson 126, Cody Brundage 35
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Donte Johnson leads 1-0
.

Featherweight (145)
[*] Alberto Montes (11-1-0, -188) vs. [#749BW][#77BWUFC] Ricky Turcios (12-5-0, +153)

Last 3 Fights: Alberto Montes (3-0-0)
2024-10-01: W vs. [#185FW] Carlos Calderon (9-4-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 2:38 of round 2
2024-06-22: W vs. [#841BW] Kevin Garcia (10-9-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 0:52 of round 2
2023-09-16: W vs. [*] Adam Ortiz (5-4-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:09 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ricky Turcios (1-2-0)
2025-01-18: L vs. [#235BW] Bernardo Sopai (12-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-06-08: L vs. [#84BW] Raul Rosas Jr. (11-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:22 of round 2
2022-11-19: W vs. [#996BW] Kevin Natividad (9-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alberto Montes -188 62.28%
Elo K170 Alberto Montes 1465.56 +128.54 67.70%
Elo Modified Alberto Montes 1505.67 +183.89 74.24%
Glicko-1 Alberto Montes 1500.90 +234.32 79.40%
WHR Alberto Montes 1448.87 +155.13 70.95%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Alberto Montes 31.7, Ricky Turcios 32.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alberto Montes 522, Ricky Turcios 413
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#74][#34UFC] Cody Durden (17-9-1, +134) vs. [#81][#38UFC] Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (9-1-0, -162)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Durden (0-3-0)
2025-11-01: L vs. [#25FLY] Allan Nascimento (22-6-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 3:13 of round 2
2025-06-14: L vs. [#58FLY] Jose Ochoa (8-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:11 of round 2
2024-12-07: L vs. [#3DD][#4P4P][#1FLY] Joshua Van (16-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-26, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (2-1-0)
2025-08-22: W vs. [#281FLY] Terrance Saeteurn (8-2-0) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 2:53 of round 1
2024-11-23: L vs. [#154FLY] Carlos Hernandez (10-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2023-08-27: W vs. [#684BW] Peter Danesoe (8-4-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:02 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Nyamjargal Tumendemberel -162 59.12%
Elo K170 Nyamjargal Tumendemberel 1532.47 +141.15 69.27%
Elo Modified Nyamjargal Tumendemberel 1555.92 +132.72 68.22%
Glicko-1 Nyamjargal Tumendemberel 1590.22 +181.92 74.02%
WHR Nyamjargal Tumendemberel 1525.48 +60.43 58.61%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Cody Durden 34.9, Nyamjargal Tumendemberel 27.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cody Durden 126, Nyamjargal Tumendemberel 197
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#52][#28UFC] Jesus Santos Aguilar (12-3-0, +195) vs. [#64][#32UFC] Su Mudaerji (18-7-0, -244)

Last 3 Fights: Jesus Santos Aguilar (2-1-0)
2025-09-13: W vs. [#157FLY] Luis Gurule (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-02-15: L vs. [#62BW] Rafael Estevam (14-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#428FLY] Stewart Nicoll (8-2-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:39 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Su Mudaerji (2-1-0)
2025-08-23: W vs. [#115FLY] Kevin Borjas (10-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-04-12: W vs. [#96FLY] Mitch Raposo (11-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-10-19: L vs. [#31FLY] Charles Johnson (18-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Su Mudaerji -244 67.66%
Elo K170 Jesus Santos Aguilar 1652.61 +102.61 64.35%
Elo Modified Jesus Santos Aguilar 1647.16 +131.40 68.06%
Glicko-1 Jesus Santos Aguilar 1648.21 +127.95 67.62%
WHR Jesus Santos Aguilar 1591.90 +104.65 64.62%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jesus Santos Aguilar 30.0, Su Mudaerji 30.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jesus Santos Aguilar 175, Su Mudaerji 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#95] Rafael Tobias (15-1-0, -250) vs. [#113][#35UFC] Diyar Nurgozhay (10-2-0, +188)

Last 3 Fights: Rafael Tobias (3-0-0)
2025-09-23: W vs. [#254LHW] Jair de Oliveira (6-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:46 of round 1
2025-04-12: W vs. [#313LHW] Wellington Silva Lopes (12-5-0) via TKO (Leg Kicks) in 0:00 of round 2
2024-08-01: W vs. [*] Marcelo Nunez (10-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:10 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Diyar Nurgozhay (1-2-0)
2025-08-23: L vs. [#69LHW] Uran Satybaldiev (10-1-0) via Submission (Ezekiel Choke) in 2:45 of round 1
2025-03-15: L vs. [#75LHW] Brendson Ribeiro (17-9-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 1:28 of round 2
2024-10-01: W vs. [#129LHW] Bartosz Szewczyk (9-4-1) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:32 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rafael Tobias -250 67.29%
Elo K170 Rafael Tobias 1559.89 +139.91 69.11%
Elo Modified Rafael Tobias 1581.02 +123.32 67.04%
Glicko-1 Rafael Tobias 1639.50 +183.24 74.17%
WHR Rafael Tobias 1506.87 +53.33 57.61%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Rafael Tobias 22.9, Diyar Nurgozhay 28.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafael Tobias 165, Diyar Nurgozhay 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#213][#65UFC] Jeong Yeong Lee (11-3-0, -265) vs. [#379BW][#71BWUFC] Gaston Bolanos (8-5-0, +209)

Last 3 Fights: Jeong Yeong Lee (1-2-0)
2025-05-10: L vs. [#101LW] Daniel Santos (15-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-07-20: L vs. [#80FW] Hyder Amil (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:05 of round 1
2024-02-03: W vs. [*] Blake Bilder (8-2-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Gaston Bolanos (1-2-0)
2025-05-03: L vs. [#273BW] Quang Le (9-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:54 of round 2
2024-11-09: W vs. [#563FW] Cortavious Romious (9-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2024-01-13: L vs. [#23BW] Marcus McGhee (10-2-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 3:29 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jeong Yeong Lee -265 69.16%
Elo K170 Jeong Yeong Lee 1545.54 +240.93 80.01%
Elo Modified Jeong Yeong Lee 1518.58 +165.44 72.16%
Glicko-1 Jeong Yeong Lee 1531.49 +201.03 76.08%
WHR Jeong Yeong Lee 1526.39 +258.94 81.62%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jeong Yeong Lee 30.3, Gaston Bolanos 33.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jeong Yeong Lee 301, Gaston Bolanos 308
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#71][#31UFC] Rodolfo Bellato (12-3-1, +183) vs. [#80] Luke Fernandez (6-0-0, -227)

Last 3 Fights: Rodolfo Bellato (0-1-1, 1 NC)
2025-09-27: L vs. [#39LHW] Navajo Stirling (8-0-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-06-14: NC vs. [*] Paul Craig (17-10-1)
2025-02-08: D vs. [#31LHW] Jimmy Crute (14-4-2) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Luke Fernandez (3-0-0)
2025-10-07: W vs. [#375HW+] Rafael Pergentino (5-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:15 of round 1
2025-05-24: W vs. [#106LHW] Christian Edwards (8-4-0) via UD ()
2024-12-13: W vs. [#236LHW] Gregg Ellis (8-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:49 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Luke Fernandez -227 66.26%
Elo K170 Rodolfo Bellato 1519.76 +35.15 55.04%
Elo Modified Luke Fernandez 1585.38 +16.86 52.42%
Glicko-1 Rodolfo Bellato 1593.66 +52.47 57.49%
WHR Rodolfo Bellato 1549.82 +89.18 62.56%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Rodolfo Bellato 30.1, Luke Fernandez 30.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rodolfo Bellato 161, Luke Fernandez 151
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Charles Oliveira
Highest Stored DD Rating: Charles Oliveira
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Outstanding [****½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Moderate [***]
Run Date: 2026-3-1

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