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Fight Matrix
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev (08-16-2025)

Posted on August 11, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight Championship (185)
[#1P4P][#4DD][#1][#1UFC] Dricus Du Plessis (23-2-0, +174) vs. [#4][#4UFC] Khamzat Chimaev (14-0-0, -210)
Dricus Du Plessis is the All-Time #4 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Khamzat Chimaev is the All-Time #31 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Dricus Du Plessis (3-0-0)
2025-02-08: W vs. [#2MW] Sean Strickland (29-7-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#5MW] Israel Adesanya (24-5-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:38 of round 4
2024-01-20: W vs. [#2MW] Sean Strickland (29-7-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Khamzat Chimaev (3-0-0)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#10MW] Robert Whittaker (26-9-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:34 of round 1
2023-10-21: W vs. [#4WW] Kamaru Usman (21-4-0) via MD (29-27, 29-27, 28-28)
2022-09-10: W vs. [#21WW] Kevin Holland (28-14-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:13 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Khamzat Chimaev -210 64.98%
Elo K170 Dricus Du Plessis 2382.91 +88.41 62.46%
Elo Modified Dricus Du Plessis 2309.13 +50.66 57.24%
Glicko-1 Dricus Du Plessis 2396.54 +42.21 56.04%
WHR Dricus Du Plessis 2200.82 +45.60 56.53%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Dricus Du Plessis 31.6, Khamzat Chimaev 31.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dricus Du Plessis 189, Khamzat Chimaev 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#8][#8UFC] Lerone Murphy (16-0-1, +116) vs. [*] Aaron Pico (13-4-0, -140)

Last 3 Fights: Lerone Murphy (3-0-0)
2025-04-05: W vs. [#12FW] Josh Emmett (19-5-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#19FW] Dan Ige (19-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-05-18: W vs. [#47FW] Edson Barboza (24-12-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Aaron Pico (3-0-0)
2024-02-24: W vs. [*] Henry Corrales (21-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:53 of round 1
2023-09-23: W vs. [#65FW] Pedro Carvalho (13-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:05 of round 1
2023-04-22: W vs. [#311MW] James Gonzalez (11-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Aaron Pico -140 55.74%
Elo K170 Lerone Murphy 2107.74 +240.04 79.93%
Elo Modified Lerone Murphy 2049.17 +165.04 72.11%
Glicko-1 Lerone Murphy 2082.95 +156.57 71.12%
WHR Lerone Murphy 1941.92 +177.74 73.56%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Lerone Murphy 34.0, Aaron Pico 28.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lerone Murphy 133, Aaron Pico 539
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#10][#10UFC] Geoff Neal (16-6-0, +212) vs. [#26][#22UFC] Carlos Prates (21-7-0, -260)
Geoff Neal is the All-Time #50 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Geoff Neal (1-2-0)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#35WW] Rafael dos Anjos (32-17-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 1:30 of round 1
2024-02-17: L vs. [#8WW] Ian Garry (16-1-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 30-27)
2023-03-04: L vs. [#6WW] Shavkat Rakhmonov (19-0-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Prates (2-1-0)
2025-04-26: L vs. [#8WW] Ian Garry (16-1-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-11-09: W vs. [#34WW] Neil Magny (30-13-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:50 of round 1
2024-08-17: W vs. [#66WW] Jingliang Li (19-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:02 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Carlos Prates -260 69.26%
Elo K170 Geoff Neal 1973.64 +62.62 58.91%
Elo Modified Geoff Neal 1977.26 +74.60 60.57%
Glicko-1 Geoff Neal 2045.31 +55.97 57.98%
WHR Carlos Prates 1934.25 +34.28 54.92%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Geoff Neal 34.9, Carlos Prates 32.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Geoff Neal 294, Carlos Prates 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Carlos Prates leads 1-0
.

Middleweight (185)
[#12][#11UFC] Jared Cannonier (18-8-0, +148) vs. [#17][#14UFC] Michael Page (23-3-0, -181)
Jared Cannonier is the All-Time #25 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jared Cannonier (1-2-0)
2025-02-15: W vs. [#20MW] Gregory Rodrigues (17-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 4
2024-08-24: L vs. [#7MW] Caio Borralho (17-1-0) via UD (49-46, 48-46, 49-45)
2024-06-08: L vs. [#3MW] Nassourdine Imavov (16-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Michael Page (2-1-0)
2025-02-01: W vs. [#24MW] Sharabutdin Magomedov (16-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2024-06-29: L vs. [#8WW] Ian Garry (16-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#21WW] Kevin Holland (28-14-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Michael Page -181 61.50%
Elo K170 Michael Page 2048.61 +29.71 54.27%
Elo Modified Michael Page 2036.32 +42.09 56.03%
Glicko-1 Michael Page 2104.32 +48.72 56.97%
WHR Michael Page 1987.93 +49.85 57.12%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jared Cannonier 41.4, Michael Page 38.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jared Cannonier 182, Michael Page 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#14][#10UFC] Kai Asakura (21-5-0, -292) vs. [*] Tim Elliott (20-13-1, +232)

Last 3 Fights: Kai Asakura (2-1-0)
2024-12-07: L vs. [#3DD][#5P4P][#1FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (30-5-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:05 of round 2
2023-12-31: W vs. [#73FW] Juan Archuleta (30-7-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 3:20 of round 2
2023-05-06: W vs. [#20FLY] Yuki Motoya (38-13-0) via KO (Knee to the Body) in 2:25 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Tim Elliott (2-1-0)
2023-12-09: W vs. [#151FLY] Su Mudaerji (17-7-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:02 of round 1
2023-10-21: L vs. [#8FLY] Muhammad Mokaev (15-0-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:03 of round 3
2023-06-03: W vs. [#170FLY] Victor Altamirano (12-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kai Asakura -292 71.20%
Elo K170 Kai Asakura 1972.65 +263.61 82.01%
Elo Modified Kai Asakura 1912.04 +200.72 76.05%
Glicko-1 Kai Asakura 1949.50 +223.36 78.35%
WHR Kai Asakura 1821.03 +163.68 71.95%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kai Asakura 31.8, Tim Elliott 38.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kai Asakura 252, Tim Elliott 616
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#25][#16UFC] Diego Ferreira (19-6-0, -186) vs. [#44][#25UFC] Bobby Green (32-17-1, +152)

Last 3 Fights: Diego Ferreira (2-1-0)
2025-01-18: L vs. [#16LW] Grant Dawson (23-2-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-05-11: W vs. [#53LW] Mateusz Rebecki (21-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 3
2023-05-20: W vs. [#56LW] Michael Johnson (24-19-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:50 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Bobby Green (1-2-0)
2025-03-08: L vs. [#35LW] Mauricio Ruffy (12-1-0) via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick) in 2:07 of round 1
2024-07-27: L vs. [#10LW] Paddy Pimblett (23-3-0) via Technical Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:22 of round 1
2024-04-13: W vs. [#78LW] Jim Miller (38-19-0) via UD (29-27, 30-25, 29-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Diego Ferreira -186 62.10%
Elo K170 Diego Ferreira 1891.81 +177.54 73.53%
Elo Modified Diego Ferreira 1917.33 +184.77 74.34%
Glicko-1 Diego Ferreira 1982.89 +216.13 77.63%
WHR Diego Ferreira 1870.53 +155.83 71.03%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Diego Ferreira 40.6, Bobby Green 38.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Diego Ferreira 210, Bobby Green 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Bobby Green leads 1-0
.

Middleweight (185)
[#46][#31UFC] Gerald Meerschaert (37-19-0, +188) vs. [#49][#34UFC] Michal Oleksiejczuk (21-9-0, -230)

Last 3 Fights: Gerald Meerschaert (1-2-0)
2025-04-05: L vs. [#33MW] Brad Tavares (21-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-11-09: L vs. [#9MW] Reinier de Ridder (21-2-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:44 of round 3
2024-08-24: W vs. [#47MW] Edmen Shahbazyan (15-5-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:12 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Michal Oleksiejczuk (1-2-0)
2025-04-12: W vs. [#111MW] Sedriques Dumas (11-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 2:49 of round 1
2024-08-03: L vs. [#24MW] Sharabutdin Magomedov (16-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-06-01: L vs. [#21WW] Kevin Holland (28-14-0) via Technical Submission (Armbar) in 1:34 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Michal Oleksiejczuk -230 66.74%
Elo K170 Michal Oleksiejczuk 1684.27 +112.39 65.63%
Elo Modified Michal Oleksiejczuk 1703.98 +62.75 58.93%
Glicko-1 Michal Oleksiejczuk 1742.62 +60.07 58.56%
WHR Gerald Meerschaert 1679.91 +26.50 53.81%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Gerald Meerschaert 37.6, Michal Oleksiejczuk 30.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gerald Meerschaert 133, Michal Oleksiejczuk 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#11][#11UFC] Jessica Andrade (26-14-0, +139) vs. [#13][#12UFC] Lupita Godinez (13-5-0, -167)
Jessica Andrade is the All-Time #16 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jessica Andrade (1-2-0)
2025-05-10: L vs. [#8FLY] Jasmine Jasudavicius (14-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:40 of round 1
2024-09-07: L vs. [#7P4P][#9DD][#3FLY] Natalia Silva (19-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-04-13: W vs. [*] Marina Rodriguez (17-6-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Lupita Godinez (1-2-0)
2025-03-29: W vs. [#39SW] Julia Polastri (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-08-03: L vs. [#5SW] Mackenzie Dern (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-03-30: L vs. [#3P4P][#5DD][#2SW] Virna Jandiroba (22-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Lupita Godinez -167 59.91%
Elo K170 Jessica Andrade 1607.53 +22.72 53.27%
Elo Modified Jessica Andrade 1602.61 +35.94 55.15%
Glicko-1 Jessica Andrade 1559.24 +24.04 53.45%
WHR Jessica Andrade 1553.82 +37.78 55.42%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jessica Andrade 33.9, Lupita Godinez 31.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jessica Andrade 98, Lupita Godinez 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jessica Andrade leads 4-1
.

Lightweight (155)
[#47][#27UFC] Chase Hooper (16-3-1, -289) vs. [#95][#46UFC] Alexander Hernandez (16-8-0, +232)

Last 3 Fights: Chase Hooper (3-0-0)
2025-04-12: W vs. [#78LW] Jim Miller (38-19-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-12-07: W vs. [#148LW] Clay Guida (38-25-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:41 of round 1
2024-05-11: W vs. [#227LW] Viacheslav Borshchev (8-6-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 3:00 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Hernandez (2-1-0)
2025-03-15: W vs. [#161LW] Kurt Holobaugh (21-10-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#175LW] Austin Hubbard (16-9-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2024-04-06: L vs. [*] Damon Jackson (23-8-1) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Chase Hooper -289 71.15%
Elo K170 Chase Hooper 1808.61 +42.84 56.13%
Elo Modified Chase Hooper 1801.94 +51.50 57.36%
Glicko-1 Chase Hooper 1872.37 +75.53 60.70%
WHR Chase Hooper 1792.81 +193.62 75.30%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Chase Hooper 25.9, Alexander Hernandez 32.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chase Hooper 126, Alexander Hernandez 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#55][#30UFC] Drakkar Klose (15-3-1, +129) vs. [#47FW][#26FWUFC] Edson Barboza (24-12-0, -156)
Edson Barboza is the All-Time #32 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Drakkar Klose (2-1-0)
2024-12-14: L vs. [#17LW] Joel Alvarez (22-3-0) via KO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 2:48 of round 1
2024-05-04: W vs. [*] Joaquim Silva (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-12-02: W vs. [*] Joe Solecki (13-6-0) via KO (Slam) in 1:41 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Edson Barboza (2-1-0)
2024-05-18: L vs. [#8FW] Lerone Murphy (16-0-1) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-10-14: W vs. [#188LW] Sodiq Yusuff (13-5-0) via UD (48-46, 48-46, 49-46)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#61FW] Billy Quarantillo (18-7-0) via KO (Knee) in 2:37 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Edson Barboza -156 58.25%
Elo K170 Drakkar Klose 1840.01 +14.15 52.03%
Elo Modified Drakkar Klose 1845.49 +18.24 52.62%
Glicko-1 Drakkar Klose 1871.58 +6.81 50.98%
WHR Drakkar Klose 1768.89 +50.54 57.22%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Drakkar Klose 37.4, Edson Barboza 39.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Drakkar Klose 245, Edson Barboza 455
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Edson Barboza leads 2-1
.

Middleweight (185)
[#30WW][#24WWUFC] Bryan Battle (12-2-0, -168) vs. [#36][#26UFC] Nursulton Ruziboev (36-9-2, +139)

Last 3 Fights: Bryan Battle (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2024-12-07: W vs. [#19WW] Randy Brown (20-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-09-28: W vs. [#175WW] Kevin Jousset (10-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:47 of round 2
2024-03-16: NC vs. [#134WW] Ange Loosa (10-5-0)

Last 3 Fights: Nursulton Ruziboev (2-1-0)
2025-05-17: W vs. [#61MW] Dustin Stoltzfus (16-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#75LHW] Eric McConico (10-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 2
2024-05-11: L vs. [#7WW] Joaquin Buckley (21-7-0) via UD (29-27, 30-27, 30-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Bryan Battle -168 59.97%
Elo K170 Bryan Battle 1904.27 +96.97 63.61%
Elo Modified Bryan Battle 1853.95 +33.49 54.81%
Glicko-1 Nursulton Ruziboev 1909.89 +15.54 52.24%
WHR Nursulton Ruziboev 1803.87 +58.32 58.32%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Bryan Battle 30.9, Nursulton Ruziboev 31.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bryan Battle 252, Nursulton Ruziboev 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#14][#10UFC] Karine Silva (18-5-0, -198) vs. [#44][#24UFC] Dione Barbosa (8-3-0, +163)

Last 3 Fights: Karine Silva (2-1-0)
2024-11-16: L vs. [#12FLY] Viviane Araujo (13-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-04-27: W vs. [#29BW] Ariane Lipski da Silva (17-11-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-08-19: W vs. [*] Maryna Moroz (11-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:59 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Dione Barbosa (2-1-0)
2025-04-05: W vs. [#141FLY] Diana Belbita (15-10-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:13 of round 1
2024-07-20: L vs. [#15FLY] Miranda Maverick (15-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#47FLY] Ernesta Kareckaite (6-1-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Karine Silva -198 63.60%
Elo K170 Karine Silva 1613.72 +227.22 78.72%
Elo Modified Karine Silva 1632.42 +223.02 78.31%
Glicko-1 Karine Silva 1671.84 +283.33 83.63%
WHR Karine Silva 1593.65 +203.43 76.34%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Karine Silva 31.7, Dione Barbosa 33.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Karine Silva 273, Dione Barbosa 133
Previous Match-up Record: Dione Barbosa leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#45] Joseph Morales (12-2-0) vs. [#47] Idiris Alibi (10-0-0)

Last 3 Fights: Joseph Morales (3-0-0)
2023-02-03: W vs. [#585FLY] Anthony Do (9-8-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:46 of round 3
2022-03-04: W vs. [*] Sidemar Honorio (13-8-0) via SD ()
2021-08-01: W vs. [*] Kevin Wirth (8-3-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Idiris Alibi (3-0-0)
2024-05-18: W vs. [#721FLY] Edilson Santos Jr. (9-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:11 of round 1
2023-12-21: W vs. [*] Erisson Ferreira (14-7-0) via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 2:40 of round 1
2023-06-23: W vs. [#97FLY] Alisson Silva (14-2-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Idiris Alibi 1746.66 +19.59 52.82%
Elo Modified Idiris Alibi 1746.93 +47.23 56.76%
Glicko-1 Idiris Alibi 1800.92 +109.01 65.19%
WHR Idiris Alibi 1731.22 +95.17 63.36%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joseph Morales 925, Idiris Alibi 455
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Dricus Du Plessis
Highest Stored DD Rating: Dricus Du Plessis
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Dricus Du Plessis vs. Khamzat Chimaev
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Dricus Du Plessis vs. Khamzat Chimaev
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Large [***½]
Run Date: 2025-8-10

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