Light Heavyweight (205)
[#15][#12UFC] Johnny Walker (21-9-0, +297) vs. [#16][#13UFC] Mingyang Zhang (19-6-0, -398)
Last 3 Fights: Johnny Walker (0-2-0, 1 NC)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#12LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (20-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:28 of round 1
2024-01-13: L vs. [#10DD][#6P4P][#1LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (21-1-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:42 of round 2
2023-10-21: NC vs. [#10DD][#6P4P][#1LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (21-1-1)
Last 3 Fights: Mingyang Zhang (3-0-0)
2025-04-26: W vs. [*] Anthony Smith (38-22-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:03 of round 1
2024-11-23: W vs. [#102MW] Osman Diaz (10-3-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 2:25 of round 1
2024-02-17: W vs. [#57LHW] Brendson Ribeiro (17-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:41 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Mingyang Zhang | -398 | 76.03% | |
| Elo K170 | Johnny Walker | 1791.23 | +52.03 | 57.43% |
| Elo Modified | Johnny Walker | 1802.87 | +67.03 | 59.53% |
| Glicko-1 | Johnny Walker | 1856.33 | +37.60 | 55.39% |
| WHR | Mingyang Zhang | 1777.98 | +58.76 | 58.38% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Johnny Walker 33.4, Mingyang Zhang 27.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Johnny Walker 427, Mingyang Zhang 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#4][#4UFC] Aljamain Sterling (24-5-0, -310) vs. [#7][#7UFC] Brian Ortega (16-4-0, +243)
Aljamain Sterling is the All-Time #47 ranked Absolute fighter.
Brian Ortega is the All-Time #12 ranked Featherweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Aljamain Sterling (1-2-0)
2024-12-07: L vs. [#2FW] Movsar Evloev (19-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#48FW] Calvin Kattar (23-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-08-19: L vs. [#2BW] Sean OMalley (18-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:51 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Brian Ortega (1-2-0)
2024-09-14: L vs. [#5FW] Diego Lopes (26-7-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#3FW] Yair Rodriguez (20-5-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 0:58 of round 3
2022-07-16: L vs. [#3FW] Yair Rodriguez (20-5-0) via TKO (Shoulder Injury) in 4:11 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Aljamain Sterling | -310 | 72.17% | |
| Elo K170 | Aljamain Sterling | 2161.58 | +181.21 | 73.95% |
| Elo Modified | Aljamain Sterling | 2045.40 | +103.34 | 64.45% |
| Glicko-1 | Aljamain Sterling | 2073.64 | +44.65 | 56.39% |
| WHR | Aljamain Sterling | 1936.22 | +69.73 | 59.90% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Aljamain Sterling 36.0, Brian Ortega 34.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Aljamain Sterling 259, Brian Ortega 343
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#5][#4UFC] Sergei Pavlovich (19-3-0, -263) vs. [#10][#7UFC] Waldo Cortes-Acosta (14-1-0, +210)
Sergei Pavlovich is the All-Time #35 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Sergei Pavlovich (1-2-0)
2025-02-01: W vs. [#12HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (15-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#4HW+] Alexander Volkov (38-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-11-11: L vs. [#2HW+] Tom Aspinall (15-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Waldo Cortes-Acosta (3-0-0)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#13HW+] Serghei Spivac (17-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-03-15: W vs. [#38HW+] Ryan Spann (23-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:48 of round 2
2024-05-11: W vs. [#208HW+] Robelis Despaigne (5-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Sergei Pavlovich | -263 | 69.19% | |
| Elo K170 | Sergei Pavlovich | 1997.75 | +109.86 | 65.30% |
| Elo Modified | Sergei Pavlovich | 1987.45 | +84.49 | 61.92% |
| Glicko-1 | Sergei Pavlovich | 2065.40 | +133.36 | 68.30% |
| WHR | Sergei Pavlovich | 1965.29 | +152.62 | 70.65% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Sergei Pavlovich 33.3, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 33.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergei Pavlovich 203, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#60][#30UFC] Kevin Borjas (10-3-0, +127) vs. [#154][#48UFC] Su Mudaerji (17-7-0, -158)
Last 3 Fights: Kevin Borjas (1-2-0)
2025-03-29: W vs. [#90FLY] Ronaldo Rodriguez (18-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2024-05-04: L vs. [*] Alessandro Costa (14-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:35 of round 2
2023-11-11: L vs. [#3FLY] Joshua Van (15-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Su Mudaerji (1-2-0)
2025-04-12: W vs. [#211FLY] Mitch Raposo (10-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-10-19: L vs. [#23FLY] Charles Johnson (17-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-12-09: L vs. [#10FLY] Tim Elliott (21-13-1) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:02 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Su Mudaerji | -158 | 58.16% | |
| Elo K170 | Kevin Borjas | 1526.95 | +81.47 | 61.51% |
| Elo Modified | Kevin Borjas | 1531.57 | +99.97 | 64.00% |
| Glicko-1 | Kevin Borjas | 1563.22 | +156.90 | 71.16% |
| WHR | Kevin Borjas | 1549.03 | +196.55 | 75.61% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kevin Borjas 27.7, Su Mudaerji 29.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Borjas 147, Su Mudaerji 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#182] Nueraji Taiyilake (12-1-0, -345) vs. [#325][#74UFC] Kiefer Crosbie (10-5-0, +265)
Last 3 Fights: Nueraji Taiyilake (3-0-0)
2024-08-10: W vs. [#1387FW] Kirill Karpekin (2-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in of round 1
2024-06-08: W vs. [#384MW] Maxim Shimchenko (9-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:45 of round 1
2024-02-24: W vs. [#428MW] Dhouglas Ribeiro (14-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:25 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Kiefer Crosbie (1-2-0)
2024-07-27: L vs. [#98WW] Sam Patterson (13-2-1) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 2:50 of round 1
2023-09-09: L vs. [#179WW] Kevin Jousset (10-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:49 of round 1
2023-04-01: W vs. [#287WW] Alex Oliveira (25-16-1) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:14 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Nueraji Taiyilake | -345 | 73.88% | |
| Elo K170 | Nueraji Taiyilake | 1572.90 | +240.01 | 79.92% |
| Elo Modified | Nueraji Taiyilake | 1597.83 | +219.89 | 78.00% |
| Glicko-1 | Nueraji Taiyilake | 1670.92 | +338.17 | 87.51% |
| WHR | Nueraji Taiyilake | 1601.77 | +301.94 | 85.04% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Nueraji Taiyilake 24.6, Kiefer Crosbie 35.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nueraji Taiyilake 378, Kiefer Crosbie 392
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#297][#84UFC] Maheshate Hayisaer (10-4-0, +110) vs. [#316][#88UFC] Gauge Young (9-3-0, -134)
Last 3 Fights: Maheshate Hayisaer (1-2-0)
2024-11-23: L vs. [#166LW] Nikolas Motta (15-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-04-27: W vs. [*] Gabriel Benitez (23-12-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-05-20: L vs. [#225LW] Viacheslav Borshchev (8-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:37 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Gauge Young (1-2-0)
2025-04-26: L vs. [#164LW] Evan Elder (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-12-06: W vs. [#702LW] Eric Grant (6-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:11 of round 2
2024-09-03: L vs. [#112LW] Quillan Salkilld (9-1-0) via UD ()
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Gauge Young | -134 | 54.59% | |
| Elo K170 | Maheshate Hayisaer | 1393.03 | +55.98 | 57.99% |
| Elo Modified | Gauge Young | 1385.26 | +1.29 | 50.19% |
| Glicko-1 | Gauge Young | 1379.98 | +6.70 | 50.96% |
| WHR | Maheshate Hayisaer | 1348.11 | +19.04 | 52.74% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Maheshate Hayisaer 25.7, Gauge Young 25.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Maheshate Hayisaer 273, Gauge Young 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#23][#15UFC] Charles Johnson (17-7-0, +179) vs. [#52][#26UFC] Loneer Kavanagh (9-0-0, -223)
Last 3 Fights: Charles Johnson (2-1-0)
2025-03-01: L vs. [#19FLY] Ramazonbek Temirov (19-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#154FLY] Su Mudaerji (17-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-07-13: W vs. [#3FLY] Joshua Van (15-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:20 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Loneer Kavanagh (3-0-0)
2025-03-22: W vs. [#118FLY] Felipe dos Santos (9-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#58FLY] Jose Ochoa (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-08-13: W vs. [#339FLY] An Tuan Ho (7-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:35 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Loneer Kavanagh | -223 | 65.82% | |
| Elo K170 | Charles Johnson | 1651.47 | +10.91 | 51.57% |
| Elo Modified | Loneer Kavanagh | 1665.09 | +17.13 | 52.46% |
| Glicko-1 | Charles Johnson | 1723.22 | +76.68 | 60.86% |
| WHR | Loneer Kavanagh | 1632.45 | +21.53 | 53.10% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Charles Johnson 34.6, Loneer Kavanagh 26.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Johnson 175, Loneer Kavanagh 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#134][#58UFC] Zhu Rong (26-6-0, -307) vs. [#174][#71UFC] Austin Hubbard (16-9-0, +241)
Last 3 Fights: Zhu Rong (2-1-0)
2025-02-08: W vs. [#336LW] Kody Steele (7-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-09-07: L vs. [#83LW] Chris Padilla (16-6-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 4:14 of round 2
2024-02-03: W vs. [#101FW] Shin Haraguchi (11-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:06 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Austin Hubbard (1-2-0)
2025-03-29: L vs. [#115LW] Marquel Mederos (11-1-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-10-05: L vs. [#43LW] Alexander Hernandez (17-8-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2024-04-27: W vs. [*] Michal Figlak (8-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Zhu Rong | -307 | 72.00% | |
| Elo K170 | Zhu Rong | 1676.42 | +182.17 | 74.05% |
| Elo Modified | Zhu Rong | 1718.05 | +115.34 | 66.02% |
| Glicko-1 | Zhu Rong | 1734.27 | +83.80 | 61.83% |
| WHR | Zhu Rong | 1664.28 | +100.21 | 64.03% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Zhu Rong 25.4, Austin Hubbard 33.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Zhu Rong 196, Austin Hubbard 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#46][#31UFC] Michel Pereira (32-13-0, -296) vs. [#85] Kyle Daukaus (15-4-0, +234)
Last 3 Fights: Michel Pereira (1-2-0)
2025-04-26: L vs. [#28MW] Abusupiyan Magomedov (28-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-10-19: L vs. [#6MW] Anthony Hernandez (15-2-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:22 of round 5
2024-05-04: W vs. [#110MW] Ihor Potieria (25-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:54 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Kyle Daukaus (3-0-0)
2024-06-14: W vs. [#175MW] Keanan Patershuck (6-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:24 of round 1
2024-02-09: W vs. [*] Sean Connor Fallon (17-10-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 3:45 of round 3
2023-09-02: W vs. [#206LHW] Gregg Ellis (8-6-0) via UD ()
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Michel Pereira | -296 | 71.40% | |
| Elo K170 | Michel Pereira | 1788.99 | +166.33 | 72.26% |
| Elo Modified | Michel Pereira | 1795.48 | +128.46 | 67.69% |
| Glicko-1 | Michel Pereira | 1844.23 | +142.21 | 69.40% |
| WHR | Michel Pereira | 1757.48 | +148.74 | 70.19% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Michel Pereira 31.9, Kyle Daukaus 32.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michel Pereira 119, Kyle Daukaus 435
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#107][#48UFC] Zha Yi (25-5-0, -1429) vs. [#197][#63UFC] Westin Wilson (17-9-0, +756)
Last 3 Fights: Zha Yi (2-1-0)
2024-09-07: L vs. [#59FW] Gabriel Santos (12-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2024-02-03: W vs. [#146FW] Kaiwen Li (15-6-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:03 of round 1
2023-08-27: W vs. [#250FW] Sang Won Kim (12-6-2) via UD ()
Last 3 Fights: Westin Wilson (1-2-0)
2024-06-15: W vs. [#337FW] Jeka Saragih (14-5-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 1:49 of round 1
2024-01-13: L vs. [#16FW] Jean Silva (16-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:12 of round 1
2023-07-01: L vs. [#49FW] Joanderson Brito (17-5-1) via TKO in 2:54 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Zha Yi | -1429 | 88.89% | |
| Elo K170 | Zha Yi | 1588.76 | +131.08 | 68.02% |
| Elo Modified | Zha Yi | 1625.99 | +177.12 | 73.49% |
| Glicko-1 | Zha Yi | 1652.25 | +148.54 | 70.16% |
| WHR | Zha Yi | 1640.12 | +253.89 | 81.18% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Zha Yi 28.6, Westin Wilson 36.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Zha Yi 350, Westin Wilson 434
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Bantamweight (135)
[#77][#46UFC] Su Young You (16-3-0, -146) vs. [#103][#54UFC] Long Xiao (27-9-0, +119)
Last 3 Fights: Su Young You (3-0-0)
2025-03-15: W vs. [#520BW] A.J. Cunningham (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#334FW] Jieleyisi Baergeng (19-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-08-23: W vs. [#211BW] Zhawupasi Daermisi (11-3-0) via SD ()
Last 3 Fights: Long Xiao (2-1-0)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#199BW] Quang Le (9-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:28 of round 3
2024-06-22: L vs. [#97BW] Chang Ho Lee (11-1-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-08-27: W vs. [#126BW] Shuya Kamikubo (15-2-1) via MD ()
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Su Young You | -146 | 56.51% | |
| Elo K170 | Su Young You | 1741.17 | +122.42 | 66.93% |
| Elo Modified | Su Young You | 1696.09 | +80.11 | 61.33% |
| Glicko-1 | Su Young You | 1691.53 | +37.93 | 55.44% |
| WHR | Su Young You | 1613.06 | +27.18 | 53.91% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Su Young You 29.7, Long Xiao 27.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Su Young You 161, Long Xiao 273
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#83][#34UFC] Diyar Nurgozhay (10-1-0, +205) vs. [#93][#36UFC] Uran Satybaldiev (8-2-0, -240)
Last 3 Fights: Diyar Nurgozhay (2-1-0)
2025-03-15: L vs. [#57LHW] Brendson Ribeiro (17-8-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 1:28 of round 2
2024-10-01: W vs. [#128LHW] Bartosz Szewczyk (9-4-1) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:32 of round 2
2024-05-18: W vs. [#75LHW] Emiliano Sordi (27-13-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:17 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Uran Satybaldiev (2-1-0)
2025-04-05: L vs. [#46HW+] Martin Buday (16-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-03-06: W vs. [#246LHW] Leon Soares (9-3-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 2:20 of round 3
2024-03-08: W vs. [*] Bruno Assis (13-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:27 of round 4
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Uran Satybaldiev | -240 | 68.28% | |
| Elo K170 | Diyar Nurgozhay | 1502.08 | +59.08 | 58.42% |
| Elo Modified | Diyar Nurgozhay | 1541.70 | +53.66 | 57.66% |
| Glicko-1 | Diyar Nurgozhay | 1551.97 | +37.04 | 55.31% |
| WHR | Diyar Nurgozhay | 1540.00 | +36.69 | 55.26% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Diyar Nurgozhay 161, Uran Satybaldiev 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
Fight Card Statistics
Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Sergei Pavlovich
Highest Stored DD Rating: Aljamain Sterling
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Aljamain Sterling vs. Brian Ortega
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Outstanding [****½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2025-8-17