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Fight Matrix
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Brown vs. Bonfim (11-08-2025)

Posted on November 3, 2025 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#21][#18UFC] Randy Brown (20-6-0, +127) vs. [#24][#21UFC] Gabriel Bonfim (18-1-0, -157)

Last 3 Fights: Randy Brown (2-1-0)
2025-04-26: W vs. [#43WW] Nicolas Dalby (23-7-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:39 of round 2
2024-12-07: L vs. [#28WW] Bryan Battle (12-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#67WW] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (25-10-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Gabriel Bonfim (3-0-0)
2025-07-12: W vs. [#25WW] Stephen Thompson (17-9-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-02-15: W vs. [#75WW] Kalinn Williams (15-5-0) via Technical Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:58 of round 2
2024-07-13: W vs. [#141WW] Ange Loosa (10-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gabriel Bonfim -157 58.10%
Elo K170 Gabriel Bonfim 1975.70 +13.93 52.00%
Elo Modified Randy Brown 1989.30 +87.25 62.30%
Glicko-1 Randy Brown 2065.36 +117.96 66.35%
WHR Randy Brown 1865.24 +42.94 56.15%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Randy Brown 35.3, Gabriel Bonfim 28.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Randy Brown 196, Gabriel Bonfim 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Randy Brown leads 2-1
.

Flyweight (125)
[#27][#18UFC] Joseph Morales (13-2-0, -242) vs. [#66][#30UFC] Matt Schnell (17-10-0, +191)

Last 3 Fights: Joseph Morales (3-0-0)
2025-08-16: W vs. [#85FLY] Alibi Idiris (10-1-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:04 of round 2
2023-02-03: W vs. [#596FLY] Anthony Do (9-8-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:46 of round 3
2022-03-04: W vs. [*] Sidemar Honorio (13-8-0) via SD ()

Last 3 Fights: Matt Schnell (1-2-0)
2025-04-26: W vs. [#138FLY] Jimmy Flick (17-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-07: L vs. [#165BW] Cody Durden (17-9-1) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 0:29 of round 2
2024-03-02: L vs. [#11FLY] Steve Erceg (13-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:26 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joseph Morales -242 67.31%
Elo K170 Joseph Morales 1817.04 +277.84 83.19%
Elo Modified Joseph Morales 1772.78 +258.87 81.61%
Glicko-1 Joseph Morales 1805.68 +288.52 84.03%
WHR Joseph Morales 1774.54 +375.43 89.67%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Joseph Morales 31.2, Matt Schnell 35.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joseph Morales 84, Matt Schnell 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#23][#20UFC] Muslim Salikhov (22-5-0, +149) vs. [#64][#44UFC] Uros Medic (11-3-0, -186)

Last 3 Fights: Muslim Salikhov (3-0-0)
2025-07-26: W vs. [#37WW] Carlos Leal (22-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:42 of round 1
2024-11-23: W vs. [#132WW] Kenan Song (22-9-0) via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick) in 3:49 of round 1
2024-07-13: W vs. [#53WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (30-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Uros Medic (2-1-0)
2025-08-09: W vs. [#580WW] Gilbert Urbina (7-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:03 of round 1
2025-01-11: L vs. [#47WW] Punahele Soriano (12-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:31 of round 1
2024-04-27: W vs. [#76WW] Tim Means (33-17-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:09 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Uros Medic -186 61.82%
Elo K170 Muslim Salikhov 1946.97 +379.87 89.90%
Elo Modified Muslim Salikhov 1906.75 +286.63 83.89%
Glicko-1 Muslim Salikhov 1953.35 +309.43 85.59%
WHR Muslim Salikhov 1795.88 +210.00 77.01%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Muslim Salikhov 41.4, Uros Medic 32.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Muslim Salikhov 105, Uros Medic 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#82][#44UFC] Chris Padilla (16-6-0, +164) vs. [#120][#54UFC] Ismael Bonfim (20-5-0, -206)

Last 3 Fights: Chris Padilla (3-0-0)
2025-03-22: W vs. [#116LW] Jai Herbert (13-6-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-07: W vs. [#101LW] Zhu Rong (27-6-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 4:14 of round 2
2024-04-27: W vs. [#262WW] James Llontop (17-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:33 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ismael Bonfim (1-2-0)
2025-02-15: L vs. [#59LW] Nazim Sadykhov (11-1-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2024-05-04: W vs. [#315LW] Vinc Pichel (14-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-07-01: L vs. [#18LW] Benoit St. Denis (15-3-0) via SUB in 4:48 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ismael Bonfim -206 63.99%
Elo K170 Chris Padilla 1734.24 +17.66 52.54%
Elo Modified Ismael Bonfim 1725.94 +26.09 53.75%
Glicko-1 Chris Padilla 1750.64 +13.24 51.90%
WHR Ismael Bonfim 1698.67 +24.13 53.47%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Chris Padilla 30.1, Ismael Bonfim 29.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chris Padilla 231, Ismael Bonfim 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#35][#28UFC] Raoni Barcelos (20-5-0, +145) vs. [#39][#30UFC] Ricky Simon (23-6-0, -181)

Last 3 Fights: Raoni Barcelos (3-0-0)
2025-06-14: W vs. [#49BW] Cody Garbrandt (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-01-18: W vs. [#28BW] Payton Talbott (10-1-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-02-24: W vs. [*] Cristian Quinonez (18-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:04 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Ricky Simon (2-1-0)
2025-06-14: W vs. [#158BW] Cameron Smotherman (12-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#107BW] Javid Basharat (14-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:58 of round 1
2024-06-29: L vs. [#17BW] Vinicius Oliveira (24-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ricky Simon -181 61.20%
Elo K170 Raoni Barcelos 1853.02 +57.60 58.21%
Elo Modified Raoni Barcelos 1868.29 +80.03 61.32%
Glicko-1 Raoni Barcelos 1911.04 +82.77 61.69%
WHR Raoni Barcelos 1802.23 +55.82 57.96%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Raoni Barcelos 38.5, Ricky Simon 33.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raoni Barcelos 147, Ricky Simon 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#39][#28UFC] Christian Leroy Duncan (12-2-0, +122) vs. [#75][#46UFC] Marco Tulio (14-1-0, -150)

Last 3 Fights: Christian Leroy Duncan (2-1-0)
2025-08-09: W vs. [#53MW] Eryk Anders (17-9-0) via KO (Spinning Back Elbow and Punches) in 3:53 of round 1
2025-03-22: W vs. [#147MW] Andrey Pulyaev (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2024-07-27: L vs. [#20MW] Gregory Rodrigues (17-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Marco Tulio (3-0-0)
2025-04-12: W vs. [#187MW] Tresean Gore (5-4-0) via TKO (Punch) in 3:16 of round 2
2025-01-11: W vs. [#117MW] Ihor Potieria (25-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:04 of round 1
2024-08-27: W vs. [#241MW] Matthieu Letho Duclos (8-3-0) via TKO (Spinning Back Kick and Punches) in 2:38 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Marco Tulio -150 57.11%
Elo K170 Christian Leroy Duncan 1752.87 +38.07 55.46%
Elo Modified Christian Leroy Duncan 1787.50 +26.36 53.79%
Glicko-1 Christian Leroy Duncan 1848.28 +37.17 55.33%
WHR Marco Tulio 1778.36 +51.37 57.34%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Christian Leroy Duncan 30.3, Marco Tulio 31.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Christian Leroy Duncan 91, Marco Tulio 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#64][#36UFC] Hyder Amil (11-1-0, -104) vs. [#145][#55UFC] Jamall Emmers (21-8-0, -121)

Last 3 Fights: Hyder Amil (2-1-0)
2025-06-28: L vs. [#60FW] Jose Delgado (10-2-0) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 0:26 of round 1
2025-03-01: W vs. [#30FW] William Gomis (15-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-07-20: W vs. [#197FW] Jeong Yeong Lee (11-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:05 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jamall Emmers (2-1-0)
2025-03-29: W vs. [#609FW] Gabriel Miranda (17-8-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 4:06 of round 1
2024-03-30: L vs. [#76FW] Nate Landwehr (18-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:43 of round 1
2023-11-11: W vs. [#544LW] Dennis Buzukja (12-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:49 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jamall Emmers -121 51.78%
Elo K170 Hyder Amil 1664.49 +67.70 59.62%
Elo Modified Jamall Emmers 1639.16 +60.69 58.65%
Glicko-1 Jamall Emmers 1704.43 +122.77 66.97%
WHR Jamall Emmers 1631.69 +88.58 62.48%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Hyder Amil 35.4, Jamall Emmers 36.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Hyder Amil 133, Jamall Emmers 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#70][#43UFC] Adrian Yanez (17-6-0, -191) vs. [*] Cristian Quinonez (18-5-0, +153)

Last 3 Fights: Adrian Yanez (1-2-0)
2024-12-14: L vs. [#43BW] Daniel Marcos (17-1-0) via SD (30-27, 29-28, 28-29)
2024-05-18: W vs. [#700BW] Vinicius Salvador (14-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:47 of round 1
2023-10-14: L vs. [#27BW] Jonathan Martinez (19-6-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 2:26 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Cristian Quinonez (1-2-0)
2024-02-24: L vs. [#35BW] Raoni Barcelos (20-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:04 of round 3
2023-06-17: L vs. [*] Kyung Ho Kang (19-11-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:25 of round 1
2022-09-03: W vs. [#128FW] Khalid Taha (17-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Adrian Yanez -191 62.41%
Elo K170 Adrian Yanez 1644.68 +130.32 67.92%
Elo Modified Adrian Yanez 1660.34 +132.38 68.18%
Glicko-1 Adrian Yanez 1722.12 +180.34 73.85%
WHR Adrian Yanez 1586.40 +87.91 62.39%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Adrian Yanez 31.9, Cristian Quinonez 29.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Adrian Yanez 329, Cristian Quinonez 623
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#12][#11UFC] Jacqueline Cavalcanti (9-1-0, -232) vs. [#20][#16UFC] Mayra Bueno Silva (10-5-1, +183)

Last 3 Fights: Jacqueline Cavalcanti (3-0-0)
2025-02-15: W vs. [*] Julia Avila (9-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-09-28: W vs. [#15BW] Nora Cornolle (9-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-08-24: W vs. [#59BW] Josiane Nunes (10-4-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Mayra Bueno Silva (0-3-0)
2025-02-01: L vs. [#11FLY] Jasmine Jasudavicius (14-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-06-29: L vs. [#11BW] Macy Chiasson (10-5-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 1:58 of round 2
2024-01-20: L vs. [#4BW] Raquel Pennington (16-9-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jacqueline Cavalcanti -232 66.41%
Elo K170 Jacqueline Cavalcanti 1599.77 +191.56 75.08%
Elo Modified Jacqueline Cavalcanti 1561.44 +126.70 67.47%
Glicko-1 Jacqueline Cavalcanti 1522.87 +100.76 64.11%
WHR Jacqueline Cavalcanti 1471.22 +109.27 65.23%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jacqueline Cavalcanti 28.2, Mayra Bueno Silva 34.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jacqueline Cavalcanti 266, Mayra Bueno Silva 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#129] Josh Hokit (6-0-0, -445) vs. [#228] Max Gimenis (6-1-0, +323)

Last 3 Fights: Josh Hokit (3-0-0)
2025-08-19: W vs. [#285HW+] Guilherme Uriel (6-2-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 1:06 of round 2
2025-05-09: W vs. [#391HW+] Eric Lunsford (9-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:00 of round 1
2025-03-06: W vs. [#318HW+] Ezekiel Latu (6-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 0:42 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Max Gimenis (3-0-0)
2025-03-29: W vs. [#398HW+] Diego Peclat (7-9-1) via TKO in 1:27 of round 1
2024-10-05: W vs. [#694HW+] John Ott (9-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:45 of round 1
2024-03-30: W vs. [NA] Cameron Graham (9-21-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Josh Hokit -445 77.54%
Elo K170 Josh Hokit 1426.09 +170.66 72.76%
Elo Modified Josh Hokit 1478.89 +255.21 81.29%
Glicko-1 Josh Hokit 1482.79 +212.86 77.30%
WHR Josh Hokit 1402.38 +175.06 73.26%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Josh Hokit 28.0, Max Gimenis 32.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josh Hokit 81, Max Gimenis 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#9][#9UFC] Tecia Pennington (15-7-0, +168) vs. [#14][#13UFC] Denise Gomes (11-3-0, -211)

Last 3 Fights: Tecia Pennington (2-1-0)
2025-05-17: W vs. [#43SW] Luana Pinheiro (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-10-05: W vs. [*] Carla Esparza (19-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-05-11: L vs. [#7SW] Tabatha Ricci (12-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Denise Gomes (3-0-0)
2025-05-17: W vs. [#60SW] Elise Reed (8-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:30 of round 2
2024-11-09: W vs. [#62SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (16-10-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#16FLY] Eduarda Moura (12-1-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Denise Gomes -211 64.52%
Elo K170 Denise Gomes 1653.44 +24.53 53.52%
Elo Modified Tecia Pennington 1714.26 +80.75 61.42%
Glicko-1 Tecia Pennington 1724.24 +89.90 62.66%
WHR Tecia Pennington 1634.18 +77.28 60.94%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Tecia Pennington 36.2, Denise Gomes 25.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tecia Pennington 175, Denise Gomes 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tecia Pennington leads 2-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#43][#32UFC] Daniel Marcos (17-1-0) vs. [#45][#33UFC] Miles Johns (16-4-0)

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Marcos (2-1-0)
2025-05-03: L vs. [#19BW] Montel Jackson (15-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#70BW] Adrian Yanez (17-6-0) via SD (30-27, 29-28, 28-29)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#83FW] John Castaneda (21-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Miles Johns (1-2-0)
2025-08-09: L vs. [#31BW] Jean Matsumoto (17-1-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-12-14: L vs. [#29BW] Felipe Lima (14-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-06-15: W vs. [*] Douglas Silva de Andrade (29-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Daniel Marcos 1813.46 +137.05 68.76%
Elo Modified Daniel Marcos 1751.14 +7.37 51.06%
Glicko-1 Miles Johns 1783.69 +15.17 52.18%
WHR Daniel Marcos 1693.32 +7.36 51.06%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Daniel Marcos 32.7, Miles Johns 31.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Daniel Marcos 189, Miles Johns 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Daniel Marcos leads 2-1
.

Middleweight (185)
[#202][#65UFC] Robert Valentin (10-6-0, -155) vs. [#364][#71UFC] Jackson Mcvey (6-1-0, +126)

Last 3 Fights: Robert Valentin (0-3-0)
2025-07-19: L vs. [#128MW] Ateba Abega Gautier (9-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:10 of round 1
2025-04-05: L vs. [#130MW] Torrez Finney (11-0-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2024-08-24: L vs. [#125MW] Ryan Loder (7-2-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 1:49 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jackson Mcvey (2-1-0)
2025-07-19: L vs. [#48MW] Brunno Ferreira (14-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:35 of round 1
2025-06-13: W vs. [#1090MW] Mataeo Garner (4-2-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 1:28 of round 1
2024-09-20: W vs. [NA] Ben Fowler (3-3-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 0:33 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Robert Valentin -155 57.86%
Elo K170 Robert Valentin 1342.26 +62.22 58.86%
Elo Modified Robert Valentin 1428.18 +72.30 60.26%
Glicko-1 Robert Valentin 1464.35 +146.05 69.86%
WHR Robert Valentin 1480.51 +209.73 76.98%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Robert Valentin 30.6, Jackson Mcvey 26.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Robert Valentin 112, Jackson Mcvey 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Randy Brown
Highest Stored DD Rating: Tecia Pennington
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Randy Brown vs. Gabriel Bonfim
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Tecia Pennington vs. Denise Gomes
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2025-11-2

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