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Fight Matrix
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph

Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. de Ridder (07-26-2025)

Posted on July 21, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#6][#6UFC] Robert Whittaker (26-8-0, -162) vs. [#18][#15UFC] Reinier de Ridder (20-2-0, +133)
Robert Whittaker is the All-Time #4 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Robert Whittaker (2-1-0)
2024-10-26: L vs. [#4MW] Khamzat Chimaev (14-0-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:34 of round 1
2024-06-22: W vs. [#30MW] Ikram Aliskerov (16-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:49 of round 1
2024-02-17: W vs. [#10MW] Paulo Costa (15-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Reinier de Ridder (3-0-0)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#34MW] Bo Nickal (7-1-0) via TKO (Knees) in 1:53 of round 2
2025-01-18: W vs. [#21WW] Kevin Holland (28-14-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:31 of round 1
2024-11-09: W vs. [#48MW] Gerald Meerschaert (37-19-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:44 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Robert Whittaker -162 59.02%
Elo K170 Robert Whittaker 2124.73 +148.96 70.21%
Elo Modified Robert Whittaker 2110.57 +109.07 65.20%
Glicko-1 Robert Whittaker 2173.56 +98.11 63.76%
WHR Robert Whittaker 2000.64 +34.83 55.00%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Robert Whittaker 34.6, Reinier de Ridder 34.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Robert Whittaker 273, Reinier de Ridder 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#3][#3UFC] Petr Yan (18-5-0, -375) vs. [#19][#17UFC] Marcus McGhee (10-1-0, +289)
Petr Yan is the All-Time #10 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Petr Yan (2-1-0)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#9BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-5-1) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#7BW] Yadong Song (22-9-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-11: L vs. [#1P4P][#2DD][#1BW] Merab Dvalishvili (20-4-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Marcus McGhee (3-0-0)
2024-11-16: W vs. [#24BW] Jonathan Martinez (19-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-01-13: W vs. [#365BW] Gaston Bolanos (8-5-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 3:29 of round 3
2023-08-12: W vs. [*] J.P. Buys (9-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:19 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Petr Yan -375 75.43%
Elo K170 Petr Yan 2126.82 +441.67 92.70%
Elo Modified Petr Yan 2157.81 +467.66 93.66%
Glicko-1 Petr Yan 2214.70 +451.07 93.07%
WHR Petr Yan 2073.60 +465.75 93.59%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Petr Yan 32.4, Marcus McGhee 35.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Petr Yan 245, Marcus McGhee 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#29][#22UFC] Sharabutdin Magomedov (15-1-0, -555) vs. [#42][#30UFC] Marc-Andre Barriault (18-9-0, +400)

Last 3 Fights: Sharabutdin Magomedov (2-1-0)
2025-02-01: L vs. [#16MW] Michael Page (23-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#100MW] Armen Petrosyan (9-5-0) via KO (Spinning Backfists) in 4:52 of round 1
2024-08-03: W vs. [#47MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (21-9-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Marc-Andre Barriault (1-2-0)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#66MW] Bruno Silva (23-13-0) via KO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:27 of round 1
2024-11-02: L vs. [#59MW] Dustin Stoltzfus (16-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:28 of round 1
2024-06-29: L vs. [#19MW] Joe Pyfer (14-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:25 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sharabutdin Magomedov -555 80.90%
Elo K170 Sharabutdin Magomedov 1853.64 +291.74 84.28%
Elo Modified Sharabutdin Magomedov 1865.19 +242.12 80.12%
Glicko-1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 1926.51 +242.50 80.15%
WHR Sharabutdin Magomedov 1855.07 +261.83 81.87%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Sharabutdin Magomedov 31.2, Marc-Andre Barriault 35.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sharabutdin Magomedov 175, Marc-Andre Barriault 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#20][#13UFC] Asu Almabayev (21-3-0, -112) vs. [#44][#22UFC] Jose Ochoa (8-1-0, -113)

Last 3 Fights: Asu Almabayev (2-1-0)
2025-03-01: L vs. [#9FLY] Manel Kape (21-7-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 2:16 of round 3
2024-10-19: W vs. [#26FLY] Matheus Nicolau (19-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-15: W vs. [#393FW] Jose Johnson (18-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jose Ochoa (2-1-0)
2025-06-14: W vs. [#62FLY] Cody Durden (17-8-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:11 of round 2
2024-11-23: L vs. [#53FLY] Loneer Kavanagh (9-0-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-11-03: W vs. [#205FLY] Juscelino Pantoja (8-1-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 4:30 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jose Ochoa -113 50.10%
Elo K170 Asu Almabayev 1799.03 +311.61 85.74%
Elo Modified Asu Almabayev 1792.80 +269.15 82.48%
Glicko-1 Asu Almabayev 1801.71 +254.55 81.23%
WHR Asu Almabayev 1692.88 +114.67 65.93%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Asu Almabayev 31.5, Jose Ochoa 24.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Asu Almabayev 147, Jose Ochoa 42
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#16][#13UFC] Bogdan Guskov (17-3-0, +154) vs. [#17][#14UFC] Nikita Krylov (30-10-0, -188)

Last 3 Fights: Bogdan Guskov (3-0-0)
2025-01-18: W vs. [#117LHW] Billy Elekana (7-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:33 of round 2
2024-04-27: W vs. [#38HW+] Ryan Spann (23-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:16 of round 2
2024-02-10: W vs. [#140HW+] Zac Pauga (7-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:38 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Nikita Krylov (2-1-0)
2025-04-12: L vs. [#8LHW] Dominick Reyes (15-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:24 of round 1
2023-03-11: W vs. [#38HW+] Ryan Spann (23-11-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:38 of round 1
2022-10-22: W vs. [#12LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (20-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Nikita Krylov -188 62.37%
Elo K170 Nikita Krylov 1888.60 +158.29 71.33%
Elo Modified Nikita Krylov 1901.53 +125.02 67.25%
Glicko-1 Nikita Krylov 1973.99 +126.74 67.47%
WHR Nikita Krylov 1782.23 +55.63 57.94%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Bogdan Guskov 32.8, Nikita Krylov 33.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bogdan Guskov 189, Nikita Krylov 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Nikita Krylov leads 2-1
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#31FW][#19FWUFC] Bryce Mitchell (17-3-0, -102) vs. [#38][#29UFC] Said Nurmagomedov (18-4-0, -120)

Last 3 Fights: Bryce Mitchell (1-2-0)
2025-04-12: L vs. [#15FW] Jean Silva (16-2-0) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 3:52 of round 2
2024-12-07: W vs. [#536FW] Kron Gracie (5-3-0) via KO (Slam and Elbows) in 0:39 of round 3
2023-12-16: L vs. [#12FW] Josh Emmett (19-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:57 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Said Nurmagomedov (1-2-0)
2025-02-01: L vs. [#16BW] Vinicius Oliveira (24-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-10-21: W vs. [#43BW] Muin Gafurov (21-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:13 of round 1
2023-03-11: L vs. [#24BW] Jonathan Martinez (19-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Said Nurmagomedov -120 51.92%
Elo K170 Bryce Mitchell 1773.66 +1.12 50.16%
Elo Modified Said Nurmagomedov 1788.48 +18.78 52.70%
Glicko-1 Said Nurmagomedov 1849.21 +60.43 58.61%
WHR Said Nurmagomedov 1813.38 +80.77 61.42%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Bryce Mitchell 30.8, Said Nurmagomedov 33.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bryce Mitchell 105, Said Nurmagomedov 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#25][#21UFC] Carlos Leal (22-6-0, -397) vs. [#38][#28UFC] Muslim Salikhov (21-5-0, +287)

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Leal (2-1-0)
2025-03-08: W vs. [#57WW] Alex Morono (24-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:16 of round 1
2024-10-26: L vs. [#20WW] Rinat Fakhretdinov (25-2-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-07-06: W vs. [#630WW] Manuel Mena (15-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:09 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Muslim Salikhov (2-1-0)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#128WW] Kenan Song (22-9-0) via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick) in 3:49 of round 1
2024-07-13: W vs. [#50WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (30-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-02-03: L vs. [#19WW] Randy Brown (20-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Carlos Leal -397 75.55%
Elo K170 Muslim Salikhov 1866.94 +20.33 52.92%
Elo Modified Carlos Leal 1860.05 +39.70 55.69%
Glicko-1 Carlos Leal 1966.47 +125.45 67.31%
WHR Carlos Leal 1818.77 +124.90 67.24%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Carlos Leal 31.2, Muslim Salikhov 41.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carlos Leal 140, Muslim Salikhov 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#31][#26UFC] DaMon Blackshear (17-7-1, -257) vs. [#46][#34UFC] Davey Grant (16-7-0, +205)

Last 3 Fights: DaMon Blackshear (3-0-0)
2025-04-26: W vs. [#93BW] Heili Alateng (17-10-2) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-03-15: W vs. [#70BW] Cody Gibson (21-11-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 4:09 of round 2
2024-11-09: W vs. [#152BW] Cody Stamann (21-8-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:19 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Davey Grant (2-1-0)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#208BW] Ramon Taveras (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-07-22: L vs. [#41BW] Daniel Marcos (17-1-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-11: W vs. [*] Raphael Assuncao (28-10-0) via Technical Submission (Inverted Triangle Choke) in 4:43 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds DaMon Blackshear -257 68.70%
Elo K170 DaMon Blackshear 1806.32 +127.45 67.56%
Elo Modified DaMon Blackshear 1787.69 +55.26 57.89%
Glicko-1 DaMon Blackshear 1849.31 +56.52 58.06%
WHR DaMon Blackshear 1768.09 +36.55 55.24%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: DaMon Blackshear 30.9, Davey Grant 39.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: DaMon Blackshear 91, Davey Grant 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#9][#9UFC] Tabatha Ricci (11-3-0, +124) vs. [#12][#11UFC] Amanda Ribas (12-6-0, -157)

Last 3 Fights: Tabatha Ricci (2-1-0)
2024-11-23: L vs. [#8DD][#3SW] Xiaonan Yan (19-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-08-24: W vs. [#13SW] Angela Hill (18-14-0) via UD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-05-11: W vs. [#8SW] Tecia Pennington (15-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Ribas (1-2-0)
2025-01-11: L vs. [#5SW] Mackenzie Dern (15-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:56 of round 3
2024-03-23: L vs. [#6FLY] Rose Namajunas (14-7-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2023-11-18: W vs. [#38SW] Luana Pinheiro (11-5-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 3:53 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Amanda Ribas -157 57.77%
Elo K170 Tabatha Ricci 1624.50 +102.65 64.36%
Elo Modified Tabatha Ricci 1637.35 +98.61 63.82%
Glicko-1 Tabatha Ricci 1621.47 +107.22 64.96%
WHR Tabatha Ricci 1541.04 +18.73 52.69%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Tabatha Ricci 30.4, Amanda Ribas 31.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tabatha Ricci 245, Amanda Ribas 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tabatha Ricci leads 1-0
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#78][#31UFC] Ibo Aslan (14-2-0, -274) vs. [#117][#37UFC] Billy Elekana (7-2-0, +211)

Last 3 Fights: Ibo Aslan (2-1-0)
2025-02-22: L vs. [#28LHW] Ion Cutelaba (19-11-1) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 2:51 of round 1
2024-10-26: W vs. [#147LHW] Raffael Cerqueira (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:51 of round 1
2024-03-30: W vs. [*] Anton Turkalj (8-4-0) via TKO (Punch) in 1:32 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Billy Elekana (2-1-0)
2025-01-18: L vs. [#16LHW] Bogdan Guskov (17-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:33 of round 2
2024-07-27: W vs. [#303LHW] Jureall Simmons (4-1-0) via TKO in 1:58 of round 1
2023-08-04: W vs. [#49LHW] Chuck Campbell (9-4-0) via SD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ibo Aslan -274 69.50%
Elo K170 Ibo Aslan 1507.70 +90.18 62.70%
Elo Modified Ibo Aslan 1529.02 +71.03 60.08%
Glicko-1 Ibo Aslan 1573.70 +132.73 68.22%
WHR Ibo Aslan 1522.25 +142.07 69.38%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Ibo Aslan 29.2, Billy Elekana 30.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ibo Aslan 154, Billy Elekana 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#519LW][#99LWUFC] Mohammad Yahya (12-5-0, +248) vs. [*] Steven Nguyen (9-2-0, -300)

Last 3 Fights: Mohammad Yahya (1-2-0)
2024-08-03: L vs. [#91LW] Kaue Fernandes (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 1
2023-10-21: L vs. [#262LW] Trevor Peek (9-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-02-26: W vs. [#376LW] Souhil Tairi (8-6-1) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Steven Nguyen (2-1-0)
2024-03-23: L vs. [#177FW] Jarno Errens (16-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-09-12: W vs. [#516BW] A.J. Cunningham (11-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 2
2021-09-21: W vs. [#2259LW] Theo Rlayang (5-2-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 30-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Steven Nguyen -300 72.29%
Elo K170 Steven Nguyen 1340.53 +18.83 52.71%
Elo Modified Steven Nguyen 1381.93 +5.37 50.77%
Glicko-1 Steven Nguyen 1394.51 +21.68 53.12%
WHR Mohammad Yahya 1338.34 +3.57 50.51%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Mohammad Yahya 31.2, Steven Nguyen 32.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mohammad Yahya 357, Steven Nguyen 490
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#65] Marcus Almeida (5-1-0, -199) vs. [#66][#22UFC] Martin Buday (15-2-0, +164)

Last 3 Fights: Marcus Almeida (2-1-0)
2024-11-08: W vs. [#97HW+] Amir Aliakbari (14-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:15 of round 1
2023-08-04: L vs. [#25HW+] Oumar Kane (7-1-0) via UD ()
2022-08-26: W vs. [#108HW+] Kirill Grishenko (7-2-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 1:04 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Martin Buday (2-1-0)
2025-04-05: W vs. [#92LHW] Uran Satybaldiev (8-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#95HW+] Andrei Arlovski (34-24-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2023-12-16: L vs. [#29HW+] Shamil Gaziev (14-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:56 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Marcus Almeida -199 63.73%
Elo K170 Martin Buday 1695.85 +222.90 78.30%
Elo Modified Martin Buday 1658.19 +86.78 62.24%
Glicko-1 Martin Buday 1658.44 +96.86 63.59%
WHR Martin Buday 1561.62 +49.04 57.01%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Marcus Almeida 35.5, Martin Buday 33.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marcus Almeida 260, Martin Buday 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Robert Whittaker
Highest Stored DD Rating: Petr Yan
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Robert Whittaker vs. Reinier de Ridder
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Petr Yan vs. Marcus McGhee
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2025-7-20

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