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Fight Matrix
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape (12-13-2025)

Posted on December 8, 2025 by Jason

Flyweight (125)
[#5][#5UFC] Brandon Royval (17-8-0, +239) vs. [#9][#8UFC] Manel Kape (21-7-0, -297)
Brandon Royval is the All-Time #13 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Manel Kape is the All-Time #28 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Royval (2-1-0)
2025-06-28: L vs. [#2DD][#5P4P][#1FLY] Joshua Van (16-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-10-12: W vs. [#3FLY] Tatsuro Taira (18-1-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#6FLY] Brandon Moreno (23-9-2) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 46-49)

Last 3 Fights: Manel Kape (2-1-0)
2025-03-01: W vs. [#13FLY] Asu Almabayev (23-3-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 2:16 of round 3
2024-12-14: W vs. [#28FLY] Bruno Silva (15-8-2) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:57 of round 3
2024-07-27: L vs. [#8FLY] Muhammad Mokaev (16-0-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Manel Kape -297 71.71%
Elo K170 Manel Kape 1920.99 +5.59 50.81%
Elo Modified Manel Kape 1902.81 +105.83 64.78%
Glicko-1 Manel Kape 1972.63 +131.12 68.02%
WHR Manel Kape 1898.38 +159.14 71.42%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Brandon Royval 33.3, Manel Kape 32.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Royval 168, Manel Kape 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Brandon Royval leads 1-0
.

Featherweight (145)
[#26][#17UFC] Giga Chikadze (15-5-0, +213) vs. [#68][#37UFC] Kevin Vallejos (16-1-0, -265)

Last 3 Fights: Giga Chikadze (1-2-0)
2025-04-26: L vs. [#25FW] David Onama (14-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-07-27: L vs. [*] Arnold Allen (20-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-08-26: W vs. [*] Alex Caceres (21-15-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Vallejos (3-0-0)
2025-08-02: W vs. [#145FW] Danny Silva (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-03-15: W vs. [#184FW] Seung Woo Choi (11-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:09 of round 1
2024-09-24: W vs. [#573FW] Cam Teague (9-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:23 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kevin Vallejos -265 69.44%
Elo K170 Giga Chikadze 1744.52 +26.05 53.74%
Elo Modified Giga Chikadze 1743.26 +20.24 52.91%
Glicko-1 Giga Chikadze 1794.55 +27.02 53.88%
WHR Kevin Vallejos 1697.52 +7.93 51.14%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Giga Chikadze 37.3, Kevin Vallejos 24.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Giga Chikadze 231, Kevin Vallejos 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#61][#38UFC] Cesar Almeida (7-1-0, +143) vs. [#66] Cezary Oleksiejczuk (16-3-0, -173)

Last 3 Fights: Cesar Almeida (2-1-0)
2025-01-11: W vs. [#111MW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (12-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:16 of round 1
2024-10-05: W vs. [#112MW] Ihor Potieria (25-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-06-01: L vs. [#26MW] Roman Kopylov (14-5-0) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 28-29)

Last 3 Fights: Cezary Oleksiejczuk (3-0-0)
2025-09-02: W vs. [#238MW] Theo Haig (6-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:36 of round 1
2025-02-15: W vs. [#76LHW] Tom Breese (20-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:30 of round 1
2024-10-26: W vs. [#271MW] Piotr Strus (16-10-2) via TKO (Punches) in 3:33 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Cezary Oleksiejczuk -173 60.62%
Elo K170 Cezary Oleksiejczuk 1805.34 +202.50 76.24%
Elo Modified Cezary Oleksiejczuk 1824.67 +145.71 69.82%
Glicko-1 Cezary Oleksiejczuk 1914.28 +188.01 74.69%
WHR Cezary Oleksiejczuk 1789.25 +39.26 55.63%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Cesar Almeida 37.7, Cezary Oleksiejczuk 25.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cesar Almeida 336, Cezary Oleksiejczuk 102
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#30][#20UFC] Melquizael Costa (24-7-0, -112) vs. [#57][#30UFC] Morgan Charriere (21-11-1, -108)

Last 3 Fights: Melquizael Costa (3-0-0)
2025-05-17: W vs. [#55FW] Julian Erosa (31-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-03-29: W vs. [#112FW] Christian Rodriguez (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#56FW] Andre Fili (25-12-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:30 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Morgan Charriere (2-1-0)
2025-07-12: W vs. [#80FW] Nate Landwehr (18-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:27 of round 3
2025-03-22: L vs. [#24FW] Nathaniel Wood (22-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-09-28: W vs. [#617FW] Gabriel Miranda (17-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:27 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Melquizael Costa -112 50.43%
Elo K170 Melquizael Costa 1909.12 +226.75 78.67%
Elo Modified Melquizael Costa 1883.74 +173.71 73.10%
Glicko-1 Melquizael Costa 1893.89 +90.18 62.70%
WHR Melquizael Costa 1728.39 +33.34 54.78%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Melquizael Costa 29.2, Morgan Charriere 30.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Melquizael Costa 210, Morgan Charriere 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#45][#20UFC] Kennedy Nzechukwu (14-6-0, -147) vs. [#74][#23UFC] Marcus Almeida (5-2-0, +122)

Last 3 Fights: Kennedy Nzechukwu (2-1-0)
2025-07-12: L vs. [#29HW+] Valter Walker (15-1-0) via Submission (Inverted Heel Hook) in 0:54 of round 1
2024-12-07: W vs. [#122HW+] Lukasz Brzeski (9-7-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 1
2024-10-26: W vs. [#163HW+] Chris Barnett (23-10-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 4:27 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Marcus Almeida (1-2-0)
2025-07-26: L vs. [#43HW+] Martin Buday (16-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-11-08: W vs. [#38HW+] Amir Aliakbari (16-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:15 of round 1
2023-08-04: L vs. [#23HW+] Oumar Kane (7-1-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kennedy Nzechukwu -147 56.91%
Elo K170 Kennedy Nzechukwu 1540.69 +101.46 64.20%
Elo Modified Kennedy Nzechukwu 1619.85 +105.58 64.74%
Glicko-1 Kennedy Nzechukwu 1656.11 +146.53 69.92%
WHR Kennedy Nzechukwu 1578.62 +74.94 60.62%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kennedy Nzechukwu 33.5, Marcus Almeida 35.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kennedy Nzechukwu 154, Marcus Almeida 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#6][#6UFC] Amanda Lemos (15-5-1, +143) vs. [#9][#9UFC] Gillian Robertson (16-8-0, -174)

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Lemos (1-2-0)
2025-09-13: L vs. [#9DD][#4SW] Tatiana Suarez (11-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-03-08: W vs. [#10SW] Iasmin Lucindo (18-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-07-20: L vs. [#6DD][#3SW] Virna Jandiroba (22-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:48 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Gillian Robertson (3-0-0)
2025-05-03: W vs. [*] Marina Rodriguez (17-6-2) via TKO (Punches) in 2:07 of round 2
2024-11-09: W vs. [#45SW] Luana Pinheiro (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)
2024-06-29: W vs. [*] Michelle Waterson-Gomez (18-13-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gillian Robertson -174 60.67%
Elo K170 Amanda Lemos 1703.91 +38.32 55.49%
Elo Modified Gillian Robertson 1702.56 +8.54 51.23%
Glicko-1 Gillian Robertson 1727.06 +45.34 56.49%
WHR Gillian Robertson 1624.04 +14.74 52.12%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Amanda Lemos 38.5, Gillian Robertson 30.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Amanda Lemos 91, Gillian Robertson 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#51][#27UFC] Joanderson Brito (17-5-1, -260) vs. [#277][#65UFC] Melsik Baghdasaryan (8-3-0, +210)

Last 3 Fights: Joanderson Brito (1-2-0)
2025-04-05: L vs. [#19FW] Pat Sabatini (21-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2024-09-28: L vs. [#27FW] William Gomis (15-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#88FW] Jack Shore (17-3-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 3:35 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Melsik Baghdasaryan (1-2-0)
2025-02-22: L vs. [#18FW] Jean Silva (16-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:15 of round 1
2023-07-15: W vs. [*] Tucker Lutz (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-02-11: L vs. [*] Joshua Culibao (12-4-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:02 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joanderson Brito -260 69.12%
Elo K170 Joanderson Brito 1709.62 +178.38 73.63%
Elo Modified Joanderson Brito 1757.88 +220.08 78.02%
Glicko-1 Joanderson Brito 1832.27 +335.89 87.37%
WHR Joanderson Brito 1738.29 +310.20 85.64%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Joanderson Brito 30.8, Melsik Baghdasaryan 33.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joanderson Brito 252, Melsik Baghdasaryan 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#22][#19UFC] Neil Magny (31-13-0, +305) vs. [#26] Yaroslav Amosov (28-1-0, -400)
Neil Magny is the All-Time #43 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Neil Magny (2-1-0)
2025-09-27: W vs. [#41WW] Jake Matthews (22-8-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 3:08 of round 3
2025-08-02: W vs. [#68WW] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (25-10-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:39 of round 2
2024-11-09: L vs. [#8WW] Carlos Prates (23-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:50 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Yaroslav Amosov (2-1-0)
2025-03-14: W vs. [#181MW] Curtis Millender (22-13-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 4:17 of round 1
2023-11-17: L vs. [#14WW] Jason Jackson (19-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:08 of round 3
2023-02-25: W vs. [#45WW] Logan Storley (18-4-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Yaroslav Amosov -400 76.41%
Elo K170 Yaroslav Amosov 2048.84 +106.27 64.83%
Elo Modified Yaroslav Amosov 2005.25 +75.08 60.64%
Glicko-1 Yaroslav Amosov 2036.18 +62.31 58.87%
WHR Yaroslav Amosov 1887.51 +9.62 51.38%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Neil Magny 38.3, Yaroslav Amosov 32.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Neil Magny 77, Yaroslav Amosov 274
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#127] Steven Asplund (6-1-0, -223) vs. [#323][#40UFC] Sean Sharaf (4-1-0, +181)

Last 3 Fights: Steven Asplund (3-0-0)
2025-09-09: W vs. [#361HW+] Anthony Guarascio (3-2-0) via TKO (Punch and Elbows) in 0:16 of round 1
2025-04-11: W vs. [#450HW+] Raiden Kovacs (3-4-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 1:53 of round 2
2025-01-25: W vs. [#420HW+] Hammer Morton (4-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:29 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Sean Sharaf (2-1-0)
2024-10-12: L vs. [#149LHW] Junior Tafa (6-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:15 of round 2
2024-09-06: W vs. [#443HW+] L.J. Torres (3-3-1) via KO in 3:19 of round 1
2024-04-04: W vs. [NA] Chadricc Kindle (0-3-0) via TKO in 4:31 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Steven Asplund -223 65.98%
Elo K170 Steven Asplund 1381.88 +180.63 73.88%
Elo Modified Steven Asplund 1499.05 +242.30 80.13%
Glicko-1 Steven Asplund 1423.17 +196.35 75.59%
WHR Steven Asplund 1340.75 +135.29 68.54%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Steven Asplund 27.4, Sean Sharaf 32.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Steven Asplund 95, Sean Sharaf 427
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#24][#18UFC] Luana Santos (9-2-0, -152) vs. [#25][#19UFC] Melissa Croden (7-2-0, +126)

Last 3 Fights: Luana Santos (2-1-0)
2025-05-17: W vs. [#85BW] Tainara Lisboa (7-4-0) via Submission (Keylock) in 4:59 of round 2
2024-08-17: L vs. [*] Casey ONeill (10-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-07-13: W vs. [*] Mariya Agapova (10-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:27 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Melissa Croden (3-0-0)
2025-10-18: W vs. [#85BW] Tainara Lisboa (7-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 3
2024-10-25: W vs. [#100BW] Ashley Deen (8-7-0) via TKO (Knees and Elbows) in 0:22 of round 2
2023-10-06: W vs. [#95BW] Katharina Lehner (9-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:20 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Luana Santos -152 57.68%
Elo K170 Luana Santos 1469.51 +82.64 61.68%
Elo Modified Luana Santos 1514.75 +81.00 61.45%
Glicko-1 Luana Santos 1521.05 +54.58 57.79%
WHR Melissa Croden 1475.77 +35.73 55.12%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Luana Santos 25.6, Melissa Croden 34.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Luana Santos 210, Melissa Croden 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#179] Allen Frye (6-0-0, +138) vs. [*] Guilherme Pat (5-0-0, -168)

Last 3 Fights: Allen Frye (3-0-0)
2025-09-06: W vs. [#402HW+] Justin Frazier (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:54 of round 1
2025-06-14: W vs. [NA] Ryan Shough (2-3-0) via TKO in 0:30 of round 1
2025-01-18: W vs. [NA] Cody Beck (2-4-0) via TKO in 2:15 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Guilherme Pat (3-0-0)
2024-08-30: W vs. [*] Mauricio Boni Cogo Queiro (4-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:13 of round 3
2023-08-26: W vs. [NA] Leandro Moreira de Olivei (0-1-0) via UD ()
2023-04-16: W vs. [NA] Luis Andrade de Oliveira (4-12-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 2:03 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Guilherme Pat -168 59.87%
Elo K170 Allen Frye 1405.99 +85.76 62.10%
Elo Modified Allen Frye 1469.50 +69.66 59.89%
Glicko-1 Allen Frye 1457.68 +104.49 64.60%
WHR Allen Frye 1368.32 +92.59 63.02%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Allen Frye 98, Guilherme Pat 470
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#22][#16UFC] Jamey-Lyn Horth (8-2-0, +122) vs. [*] Tereza Bleda (7-1-0, -147)

Last 3 Fights: Jamey-Lyn Horth (2-1-0)
2025-06-14: W vs. [#68FLY] Vanessa Demopoulos (11-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-12-14: L vs. [#14FLY] Miranda Maverick (15-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#64FLY] Ivana Petrovic (7-3-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Tereza Bleda (2-1-0)
2023-06-17: W vs. [#25FLY] Gabriella Fernandes (11-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-11-19: L vs. [#8P4P][#4FLY] Natalia Silva (19-5-1) via TKO (Spinning Back Kick and Punches) in 1:27 of round 3
2022-09-06: W vs. [#133FLY] Nayara Maia (7-2-1) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tereza Bleda -147 56.91%
Elo K170 Tereza Bleda 1526.12 +62.59 58.91%
Elo Modified Tereza Bleda 1588.58 +87.96 62.39%
Glicko-1 Tereza Bleda 1539.48 +82.43 61.64%
WHR Tereza Bleda 1511.48 +57.65 58.22%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jamey-Lyn Horth 35.7, Tereza Bleda 24.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jamey-Lyn Horth 182, Tereza Bleda 910
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Brandon Royval
Highest Stored DD Rating: Brandon Royval
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Neil Magny vs. Yaroslav Amosov
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Brandon Royval vs. Manel Kape
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2025-12-9

Completion time: 2025-12-09T00:15:05.4186803-05:00

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