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Fight Matrix
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama (11-01-2025)

Posted on October 27, 2025 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#15][#10UFC] Steve Garcia (18-5-0, -121) vs. [#19][#14UFC] David Onama (14-2-0, -100)

Last 3 Fights: Steve Garcia (3-0-0)
2025-07-12: W vs. [#46FW] Calvin Kattar (23-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-09-07: W vs. [#54LW] Kyle Nelson (17-6-1) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:59 of round 1
2024-07-20: W vs. [#182FW] Seung Woo Choi (11-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:36 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: David Onama (3-0-0)
2025-04-26: W vs. [#20FW] Giga Chikadze (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-11-16: W vs. [#574FW] Roberto Romero (8-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-04-27: W vs. [#86FW] Jonathan Pearce (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Steve Garcia -121 52.26%
Elo K170 Steve Garcia 1915.52 +52.52 57.50%
Elo Modified Steve Garcia 1904.40 +46.37 56.63%
Glicko-1 Steve Garcia 1970.38 +48.69 56.96%
WHR Steve Garcia 1875.46 +76.21 60.79%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Steve Garcia 33.4, David Onama 31.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Steve Garcia 112, David Onama 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#10][#7UFC] Waldo Cortes-Acosta (14-2-0, -140) vs. [#15][#11UFC] Ante Delija (26-6-0, +115)

Last 3 Fights: Waldo Cortes-Acosta (2-1-0)
2025-08-23: L vs. [#5HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (20-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#11HW+] Serghei Spivac (17-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-03-15: W vs. [#38HW+] Ryan Spann (23-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:48 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Ante Delija (2-1-0)
2025-09-06: W vs. [#19HW+] Marcin Tybura (27-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:03 of round 1
2025-04-12: W vs. [#79HW+] Yorgan De Castro (12-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:41 of round 1
2024-04-04: L vs. [#17HW+] Valentin Moldavsky (14-4-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 2:17 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Waldo Cortes-Acosta -140 55.63%
Elo K170 Ante Delija 1872.44 +43.48 56.22%
Elo Modified Ante Delija 1883.77 +24.77 53.56%
Glicko-1 Ante Delija 1949.56 +68.28 59.70%
WHR Ante Delija 1869.92 +96.40 63.53%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Waldo Cortes-Acosta 34.1, Ante Delija 35.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Waldo Cortes-Acosta 70, Ante Delija 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#62][#42UFC] Themba Gorimbo (14-5-0, -139) vs. [*] Jeremiah Wells (12-4-1, +117)

Last 3 Fights: Themba Gorimbo (2-1-0)
2024-12-07: L vs. [#35WW] Vicente Luque (23-12-1) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 0:52 of round 1
2024-10-12: W vs. [#88WW] Niko Price (16-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-05-18: W vs. [#104WW] Ramiz Brahimaj (13-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jeremiah Wells (1-2-0)
2024-02-10: L vs. [#41WW] Max Griffin (20-12-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#77WW] Carlston Harris (19-7-0) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:50 of round 3
2023-04-22: W vs. [#125WW] Matthew Semelsberger (11-8-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Themba Gorimbo -139 55.79%
Elo K170 Themba Gorimbo 1652.70 +19.55 52.81%
Elo Modified Jeremiah Wells 1687.53 +13.30 51.91%
Glicko-1 Jeremiah Wells 1727.12 +66.42 59.44%
WHR Jeremiah Wells 1591.08 +35.73 55.12%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Themba Gorimbo 34.8, Jeremiah Wells 39.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Themba Gorimbo 329, Jeremiah Wells 630
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#76][#39UFC] Yadier Del Valle (9-0-0, +166) vs. [#244][#64UFC] Isaac Dulgarian (7-1-0, -205)

Last 3 Fights: Yadier Del Valle (3-0-0)
2025-05-17: W vs. [#611FW] Connor Matthews (8-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:54 of round 1
2024-10-15: W vs. [#362LW] Antonio Monteiro (18-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2024-06-09: W vs. [#758LW] Pena Allamov (5-3-1) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Isaac Dulgarian (2-1-0)
2024-09-07: W vs. [#871FW] Brendon Marotte (8-3-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:19 of round 2
2024-03-16: L vs. [#109FW] Christian Rodriguez (12-4-0) via SD (28-27, 27-28, 28-27)
2023-08-12: W vs. [#245FW] Francis Marshall (8-3-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:48 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Isaac Dulgarian -205 64.13%
Elo K170 Yadier Del Valle 1640.37 +197.90 75.75%
Elo Modified Yadier Del Valle 1697.09 +188.71 74.77%
Glicko-1 Yadier Del Valle 1666.30 +120.50 66.68%
WHR Yadier Del Valle 1666.80 +156.45 71.11%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Yadier Del Valle 29.2, Isaac Dulgarian 29.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yadier Del Valle 168, Isaac Dulgarian 420
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#119][#60UFC] Charlie Radtke (10-5-0, -149) vs. [#220][#75UFC] Daniel Frunza (9-3-0, +123)

Last 3 Fights: Charlie Radtke (1-2-0)
2025-05-10: L vs. [#31WW] Mike Malott (13-2-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 2
2024-11-09: W vs. [#125WW] Matthew Semelsberger (11-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:51 of round 1
2024-06-08: L vs. [#11WW] Carlos Prates (22-7-0) via KO (Knee to the Body) in 4:47 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Frunza (2-1-0)
2025-04-05: L vs. [#136WW] Rhys McKee (14-7-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2024-09-24: W vs. [#310WW] Vadym Kutsyi (17-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:30 of round 2
2023-10-27: W vs. [#411WW] Haris Talundzic (7-2-0) via KO (Elbow and Punches) in 4:59 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Charlie Radtke -149 57.16%
Elo K170 Charlie Radtke 1507.82 +28.46 54.09%
Elo Modified Charlie Radtke 1547.19 +7.93 51.14%
Glicko-1 Daniel Frunza 1566.15 +47.53 56.80%
WHR Daniel Frunza 1548.48 +44.23 56.33%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Charlie Radtke 35.3, Daniel Frunza 31.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charlie Radtke 175, Daniel Frunza 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#31][#20UFC] Allan Nascimento (21-6-0) vs. [#60][#28UFC] Cody Durden (17-8-1)

Last 3 Fights: Allan Nascimento (3-0-0)
2025-05-31: W vs. [#40FLY] Jafel Filho (17-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#140FLY] Carlos Hernandez (10-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:16 of round 1
2022-05-14: W vs. [#160BW] Jake Hadley (12-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Durden (1-2-0)
2025-06-14: L vs. [#57FLY] Jose Ochoa (8-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:11 of round 2
2024-12-07: L vs. [#3FLY] Joshua Van (15-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-26, 30-27)
2024-09-07: W vs. [#66FLY] Matt Schnell (17-10-0) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 0:29 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Allan Nascimento 1732.32 +317.59 86.15%
Elo Modified Allan Nascimento 1764.20 +319.80 86.30%
Glicko-1 Allan Nascimento 1826.94 +390.73 90.46%
WHR Allan Nascimento 1811.80 +334.82 87.30%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Allan Nascimento 34.1, Cody Durden 34.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Allan Nascimento 154, Cody Durden 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#82][#31UFC] Billy Elekana (8-2-0, -239) vs. [#128] Kevin Christian (9-2-0, +193)

Last 3 Fights: Billy Elekana (2-1-0)
2025-07-26: W vs. [#108LHW] Ibo Aslan (14-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-01-18: L vs. [#16LHW] Bogdan Guskov (18-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:33 of round 2
2024-07-27: W vs. [*] Jureall Simmons (4-1-0) via TKO in 1:58 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Christian (3-0-0)
2024-09-24: W vs. [#349LHW] Francesco Mazzeo (4-2-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 4:17 of round 2
2024-01-27: W vs. [*] Miguel Porto (4-2-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 0:39 of round 2
2019-09-28: W vs. [*] Alvaro Monteiro Tabosa (3-3-0) via Tko (Retirement) in 3:45 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Billy Elekana -239 67.38%
Elo K170 Billy Elekana 1524.33 +53.50 57.64%
Elo Modified Billy Elekana 1566.27 +90.99 62.80%
Glicko-1 Billy Elekana 1539.03 +7.54 51.09%
WHR Kevin Christian 1564.83 +76.57 60.85%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Billy Elekana 30.4, Kevin Christian 30.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Billy Elekana 98, Kevin Christian 403
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#104][#51UFC] Chang Ho Lee (11-1-0, -115) vs. [#203FW][#63FWUFC] Timothy Cuamba (9-3-0, -107)

Last 3 Fights: Chang Ho Lee (3-0-0)
2025-04-05: W vs. [#555FW] Cortavious Romious (9-4-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:48 of round 2
2024-06-22: W vs. [#127BW] Long Xiao (27-10-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-08-27: W vs. [#215BW] Zhawupasi Daermisi (11-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:35 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Timothy Cuamba (1-2-0)
2025-04-26: W vs. [#574FW] Roberto Romero (8-5-1) via TKO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 3:55 of round 2
2024-06-15: L vs. [#202FW] Lucas Almeida (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-02-10: L vs. [#204LW] Bolaji Oki (10-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Chang Ho Lee -115 50.85%
Elo K170 Chang Ho Lee 1646.20 +199.23 75.90%
Elo Modified Chang Ho Lee 1607.96 +85.44 62.05%
Glicko-1 Chang Ho Lee 1626.19 +97.50 63.67%
WHR Chang Ho Lee 1576.25 +121.71 66.83%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Chang Ho Lee 31.5, Timothy Cuamba 26.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chang Ho Lee 210, Timothy Cuamba 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#81LHW] Donte Johnson (6-0-0, -268) vs. [#116][#54UFC] Sedriques Dumas (11-3-0, +218)

Last 3 Fights: Donte Johnson (3-0-0)
2025-08-26: W vs. [#163HW+] Darion Abbey (9-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:04 of round 1
2025-07-27: W vs. [#374LHW] James Ford (3-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:37 of round 1
2025-06-14: W vs. [#261LHW] Ryan Parker (6-8-0) via TKO (Strikes) in 4:27 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Sedriques Dumas (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2025-09-13: NC vs. [#121MW] Zachary Reese (9-2-0)
2025-04-12: L vs. [#33MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (22-9-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 2:49 of round 1
2024-08-03: W vs. [#291MW] Denis Tiuliulin (10-10-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Donte Johnson -268 69.84%
Elo K170 Sedriques Dumas 1484.65 +76.30 60.81%
Elo Modified Sedriques Dumas 1510.48 +92.94 63.06%
Glicko-1 Sedriques Dumas 1502.07 +57.10 58.14%
WHR Sedriques Dumas 1465.93 +115.07 65.98%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Donte Johnson 26.7, Sedriques Dumas 30.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Donte Johnson 67, Sedriques Dumas 49
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#12P4P][#4][#4UFC] Norma Dumont (12-2-0, -143) vs. [#5][#5UFC] Ketlen Vieira (15-4-0, +116)

Last 3 Fights: Norma Dumont (3-0-0)
2024-09-14: W vs. [#8BW] Irene Aldana (15-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-04-06: W vs. [*] Germaine de Randamie (10-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-15: W vs. [#40BW] Chelsea Chandler (6-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Ketlen Vieira (2-1-0)
2025-05-31: W vs. [#11BW] Macy Chiasson (10-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2024-10-05: L vs. [#3DD][#5P4P][#1BW] Kayla Harrison (19-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-07-22: W vs. [#30BW] Pannie Kianzad (16-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Norma Dumont -143 55.96%
Elo K170 Norma Dumont 1825.37 +101.56 64.21%
Elo Modified Norma Dumont 1843.60 +102.48 64.33%
Glicko-1 Norma Dumont 1811.55 +88.85 62.52%
WHR Norma Dumont 1721.20 +101.30 64.18%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Norma Dumont 35.1, Ketlen Vieira 34.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Norma Dumont 413, Ketlen Vieira 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#69][#38UFC] Alice Ardelean (10-7-0, -396) vs. [*] Montserrat Ruiz (10-4-0, +292)

Last 3 Fights: Alice Ardelean (1-2-0)
2025-05-31: W vs. [#88SW] Rayanne dos Santos (14-9-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-10-19: L vs. [#110SW] Melissa Martinez (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-07-27: L vs. [#64SW] Shauna Bannon (7-2-0) via SD (30-27, 29-28, 28-29)

Last 3 Fights: Montserrat Ruiz (0-3-0)
2023-11-04: L vs. [#16FLY] Eduarda Moura (12-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:14 of round 2
2023-08-12: L vs. [#30SW] Jaqueline Amorim (10-2-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:41 of round 3
2021-07-17: L vs. [#6SW] Amanda Lemos (15-5-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:35 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alice Ardelean -396 75.78%
Elo K170 Montserrat Ruiz 1233.51 +8.81 51.27%
Elo Modified Alice Ardelean 1308.65 +23.05 53.31%
Glicko-1 Alice Ardelean 1327.66 +104.80 64.64%
WHR Alice Ardelean 1276.16 +104.19 64.56%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Alice Ardelean 33.5, Montserrat Ruiz 32.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alice Ardelean 154, Montserrat Ruiz 728
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#53][#38UFC] Philip Rowe (11-5-0, +155) vs. [#68][#46UFC] Seok Hyeon Ko (12-2-0, -189)

Last 3 Fights: Philip Rowe (1-2-0)
2025-06-14: W vs. [#139WW] Ange Loosa (10-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:03 of round 3
2024-06-01: L vs. [#39WW] Jake Matthews (22-8-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-06-24: L vs. [#20WW] Neil Magny (31-13-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Seok Hyeon Ko (3-0-0)
2025-06-21: W vs. [#78WW] Oban Elliott (12-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-09-03: W vs. [#278MW] Igor Cavalcanti (11-1-0) via UD ()
2023-12-09: W vs. [*] Alwin Kincai (7-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:48 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Seok Hyeon Ko -189 62.51%
Elo K170 Philip Rowe 1638.73 +4.86 50.70%
Elo Modified Philip Rowe 1666.67 +27.93 54.01%
Glicko-1 Philip Rowe 1749.92 +71.69 60.17%
WHR Philip Rowe 1653.97 +7.97 51.15%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Philip Rowe 35.3, Seok Hyeon Ko 32.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Philip Rowe 140, Seok Hyeon Ko 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#38][#26UFC] Talita Alencar (6-1-1, -285) vs. [*] Ariane Carnelossi (15-3-0, +222)

Last 3 Fights: Talita Alencar (2-1-0)
2025-04-05: W vs. [#68FLY] Vanessa Demopoulos (11-8-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-08-10: L vs. [#35SW] Stephanie Luciano (7-2-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-12-09: W vs. [#88SW] Rayanne dos Santos (14-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Ariane Carnelossi (2-1-0)
2024-05-18: W vs. [#18SW] Piera Rodriguez (11-2-0) via Disqualification (Headbutts) in 3:16 of round 2
2022-05-07: L vs. [#11SW] Lupita Godinez (14-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)
2021-10-16: W vs. [#169SW] Istela Nunes (6-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:57 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Talita Alencar -285 70.44%
Elo K170 Ariane Carnelossi 1502.56 +102.25 64.30%
Elo Modified Ariane Carnelossi 1426.43 +37.06 55.31%
Glicko-1 Ariane Carnelossi 1441.45 +95.59 63.42%
WHR Ariane Carnelossi 1405.54 +141.09 69.26%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Talita Alencar 35.0, Ariane Carnelossi 32.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Talita Alencar 210, Ariane Carnelossi 532
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Highest Stored DD Rating: Norma Dumont
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Ante Delija
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Norma Dumont vs. Ketlen Vieira
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Outstanding [****½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2025-10-26

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